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Shonan Bellmare v Kyoto Sanga : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Oct, 07:00 BST, Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka), Hiratsuka

Sunday morning sees Satoshi Yamaguchi’s Shonan Bellmare and Kwi-Jea Cho’s Kyoto Sanga go head to head in a J-League battle at the Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka). For every J-League match, KickOff explores the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then brought forward alongside odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Shonan and Kyoto Sanga will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 81%. The bookmakers have it available at 1.25.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Kyoto Sanga coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Shonan 24%	29/10 8%	13/5 6%
Draw 23%	29/10 3%	12/5
Kyoto Sanga 53%	79/100 6%	5/6 1%
Draw 1-1 10%	13/2	11/2
Kyoto Sanga 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Kyoto Sanga 1-0 9%	13/2	6/1 7%
Kyoto Sanga 2-0 8%	8/1 6%	15/2
Shonan 2-1 6%	12/1	10/1
Kyoto Sanga 3-1 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1 12%	11/1
Shonan 1-0 6%	10/1 8%	17/2
Kyoto Sanga 3-0 5%	14/1	12/1
Draw 0-0 5%	11/1	17/2
Kyoto Sanga 3-2 4%	25/1	16/1
Shonan 2-0 3%	18/1 10%	14/1
Kyoto Sanga 4-1 3%	28/1	20/1
Shonan 3-1 3%	28/1 15%	22/1 10%
Kyoto Sanga 4-0 2%	33/1 17%	20/1 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	17/20	4/5 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	19/20	17/20
Home 1st Goal 44%	11/8 5%	29/20 2%
Away 1st Goal 53%	4/6 3%	4/6 2%
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1	17/2
BTTS - Yes 59%	4/5	3/4 1%
BTTS - No 41%	19/20	19/20 3%
BTTS - Home Win 14%	6/1 7%	11/2
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 28%	11/4	27/10
Home/draw 47%	10/11 5%	17/20 1%
Away/draw 76%	1/4 2%	1/4
Home/away 77%	1/4 2%	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1/4	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	11/4	12/5
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	9/4	19/10 1%
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	1/3	1/3
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	5/1	17/4
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/8	1/9
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	12/1	9/1 5%
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/25	1/50
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	11/1	8/1
Home DNB 40%	7/4 8%	7/4 2%
Away DNB 69%	2/5 3%	2/5
Shonan win to nil 11%	11/2 7%	-
Kyoto Sanga win to nil 25%	9/4 8%	-
Shonan / Shonan 13%	11/2 13%	5/1 4%
Shonan / Kyoto Sanga 4%	22/1 10%	18/1
Shonan / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Shonan 10%	15/2 6%	7/1 7%
Draw / Kyoto Sanga 16%	4/1 5%	19/5
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1 5%
Kyoto Sanga / Shonan 3%	33/1	25/1
Kyoto Sanga / Kyoto Sanga 27%	2/1 9%	19/10 3%
Kyoto Sanga / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	12/1

Win / draw / win J-League table

Shonan have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 7 and won 6. Shonan have conceded 55 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 15 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Shonan have played 16 games at home, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Kyoto Sanga lay in 2nd place on 60 points in the J-League league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 9 and losing 7 games. They have scored 53 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Kyoto Sanga have conceded 32 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Kyoto Sanga have played 17 away games, winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Shonan Kyoto Sanga
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Kashima	33	20	5	8	24	65	w 1-0F	l 3-0A	Oct 25	w 3-4A
2	Kyoto Sanga	33	17	9	7	22	60	Oct 19	l 2-0A	-	-
3	Kashiwa	33	16	12	5	15	60	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	d 1-1A	d 3-3A
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	15	60	l 1-2A	l 4-0A	Dec 6	d 1-1F
5	Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	16	58	l 0-1A	Dec 6	w 1-0F	d 1-1A
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	14	55	l 1-2A	w 0-1F	d 1-1A	w 1-2A
7	Kawasaki	33	14	11	8	15	53	l 1-2A	l 2-0A	d 1-1A	w 0-1F
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	8	52	w 2-1F	l 4-1A	d 1-1F	l 2-1A
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	-1	50	l 4-5F	l 4-0A	w 3-1F	l 2-1A
10	Cerezo	33	11	10	12	1	43	d 3-3A	w 1-2F	l 2-3F	w 1-2F
11	Shimizu	33	10	11	12	-4	41	Nov 30	l 3-0A	l 0-1A	w 1-2F
12	Fagiano	33	11	8	14	-6	41	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	w 5-0F	l 2-0A
13	Tokyo	33	11	8	14	-10	41	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0	w 3-0F	w 0-4F
14	Avispa	33	10	10	13	-5	40	d 0-00-0	Oct 25	l 0-1A	d 2-2F
15	Nagoya	33	10	9	14	-8	39	w 2-1F	l 3-1A	d 1-1F	w 1-2A
16	Tokyo Verdy	33	10	9	14	-14	39	l 0-1A	w 0-2F	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
17	Yokohama FM	33	8	7	18	-12	31	d 1-1F	d 1-1A	Nov 9	w 0-3F
18	Yokohama	33	8	7	18	-16	31	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	Nov 30
19	Shonan	33	6	7	20	-29	25	-	-	w 2-0F	Oct 19
20	Albirex	33	4	10	19	-25	22	Nov 8	l 2-1F	w 2-1A	w 1-2A

	Afc Champions League
	Afc Champions League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Shonan have lost 7 consecutive league games

Shonan have not won in 17 consecutive league games

Kyoto Sanga have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Shonan	0 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
Shonan	1 - 2	Kawasaki
Shonan	4 - 5	Gamba Osaka
Shonan	2 - 2	Tokyo
Shonan	3 - 3	Cerezo
Shonan	1 - 1	Yokohama FM
Shonan	1 - 2	Machida
Shonan	1 - 1	Fagiano
Shonan	0 - 1	Yokohama
Shonan	0 - 1	Hiroshima
Shonan	0 - 0	Avispa
Shonan	0 - 1	Kashiwa
Shonan	2 - 1	Nagoya
Shonan	1 - 2	Vissel Kobe
Shonan	2 - 1	Urawa Reds
Shonan	1 - 0	Kashima
Shonan	2 - 3	Yokohama FM
Shonan	1 - 1	Sapporo
Shonan	2 - 1	Hiroshima
Shonan	3 - 2	Kashima

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Shonan	0 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
A	Shonan	0 - 1	Yokohama
H	Shonan	1 - 2	Kawasaki
A	Shonan	1 - 3	Nagoya
A	Shonan	0 - 3	Kashima
H	Shonan	4 - 5	Gamba Osaka
A	Shonan	0 - 1	Fagiano
H	Shonan	2 - 2	Tokyo
A	Shonan	0 - 2	Kashiwa
A	Shonan	1 - 4	Urawa Reds
H	Shonan	3 - 3	Cerezo
A	Shonan	0 - 4	Vissel Kobe
H	Shonan	1 - 1	Yokohama FM
H	Shonan	1 - 2	Machida
H	Shonan	1 - 1	Fagiano
A	Shonan	1 - 2	Albirex
H	Shonan	0 - 1	Yokohama
A	Shonan	2 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
H	Shonan	0 - 1	Hiroshima
A	Shonan	0 - 4	Gamba Osaka

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cerezo	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Hiroshima	1 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Tokyo	0 - 4	Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Avispa	2 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa	3 - 3	Kyoto Sanga
Tokyo Verdy	1 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
Yokohama FM	0 - 3	Kyoto Sanga
Machida	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka	2 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Albirex	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Urawa Reds	2 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Kashima	3 - 4	Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Kawasaki	0 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe	1 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano	2 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
Machida	1 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
Hiroshima	0 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Sapporo	2 - 0	Kyoto Sanga

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Kawasaki
A	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Cerezo
H	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Machida
H	Kyoto Sanga	0 - 1	Shimizu
A	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Hiroshima
H	Kyoto Sanga	5 - 0	Fagiano
A	Kyoto Sanga	4 - 0	Tokyo
H	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
A	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Nagoya
A	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 2	Avispa
H	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Albirex
H	Kyoto Sanga	3 - 1	Gamba Osaka
A	Kyoto Sanga	3 - 3	Kashiwa
H	Kyoto Sanga	3 - 0	Tokyo
A	Kyoto Sanga	0 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
A	Kyoto Sanga	3 - 0	Yokohama FM
H	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Nagoya
A	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Machida
H	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 3	Cerezo
A	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 2	Gamba Osaka

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Shonan

Kyoto Sanga

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 3

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

2 / 3

KYO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Shonan
	0 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
	0 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Kyoto Sanga

Shonan

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

2 / 4

SHO

KYO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kyoto Sanga
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Shonan
	0 - 1	Shonan
	0 - 1	Shonan

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Shonan Bellmare of late. It has been 5 J-League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday morning against Kyoto Sanga.

Kyoto Sanga's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Shonan Bellmare have conceded in each of their last 17 J-League outings. A PG of 1.9 for Kwi-Jea Cho's side suggests that run should continue.

	Shonan 19th	Kyoto Sanga 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Shonan will score no more than 1 goal	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Kyoto Sanga will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+10 Shonan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+24 Kyoto Sanga have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season

SHO

KYO

40%

better

view stats

Games scored	18		27
Failed to score	13		4
Scored first	9		16
Goals scored	28		54
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.6
Avg. shots per game	7		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		5
Conversion rate for	13		20
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+40%

SHO

KYO

26%

better

view stats

Games conceded	26		23
Clean sheets	5		8
Conceded first	20		15
Goals conceded	55		33
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		9
Conversion rate against	18%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+26%

Shonan v Kyoto Sanga J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Shonan J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	6	6	5
Y Suzuki	A Suzuki	K Onose	A Suzuki

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Suzuki DEF	32	2	2	2 -
A Suzuki FWD	32	6	3	5 -
T Fujii MID	28			2 -
K Onose MID	28		6	2 -
K Okuno MID	26	1	1	4 -
T Hiraoka MID	25	3	1	1 -
A Barada MID	24			1 -
N Kamifukumoto GLK	20			-
M Ikeda MID	20	1	1	-
Y Oda FWD	20	1		1 -
K Ono DEF	19		1	2 -
H Okuno MID	19		1	1 -
L Phellype FWD	19	4	1	2 -
K Oiwa DEF	13	1		1 -
S Matsumura DEF	12			-
K Tachi DEF	12	1		4 1
H Ishii FWD	11	1		-
H Matsumoto MID	10			1 -
R Nitta FWD	8	1		-
W Popp GLK	7			-
S Ota FWD	7	1		1 -
N Takahashi DEF	6			-
Z Ricardo MID	6			2 -
S Nakano DEF	5			-
K. Sanada GLK	4			-
K. Watanabe FWD	3			-
S Yoshida GLK	2			-
S. Tamura MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	21	6	7
A Suzuki	A Suzuki	K Onose	K Onose

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Suzuki FWD	6	21	3	6
L Phellype FWD	4	7	1	1
T Hiraoka MID	3	10	1	2
Y Suzuki DEF	2	6	2	5
K Okuno MID	1	3	1	1
M Ikeda MID	1	5	1	2
Y Oda FWD	1	6
K Oiwa DEF	1	1		1
K Tachi DEF	1	1
H Ishii FWD	1	2
R Nitta FWD	1	5
S Ota FWD	1	4
T Fujii MID		3		5
K Onose MID		6	6	7
A Barada MID		1		2
K Ono DEF		1	1	1
H Okuno MID			1
S Matsumura DEF				1
H Matsumoto MID		2		1
Z Ricardo MID		1
S Nakano DEF		2
K. Watanabe FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1759	70	151
Y Suzuki	Y Suzuki	Y Suzuki

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Y Suzuki DEF	1759	70	151
T Fujii MID	844	38	89
K Onose MID	813	35	83
A Suzuki FWD	675	37	147
K Okuno MID	666	34	62
K Tachi DEF	661	22	69
N Kamifukumoto GLK	642		13
K Ono DEF	631	18	59
T Hiraoka MID	488	26	64
H Matsumoto MID	484	12	24
H Okuno MID	480	18	59
A Barada MID	441	11	34
K Oiwa DEF	419	10	32
S Matsumura DEF	345	11	31
Z Ricardo MID	252	4	25
S Nakano DEF	251	6	26
M Ikeda MID	245	6	10
W Popp GLK	180		6
S Ota FWD	130	7	19
Y Oda FWD	118	10	29
L Phellype FWD	113	2	32
K. Sanada GLK	104	1	5
N Takahashi DEF	83	4	7
H Ishii FWD	73	9	16
R Nitta FWD	55	4	13
S Yoshida GLK	53		1
K. Watanabe FWD	29	1	8
S. Tamura MID	3

Kyoto Sanga J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	16	10	9
Y Suzuki	R Elias	T Hara	J Pedro

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Suzuki DEF	33	1		1 -
H Sugai DEF	32	1	4	2 -
G Ota GLK	31			2 -
K Sato DEF	30			5 -
T Hirato MID	30		6	2 1
T Hara FWD	29	5	10	1 -
Y Miyamoto DEF	28			1 -
S Fukuoka MID	28		1	6 -
S Fukuda DEF	26	3	1	1 -
M Okugawa FWD	25	7	2	-
R Elias FWD	24	16	4	4 -
T Matsuda MID	22	3	3	4 -
S Nagasawa FWD	19	3	2	2 -
J Pedro MID	18	1		9 -
P William DEF	17			2 -
T Yonemoto MID	17	2		2 -
S Takeda MID	14	1		4 -
M Túlio FWD	13	5	3	1 -
R. Nakano MID	12	1	1	-
S Hiraga FWD	11	1		-
L Gomes MID	9			1 -
F Yamada FWD	8		1	3 -
H Tawiah DEF	7			1 -
S Asada DEF	5			-
Barreto MID	2			-
K. Nagata DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	31	10	15
R Elias	R Elias	T Hara	T Hara

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Elias FWD	16	31	4	7
M Okugawa FWD	7	13	2	5
T Hara FWD	5	16	10	15
M Túlio FWD	5	10	3
S Fukuda DEF	3	7	1	4
T Matsuda MID	3	6	3	3
S Nagasawa FWD	3	8	2	2
T Yonemoto MID	2	3
Y Suzuki DEF	1	2		1
H Sugai DEF	1	8	4	3
J Pedro MID	1	3		1
S Takeda MID	1	1		1
R. Nakano MID	1	3	1	1
S Hiraga FWD	1	3		1
K Sato DEF		2		2
T Hirato MID		10	6	8
Y Miyamoto DEF		1		1
S Fukuoka MID		2	1	1
L Gomes MID		2
F Yamada FWD		3	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1151	64	257
Y Miyamoto	H Sugai	T Hara

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Y Miyamoto DEF	1151	31	95
Y Suzuki DEF	1028	30	171
G Ota GLK	927	1	21
T Hirato MID	879	26	68
T Hara FWD	809	33	257
S Fukuoka MID	801	34	72
K Sato DEF	712	44	96
H Sugai DEF	710	64	153
S Fukuda DEF	701	27	73
R Elias FWD	415	21	108
J Pedro MID	394	32	55
P William DEF	336	6	35
S Takeda MID	334	10	37
M Okugawa FWD	287	24	57
T Yonemoto MID	269	14	36
T Matsuda MID	205	15	42
M Túlio FWD	194	7	18
S Nagasawa FWD	163	7	72
R. Nakano MID	155	10	17
F Yamada FWD	116	2	15
H Tawiah DEF	112	3	13
L Gomes MID	71	7	21
S Hiraga FWD	46		16
S Asada DEF	17		3
Barreto MID	4		1
K. Nagata DEF			1