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Montedio Yamagata v Sagan Tosu : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 30th Aug, 11:00 BST, ND Soft Stadium Yamagata, Tendo

Akio Kogiku is aiming for a crucial away win in the J2-League on Saturday morning, as he takes his Sagan Tosu side to the ND Soft Stadium Yamagata to visit Montedio Yamagata and Jin Sato. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and pulled out the statistics that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Montedio 32%	-	-
Draw 28%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 40%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 1-0 12%	-	-
Montedio 1-0 11%	-	-
Draw 0-0 10%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 2-1 8%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 2-0 8%	-	-
Montedio 2-1 7%	-	-
Montedio 2-0 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 3-1 3%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 3-0 3%	-	-
Montedio 3-1 3%	-	-
Montedio 3-0 2%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 3-2 2%	-	-
Montedio 3-2 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 45%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	-	-
No 1st Goal 6%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	-	-
BTTS - No 53%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 16%	-	-
Home/draw 60%	-	-
Away/draw 68%	-	-
Home/away 72%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Home DNB 52%	-	-
Away DNB 59%	-	-
Montedio win to nil 19%	-	-
Sagan Tosu win to nil 24%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montedio	1 - 0	Iwaki
Montedio	1 - 2	Mito
Montedio	0 - 1	JEF United
Montedio	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Montedio	3 - 4	Vegalta
Montedio	0 - 4	Ventforet
Montedio	3 - 0	Oita Trinita
Montedio	0 - 1	Sapporo
Montedio	2 - 3	Ehime
Montedio	0 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
Montedio	0 - 0	Tokushima
Montedio	4 - 2	Blaublitz
Montedio	0 - 3	Fagiano
Montedio	4 - 0	JEF United
Montedio	1 - 0	Roasso
Montedio	2 - 0	Renofa
Montedio	4 - 1	TK Gunma
Montedio	1 - 2	Yokohama
Montedio	4 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Montedio	1 - 0	Tokushima

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Montedio	1 - 0	Iwaki
H	Montedio	1 - 2	Mito
A	Montedio	3 - 1	Ventforet
H	Montedio	0 - 1	JEF United
A	Montedio	3 - 1	Ehime
H	Montedio	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
A	Montedio	3 - 2	Blaublitz
H	Montedio	3 - 4	Vegalta
A	Montedio	1 - 2	Fujieda MYFC
H	Montedio	0 - 4	Ventforet
A	Montedio	0 - 1	Renofa
A	Montedio	1 - 1	V-V Nagasaki
H	Montedio	3 - 0	Oita Trinita
H	Montedio	0 - 1	Sapporo
A	Montedio	0 - 0	Kataller Toyama
A	Montedio	1 - 2	Sagan Tosu
H	Montedio	2 - 3	Ehime
A	Montedio	1 - 0	Iwaki
H	Montedio	0 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
A	Montedio	2 - 2	Imabari

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ehime	0 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Sapporo	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
JEF United	0 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Omiya Ardija	0 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Mito	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Blaublitz	1 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Tokushima	0 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Oita Trinita	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
V-V Nagasaki	0 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Roasso	3 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Iwaki	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Nagoya	0 - 3	Sagan Tosu
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Tokyo	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Tokyo Verdy	2 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Kawasaki	3 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Vissel Kobe	2 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Sapporo	5 - 3	Sagan Tosu
Kashima	3 - 0	Sagan Tosu

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Ehime
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Sapporo
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Oita Trinita
A	Sagan Tosu	2 - 0	JEF United
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Iwaki
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 0	Omiya Ardija
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Mito
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 2	Ehime
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Sapporo
A	Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Blaublitz
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 0	Ventforet
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Tokushima
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	JEF United
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Oita Trinita
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Montedio
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 2	Renofa
A	Sagan Tosu	2 - 0	V-V Nagasaki
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 3	Roasso

Goal Statistics

Sagan Tosu's defensive record is very strong, Akio Kogiku's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive J2-League games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Montedio Yamagata makes sense in this context.

	Montedio 14th	Sagan Tosu 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Montedio will score no more than 1 goal	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Sagan Tosu will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+15 Montedio have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted	-14 Sagan Tosu have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season

MON

SAG

better

view stats

Games scored	15		17
Failed to score	8		6
Scored first	9		14
Goals scored	31		25
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1
Avg. shots per game	6		6
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate for	19		15
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+1%

MON

SAG

31%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		14
Clean sheets	5		9
Conceded first	11		7
Goals conceded	35		21
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	17%		13%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+31%

Montedio v Sagan Tosu J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Montedio J2-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	8	4	7
S Kokubu	A Disaro	L Takae	K Nishimura

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Kokubu MID	25	4	2	3 -
J Takahashi FWD	25	5		-
A Disaro FWD	24	8	3	3 -
T Abe DEF	23	1	1	3 -
Z Issaka MID	23	1	1	3 -
S Doi MID	22	3	2	-
L Takae MID	22		4	2 -
S. Horikane FWD	21	3	1	1 -
K Nishimura DEF	20	2		6 1
R Kida MID	20	1	4	1 -
K Sakamoto MID	20	3	1	-
Y Fujimoto FWD	19	3		1 -
A Kawai DEF	16	1	1	1 -
H Nodake DEF	15		2	1 -
T Heward-Belle GLK	14			-
W Tanaka MID	13		2	3 -
Y Kumamoto DEF	12			1 -
R Nakamura MID	12		2	1 -
H Shirowa DEF	10			2 -
Y Konishi MID	10		1	3 -
R Terakado GLK	9			-
T Yoshida DEF	8			-
K Yoshio MID	8			1 -
K Okamoto DEF	6			-
T Yamada DEF	4			-
C Kato MID	4		1	-
K Hasegawa GLK	3			-
T Terayama MID	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	13	4	3
A Disaro	A Disaro	L Takae	L Takae

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Disaro FWD	8	13	3	2
J Takahashi FWD	5	12		2
S Kokubu MID	4	9	2	1
S Doi MID	3	6	2	2
S. Horikane FWD	3	7	1
K Sakamoto MID	3	9	1	1
Y Fujimoto FWD	3	5
K Nishimura DEF	2	2
T Abe DEF	1	3	1
Z Issaka MID	1	1	1	1
R Kida MID	1	5	4
A Kawai DEF	1	4	1
L Takae MID		2	4	3
H Nodake DEF			2	1
W Tanaka MID		2	2
R Nakamura MID		1	2	1
Y Konishi MID		1	1
C Kato MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1366	8	121
T Abe	W Tanaka	K Nishimura

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Abe DEF	1366	2	119
K Nishimura DEF	1227	3	121
L Takae MID	1163	3	60
S Kokubu MID	597	7	88
A Kawai DEF	583	3	49
H Nodake DEF	570	7	69
W Tanaka MID	538	8	41
H Shirowa DEF	517	1	53
R Nakamura MID	497	6	53
Y Konishi MID	466		31
S Doi MID	465	3	43
R Kida MID	451		96
K Sakamoto MID	388		87
R Terakado GLK	304		8
Z Issaka MID	285	4	91
A Disaro FWD	262	4	56
Y Kumamoto DEF	244	1	35
T Heward-Belle GLK	238
K Okamoto DEF	215	1	33
J Takahashi FWD	176		58
T Yoshida DEF	168	3	37
Y Fujimoto FWD	149	1	45
K Yoshio MID	111	3	19
S. Horikane FWD	94	1	53
C Kato MID	60	1	2
K Hasegawa GLK	55	1
T Yamada DEF	39		4
T Terayama MID	20		3

Sagan Tosu J2-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	5	3	5
S Ogawa	H Yamada	H Arai	V Slivka

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Ogawa DEF	26			3 -
T. Inoue DEF	26	2		1 -
H Arai MID	26	2	3	-
T Sakurai MID	25		2	-
K. Nishiya MID	25	1		1 -
V Slivka MID	25	2	2	5 -
J Nishikawa FWD	24	2	1	2 -
R. Izumori GLK	22			-
S. Shinkawa MID	22	1		-
R Morishita DEF	21	1		3 -
K Nishizawa MID	20	2	2	2 -
N Matsumoto MID	17			-
Y Horigome MID	17			1 -
D Suzuki FWD	15			1 -
M Uehara DEF	14			-
H Yamada FWD	14	5		2 -
S Nagasawa DEF	13	2	1	1 -
S Hino MID	12	1	1	-
Y Imazu DEF	11	2		1
E Matsuda FWD	10			-
N Sakai FWD	6			-
H Yang GLK	5			-
F. Kitajima DEF	4		1	-
K. Sakaiya MID	4	1		-
Jô FWD	4		1	-
T Ando DEF	3			-
Y Narahara MID	1			-
R. Watanabe MID	1			1 -
F Honda MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	3	2
H Yamada	H Yamada	H Arai	V Slivka

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Yamada FWD	5	11
T. Inoue DEF	2	5
H Arai MID	2	5	3	1
V Slivka MID	2	7	2	2
J Nishikawa FWD	2	3	1	1
K Nishizawa MID	2	9	2
S Nagasawa DEF	2	3	1	2
Y Imazu DEF	2	3
K. Nishiya MID	1	5
S. Shinkawa MID	1	6
R Morishita DEF	1	1
S Hino MID	1	3	1	1
K. Sakaiya MID	1	1
S Ogawa DEF		3		1
T Sakurai MID		3	2
N Matsumoto MID		1
Y Horigome MID		1
D Suzuki FWD		2
M Uehara DEF		2
N Sakai FWD		1
F. Kitajima DEF			1
Jô FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1324	8	174
T. Inoue	N Matsumoto	H Arai

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T. Inoue DEF	1324	5	121
S Ogawa DEF	1254		149
R Morishita DEF	1099	3	137
T Sakurai MID	960	2	45
K. Nishiya MID	911	3	91
V Slivka MID	623	2	157
H Arai MID	571	3	174
R. Izumori GLK	551		20
J Nishikawa FWD	469	1	62
N Matsumoto MID	442	8	46
K Nishizawa MID	425	1	68
Y Imazu DEF	259		33
S Nagasawa DEF	240		50
Y Horigome MID	194	1	11
M Uehara DEF	188		25
E Matsuda FWD	182	1	33
H Yamada FWD	171	2	56
H Yang GLK	104		5
S Hino MID	98	3	25
S. Shinkawa MID	84		48
D Suzuki FWD	54	2	36
F. Kitajima DEF	54		4
T Ando DEF	48		3
N Sakai FWD	47		32
K. Sakaiya MID	42		6
R. Watanabe MID	22	1	3
F Honda MID	8		1
Jô FWD	4		8