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Guadalajara v Cruz Azul : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 26th Nov, 13:00 BST, Estadio AKRON, Zapopan

The Liga MX is the focus for both Guadalajara and Cruz Azul on Wednesday afternoon, as bosses Gabriel Alejandro Milito and Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón battle it out at the Estadio AKRON. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 major markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Cruz Azul and Guadalajara fans should get a chance to celebrate as their sides go head-to-head, with our prediction of both teams to score looking a far stronger pick than any bet on the WDW market. The two clubs have goals in them, as is borne out by the stats and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookies odds are not finding real separation between the sides, as striking power and defensive options suggest each team is capable of both scoring and conceding. Both teams to score is the tip of the day here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Guadalajara are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Guadalajara
40%
2.20-
Draw
24%
3.50-
Cruz Azul
36%
2.87-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.00-
Guadalajara 2-1
9%
9.00-
Cruz Azul 2-1
8%
11.00-
Guadalajara 1-0
7%
9.50-
Cruz Azul 1-0
7%
11.00-
Draw 2-2
7%
13.00-
Guadalajara 2-0
6%
12.00-
Cruz Azul 2-0
5%
17.00-
Guadalajara 3-1
5%
17.00-
Draw 0-0
4%
13.00-
Cruz Azul 3-1
4%
21.00-
Guadalajara 3-2
4%
23.00-
Cruz Azul 3-2
3%
26.00-
Guadalajara 3-0
3%
21.00-
Cruz Azul 3-0
3%
29.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.73-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.08-
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.80-
Away 1st Goal
48%
2.05-
No 1st Goal
2%
13.00-
BTTS - Yes
63%
1.62-
BTTS - No
37%
2.20-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
4.00-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
5.00-
Home/draw
64%
1.40-
Away/draw
60%
1.62-
Home/away
76%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.22-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
2.75-
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1.40-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
5.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.14-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.04-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
13.00-
Home DNB
57%
1.67-
Away DNB
53%
2.10-
Guadalajara win to nil
18%
4.33-
Cruz Azul win to nil
16%
5.50-
Guadalajara / Guadalajara
23%
3.60-
Guadalajara / Cruz Azul
3%
26.00-
Guadalajara / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Guadalajara
14%
6.00-
Draw / Cruz Azul
12%
7.00-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00-
Cruz Azul / Guadalajara
4%
23.00-
Cruz Azul / Cruz Azul
18%
4.75-
Cruz Azul / Draw
6%
13.00-
Win / draw / win form
4
Guadalajara have won 4 consecutive home league games
Guadalajara 6TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Cruz Azul 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Cruz Azul have beaten Guadalajara in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Guadalajara since 2018
Guadalajara
Cruz Azul
Goals: Scored
6
10
Games: Scored
5 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
3 / 8
GUA
2
D
1
CAZ
5
League games at Cruz Azul since 2019
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara
Goals: Scored
8
4
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
GUA
2
D
1
CAZ
4
Goal Statistics

Cruz Azul have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Liga MX matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Guadalajara on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Guadalajara 6th Cruz Azul 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Guadalajara will score 1 or more goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Cruz Azul will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Guadalajara have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+1
Cruz Azul’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Guadalajara
PG (predicted goals)
Cruz Azul
1.6
1.5
Attack rating
GUA
CAZ
15%
better
view stats
Games scored12
15
Failed to score5
2
Scored first8
11
Goals scored29
32
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.9
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
GUA
CAZ
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
12
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded22
20
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+12%

Guadalajara v Cruz Azul Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171255
J RangelA. González AlbaR LedezmaR Ledezma
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Rangel GLK17
1
-
B González DEF1721
1
-
A. González Alba FWD17121
2
-
E Álvarez FWD1724
-
L Romo MID1611
2
1
D Campillo DEF151
4
-
R Ledezma DEF155
4
1
J Castillo DEF15
1
-
C Cowell FWD131
1
-
Érick Gutiérrez MID122
4
-
R Hernández FWD1232
-
O Govea MID111
2
-
M Ortiz DEF102
1
-
D Aguirre MID1011
2
-
F González MID10
2
1
M Tapias DEF91
-
G Sepúlveda DEF9
2
-
H. Camberos Figueroa FWD7
1
-
Chicharito FWD51
-
A Pulido  FWD5
-
T Braams FWD4
-
A Mozo DEF31
1
-
J Sandoval FWD2
-
I Brizuela FWD1
-
Cruz Azul Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17755
J ParadelaÁngel SepúlvedaJ ParadelaG Piovi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Ditta DEF17
3
-
J Paradela MID1735
2
-
C Rodríguez MID1734
3
-
K Mier GLK16
-
L Faravelli MID161
1
1
E Lira MID16
2
-
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD1673
1
-
I Rivero MID1521
4
-
L Romero FWD1522
1
C Rotondi FWD1523
2
-
O Campos DEF141
-
G Piovi DEF132
5
-
J Márquez MID132
2
-
G Fernández FWD1372
-
J Sánchez DEF121
1
-
J Chiquete DEF1211
1
2
M Bogusz MID1211
2
-
A Moreno MID5
1
-
A. Morales Rosas FWD41
-
A Gudiño GLK2
-