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Toluca v Puebla : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Sep, 04:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Ratko Dostanic is aiming for a crucial away win in the Liga MX on Sunday morning, as he takes his Puebla side to the Estadio Nemesio Díez to visit Toluca and Patrick Glockner. All statistics, including 20-game form for both teams and head to head (H2H) history, will update as you click through each of the seventeen betting markets via the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, our predictions will too.


Best Tip: Toluca to win

We think there's an outright winner in this fixture, and it's Toluca. Their recent form stats show what they've got in their locker in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Puebla too. The odds point towards Patrick Glockner's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday morning too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
69%
4/11
2%
7/20
2%
Draw
17%
7/218/5
4%
Puebla
14%
6/111/2
Toluca 2-0
10%
15/213/2
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Toluca 1-0
8%
9/115/2
Draw 1-1
8%
17/28/1
Toluca 3-0
8%
9/18/1
Toluca 3-1
8%
10/18/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Toluca 4-0
5%
16/112/1
Toluca 4-1
5%
16/112/1
Puebla 2-1
4%
20/116/1
Toluca 3-2
4%
20/114/1
Draw 0-0
3%
20/114/1
Puebla 1-0
3%
22/116/1
Toluca 4-2
2%
28/120/1
Toluca 5-0
2%
28/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
4/94/9
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
17/106/4
Home 1st Goal
58%
2/54/11
1%
Away 1st Goal
40%
15/823/10
No 1st Goal
2%
20/114/1
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/64/6
BTTS - No
43%
11/1021/20
BTTS - Home Win
35%
8/58/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/219/4
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10/117/2
Home/draw
86%
1/121/11
Away/draw
31%
7/42/1
Home/away
83%
1/62/13
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/81/8
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
5/119/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
11/1021/20
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
4/68/13
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
5/223/10
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
2/71/4
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
11/219/4
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/91/11
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/661/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/112/1
Home DNB
81%
1/81/8
Away DNB
26%
5/117/4
5%
Toluca win to nil
34%
13/8-
Puebla win to nil
6%
14/1-
Toluca / Toluca
40%
1/11/1
3%
Toluca / Puebla
2%
40/133/1
Toluca / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Draw / Toluca
19%
10/316/5
Draw / Puebla
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Draw
10%
7/113/2
Puebla / Toluca
5%
16/114/1
Puebla / Puebla
7%
11/19/1
Puebla / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
9
Puebla have not won in 9 consecutive away league games
Toluca 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca3 - 4Tigres
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca3 - 0Tigres
Toluca2 - 1Monterrey
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca3 - 2Pachuca
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 0Queretaro
Toluca2 - 1Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tigres
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Toluca0 - 2America
Toluca4 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Toluca5 - 0Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca3 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca2 - 0Juarez
HToluca3 - 4Tigres
AToluca4 - 2S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0America
HToluca3 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Tigres
HToluca2 - 1Monterrey
AToluca2 - 3Monterrey
HToluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
AToluca1 - 0A. San Luis
AToluca3 - 2Atlas
HToluca2 - 1S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 2Pachuca
AToluca3 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Necaxa
Puebla 18TH
20 league games
Away
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Puebla
Tigres7 - 0Puebla
Mazatlan2 - 1Puebla
Guadalajara1 - 0Puebla
Leon1 - 0Puebla
Juarez2 - 0Puebla
Queretaro2 - 0Puebla
Pachuca2 - 1Puebla
Atlas3 - 2Puebla
S. Laguna0 - 2Puebla
Cruz Azul1 - 1Puebla
Monterrey1 - 1Puebla
Tijuana2 - 1Puebla
A. San Luis2 - 0Puebla
Toluca5 - 0Puebla
Tigres1 - 0Puebla
Pumas UNAM1 - 0Puebla
Mazatlan1 - 1Puebla
America0 - 1Puebla
Necaxa4 - 1Puebla
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPuebla2 - 4Monterrey
APuebla0 - 0Pumas UNAM
HPuebla0 - 2A. San Luis
APuebla0 - 7Tigres
HPuebla1 - 0S. Laguna
APuebla1 - 2Mazatlan
HPuebla2 - 3Atlas
HPuebla0 - 1Necaxa
APuebla0 - 1Guadalajara
APuebla0 - 1Leon
HPuebla0 - 0Tigres
APuebla0 - 2Juarez
HPuebla0 - 3Toluca
HPuebla1 - 3Pumas UNAM
APuebla0 - 2Queretaro
APuebla1 - 2Pachuca
HPuebla2 - 0Tijuana
APuebla2 - 3Atlas
HPuebla1 - 2America
APuebla2 - 0S. Laguna
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Puebla
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
TOL
3
D
3
PUE
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca5 - 0
0 - 1Puebla
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca2 - 1
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca2 - 0
League games at Puebla since 2018
Puebla
Toluca
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
TOL
2
D
1
PUE
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
0 - 3Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Toluca
Puebla1 - 0
Puebla4 - 1
Puebla2 - 0
Puebla2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Toluca 5th Puebla 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Puebla scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Toluca have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
-35
Puebla have scored 35% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Puebla
2.4
1
Attack rating
26%
better
TOL
PUE
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
1
Goals scored10
4
Avg. goals scored1.4
0.6
Avg. shots per game7
6
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for22
10
Avg. XG for2
1.9
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
TOL
PUE
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
2
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded7
5
Avg. goals conceded1
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded3
3
Avg. shots/goal conceded3
4
Conversion rate against29%
28%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+27%

Toluca v Puebla Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7343
F PereiraR MoralesN CastroJ Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Pereira DEF7
1
-
N Castro MID74
1
-
J Domínguez FWD711
2
-
D Barbosa DEF6
1
-
F Romero MID6
2
-
H Herrera MID6
-
Paulinho FWD621
-
H González GLK5
1
-
J Gallardo DEF51
3
-
B Méndez DEF5
1
-
E López DEF5
1
-
M Ruíz MID521
2
-
J Uriarte MID52
-
O. Virgen FWD51
1
-
R Morales FWD531
-
A Vega FWD513
1
-
Helinho  FWD432
1
-
L García GLK3
-
F Arce MID3
-
M Isaís DEF2
-
A Briseño DEF2
-
Luan DEF1
-
S Simón MID1
-
V Camarena MID1
-
A Bermúdez FWD1
1
-
Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7224
J. FedorcoR SánchezE GómezJ. Fedorco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Fedorco DEF7
4
-
A Orozco MID7
1
-
E Solana FWD71
1
-
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD7
-
R Sánchez FWD721
-
N Huincales DEF6
3
-
J Martinez DEF61
-
M Pérez MID6
-
F Moyano MID6
1
-
E Gómez FWD612
-
J González GLK5
-
L Mejía DEF5
2
-
E Orona DEF5
-
A. Gamarra MID5
1
1
J Rivas DEF4
1
-
R Castillo MID4
1
-
J Rodríguez GLK3
-
F. Monarrez Ochoa FWD3
-
E Guerra FWD311
-
W Portales DEF2
-
I Moreno MID2
-
C Baltazar MID11
-
Ángel Robles FWD1
-
B Garnica FWD1
-
L Cavallini FWD1
1
-