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Tijuana v Juárez : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 21st Nov, 03:00 BST, Estadio Caliente, Tijuana

Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo and Martín Varini Di Zioli pit their wits in the Liga MX on Friday morning, as Tijuana face Juárez at the Estadio Caliente. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Tijuana and Juarez will score a minimum of two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 80%. The bookmakers have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tijuana are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tijuana
55%
23/20
5%
23/20
5%
Draw
23%
12/5
6%
23/10
3%
Juarez
23%
41/2019/10
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
7%
11/2
Tijuana 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Tijuana 1-0
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Tijuana 2-0
9%
10/1
8%
9/1
Tijuana 3-1
6%
16/112/1
Juarez 2-1
6%
10/117/2
5%
Juarez 1-0
6%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Tijuana 3-0
5%
20/114/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Tijuana 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Juarez 2-0
3%
16/112/1
Tijuana 4-1
3%
33/122/1
10%
Tijuana 4-0
3%
40/125/1
Juarez 3-1
2%
22/116/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
6%
7/10
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
5%
19/20
7%
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/5
4%
4/5
3%
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/106/5
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/6
3%
8/13
3%
BTTS - No
43%
11/10
5%
23/20
4%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
10/3
8%
29/10
8%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/316/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
9/24/1
Home/draw
77%
4/114/11
1%
Away/draw
45%
4/6
2%
13/20
1%
Home/away
77%
3/10
1%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/4
4%
2/9
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
11/4
13%
13/5
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
2/1
14%
17/10
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/11
6%
4/11
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5/1
20%
19/5
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/8
3%
2/15
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1
18%
15/2
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25
1%
1/33
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/50
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1
8%
8/1
10%
Home DNB
71%
8/13
3%
3/5
2%
Away DNB
38%
6/5
2%
6/5
2%
Tijuana win to nil
28%
3/1-
Juarez win to nil
10%
5/1-
Tijuana / Tijuana
23%
13/5
6%
12/5
5%
Tijuana / Juarez
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
Tijuana / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Tijuana
15%
9/29/2
5%
Draw / Juarez
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
Juarez / Tijuana
4%
22/118/1
12%
Juarez / Juarez
16%
4/119/5
Juarez / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win form
10
Tijuana have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
Tijuana 7TH
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tijuana2 - 0Atlas
Tijuana0 - 0Toluca
Tijuana2 - 2Monterrey
Tijuana2 - 0Cruz Azul
Tijuana5 - 0Leon
Tijuana3 - 0Necaxa
Tijuana3 - 3Guadalajara
Tijuana1 - 1Juarez
Tijuana1 - 0Queretaro
Tijuana2 - 1A. San Luis
Tijuana1 - 2Necaxa
Tijuana3 - 4Atlas
Tijuana4 - 2Pumas UNAM
Tijuana1 - 2Juarez
Tijuana2 - 3Cruz Azul
Tijuana2 - 1Queretaro
Tijuana2 - 4Toluca
Tijuana3 - 0Cruz Azul
Tijuana3 - 0Atlas
Tijuana2 - 2America
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTijuana2 - 0Atlas
ATijuana1 - 4Pumas UNAM
ATijuana0 - 2Tigres
HTijuana0 - 0Toluca
ATijuana3 - 4Puebla
HTijuana2 - 2Monterrey
HTijuana2 - 0Cruz Azul
ATijuana0 - 1S. Laguna
HTijuana5 - 0Leon
ATijuana1 - 1A. San Luis
HTijuana3 - 0Necaxa
HTijuana3 - 3Guadalajara
ATijuana2 - 0Pachuca
ATijuana2 - 2Mazatlan
HTijuana1 - 1Juarez
ATijuana1 - 3America
HTijuana1 - 0Queretaro
ATijuana4 - 0S. Laguna
ATijuana2 - 0Mazatlan
HTijuana2 - 1A. San Luis
Juarez 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. San Luis1 - 2Juarez
Monterrey4 - 2Juarez
Atlas3 - 1Juarez
Cruz Azul3 - 2Juarez
Necaxa1 - 1Juarez
Guadalajara1 - 2Juarez
Tijuana1 - 1Juarez
Tigres1 - 0Juarez
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Juarez
Atlas1 - 1Juarez
A. San Luis1 - 0Juarez
Tigres0 - 1Juarez
Tijuana1 - 2Juarez
America4 - 0Juarez
Leon1 - 0Juarez
Mazatlan1 - 1Juarez
Pachuca0 - 1Juarez
Queretaro1 - 2Juarez
Cruz Azul4 - 0Juarez
S. Laguna0 - 2Juarez
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HJuarez1 - 2Queretaro
AJuarez2 - 1A. San Luis
HJuarez4 - 4Puebla
AJuarez2 - 4Monterrey
HJuarez2 - 2Pachuca
AJuarez1 - 3Atlas
HJuarez2 - 0Leon
HJuarez3 - 1Pumas UNAM
AJuarez2 - 3Cruz Azul
AJuarez1 - 1Necaxa
HJuarez1 - 0Mazatlan
HJuarez2 - 1S. Laguna
AJuarez2 - 1Guadalajara
HJuarez0 - 2Toluca
AJuarez1 - 1Tijuana
AJuarez0 - 1Tigres
HJuarez1 - 1America
HJuarez1 - 1Pumas UNAM
HJuarez0 - 2Queretaro
HJuarez2 - 2Necaxa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Tijuana since 2020
Tijuana
Juarez
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
TIJ
3
D
1
JUA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tijuana
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Juarez
Tijuana5 - 1
0 - 2Juarez
Tijuana1 - 0
Tijuana2 - 1
League games at Juarez since 2019
Juarez
Tijuana
Goals: Scored
8
3
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
TIJ
1
D
3
JUA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Juarez
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Tijuana
Juarez3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Juarez3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Tijuana's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday morning, not least because Juárez have conceded in each of their last 6 Liga MX games. A PG of 1.9 for W. Abreu Gallo's side suggests that run should continue.

Tijuana 7th Juarez 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Tijuana will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Juarez will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Tijuana have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
-9
Juarez’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Tijuana
PG (predicted goals)
Juarez
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
2%
better
TIJ
JUA
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score3
2
Scored first11
8
Goals scored29
27
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
32%
better
TIJ
JUA
view stats
Games conceded10
15
Clean sheets7
2
Conceded first5
9
Goals conceded23
28
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
19%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+32%

Tijuana v Juarez Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Tijuana Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17655
J PorozoF BoyaR ZárateJ Porozo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rodríguez GLK17
1
-
A Gómez DEF171
3
-
J Porozo DEF172
5
-
K Castañeda MID1754
1
-
R Zárate FWD1715
4
-
A Preciado FWD1721
2
-
J Grijalva DEF164
4
-
I Olmeda MID16
5
-
D Blanco FWD161
1
1
F Boya MID156
3
-
R Fernández DEF1411
4
-
G. Mora Zambrano MID1131
-
U Bilbao DEF91
1
-
S Nicholson  FWD91
-
M Ghezouani FWD92
2
1
Vitinho FWD8
-
K Escamilla MID7
1
-
E Bullaude MID61
1
-
P Ortíz DEF51
1
-
A Montoya DEF5
-
J Corona MID5
-
J Reyes DEF1
1
-
Juarez Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17835
S RocaÓscar EstupiñánJ FrancisA Mayorga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Roca GLK17
-
D García MID171
3
-
Ángel Zaldívar FWD1721
4
-
J Francis FWD1713
4
-
A Mayorga DEF162
5
-
R Pizarro MID1631
1
-
R Fulgencio MID1512
2
-
Madson FWD152
1
-
H Martínez MID141
4
-
G Castilho MID1432
5
-
J Manríquez DEF13
-
M Mosquera  DEF13
2
-
Óscar Estupiñán FWD1381
2
-
R. Oliveira António FWD121
1
1
D Villalpando MID11
-
J Murillo DEF911
4
-
D Valoyes FWD61
-
D. Ochoa DEF51
-
F Nevárez DEF4
-
J González MID4
1
-
J Torres FWD311
1
-