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Oita Trinita v Sagan Tosu : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ōita Bank Dome, Oita

Oita Trinita are in J2-League action on Tuesday morning, as Tomohiro Katanosaka looks to get one over on Akio Kogiku and his Sagan Tosu side at the Ōita Bank Dome. Analysing both teams' last 20 J2-League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Oita Trinita's next match is v Montedio at 06:00 on Tuesday 6th May
Sagan Tosu's next match is v Tokushima at 07:50 on Tuesday 6th May
The last Japanese J2-League meeting between Oita Trinita and Sagan Tosu was on Tuesday 29th April 2025
Japanese J2-League
April 29th 2025
Oita Trinita 1
0 Sagan Tosu
 
N. Nomura 13'
 
OIT
SAG
Shots On
5
2
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
7
7
Possession
43%
57%
Fouls
5
2
 
Oita TrinitaSagan Tosu
 
T. Hamada
D. de Oliveira Bento
M. Yoshida (I. Tone 90')
M. Sousa Pereira
J. Nodake
K. Sakakibara
N. Nomurafootball icon (R. Ikeda 74')
T. Amagasa
S. Utsumoto (Y. Kagawa 89')
K. Isa (Y. Yashiki 74')
K. Arima (A. Kozakai 89')
R. Izumori
(E. Matsuda 46') M. Uehara
R. Morishita
S. Ogawa
T. Inoue
(Y. Horigome 64') K. Nishiya
H. Arai
(S. Hino 74') V. Slivka
(T. Sakurai 46') N. Matsumoto
(S. Shinkawa 46') D. Suzuki
J. Nishikawa

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Tomohiro Katanosaka and Akio Kogiku to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Oita Trinita and Sagan Tosu go head-to-head. The stats belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.53 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Oita Trinita are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Oita Trinita
40%
13/8
3%
-
Draw
31%
11/5-
Sagan Tosu
29%
13/8
3%
-
Oita Trinita 1-0
16%
6/1-
Draw 0-0
15%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Sagan Tosu 1-0
12%
6/1-
Oita Trinita 2-0
8%
11/1-
Oita Trinita 2-1
7%
10/1-
Sagan Tosu 2-1
6%
10/1-
Sagan Tosu 2-0
5%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1-
Oita Trinita 3-0
3%
25/1-
Oita Trinita 3-1
3%
25/1-
Sagan Tosu 3-1
2%
25/1-
Sagan Tosu 3-0
2%
25/1-
Oita Trinita 3-2
1%
40/1-
Sagan Tosu 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
7/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
70%
8/15-
Home 1st Goal
48%
21/20-
Away 1st Goal
42%
21/20-
No 1st Goal
10%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
38%
11/10-
BTTS - No
62%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
11/2-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
11/2-
Home/draw
71%
4/9-
Away/draw
60%
4/9-
Home/away
69%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
4/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
43%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
4/1
11%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
87%
1/6
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
25/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
85%
1/12
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
15%
7/1
14%
-
Home DNB
62%
5/6-
Away DNB
51%
5/6-
Oita Trinita win to nil
28%
3/1-
Sagan Tosu win to nil
20%
3/1-
Oita Trinita / Oita Trinita
19%
7/2-
Oita Trinita / Sagan Tosu
2%
33/1-
Oita Trinita / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Oita Trinita
14%
5/1-
Draw / Sagan Tosu
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Sagan Tosu / Oita Trinita
2%
33/1-
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu
19%
7/2-
Sagan Tosu / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Oita Trinita 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Oita Trinita1 - 1Tokushima
Oita Trinita1 - 1Fujieda MYFC
Oita Trinita0 - 0Mito
Oita Trinita0 - 0Iwaki
Oita Trinita2 - 0Sapporo
Oita Trinita2 - 1TK Gunma
Oita Trinita0 - 0Mito
Oita Trinita2 - 0Fujieda MYFC
Oita Trinita0 - 3Montedio
Oita Trinita0 - 2JEF United
Oita Trinita2 - 1Roasso
Oita Trinita0 - 2Shimizu
Oita Trinita0 - 0Ventforet
Oita Trinita0 - 2Tochigi
Oita Trinita1 - 2Tokushima
Oita Trinita0 - 0Renofa
Oita Trinita2 - 2Ehime
Oita Trinita0 - 0V-V Nagasaki
Oita Trinita0 - 2Iwaki
Oita Trinita1 - 3Blaublitz
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AOita Trinita3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
AOita Trinita0 - 1JEF United
HOita Trinita1 - 1Tokushima
AOita Trinita2 - 2Omiya Ardija
AOita Trinita1 - 0Ehime
HOita Trinita1 - 1Fujieda MYFC
AOita Trinita1 - 1Renofa
HOita Trinita0 - 0Mito
AOita Trinita0 - 2Vegalta
HOita Trinita0 - 0Iwaki
HOita Trinita2 - 0Sapporo
AOita Trinita1 - 2Vegalta
HOita Trinita2 - 1TK Gunma
AOita Trinita2 - 0Blaublitz
HOita Trinita0 - 0Mito
AOita Trinita1 - 4V-V Nagasaki
HOita Trinita2 - 0Fujieda MYFC
AOita Trinita1 - 1Yokohama
AOita Trinita1 - 3Tokushima
HOita Trinita0 - 3Montedio
Sagan Tosu 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V-V Nagasaki0 - 2Sagan Tosu
Roasso3 - 1Sagan Tosu
Iwaki1 - 1Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata1 - 0Sagan Tosu
Nagoya0 - 3Sagan Tosu
Kyoto Sanga2 - 0Sagan Tosu
Tokyo1 - 1Sagan Tosu
Tokyo Verdy2 - 0Sagan Tosu
Kawasaki3 - 2Sagan Tosu
Vissel Kobe2 - 0Sagan Tosu
Sapporo5 - 3Sagan Tosu
Kashima3 - 0Sagan Tosu
Albirex3 - 4Sagan Tosu
Yokohama FM0 - 1Sagan Tosu
Cerezo1 - 0Sagan Tosu
Avispa2 - 0Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata0 - 3Sagan Tosu
Shonan2 - 1Sagan Tosu
Kashiwa1 - 1Sagan Tosu
Gamba Osaka2 - 1Sagan Tosu
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSagan Tosu2 - 1Montedio
HSagan Tosu2 - 2Renofa
ASagan Tosu2 - 0V-V Nagasaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Fujieda MYFC
ASagan Tosu1 - 3Roasso
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Kataller Toyama
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Omiya Ardija
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Iwaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
ASagan Tosu0 - 1Jubilo Iwata
HSagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
HSagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
ASagan Tosu3 - 0Nagoya
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
HSagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Kyoto Sanga
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Tokyo
HSagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
ASagan Tosu2 - 3Kawasaki
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Oita Trinita have drawn with Sagan Tosu in 3 consecutive league meetings
6
Oita Trinita have not lost to Sagan Tosu in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Oita Trinita since 2019
Oita Trinita
Sagan Tosu
Goals: Scored
5
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
OIT
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Oita Trinita
Draw1 - 1Draw
Oita Trinita2 - 0
Oita Trinita2 - 0
League games at Sagan Tosu since 2019
Sagan Tosu
Oita Trinita
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sagan Tosu
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics
Oita Trinita 6th Sagan Tosu 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Oita Trinita will score no more than 1 goal
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Sagan Tosu scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-39
Oita Trinita have scored 39% fewer goals at home than predicted
+6
Sagan Tosu’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289416/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Oita Trinita
PG (predicted goals)
Sagan Tosu
1.1
0.9
Attack rating
OIT
SAG
18%
better
view stats
Games scored7
9
Failed to score4
2
Scored first5
7
Goals scored11
12
Avg. goals scored1
1.1
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
21%
better
OIT
SAG
view stats
Games conceded6
7
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded8
13
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+21%

Oita Trinita v Sagan Tosu J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Oita Trinita J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13322
T HamadaK ArimaDerlanM Pereira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Hamada GLK13
-
M Yoshida DEF131
-
J Nodake DEF10
-
M Pereira DEF11
2
-
Derlan DEF1312
2
-
S Utsumoto MID1112
-
K Sakakibara MID131
1
-
T Amagasa MID13
2
-
N Nomura MID122
1
-
K Isa FWD102
-
K Arima FWD1331
1
-
Subs
M Gun GLK
-
Y Kagawa DEF4
-
I Tone DEF4
-
R Ikeda MID8
-
A. Kozakai MID4
-
T. Kimoto MID31
-
S Ayukawa  FWD91
-
H. Kim FWD2
-
Y Yashiki FWD6
-
Sagan Tosu J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13223
R MorishitaT. InoueT SakuraiR Morishita
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R. Izumori GLK9
-
T. Inoue DEF132
1
-
R Morishita DEF13
3
-
S Ogawa DEF13
2
-
M Uehara MID9
-
K. Nishiya MID131
1
-
N Matsumoto MID6
-
H Arai MID131
-
J Nishikawa MID112
2
-
V Slivka MID1311
2
-
D Suzuki FWD4
1
-
Subs
K Uchiyama GLK
-
Y Imazu DEF4
-
F. Kitajima DEF31
-
S Hino MID711
-
E Matsuda MID9
-
T Sakurai MID132
-
Y Horigome MID12
-
S. Shinkawa MID12
-
K Nishizawa MID711
1
-