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Airdrieonians v Ayr United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Nov, 15:00 BST, Excelsior Stadium, Airdrie

Ayr United, led by manager Scott Brown, visit Rhys McCabe and his Airdrieonians side at the Excelsior Stadium on Saturday afternoon in the Championship. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during a standard 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Ayr United coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Airdrieonians
25%
16/5-
Draw
26%
23/10-
Ayr United
49%
3/4-
Ayr United 1-0
13%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Ayr United 2-0
10%
15/2-
Ayr United 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
9%
9/1-
Airdrieonians 1-0
8%
12/1-
Airdrieonians 2-1
6%
14/1-
Ayr United 3-0
5%
14/1-
Ayr United 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1-
Airdrieonians 2-0
4%
22/1-
Ayr United 3-2
2%
25/1-
Airdrieonians 3-1
2%
33/1-
Ayr United 4-0
2%
28/1-
Ayr United 4-1
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
19/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
17/20-
Home 1st Goal
42%
8/5-
Away 1st Goal
53%
8/13-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
5/6-
BTTS - No
52%
5/6-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
15/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
3/1-
Home/draw
51%
10/11-
Away/draw
75%
1/6-
Home/away
74%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1-
Home DNB
43%
9/4-
Away DNB
68%
1/3-
Airdrieonians win to nil
14%
7/1-
Ayr United win to nil
29%
2/1-
Airdrieonians / Airdrieonians
12%
6/1-
Airdrieonians / Ayr United
4%
22/1-
Airdrieonians / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Airdrieonians
9%
8/1-
Draw / Ayr United
18%
15/4-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Ayr United / Airdrieonians
2%
40/1-
Ayr United / Ayr United
30%
7/4-
Ayr United / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Championship table

Airdrieonians have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Airdrieonians have conceded 24 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Airdrieonians have played 8 games at home, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Ayr United lay in 4th place on 20 points in the Championship league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 16 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ayr United have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Ayr United have played 8 away games, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone151934 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
Feb 14
Apr 11
Dec 12
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
Feb 28
2
Partick14828 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
Apr 18
Feb 21
Dec 6
Oct 21
Apr 4
l
 
2-1F
3
Arbroath15-122 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
Mar 14
Dec 27
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
Feb 14
4
Ayr United15320 
Nov 22
l
 
4-2A
Apr 25
Jan 10
-
-
-
-
5
Dunfermline14719 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-0A
Mar 28
Jan 31
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 7
Dec 20
6
Greenock 15-118 
l
 
1-2A
Dec 13
Feb 28
May 1
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
Dec 27
7
Raith Rovers15-418 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-3F
Jan 3
Mar 21
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
Jan 31
Mar 28
8
Queen's Park15-1113 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 20
Mar 7
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 3
Mar 14
9
Ross County15-912 
d
 
2-2A
Dec 6
Jan 24
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
Feb 21
Apr 18
10
Airdrieonians15-1111 
-
-
-
-
w
 
4-2F
Nov 22
Jan 10
Apr 25
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Airdrieonians 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Ayr United 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Ayr United have beaten Airdrieonians in 9 consecutive league meetings
9
Ayr United have not lost to Airdrieonians in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Airdrieonians since 2023
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
3
7
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
AYR
4
League games at Ayr United since 2023
Ayr United
Airdrieonians
Goals: Scored
16
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
AYR
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Airdrieonians of late. It has been 6 Championship matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Ayr United.

Airdrieonians 10th Ayr United 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Airdrieonians scoring 1 goal or less
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Ayr United will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Airdrieonians’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Ayr United’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Airdrieonians
PG (predicted goals)
Ayr United
1
1.5
Attack rating
AYR
25%
better
view stats
Games scored8
9
Failed to score6
4
Scored first4
7
Goals scored10
17
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game5
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
AYR
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
9
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first8
4
Goals conceded24
13
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against20%
15%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+31%

Airdrieonians v Ayr United Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Airdrieonians Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14626
E HendersonE HendersonR. ArmstrongL Strapp
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S McGinty DEF141
3
-
J Barjonas MID14
-
E Henderson FWD146
2
-
Wilson DEF13
1
-
L Strapp DEF12
6
-
C. Ross DEF11
4
-
C Mochrie MID11
-
C McKinnon MID1111
1
-
D McMaster MID111
5
-
L McGrattan MID111
1
-
C. Cooper FWD101
2
-
L McStravick FWD10
3
1
D. McDonald DEF7
-
R. Armstrong MID72
2
-
A Reid FWD7
1
1
J Hastie FWD6
-
C Telfer MID51
-
M Connolly GLK4
-
G. Gallagher MID4
1
-
C. Melrose GLK3
1
-
S. Constable DEF1
1
-
A King MID1
-
C. Williams MID1
-
D. Williams MID1
-
Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14435
D MitchellM McKenzieM RusN McAllister
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mitchell GLK14
-
S McMann DEF1411
2
-
M McKenzie FWD1441
1
-
K. Ure MID131
2
-
M Rus MID1313
3
-
E Walker FWD1341
3
1
K Holt DEF111
1
-
N McAllister DEF1111
5
-
D Watret DEF111
1
1
J Murphy FWD1131
4
-
J. Bonnar MID101
1
-
C Main FWD1011
-
L Dick DEF9
3
-
S Bannigan MID9
2
-
A Dowds FWD9
-
L King DEF8
3
-
B Dempsey MID81
-
G Oakley FWD8
1
-
D Thomas MID7
-
S Want DEF2
1
-