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Greenock Morton FC v Dunfermline Athletic : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Jan, 15:00 BST, Cappielow Park, Greenock

The Championship is the focus for both Greenock Morton FC and Dunfermline Athletic on Saturday afternoon, as managers Dougie Imrie and Neil Lennon battle it out at the Cappielow Park. All of the key stats for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during a standard 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Dunfermline coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Greenock
28%
2.502.50
Draw
27%
3.203.10
Dunfermline
44%
2.502.50
Draw 1-1
13%
6.505.75
Dunfermline 1-0
13%
8.007.50
Greenock 1-0
10%
8.007.00
Draw 0-0
9%
9.008.00
Dunfermline 2-1
9%
11.009.00
Dunfermline 2-0
9%
12.0011.00
Greenock 2-1
7%
11.008.50
Greenock 2-0
5%
12.0011.00
Draw 2-2
4%
15.0012.00
Dunfermline 3-1
4%
23.0017.00
Dunfermline 3-0
4%
26.0019.00
Greenock 3-1
2%
23.0017.00
Dunfermline 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Greenock 3-0
2%
26.0019.00
Greenock 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
2.102.00
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
1.701.65
Home 1st Goal
43%
2.002.00
Away 1st Goal
51%
2.002.05
No 1st Goal
6%
8.508.00
BTTS - Yes
47%
1.831.83
BTTS - No
53%
1.831.85
BTTS - Home Win
12%
5.505.25
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.754.33
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5.505.25
Home/draw
56%
1.441.48
Away/draw
72%
1.441.48
Home/away
73%
1.291.33
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1.361.33
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
3.002.88
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
3.753.60
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1.251.22
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7.006.50
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1.081.06
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
11.0013.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.021.00
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.071.05
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7.507.50
Home DNB
47%
1.831.85
Away DNB
64%
1.831.85
Greenock win to nil
17%
4.33-
Dunfermline win to nil
27%
4.33-
Greenock / Greenock
19%
4.334.00
Greenock / Dunfermline
3%
29.0023.00
Greenock / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Greenock
13%
6.006.00
Draw / Dunfermline
13%
6.006.00
Draw / Draw
17%
5.004.60
Dunfermline / Greenock
3%
29.0023.00
Dunfermline / Dunfermline
19%
4.334.00
Dunfermline / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win Championship table

Greenock have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 8 and won 1. Greenock have conceded 24 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Greenock have played 10 games at home, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Dunfermline lay in 5th place on 26 points in the Championship league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 16 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dunfermline have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Dunfermline have played 10 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Greenock
Dunfermline
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone212645 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 7
l
 
5-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
Apr 18
Jan 24
2
Partick211040 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
Feb 14
Apr 11
3
Arbroath21233 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 28
Jan 23
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-5F
May 1
Feb 21
4
Ayr United20328 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
2-3A
Mar 7
5
Dunfermline20626 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Jan 10
Apr 4
-
-
-
-
6
Raith Rovers21125 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
Apr 11
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
Mar 14
w
 
1-2F
7
Greenock 21-822 
-
-
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 4
Jan 10
8
Airdrieonians21-1319 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
May 1
Feb 28
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
Jan 31
Mar 28
9
Queen's Park19-918 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Feb 21
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
Feb 28
Apr 25
10
Ross County19-1813 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
Jan 31
Apr 25
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2A
-
Mar 21
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Greenock 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
Dunfermline 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Greenock have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Dunfermline
League games at Greenock since 2016
Greenock
Dunfermline
Goals: Scored
24
14
Games: Scored
11 / 16
10 / 16
Clean sheets
6 / 16
5 / 16
GRE
7
D
6
DUN
3
League games at Dunfermline since 2016
Dunfermline
Greenock
Goals: Scored
22
18
Games: Scored
12 / 16
11 / 16
Clean sheets
5 / 16
4 / 16
GRE
4
D
4
DUN
8
Goal Statistics
Greenock 7th Dunfermline 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Greenock will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Dunfermline will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Greenock ’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Dunfermline’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Greenock
PG (predicted goals)
Dunfermline
1
1.4
Attack rating
GRE
DUN
13%
better
view stats
Games scored14
14
Failed to score7
6
Scored first9
11
Goals scored20
28
Avg. goals scored1
1.4
Avg. shots per game6
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
18
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
GRE
DUN
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
12
Clean sheets4
8
Conceded first10
7
Goals conceded28
22
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+22%

Greenock v Dunfermline Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Greenock Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21436
J StorerE BrophyO MoffatJ Longridge
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Storer GLK21
1
-
M Garrity FWD2121
3
-
O Moffat FWD213
1
-
J Longridge DEF202
6
-
I Wilson MID20
5
-
Z Delaney DEF191
2
-
C Blues MID1812
4
-
N Shaw MID1813
3
-
T Adeloye FWD183
1
-
K Moore DEF172
2
-
E Brophy FWD1741
1
-
A Comrie DEF16
5
-
K. Robertson MID151
5
-
C Ballantyne DEF141
1
-
G Gillespie MID12
4
-
A Lyall FWD1211
1
-
Z. McKay MID11
-
M O'Halloran FWD1111
1
-
D. Corr DEF6
3
-
C MacPherson MID41
2
-
K. Taylor MID3
1
-
A Crawford MID21
-
Dunfermline Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19948
J MullenA. TodR FraserC Gilmour 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mullen DEF1913
5
1
A. Tod MID1991
2
-
R Fraser DEF184
1
-
C Gilmour  MID182
8
-
M Todd MID1614
-
K Ritchie-Hosler MID15
-
T Oakley-Boothe MID15
2
-
A Amade MID14
1
-
R Macleod FWD132
3
-
J Caceres FWD132
1
1
C Kane FWD132
1
-
S. Kearney DEF121
2
-
C Hamilton MID12
4
-
B Terrell GLK11
1
-
N. Abdulai DEF11
1
-
E Otoo DEF11
1
-
K Bray MID111
-
B. Stewart FWD115
-
K Benedictus DEF9
2
-
J. Cooper MID91
-
M. Munn GLK8
-
Z Rudden FWD622
2
-
D Mehmet GLK2
1
-
K Ngwenya DEF22
-
S Fisher DEF1
-