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Montedio Yamagata v JEF United : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Jul, 11:00 BST, ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo

Home advantage can be vital in the J2-League, and Jin Sato’s Montedio Yamagata will have the blessing of it on Saturday morning. Yoshiyuki Kobayashi’s JEF United are their visitors to the ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. Statistics drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 77% chance of Montedio and JEF United scoring at least a couple of goals in this J2-League tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it seems the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.25.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of JEF United coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Montedio 33%	17/10	8/5
Draw 25%	23/10	9/4
JEF United 42%	6/4	11/8
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	5/1
JEF United 1-0 9%	8/1	7/1
JEF United 2-1 9%	9/1	15/2
Montedio 1-0 8%	17/2	15/2
Montedio 2-1 8%	9/1	8/1
JEF United 2-0 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1	8/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	10/1
Montedio 2-0 5%	12/1	11/1
JEF United 3-1 4%	20/1	14/1
JEF United 3-0 3%	22/1	16/1
Montedio 3-1 3%	20/1	14/1
JEF United 3-2 3%	28/1	18/1
Montedio 3-2 3%	28/1	18/1
Montedio 3-0 2%	25/1	18/1
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	17/20	4/5
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	19/20	5/6
Home 1st Goal 47%	11/10	21/20
Away 1st Goal 50%	5/6	19/20
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1	8/1
BTTS - Yes 57%	4/6	7/10
BTTS - No 43%	11/10	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 17%	4/1	19/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 21%	15/4	7/2
Home/draw 58%	1/2	8/15
Away/draw 67%	4/9	4/9
Home/away 75%	1/3	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1/4	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	11/4	23/10
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	9/4	19/10
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	1/3	1/3
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	5/1	17/4
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/8	1/10
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	15/2
Home DNB 51%	10/11	19/20
Away DNB 59%	4/5	3/4
Montedio win to nil 16%	4/1	-
JEF United win to nil 21%	7/2	-
Montedio / Montedio 19%	10/3	16/5
Montedio / JEF United 3%	25/1	20/1
Montedio / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Montedio 13%	11/2	5/1
Draw / JEF United 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
JEF United / Montedio 3%	25/1	20/1
JEF United / JEF United 20%	3/1	29/10
JEF United / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Montedio have lost 3 consecutive home league games

JEF United have lost 3 consecutive league games

JEF United have not won in 7 consecutive league games

JEF United have failed to score in 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montedio	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Montedio	3 - 4	Vegalta
Montedio	0 - 4	Ventforet
Montedio	3 - 0	Oita Trinita
Montedio	0 - 1	Sapporo
Montedio	2 - 3	Ehime
Montedio	0 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
Montedio	0 - 0	Tokushima
Montedio	4 - 2	Blaublitz
Montedio	0 - 3	Fagiano
Montedio	4 - 0	JEF United
Montedio	1 - 0	Roasso
Montedio	2 - 0	Renofa
Montedio	4 - 1	TK Gunma
Montedio	1 - 2	Yokohama
Montedio	4 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Montedio	1 - 0	Tokushima
Montedio	1 - 2	Iwaki
Montedio	1 - 0	Tochigi
Montedio	1 - 1	Vegalta

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Montedio	3 - 1	Ehime
H	Montedio	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
A	Montedio	3 - 2	Blaublitz
H	Montedio	3 - 4	Vegalta
A	Montedio	1 - 2	Fujieda MYFC
H	Montedio	0 - 4	Ventforet
A	Montedio	0 - 1	Renofa
A	Montedio	1 - 1	V-V Nagasaki
H	Montedio	3 - 0	Oita Trinita
H	Montedio	0 - 1	Sapporo
A	Montedio	0 - 0	Kataller Toyama
A	Montedio	1 - 2	Sagan Tosu
H	Montedio	2 - 3	Ehime
A	Montedio	1 - 0	Iwaki
H	Montedio	0 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
A	Montedio	2 - 2	Imabari
H	Montedio	0 - 0	Tokushima
A	Montedio	3 - 1	Roasso
H	Montedio	4 - 2	Blaublitz
A	Montedio	2 - 3	JEF United

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kataller Toyama	1 - 0	JEF United
Tokushima	3 - 3	JEF United
V-V Nagasaki	1 - 0	JEF United
Imabari	0 - 1	JEF United
Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	JEF United
Roasso	0 - 0	JEF United
Fujieda MYFC	2 - 3	JEF United
Jubilo Iwata	1 - 0	JEF United
Ventforet	1 - 2	JEF United
Sapporo	1 - 3	JEF United
Iwaki	0 - 2	JEF United
Montedio	4 - 0	JEF United
Fujieda MYFC	2 - 3	JEF United
Ehime	1 - 2	JEF United
Blaublitz	1 - 0	JEF United
Oita Trinita	0 - 2	JEF United
Fagiano	0 - 0	JEF United
Yokohama	2 - 1	JEF United
Shimizu	2 - 0	JEF United
Tochigi	2 - 1	JEF United

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	JEF United	0 - 2	Sagan Tosu
A	JEF United	0 - 1	Kataller Toyama
H	JEF United	0 - 1	Jubilo Iwata
A	JEF United	3 - 3	Tokushima
H	JEF United	0 - 0	Renofa
A	JEF United	0 - 1	V-V Nagasaki
H	JEF United	0 - 0	Vegalta
A	JEF United	1 - 0	Imabari
H	JEF United	1 - 2	Omiya Ardija
A	JEF United	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
A	JEF United	0 - 0	Roasso
H	JEF United	3 - 1	Blaublitz
H	JEF United	1 - 0	Oita Trinita
A	JEF United	3 - 2	Fujieda MYFC
H	JEF United	2 - 1	Mito
A	JEF United	0 - 1	Jubilo Iwata
A	JEF United	2 - 1	Ventforet
H	JEF United	5 - 1	Ehime
A	JEF United	3 - 1	Sapporo
H	JEF United	3 - 2	Montedio

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Montedio have beaten JEF United in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Montedio have not lost to JEF United in 7 consecutive home league meetings

Montedio have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with JEF United

Montedio

JEF United

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

1 / 7

MON

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montedio
Montedio	4 - 0
Montedio	1 - 0
Montedio	2 - 0
Montedio	3 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Montedio	3 - 1
Montedio	2 - 1

JEF United

Montedio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

MON

JEF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT JEF United
JEF United	3 - 2
	2 - 3	Montedio
	1 - 3	Montedio
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 5	Montedio
	1 - 4	Montedio
JEF United	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

JEF United's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday morning, not least because Montedio Yamagata have conceded in each of their last 7 J2-League games. A PG of 1.5 for Y. Kobayashi's side suggests that run should continue.

	Montedio 15th	JEF United 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Montedio will score no more than 1 goal	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that JEF United will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+19 Montedio have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted	-10 JEF United’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.7 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season

MON

JEF

27%

better

view stats

Games scored	9		12
Failed to score	5		2
Scored first	6		7
Goals scored	19		28
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.3
Avg. shots per game	4		5
Avg. shots per goal	5		4
Conversion rate for	20		25
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+27%

MON

JEF

better

view stats

Games conceded	9		10
Clean sheets	5		4
Conceded first	5		6
Goals conceded	17		13
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		5
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	14%		11%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+5%

Montedio v JEF United J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Montedio J2-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	8	4	7
L Takae	A Disaro	L Takae	K Nishimura

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Z Issaka MID	22	1	1	3 -
L Takae MID	22		4	2 -
S Kokubu MID	21	4	1	3 -
J Takahashi FWD	21	4		-
T Abe DEF	20	1	1	2 -
K Nishimura DEF	20	2		6 1
A Disaro FWD	20	8	3	3 -
Y Fujimoto FWD	18	3		1 -
S Doi MID	17	2	2	-
S. Horikane FWD	17	2	1	-
R Kida MID	16		1	-
K Sakamoto MID	16	2	1	-
A Kawai DEF	12		1	-
Y Kumamoto DEF	11			-
H Nodake DEF	11		1	1 -
T Heward-Belle GLK	10			-
W Tanaka MID	10		2	2 -
R Terakado GLK	9			-
K Yoshio MID	8			1 -
R Nakamura MID	8		2	-
Y Konishi MID	8		1	3 -
T Yoshida DEF	7			-
K Okamoto DEF	6			-
H Shirowa DEF	6			1 -
T Yamada DEF	4			-
C Kato MID	4		1	-
K Hasegawa GLK	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	10	4	3
A Disaro	J Takahashi	L Takae	L Takae

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Disaro FWD	8	9	3	2
S Kokubu MID	4	8	1	1
J Takahashi FWD	4	10		2
Y Fujimoto FWD	3	5
S Doi MID	2	3	2	1
S. Horikane FWD	2	6	1
K Sakamoto MID	2	6	1	1
K Nishimura DEF	2	2
Z Issaka MID	1	1	1	1
T Abe DEF	1	3	1
R Nakamura MID		1	2	1
C Kato MID			1
Y Konishi MID		1	1
W Tanaka MID		2	2
H Nodake DEF			1	1
L Takae MID		2	4	3
A Kawai DEF		4	1
R Kida MID		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1227	7	121
K Nishimura	H Nodake	K Nishimura

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Nishimura DEF	1227	3	121
L Takae MID	1163	3	60
T Abe DEF	1151	2	105
S Kokubu MID	503	6	73
Y Konishi MID	462		29
H Nodake DEF	431	7	58
W Tanaka MID	415	6	30
A Kawai DEF	408	2	35
S Doi MID	382	2	34
H Shirowa DEF	329	1	45
R Kida MID	308		62
R Terakado GLK	304		8
K Sakamoto MID	301		69
Z Issaka MID	278	4	90
R Nakamura MID	271	3	21
Y Kumamoto DEF	244	1	35
A Disaro FWD	210	4	42
K Okamoto DEF	172	1	27
T Heward-Belle GLK	159
J Takahashi FWD	155		49
Y Fujimoto FWD	149	1	45
T Yoshida DEF	132	3	30
K Yoshio MID	94	3	16
S. Horikane FWD	82	1	49
C Kato MID	60	1	2
K Hasegawa GLK	55	1
T Yamada DEF	39		4

JEF United J2-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	7	4	5
K Toriumi	I Daichi	N Tsubaki	C Junior

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Tsubaki MID	22	2	4	-
K Toriumi DEF	21	1		1 -
I Takahashi MID	21	2	2	2 -
K Tanaka FWD	21	3	2	2 -
M Shinada MID	20		2	4 -
A Yokoyama MID	20	3	2	3 -
D Suzuki DEF	19	1		2 -
I Daichi FWD	19	7	2	2 -
J Suárez GLK	18			-
T Mae DEF	17		1	2 -
C Junior FWD	16	5		4 1
M Hayashi FWD	16		1	-
N Sugiyama MID	15	1		1 -
T Taguchi MID	15		2	2 -
H Goya FWD	15	3		2 -
M Hidaka MID	14		3	-
T. Iwai MID	10			-
T Kawano DEF	9			1 -
Dudu MID	9	2	1	1
T Yasui MID	6	1		-
G. Yoshida MID	5		1	-
R Suzuki GLK	4			-
R Matsuda DEF	4			-
K Yonekura DEF	3			1 -
Derek FWD	3			1 -
Y Ueda DEF	2			-
Y Kobayashi MID	2			-
K Kazama MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	11	4	3
I Daichi	I Daichi	N Tsubaki	K Tanaka

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Daichi FWD	7	11	2
C Junior FWD	5	11
H Goya FWD	3	7
K Tanaka FWD	3	9	2	3
A Yokoyama MID	3	7	2
Dudu MID	2	4	1
N Tsubaki MID	2	6	4	2
I Takahashi MID	2	5	2	1
D Suzuki DEF	1	6
T Yasui MID	1	1
N Sugiyama MID	1	4
K Toriumi DEF	1	3
K Yonekura DEF		2
G. Yoshida MID		1	1
T Kawano DEF		1
T. Iwai MID		1
M Hidaka MID		1	3	1
T Taguchi MID		4	2
M Hayashi FWD		1	1
M Shinada MID		2	2	2
T Mae DEF		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1025	16	112
D Suzuki	T Taguchi	D Suzuki

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Suzuki DEF	1025	11	112
K Toriumi DEF	933	3	92
I Takahashi MID	860	5	106
A Yokoyama MID	634	6	93
M Shinada MID	553	6	47
T Mae DEF	537	2	39
M Hidaka MID	484	1	56
N Tsubaki MID	445		105
T Taguchi MID	358	16	48
K Tanaka FWD	339		98
J Suárez GLK	332		7
I Daichi FWD	309	6	47
Dudu MID	210	3	46
C Junior FWD	161	1	73
T Kawano DEF	135	2	19
N Sugiyama MID	115		38
M Hayashi FWD	94	3	40
T Yasui MID	86	3	7
R Matsuda DEF	78		5
R Suzuki GLK	73		2
H Goya FWD	68	1	33
T. Iwai MID	50	2	15
Derek FWD	14	1	10
G. Yoshida MID	13		5
Y Ueda DEF	9		1
K Yonekura DEF	3		3

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Montedio Yamagata v JEF United : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Montedio v JEF United J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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