Sagan Tosu's team badge Montedio Yamagata's team badge

Sagan Tosu v Montedio Yamagata : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu), Tosu

Home advantage makes a difference in the J2-League, and Akio Kogiku’s Sagan Tosu will have the blessing of it on Friday morning. Susumu Watanabe’s Montedio Yamagata are their visitors to the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu). Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.

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Sagan Tosu's next match is v Tokushima at 07:50 on Tuesday 6th May
Montedio Yamagata's next match is v Oita Trinita at 06:00 on Tuesday 6th May
The last Japanese J2-League meeting between Sagan Tosu and Montedio was on Friday 25th April 2025
Japanese J2-League
April 25th 2025
Sagan Tosu 2
1 Montedio
 
T. Inoue 19'90' S. Horikane
J. Nishikawa 31'
 
SAG
MON
Shots On
3
1
Shots Off
3
4
Corners
6
6
Possession
47%
53%
Fouls
8
16
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
Sagan TosuMontedio
 
R. Izumori
R. Morishita
S. Ogawa
T. Inouefootball icon
T. Sakurai (N. Matsumoto 63')
K. Nishiya
H. Arai (Y. Imazu 87')
S. Shinkawa (D. Suzuki 63')
V. Slivka
E. Matsuda (M. Uehara 63')
J. Nishikawafootball icon (Y. Horigome 79')
R. Terakado
K. Nishimura
T. Abe
(A. Kawai 46') T. Yamada
(Y. Fujimoto 46') H. Nodake
K. Yoshio
(J. Takahashi 68') S. Doi
K. Sakamoto
C. Kato
L. Takae
(Z. Issaka 78') A. Disaro

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Sagan Tosu and Montedio have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday morning, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sagan Tosu are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sagan Tosu
37%
5/4
17%
-
Draw
26%
12/5-
Montedio
37%
2/1
20%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Sagan Tosu 1-0
10%
7/1
11%
-
Montedio 1-0
10%
17/2
6%
-
Sagan Tosu 2-1
8%
17/2
5%
-
Montedio 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
9%
-
Sagan Tosu 2-0
6%
10/1
15%
-
Montedio 2-0
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
-
Sagan Tosu 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
-
Montedio 3-1
4%
22/1
10%
-
Sagan Tosu 3-0
3%
20/1
19%
-
Montedio 3-0
3%
33/1
48%
-
Sagan Tosu 3-2
2%
28/1-
Montedio 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
8/11
18%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
5/4
23%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5
4%
-
BTTS - No
47%
10/11
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
15/4
14%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5/1
20%
-
Home/draw
63%
4/11
9%
-
Away/draw
63%
8/13
13%
-
Home/away
74%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
3/10
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/5
3%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
5/2
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
2/7
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/10
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Home DNB
56%
8/13
15%
-
Away DNB
55%
6/5
22%
-
Sagan Tosu win to nil
20%
11/4
17%
-
Montedio win to nil
20%
9/2
27%
-
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu
22%
11/4
17%
-
Sagan Tosu / Montedio
3%
28/1
12%
-
Sagan Tosu / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Sagan Tosu
15%
9/2
15%
-
Draw / Montedio
12%
6/1
17%
-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1-
Montedio / Sagan Tosu
3%
25/1-
Montedio / Montedio
17%
4/1
25%
-
Montedio / Draw
5%
14/1
15%
-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Sagan Tosu 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sagan Tosu2 - 2Renofa
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Fujieda MYFC
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Kataller Toyama
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Omiya Ardija
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
Sagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
Sagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
Sagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
Sagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
Sagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
Sagan Tosu1 - 1Urawa Reds
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Hiroshima
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Kashiwa
Sagan Tosu3 - 0Kyoto Sanga
Sagan Tosu0 - 1Tokyo
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Nagoya
Sagan Tosu5 - 2Kawasaki
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSagan Tosu2 - 2Renofa
ASagan Tosu2 - 0V-V Nagasaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Fujieda MYFC
ASagan Tosu1 - 3Roasso
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Kataller Toyama
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Omiya Ardija
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Iwaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
ASagan Tosu0 - 1Jubilo Iwata
HSagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
HSagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
ASagan Tosu3 - 0Nagoya
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
HSagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Kyoto Sanga
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Tokyo
HSagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
ASagan Tosu2 - 3Kawasaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
Montedio 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Iwaki0 - 1Montedio
Imabari2 - 2Montedio
Roasso1 - 3Montedio
JEF United3 - 2Montedio
Mito1 - 0Montedio
Omiya Ardija2 - 1Montedio
Mito1 - 3Montedio
Shimizu1 - 2Montedio
Ventforet1 - 2Montedio
Ehime1 - 3Montedio
Oita Trinita0 - 3Montedio
Fujieda MYFC0 - 1Montedio
Fagiano1 - 1Montedio
Blaublitz0 - 3Montedio
Kagoshima2 - 1Montedio
TK Gunma0 - 0Montedio
Roasso0 - 1Montedio
Renofa2 - 0Montedio
Tokushima2 - 1Montedio
Vegalta2 - 0Montedio
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMontedio2 - 3Ehime
AMontedio1 - 0Iwaki
HMontedio0 - 0Jubilo Iwata
AMontedio2 - 2Imabari
HMontedio0 - 0Tokushima
AMontedio3 - 1Roasso
HMontedio4 - 2Blaublitz
AMontedio2 - 3JEF United
AMontedio0 - 1Mito
AMontedio1 - 2Omiya Ardija
HMontedio0 - 3Fagiano
HMontedio4 - 0JEF United
AMontedio3 - 1Mito
HMontedio1 - 0Roasso
AMontedio2 - 1Shimizu
HMontedio2 - 0Renofa
AMontedio2 - 1Ventforet
AMontedio3 - 1Ehime
HMontedio4 - 1TK Gunma
AMontedio3 - 0Oita Trinita
Goal Statistics
Sagan Tosu 8th Montedio 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Sagan Tosu will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Montedio will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Sagan Tosu’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+18
Montedio have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289408/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sagan Tosu
PG (predicted goals)
Montedio
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
SAG
MON
4%
better
view stats
Games scored8
7
Failed to score2
3
Scored first6
5
Goals scored10
15
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
22
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
6%
better
SAG
MON
view stats
Games conceded6
7
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded12
14
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+6%

Sagan Tosu v Montedio J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sagan Tosu J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13223
S OgawaT. InoueT SakuraiR Morishita
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R. Izumori GLK9
-
S Ogawa DEF13
2
-
R Morishita DEF13
3
-
T. Inoue DEF132
1
-
E Matsuda MID9
-
K. Nishiya MID131
1
-
T Sakurai MID132
-
H Arai MID131
-
J Nishikawa MID112
2
-
V Slivka MID1311
2
-
S. Shinkawa MID12
-
Subs
K Uchiyama GLK
-
Y Imazu DEF4
-
S Nagasawa DEF2
-
F. Kitajima DEF31
-
N Matsumoto MID6
-
S Hino MID711
-
Y Horigome MID12
-
M Uehara MID9
-
D Suzuki FWD4
1
-
Montedio J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13333
T AbeA DisaroA DisaroK Nishimura
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Terakado GLK8
-
T Yamada DEF4
-
K Nishimura DEF12
3
-
T Abe DEF1311
1
-
H Nodake DEF111
1
-
C Kato MID41
-
L Takae MID13
2
-
K Yoshio MID6
1
-
S Doi MID1321
-
K Sakamoto MID7
-
A Disaro FWD1233
2
-
Subs
T Heward-Belle GLK3
-
Y Kumamoto DEF6
-
A Kawai DEF6
-
Y Konishi MID1
-
S Kokubu MID123
2
-
Z Issaka MID1311
2
-
J Takahashi FWD122
-
Y Fujimoto FWD101
1
-
S. Horikane FWD1021
-