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Toluca v Pumas UNAM : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

It's an away match for Efraín Juárez Váldez's Pumas UNAM side on Sunday morning, as they travel to the Estadio Nemesio Díez for a Liga MX meeting with Patrick Glockner's Toluca. We have predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across every market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Liga MX clash.

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Toluca's next match is v Puebla at 04:00 on Sunday 14th September
Pumas UNAM's next match is v Atlas at 00:00 on Monday 1st September
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Toluca and Pumas UNAM was on Sunday 17th August 2025
Mexican Liga MX
August 17th 2025
Toluca 1
1 Pumas UNAM
 
J. Angulo Uriarte 67'12' J. Ruvalcaba
 
TOL
PUM
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
12
2
Corners
5
1
Possession
71%
29%
Fouls
10
17
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
TolucaPumas UNAM
 
D. Barbosa Zaragoza
A. Pereira Castelnoble
F. Romero
N. Castro (J. Domínguez Chonteco 46')
J. Angulo Uriartefootball icon (O. Virgen 82')
H. Nunes de Castro (H. Herrera López 67')
M. Ruiz Suárez (F. Arce Juárez 90')
L. García Palomera
J. Gallardo Vasconcelos
E. López
J. Dias Fernandes
K. Navas Gamboa
P. Bennevendo Peña
R. Duarte Sánchez
N. da Silva
(P. Monroy Reyes 45') J. Caicedo Barrera
S. Trigos Nava
(U. Rivas Gilio 90') A. Carrasquilla Alcázar
P. Vite Uca
G. Martínez Ayala
?. Azuaje García
(P. Quispe Córdova 73') football iconJ. Ruvalcaba

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our tip on this match, meaning that the sides will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Toluca and Pumas UNAM's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
55%
4/57/10
Draw
23%
13/55/2
Pumas UNAM
22%
7/23/1
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
Toluca 1-0
10%
13/26/1
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Toluca 2-0
9%
15/27/1
Pumas UNAM 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Toluca 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Pumas UNAM 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/117/2
Toluca 3-0
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Pumas UNAM 2-0
3%
22/116/1
Toluca 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Toluca 4-1
3%
28/118/1
Toluca 4-0
2%
28/118/1
Pumas UNAM 3-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
17/203/4
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
19/2010/11
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/74/7
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/417/10
No 1st Goal
3%
10/117/2
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
46%
1/119/20
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/512/5
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/419/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/113/2
Home/draw
78%
2/111/5
Away/draw
45%
19/2021/20
Home/away
77%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/19/5
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/117/20
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/14/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/81/8
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/18/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/18/1
Home DNB
71%
1/33/10
Away DNB
39%
9/411/5
Toluca win to nil
29%
9/4-
Pumas UNAM win to nil
11%
7/1-
Toluca / Toluca
30%
7/413/8
Toluca / Pumas UNAM
3%
33/128/1
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Draw / Toluca
17%
15/47/2
Draw / Pumas UNAM
9%
17/28/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
Pumas UNAM / Toluca
4%
20/116/1
Pumas UNAM / Pumas UNAM
12%
6/111/2
Pumas UNAM / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Toluca 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca3 - 4Tigres
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca3 - 0Tigres
Toluca2 - 1Monterrey
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca3 - 2Pachuca
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 0Queretaro
Toluca2 - 1Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tigres
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Toluca0 - 2America
Toluca4 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Toluca5 - 0Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca4 - 0Tijuana
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca2 - 0Juarez
HToluca3 - 4Tigres
AToluca4 - 2S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0America
HToluca3 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Tigres
HToluca2 - 1Monterrey
AToluca2 - 3Monterrey
HToluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
AToluca1 - 0A. San Luis
AToluca3 - 2Atlas
HToluca2 - 1S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 2Pachuca
AToluca3 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Necaxa
AToluca0 - 3America
HToluca5 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 0Juarez
Pumas UNAM 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Queretaro0 - 2Pumas UNAM
S. Laguna3 - 0Pumas UNAM
Monterrey2 - 0Pumas UNAM
Juarez1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Tigres2 - 1Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul3 - 2Pumas UNAM
Leon1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Puebla1 - 3Pumas UNAM
Tijuana4 - 2Pumas UNAM
Pachuca2 - 1Pumas UNAM
A. San Luis2 - 3Pumas UNAM
Queretaro3 - 2Pumas UNAM
Monterrey1 - 0Pumas UNAM
Mazatlan0 - 1Pumas UNAM
Guadalajara0 - 0Pumas UNAM
Monterrey0 - 0Pumas UNAM
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
America0 - 1Pumas UNAM
Necaxa2 - 0Pumas UNAM
Atlas2 - 1Pumas UNAM
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPumas UNAM1 - 1Necaxa
APumas UNAM2 - 0Queretaro
HPumas UNAM2 - 3Pachuca
APumas UNAM0 - 3S. Laguna
APumas UNAM0 - 2Monterrey
APumas UNAM1 - 1Juarez
APumas UNAM1 - 2Tigres
HPumas UNAM2 - 0S. Laguna
HPumas UNAM0 - 0Juarez
APumas UNAM2 - 3Cruz Azul
APumas UNAM2 - 1Leon
HPumas UNAM1 - 3Monterrey
APumas UNAM3 - 1Puebla
HPumas UNAM0 - 1Guadalajara
APumas UNAM2 - 4Tijuana
HPumas UNAM0 - 2America
APumas UNAM1 - 2Pachuca
HPumas UNAM1 - 0Mazatlan
APumas UNAM3 - 2A. San Luis
HPumas UNAM1 - 1Toluca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Pumas UNAM
Goals: Scored
12
10
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
TOL
3
D
2
PUM
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca1 - 0
2 - 3Pumas UNAM
0 - 1Pumas UNAM
League games at Pumas UNAM since 2019
Pumas UNAM
Toluca
Goals: Scored
15
6
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
D
3
PUM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pumas UNAM
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Pumas UNAM3 - 1
Pumas UNAM5 - 0
Pumas UNAM1 - 0
Pumas UNAM2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Toluca have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Liga MX outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Pumas UNAM on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Toluca 4th Pumas UNAM 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Pumas UNAM will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+27
Toluca have scored 27% more goals at home than predicted
-9
Pumas UNAM’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Pumas UNAM
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
30%
better
TOL
PUM
view stats
Games scored3
2
Failed to score0
1
Scored first1
2
Goals scored10
4
Avg. goals scored2.5
1
Avg. shots per game12
5
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for22
20
Avg. XG for2
0.7
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
TOL
PUM
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
2
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded7
6
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded3
3
Conversion rate against29%
33%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+29%

Toluca v Pumas UNAM Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7343
F PereiraHelinho N CastroJ Gallardo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L García GLK3
-
D Barbosa DEF6
1
-
J Gallardo DEF51
3
-
F Pereira DEF7
1
-
E López DEF5
1
-
J Uriarte MID52
-
F Romero MID6
2
-
N Castro MID74
1
-
M Ruíz MID521
2
-
Paulinho FWD621
-
Helinho  FWD432
1
-
Subs
H González GLK5
1
-
A Briseño DEF2
-
B Méndez DEF5
1
-
M Isaís DEF2
-
J Domínguez MID711
2
-
H Herrera MID6
-
F Arce MID3
-
V Camarena MID1
-
O. Virgen FWD51
1
-
R Morales FWD531
-
Pumas UNAM Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6335
P BennevendoJ RuvalcabaA CarrasquillaR Duarte
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Navas GLK4
-
P Bennevendo DEF6
1
-
N Silva DEF6
1
-
?. Azuaje García DEF3
-
R Duarte DEF611
5
-
S Trigos MID6
1
-
J Caicedo MID5
2
-
P Vite MID5
1
-
A Carrasquilla MID63
3
-
J Ruvalcaba MID53
3
-
G Martínez FWD61
2
-
Subs
M Paul GLK
-
P Reyes DEF4
1
-
E. Villaseñor DEF1
-
R Lopez MID51
-
U Rivas MID1
-
?. Rico Reyes MID1
-
P Quispe MID6
2
-