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Raith Rovers FC v Ayr United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Oct, 15:00 BST, Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy

Raith Rovers FC are in Championship action on Saturday afternoon, as Fuat Capa looks to get one over on Scott Brown and his Ayr United side at the Stark's Park. Team form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We've backed under 2.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Fuat Capa and Scott Brown to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Raith Rovers and Ayr United go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.70 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we recommend.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Raith Rovers are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Raith Rovers
43%
21/2021/20
3%
Draw
29%
11/521/10
3%
Ayr United
29%
12/511/5
Raith Rovers 1-0
14%
6/111/2
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Draw 0-0
11%
15/213/2
6%
Ayr United 1-0
11%
17/27/1
6%
Raith Rovers 2-0
9%
9/1
5%
15/2
Raith Rovers 2-1
8%
17/27/1
Ayr United 2-1
6%
12/19/1
Ayr United 2-0
5%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/112/1
Raith Rovers 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Raith Rovers 3-1
3%
18/114/1
15%
Ayr United 3-1
2%
28/120/1
Ayr United 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Raith Rovers 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Ayr United 3-2
1%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
23/20
2%
21/20
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
4/6
2%
8/13
3%
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5
4%
4/5
3%
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/1011/8
No 1st Goal
8%
15/213/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
44%
5/610/11
3%
BTTS - No
56%
5/64/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
15/47/2
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
BTTS - Away Win
11%
6/1
7%
11/2
Home/draw
71%
3/103/10
Away/draw
57%
8/117/10
Home/away
71%
4/113/10
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
4/11
2%
7/20
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
2/1
8%
9/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
11/413/5
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/42/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
6/16/1
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/121/16
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
10/1
5%
12/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/50
1%
1/500
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/14
2%
1/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
13/2
12%
6/1
7%
Home DNB
63%
8/15
2%
1/2
Away DNB
49%
11/8
5%
11/8
1%
Raith Rovers win to nil
27%
5/2
3%
-
Ayr United win to nil
18%
9/2-
Raith Rovers / Raith Rovers
24%
12/5
5%
23/10
2%
Raith Rovers / Ayr United
3%
33/125/1
Raith Rovers / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Raith Rovers
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
Draw / Ayr United
11%
6/1
7%
6/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/17/2
6%
Ayr United / Raith Rovers
3%
28/120/1
Ayr United / Ayr United
15%
9/217/4
Ayr United / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Raith Rovers have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Both Raith Rovers and Ayr United have scored 10 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Raith Rovers have played 4 games at home winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 6 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Ayr United are in 5th position in the Championship on 11 points having played 8 matches so far this season. Ayr United are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 2 of those games. Ayr United are unbeaten away after 4 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Away League Performance

zero of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 3 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Ayr United have conceded 2 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone91323 
l
 
0-2A
Dec 6
Feb 21
Apr 25
Dec 13
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
Feb 28
2
Partick8317 
Oct 25
l
 
3-2A
Mar 7
Dec 20
Dec 6
Oct 21
Apr 4
Jan 24
3
Raith Rovers9214 
-
-
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Oct 11
Jan 31
Mar 28
4
Arbroath9-712 
w
 
3-0F
Nov 22
Jan 10
Apr 18
Nov 15
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
Feb 14
5
Ayr United8211 
Oct 11
w
 
0-1F
Mar 28
Jan 31
-
-
-
-
6
Greenock 9010 
Nov 1
w
 
0-1F
Apr 11
Feb 14
Oct 18
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
Dec 27
7
Dunfermline919 
w
 
2-0F
Oct 17
Dec 27
Mar 14
Nov 1
w
 
0-1F
Mar 7
Dec 20
8
Queen's Park9-38 
d
 
1-1A
Nov 8
Jan 24
Apr 4
d
 
1-1A
Oct 25
Jan 3
Mar 14
9
Ross County9-37 
Dec 13
l
 
2-0A
May 1
Feb 28
d
 
1-1F
Nov 8
Feb 21
Apr 18
10
Airdrieonians9-83 
Nov 15
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 21
Jan 3
w
 
4-2F
Nov 22
Jan 10
Apr 25
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Raith Rovers 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Raith Rovers3 - 0Arbroath
Raith Rovers0 - 2St. Johnstone
Raith Rovers2 - 0Dunfermline
Raith Rovers1 - 1Queen's Park
Raith Rovers1 - 1Greenock
Raith Rovers1 - 1Airdrieonians
Raith Rovers1 - 0Ayr United
Raith Rovers2 - 0Dunfermline
Raith Rovers0 - 4Queen's Park
Raith Rovers2 - 0Hamilton
Raith Rovers3 - 0Partick
Raith Rovers0 - 2Falkirk
Raith Rovers2 - 1Livingston
Raith Rovers2 - 0Dunfermline
Raith Rovers2 - 3Greenock
Raith Rovers2 - 0Ayr United
Raith Rovers1 - 0Airdrieonians
Raith Rovers1 - 1Queen's Park
Raith Rovers1 - 0Falkirk
Raith Rovers3 - 3Hamilton
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARaith Rovers0 - 2Ross County
HRaith Rovers3 - 0Arbroath
ARaith Rovers0 - 0Airdrieonians
HRaith Rovers0 - 2St. Johnstone
ARaith Rovers1 - 0Greenock
ARaith Rovers2 - 3Partick
HRaith Rovers2 - 0Dunfermline
ARaith Rovers1 - 0Ayr United
HRaith Rovers1 - 1Queen's Park
ARaith Rovers5 - 1Queen's Park
HRaith Rovers1 - 1Greenock
ARaith Rovers3 - 1Falkirk
HRaith Rovers1 - 1Airdrieonians
HRaith Rovers1 - 0Ayr United
ARaith Rovers3 - 0Hamilton
ARaith Rovers3 - 3Greenock
ARaith Rovers0 - 0Partick
HRaith Rovers2 - 0Dunfermline
ARaith Rovers0 - 0Livingston
HRaith Rovers0 - 4Queen's Park
Ayr United 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Johnstone0 - 0Ayr United
Dunfermline0 - 1Ayr United
Greenock 2 - 2Ayr United
Arbroath1 - 1Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Livingston5 - 0Ayr United
Raith Rovers1 - 0Ayr United
Partick2 - 0Ayr United
Greenock 2 - 1Ayr United
Queen's Park2 - 3Ayr United
Falkirk2 - 2Ayr United
Hamilton0 - 2Ayr United
Dunfermline0 - 2Ayr United
Livingston0 - 1Ayr United
Partick1 - 0Ayr United
Greenock 1 - 1Ayr United
Raith Rovers2 - 0Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Falkirk2 - 0Ayr United
Queen's Park1 - 1Ayr United
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAyr United0 - 0St. Johnstone
HAyr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Ross County
HAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
AAyr United2 - 2Greenock
HAyr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United2 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United0 - 5Livingston
HAyr United1 - 1Falkirk
AAyr United0 - 1Raith Rovers
HAyr United3 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Hamilton
AAyr United0 - 2Partick
AAyr United1 - 2Greenock
AAyr United3 - 2Queen's Park
HAyr United4 - 1Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 2Livingston
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Raith Rovers have beaten Ayr United in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
Raith Rovers have not lost to Ayr United in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Raith Rovers since 2016
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
17
14
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
RAI
6
D
4
AYR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers1 - 0
Raith Rovers2 - 0
Raith Rovers2 - 1
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Raith Rovers3 - 2
0 - 4Ayr United
Raith Rovers2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Raith Rovers2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Ayr United since 2016
Ayr United
Raith Rovers
Goals: Scored
14
10
Games: Scored
9 / 13
6 / 13
Clean sheets
7 / 13
4 / 13
RAI
5
D
2
AYR
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
0 - 1Raith Rovers
Ayr United3 - 0
Ayr United2 - 0
1 - 2Raith Rovers
1 - 2Raith Rovers
Ayr United1 - 0
Ayr United2 - 0
Ayr United2 - 0
0 - 2Raith Rovers
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Ayr United1 - 0
0 - 2Raith Rovers
Goal Statistics
Raith Rovers 3rd Ayr United 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Raith Rovers will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Ayr United scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Raith Rovers’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
Ayr United have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Raith Rovers
PG (predicted goals)
Ayr United
1.2
1
Attack rating
RAI
AYR
6%
better
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score2
1
Scored first3
3
Goals scored7
6
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.8
Avg. shots per game6
6
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
16%
better
RAI
AYR
view stats
Games conceded3
5
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded6
6
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded5
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+16%

Raith Rovers v Ayr United Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Raith Rovers Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9434
J RaeD EastonD EastonR Matthews
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Rae GLK91
-
P Hanlon DEF91
1
-
C Fordyce DEF9
2
-
J Doherty MID9
1
-
S Brown MID9
3
-
R Matthews MID91
4
-
J Hamilton FWD91
1
-
D Easton FWD943
2
-
L Stevenson DEF71
1
-
J Mullin MID7
1
S Byrne MID6
-
L Vaughan FWD61
2
-
K. Montagu MID31
-
Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8324
S McMannM McKenzieM RusN McAllister
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S McMann DEF811
-
M McKenzie FWD83
1
-
G Oakley FWD8
1
-
E Walker FWD821
3
-
N McAllister DEF711
4
-
D Watret DEF71
1
1
M Rus MID72
-
J Murphy MID52
-
J Hastie FWD5
-
C Main FWD51
-
B Dempsey MID4
-
A Dowds FWD4
-