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Greenock Morton FC v Dunfermline Athletic : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 2nd May, 19:45 BST, Cappielow Park, Greenock

Friday evening sees Dougie Imrie’s Greenock Morton FC and Michael O'Neill’s Dunfermline Athletic go head to head in a Championship battle at the Cappielow Park. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 76% chance of Greenock and Dunfermline no more than 3 goals combined during this Championship clash according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Greenock are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Greenock
46%
9/5
24%
-
Draw
27%
21/10
11%
-
Dunfermline
27%
7/5
13%
-
Greenock 1-0
13%
11/2
13%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
7%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
11/2
28%
-
Dunfermline 1-0
9%
5/1
25%
-
Greenock 2-0
9%
11/1
9%
-
Greenock 2-1
9%
11/1
20%
-
Dunfermline 2-1
6%
10/1-
Dunfermline 2-0
5%
9/1
23%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
24%
-
Greenock 3-0
4%
28/1
38%
-
Greenock 3-1
4%
28/1
38%
-
Dunfermline 3-1
2%
25/1
13%
-
Greenock 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Dunfermline 3-0
2%
22/1
21%
-
Greenock 4-0
1%
66/1
63%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
6/4
19%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
1/2
12%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
13/10
28%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
10/11
15%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
11/2
28%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
5/4
18%
-
BTTS - No
53%
4/7
13%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
13/2
50%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
6/1
17%
-
Home/draw
73%
4/9
3%
-
Away/draw
54%
1/3
15%
-
Home/away
73%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/2
10%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
6/4
17%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
7/2
20%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/6
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
15/2
21%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/20
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1
43%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/100
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/10
6%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
11/2
28%
-
Home DNB
65%
1/1
16%
-
Away DNB
46%
8/11
14%
-
Greenock win to nil
28%
3/1
7%
-
Dunfermline win to nil
16%
5/2
22%
-
Greenock / Greenock
17%
15/4
27%
-
Greenock / Dunfermline
2%
33/1-
Greenock / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Greenock
13%
11/2
18%
-
Draw / Dunfermline
15%
9/2
15%
-
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1
20%
-
Dunfermline / Greenock
2%
40/1
41%
-
Dunfermline / Dunfermline
21%
3/1
16%
-
Dunfermline / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win Championship table

Greenock have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Greenock have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Greenock have played 17 games at home winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Dunfermline are in 7th position in the Championship on 35 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 12 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 6. Dunfermline have conceded 28 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Greenock
Dunfermline
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Falkirk353770 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
6-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
2
Livingston352970 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
3
Ayr United351760 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
4
Partick35452 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-4F
5
Raith Rovers35050 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
6
Greenock H35-845 
-
-
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
May 2
7
Dunfermline A35-1335 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
l
 
2-1F
-
-
-
-
8
Queen's Park35-1535 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
9
Airdrieonians35-2729 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
10
Hamilton35-2421 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Dunfermline have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Greenock 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Dunfermline 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Greenock since 2016
Greenock
Dunfermline
Goals: Scored
22
14
Games: Scored
10 / 14
10 / 14
Clean sheets
4 / 14
4 / 14
GRE
6
D
5
DUN
3
League games at Dunfermline since 2016
Dunfermline
Greenock
Goals: Scored
21
18
Games: Scored
11 / 15
11 / 15
Clean sheets
4 / 15
4 / 15
GRE
4
D
4
DUN
7
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Greenock Morton FC of late. It has been 5 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday evening against Dunfermline Athletic.

Greenock 6th Dunfermline 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Greenock will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Dunfermline scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Greenock ’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-25
Dunfermline have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/282245/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Greenock
PG (predicted goals)
Dunfermline
1.4
1
Attack rating
29%
better
GRE
DUN
view stats
Games scored22
15
Failed to score13
20
Scored first16
10
Goals scored40
28
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.8
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal6
11
Conversion rate for16
10
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
5%
better
GRE
DUN
view stats
Games conceded24
25
Clean sheets11
10
Conceded first14
20
Goals conceded48
41
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+5%

Greenock v Dunfermline Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Greenock Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
345511
A LyallC BluesA LyallM Boyes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Blues MID3251
9
-
A Lyall MID3225
4
-
J Baird DEF312
7
-
Z Delaney DEF3111
5
-
O Moffat FWD3031
2
-
J Davies FWD302
3
-
M Garrity FWD2941
5
-
M Boyes DEF272
11
-
C Ballantyne DEF2512
6
-
G Gillespie MID2511
6
-
A Crawford MID2324
1
-
R Mullen GLK21
2
-
N Shaw MID2032
-
L Reynolds FWD2011
1
-
I Wilson MID181
5
1
N McGinn FWD1711
1
-
F Stuparević FWD1351
3
-
T Adeloye FWD93
1
-
G Woods GLK6
-
D. Corr DEF6
1
L. O'Boy MID2
-
Dunfermline Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331147
E OtooC KaneD WotherspoonE Otoo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Otoo DEF3131
7
-
A Comrie DEF28
4
-
C Hamilton MID27
6
-
L McCann FWD2632
5
-
O Oluwayemi GLK25
2
-
K Benedictus DEF252
4
1
D Wotherspoon MID2514
6
1
C Kane FWD23111
5
-
K Ngwenya DEF211
2
-
K Ritchie-Hosler MID211
5
-
M Todd MID193
1
-
J. Cooper MID1841
3
-
J Chalmers MID17
2
-
T. Fogarty DEF15
5
-
C Clay MID15
6
-
J Mullen DEF12
3
-
E. Yeboah FWD12
2
-
D Mebude FWD101
1
-
A. Stevens FWD9
-
T Oakley-Boothe MID8
2
-
C. Young FWD8
-
D Mehmet GLK6
-
M O'Halloran FWD5
-
O Taylor-Clarke MID2
-
O. Hampson MID1
-
A. Tod MID1
-