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Ross County v Ayr United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Apr, 15:00 BST, Victoria Park, Dingwall

Ross County and their boss Stuart Kettlewell will be hoping for victory against Scott Brown and his Ayr United side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Victoria Park in the Championship. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Ross County or Ayr United are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 75% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ross County are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ross County
37%
11/10-
Draw
26%
2/1-
Ayr United
37%
11/5-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Ross County 1-0
9%
6/1-
Ayr United 1-0
9%
17/2-
Ross County 2-1
8%
17/2-
Ayr United 2-1
8%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
7/1-
Ross County 2-0
6%
9/1-
Ayr United 2-0
6%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Ross County 3-1
4%
18/1-
Ayr United 3-1
4%
28/1-
Ross County 3-0
3%
18/1-
Ayr United 3-0
3%
33/1-
Ross County 3-2
2%
33/1-
Ayr United 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
23/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
4/6-
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
48%
13/10-
No 1st Goal
4%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
55%
5/6-
BTTS - No
45%
5/6-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
13/2-
Home/draw
63%
2/7-
Away/draw
63%
3/5-
Home/away
74%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
13/2-
Home DNB
55%
8/15-
Away DNB
55%
11/8-
Ross County win to nil
19%
5/2-
Ayr United win to nil
19%
9/2-
Ross County / Ross County
24%
12/5-
Ross County / Ayr United
2%
33/1-
Ross County / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Ross County
15%
9/2-
Draw / Ayr United
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Ayr United / Ross County
3%
28/1-
Ayr United / Ayr United
15%
9/2-
Ayr United / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Ross County have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

33 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 10 and won 6. Ross County have conceded 53 goals, scored 28, failed to score in 15 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ross County have played 16 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 27 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Ayr United lay in 6th place on 39 points in the Championship league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 9 and losing 2 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ayr United have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Ayr United have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ross County
Ayr United
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone333768 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-4F
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
l
 
3-1A
2
Partick331763 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
3
Arbroath33147 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
4
Dunfermline321146 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
2-3F
5
Raith Rovers32139 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
6-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 1
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
6
Ayr United33-639 
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
-
7
Queen's Park32-939 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
8
Greenock 33-1236 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
9
Airdrieonians32-1530 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-4A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
10
Ross County33-2528 
-
-
-
-
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Ross County have lost 3 consecutive league games
7
Ross County have not won in 7 consecutive league games
6
Ayr United have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Ross County 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ross County0 - 4Airdrieonians
Ross County2 - 2Dunfermline
Ross County2 - 0Raith Rovers
Ross County0 - 1Queen's Park
Ross County2 - 0Partick
Ross County0 - 0St. Johnstone
Ross County0 - 2Arbroath
Ross County1 - 2Airdrieonians
Ross County0 - 3Greenock
Ross County3 - 3Ayr United
Ross County3 - 2Dunfermline
Ross County2 - 0Raith Rovers
Ross County1 - 2Queen's Park
Ross County1 - 2Arbroath
Ross County1 - 3Partick
Ross County0 - 1St. Johnstone
Ross County1 - 1Motherwell
Ross County1 - 3Hearts
Ross County0 - 1Aberdeen
Ross County0 - 1Dundee Utd
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARoss County0 - 1Queen's Park
HRoss County0 - 4Airdrieonians
ARoss County1 - 3Partick
HRoss County2 - 2Dunfermline
ARoss County0 - 1St. Johnstone
ARoss County0 - 0Arbroath
ARoss County0 - 3Dunfermline
HRoss County2 - 0Raith Rovers
ARoss County0 - 0Ayr United
HRoss County0 - 1Queen's Park
ARoss County1 - 0Queen's Park
ARoss County1 - 2Greenock
ARoss County1 - 0Airdrieonians
HRoss County2 - 0Partick
HRoss County0 - 0St. Johnstone
HRoss County0 - 2Arbroath
ARoss County0 - 6Raith Rovers
HRoss County1 - 2Airdrieonians
HRoss County0 - 3Greenock
HRoss County3 - 3Ayr United
Ayr United 6TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Raith Rovers3 - 0Ayr United
Queen's Park1 - 1Ayr United
Arbroath1 - 1Ayr United
St. Johnstone3 - 1Ayr United
Partick2 - 1Ayr United
Greenock 1 - 1Ayr United
Dunfermline2 - 3Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Ross County3 - 3Ayr United
Queen's Park0 - 0Ayr United
Partick2 - 1Ayr United
Raith Rovers0 - 2Ayr United
St. Johnstone0 - 0Ayr United
Dunfermline0 - 1Ayr United
Greenock 2 - 2Ayr United
Arbroath1 - 1Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Livingston5 - 0Ayr United
Raith Rovers1 - 0Ayr United
Partick2 - 0Ayr United
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAyr United1 - 0Arbroath
HAyr United0 - 3Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Partick
AAyr United0 - 3Raith Rovers
HAyr United0 - 1Greenock
AAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
HAyr United1 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United1 - 3St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Ross County
HAyr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United3 - 2Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Partick
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United3 - 3Ross County
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Ross County have drawn with Ayr United in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Ross County have not lost to Ayr United in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Ross County since 2018
Ross County
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
RSC
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ross County
Draw3 - 3Draw
Ross County3 - 2
Ross County2 - 1
League games at Ayr United since 2018
Ayr United
Ross County
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
RSC
1
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Ross County
Draw3 - 3Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Ayr United of late. It has been 9 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Ross County.

Ross County 10th Ayr United 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Ross County will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Ayr United will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
Ross County have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
-18
Ayr United have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Ross County
PG (predicted goals)
Ayr United
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
RSC
AYR
20%
better
view stats
Games scored18
23
Failed to score15
9
Scored first10
15
Goals scored28
35
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
RSC
AYR
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
25
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first19
13
Goals conceded53
42
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against21%
19%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+7%

Ross County v Ayr United Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Ross County Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
294410
C RandallJ WhiteJ HendersonD Gallagher
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J White FWD3243
3
-
C Randall DEF301
7
-
J Lindsay MID291
5
-
J Henderson MID2844
4
-
D Gallagher DEF273
9
1
T Carson GLK26
-
R Docherty MID25
4
1
K Phillips FWD2541
3
-
A Wright DEF242
4
-
L. O'Sullivan DEF23
1
-
A Iacovitti DEF2111
9
-
D Cornelius MID21
6
-
J Scott FWD20
1
-
D Smith DEF19
5
-
R Duncan MID172
1
-
B. Crompton DEF12
2
-
L. Pitan DEF11
3
-
S Mackie DEF9
4
1
J Carbon FWD8
2
-
U Ikpeazu FWD821
2
-
R Laidlaw GLK7
-
M Thomson FWD611
-
K Kamara MID3
1
1
J Reid DEF2
-
N Chilvers MID2
-
Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
337610
S McMannM McKenzieM RusM Rus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S McMann DEF3311
8
-
K Holt DEF302
4
-
M McKenzie FWD3071
2
-
M Rus MID2816
9
1
S Bannigan MID26
8
-
B Dempsey MID2631
7
-
L King DEF241
4
-
L Dick DEF241
5
-
A Dowds FWD2351
1
-
J. Bonnar MID212
2
-
J Murphy FWD2171
5
-
N McAllister DEF2011
7
-
D Mitchell GLK19
-
E Walker FWD1943
3
1
K. Ure MID171
2
-
D Watret DEF152
1
1
B Summers MID12
1
-
G Oakley FWD12
2
-
G. Finney DEF11
3
2
S Want DEF10
3
-
M. Thompson GLK8
-
L. Russell GLK7
-
F. Turley MID61
1
-