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Sagan Tosu v V-Varen Nagasaki : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th Aug, 11:00 BST, Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu), Tosu

Sunday morning sees Akio Kogiku’s Sagan Tosu and Takuya Takagi’s V-Varen Nagasaki go up against one another in a J2-League battle at the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu). Analysing both clubs' last 20 J2-League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Sagan Tosu 44%	-	-
Draw 25%	-	-
V-V Nagasaki 31%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 1-0 10%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 2-1 9%	-	-
V-V Nagasaki 1-0 8%	-	-
V-V Nagasaki 2-1 7%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 2-0 7%	-	-
Draw 0-0 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 6%	-	-
V-V Nagasaki 2-0 5%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 3-1 5%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 3-0 4%	-	-
V-V Nagasaki 3-1 3%	-	-
Sagan Tosu 3-2 3%	-	-
V-V Nagasaki 3-2 2%	-	-
V-V Nagasaki 3-0 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	-	-
No 1st Goal 4%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	-	-
BTTS - No 44%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 21%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	-	-
Home/draw 69%	-	-
Away/draw 56%	-	-
Home/away 75%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	-
Home DNB 62%	-	-
Away DNB 48%	-	-
Sagan Tosu win to nil 23%	-	-
V-V Nagasaki win to nil 15%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Sagan Tosu have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Oita Trinita
Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Iwaki
Sagan Tosu	2 - 2	Ehime
Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Sapporo
Sagan Tosu	0 - 0	Ventforet
Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	JEF United
Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Montedio
Sagan Tosu	2 - 2	Renofa
Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Kataller Toyama
Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Omiya Ardija
Sagan Tosu	1 - 4	Imabari
Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Vegalta
Sagan Tosu	3 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu	1 - 2	Yokohama FM
Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Machida
Sagan Tosu	0 - 0	Avispa
Sagan Tosu	1 - 2	Shonan
Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	Urawa Reds
Sagan Tosu	1 - 4	Hiroshima

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Sapporo
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Oita Trinita
A	Sagan Tosu	2 - 0	JEF United
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Iwaki
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 0	Omiya Ardija
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Mito
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 2	Ehime
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Sapporo
A	Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Blaublitz
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 0	Ventforet
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Tokushima
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	JEF United
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Oita Trinita
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Montedio
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 2	Renofa
A	Sagan Tosu	2 - 0	V-V Nagasaki
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 3	Roasso
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Kataller Toyama
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Omiya Ardija

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Iwaki	1 - 1	V-V Nagasaki
Montedio	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Roasso	1 - 3	V-V Nagasaki
Mito	3 - 0	V-V Nagasaki
Oita Trinita	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Kataller Toyama	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Sapporo	2 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Ventforet	1 - 1	V-V Nagasaki
Imabari	4 - 1	V-V Nagasaki
Fujieda MYFC	3 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Vegalta	1 - 1	V-V Nagasaki
Renofa	2 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
JEF United	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Blaublitz	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Fagiano	1 - 0	V-V Nagasaki
Iwaki	0 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Shimizu	1 - 1	V-V Nagasaki
Montedio	4 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Yokohama	0 - 0	V-V Nagasaki
Ventforet	2 - 2	V-V Nagasaki

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	V-V Nagasaki	0 - 0	Vegalta
A	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 1	Iwaki
H	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 0	Oita Trinita
A	V-V Nagasaki	2 - 1	Montedio
A	V-V Nagasaki	3 - 1	Roasso
H	V-V Nagasaki	3 - 3	Omiya Ardija
A	V-V Nagasaki	0 - 3	Mito
H	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 0	JEF United
A	V-V Nagasaki	2 - 1	Oita Trinita
H	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 1	Montedio
A	V-V Nagasaki	2 - 1	Kataller Toyama
H	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 1	Ehime
A	V-V Nagasaki	2 - 2	Sapporo
H	V-V Nagasaki	3 - 4	Iwaki
A	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 1	Ventforet
H	V-V Nagasaki	0 - 2	Sagan Tosu
A	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 4	Imabari
A	V-V Nagasaki	2 - 3	Fujieda MYFC
H	V-V Nagasaki	5 - 1	Blaublitz
H	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 0	Tokushima

Goal Statistics

Sagan Tosu's defensive record is very strong, Akio Kogiku's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive J2-League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for V-Varen Nagasaki makes sense in this context.

	Sagan Tosu 7th	V-V Nagasaki 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Sagan Tosu will score 1 or more goals	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that V-V Nagasaki will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Sagan Tosu’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+5 V-V Nagasaki’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season

SAG

VVN

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	17		21
Failed to score	6		2
Scored first	14		11
Goals scored	25		39
Avg. goals scored	1		1.6
Avg. shots per game	7		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	15		17
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+22%

35%

better

SAG

VVN

view stats

Games conceded	14		19
Clean sheets	9		4
Conceded first	7		12
Goals conceded	21		35
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		5
Conversion rate against	13%		22%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+35%

Sagan Tosu v V-V Nagasaki J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sagan Tosu J2-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	4	2	4
S Ogawa	H Yamada	H Arai	V Slivka

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Ogawa DEF	24			3 -
T. Inoue DEF	24	2		1 -
H Arai MID	24	2	2	-
K. Nishiya MID	24	1		1 -
V Slivka MID	23	2	2	4 -
T Sakurai MID	23		2	-
J Nishikawa FWD	22	2	1	2 -
R Morishita DEF	21	1		3 -
R. Izumori GLK	20			-
S. Shinkawa MID	20	1		-
K Nishizawa MID	18	1	2	2 -
Y Horigome MID	17			1 -
N Matsumoto MID	15			-
M Uehara DEF	14			-
D Suzuki FWD	14			1 -
H Yamada FWD	12	4		2 -
S Nagasawa DEF	11	2	1	1 -
S Hino MID	11	1	1	-
Y Imazu DEF	10	2		1
E Matsuda FWD	10			-
H Yang GLK	5			-
N Sakai FWD	5			-
F. Kitajima DEF	4		1	-
K. Sakaiya MID	4	1		-
Jô FWD	4		1	-
T Ando DEF	3			-
F Honda MID	1			-
Y Narahara MID	1			-
R. Watanabe MID	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	9	2	2
H Yamada	H Yamada	H Arai	V Slivka

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Yamada FWD	4	9
T. Inoue DEF	2	4
H Arai MID	2	4	2	1
V Slivka MID	2	6	2	2
J Nishikawa FWD	2	3	1	1
S Nagasawa DEF	2	2	1	2
Y Imazu DEF	2	3
K. Nishiya MID	1	5
R Morishita DEF	1	1
S. Shinkawa MID	1	5
K Nishizawa MID	1	8	2
S Hino MID	1	3	1	1
K. Sakaiya MID	1	1
S Ogawa DEF		3		1
T Sakurai MID		3	2
Y Horigome MID		1
N Matsumoto MID		1
M Uehara DEF		2
D Suzuki FWD		1
F. Kitajima DEF			1
Jô FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1232	7	167
T. Inoue	N Matsumoto	H Arai

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T. Inoue DEF	1232	5	106
S Ogawa DEF	1173		141
R Morishita DEF	1099	3	137
T Sakurai MID	892	2	41
K. Nishiya MID	886	3	87
V Slivka MID	560	2	144
R. Izumori GLK	535		17
H Arai MID	531	3	167
J Nishikawa FWD	434	1	51
N Matsumoto MID	396	7	38
K Nishizawa MID	380	1	62
Y Imazu DEF	259		33
Y Horigome MID	194	1	11
S Nagasawa DEF	186		31
M Uehara DEF	183		25
E Matsuda FWD	182	1	33
H Yamada FWD	157	2	40
H Yang GLK	104		5
S Hino MID	98	3	25
S. Shinkawa MID	80		44
F. Kitajima DEF	54		4
T Ando DEF	48		3
D Suzuki FWD	45	1	33
K. Sakaiya MID	42		6
N Sakai FWD	29		21
R. Watanabe MID	22	1	3
Jô FWD	4		8

V-V Nagasaki J2-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
24	10	5	4
M Jesus	M Jesus	A Masuyama	J Delgado

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Jesus MID	24	10	3	2 -
A Masuyama MID	22	5	5	2 -
M Goto GLK	21			2 -
S Yoneda DEF	20	3	4	3 -
M Guilherme MID	20	3	4	-
H Teruyama DEF	18			3 -
H Yamaguchi MID	18	1	3	-
K Takahata DEF	17		2	-
M Sekiguchi DEF	17	1	1	1 -
J Delgado FWD	16	7	1	3 1
R Yamasaki FWD	16	2		2 -
I Arai DEF	15			1 -
T. Matsumoto MID	15	1	1	1 -
T Sawada MID	15	1		1 -
K Kushibiki DEF	14			3 -
T Abe MID	13	1		1 -
T Kasayanagi MID	13	1	2	-
K Matsuzawa FWD	13		2	-
S. Aoki MID	11	1		-
Eduardo DEF	10	1		1 -
R Yamada MID	10			1 -
T Nagura MID	9			1 -
M Kato MID	9		1	-
E Junio FWD	7	1		-
Y Egawa DEF	6			2 -
G Harada GLK	3			-
R Iio DEF	3			-
E Deocleciano MID	3			-
H Onaga MID	1			-
S Joppu FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	26	5	7
M Jesus	M Jesus	A Masuyama	A Masuyama

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Jesus MID	10	26	3	1
J Delgado FWD	7	17	1
A Masuyama MID	5	11	5	7
S Yoneda DEF	3	4	4	3
M Guilherme MID	3	9	4	1
R Yamasaki FWD	2	5
H Yamaguchi MID	1	4	3	2
M Sekiguchi DEF	1	1	1	1
T. Matsumoto MID	1	2	1	1
T Sawada MID	1	2
T Abe MID	1	3		1
T Kasayanagi MID	1	6	2
S. Aoki MID	1	3
Eduardo DEF	1	2
E Junio FWD	1	5
H Teruyama DEF		3
K Takahata DEF		1	2
K Matsuzawa FWD		4	2	2
R Yamada MID		1
T Nagura MID		4
M Kato MID		1	1
Y Egawa DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1004	11	212
H Teruyama	M Sekiguchi	M Jesus

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Teruyama DEF	1004	9	119
K Takahata DEF	823	6	49
H Yamaguchi MID	785	3	26
M Goto GLK	707	1	10
M Jesus MID	700	4	212
K Kushibiki DEF	674	2	71
I Arai DEF	669	3	65
Eduardo DEF	664	5	52
M Sekiguchi DEF	584	11	48
M Guilherme MID	525	1	41
S Yoneda DEF	496	4	76
T Abe MID	478	10	40
A Masuyama MID	454		138
R Yamada MID	436	3	40
T. Matsumoto MID	402	4	47
M Kato MID	278	2	31
J Delgado FWD	189		89
Y Egawa DEF	171		29
R Yamasaki FWD	153	2	45
T Sawada MID	147	5	35
K Matsuzawa FWD	140		62
G Harada GLK	126		3
T Nagura MID	124	1	28
S. Aoki MID	104	1	24
T Kasayanagi MID	95	2	31
E Junio FWD	67	1	22
E Deocleciano MID	58	1	8
R Iio DEF	2		1