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Aberdeen v Motherwell : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Motherwell, led by manager Stuart Kettlewell, visit Neil Warnock and his Aberdeen side at the Pittodrie Stadium on Saturday afternoon in the Premiership. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Aberdeen's next match is v St. Johnstone at 15:00 on Saturday 4th May
Motherwell's next match is v Livingston at 15:00 on Saturday 4th May
The last Scottish Premiership meeting between Aberdeen and Motherwell was on Saturday 27th April 2024
Scottish Premiership
April 27th 2024
Aberdeen 1
0 Motherwell
 
S. Gartenmann 60'
 
ABD
MTW
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
12
3
Corners
10
7
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
9
14
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/1
 
AberdeenMotherwell
 
K. Roos
N. Devlin
J. MacKenzie (R. Jensen 74')
A. MacDonald
S. Gartenmannfootball icon
L. Clarkson
D. Polvara
C. Barron (L. Lopes 71')
J. McGrath
B. Miovski (E. Sokler 90')
D. Hoilett
L. Kelly
(O. Shaw 88') G. Gent
S. Blaney
(A. Halliday 70') D. Casey
P. McGinn
(B. Mugabi 81') S. O'Donnell
(M. Ebiye 81') L. Miller
(S. Nicholson 71') D. Zdravkovski
T. Bair
J. Vale
B. Spittal
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% probability of Aberdeen and Motherwell scoring a minimum of a couple of goals in this Premiership match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Aberdeen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Aberdeen
39%
6/5
10%
5/4
13%
--
Draw
25%
12/512/5
6%
--
Motherwell
36%
23/10
12%
21/10
11%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
8%
--
Aberdeen 2-1
9%
8/17/1--
Motherwell 2-1
8%
11/1
8%
17/2
5%
--
Aberdeen 1-0
8%
15/213/2--
Motherwell 1-0
8%
10/1
8%
8/1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1--
Aberdeen 2-0
6%
10/1
10%
9/1
11%
--
Motherwell 2-0
6%
16/1
19%
12/1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
10/18/1
10%
--
Aberdeen 3-1
4%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
--
Motherwell 3-1
4%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
--
Aberdeen 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1--
Aberdeen 3-0
3%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
--
Motherwell 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
22/1--
Motherwell 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
10/11
6%
---
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
10/11
5%
---
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11
7%
---
Away 1st Goal
48%
13/10
8%
---
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1---
BTTS - Yes
59%
7/107/10
2%
--
BTTS - No
41%
21/2021/20--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
10/3
8%
16/5
12%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
4%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
5/1
14%
17/4
13%
--
Home/draw
64%
1/3
6%
4/11
5%
--
Away/draw
61%
4/6
7%
8/13
10%
--
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
1%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/7
3%
---
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/4
6%
---
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
11/5
7%
---
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/11
3%
---
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/1
9%
---
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/8
2%
---
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
18%
---
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
---
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20---
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1---
Home DNB
57%
4/7
9%
8/13
9%
--
Away DNB
53%
5/4
14%
6/5
12%
--
Aberdeen win to nil
19%
3/1
7%
---
Motherwell win to nil
17%
5/1
14%
---
Aberdeen / Aberdeen
22%
13/5
13%
5/2
13%
--
Aberdeen / Motherwell
3%
28/122/1--
Aberdeen / Draw
6%
12/111/1--
Draw / Aberdeen
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
5%
--
Draw / Motherwell
12%
6/1
13%
11/2
13%
--
Draw / Draw
15%
9/219/5
9%
--
Motherwell / Aberdeen
4%
22/118/1--
Motherwell / Motherwell
16%
4/1
17%
19/5
9%
--
Motherwell / Draw
6%
14/111/1--
bet365
Relegation Group table

Aberdeen have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Aberdeen have conceded 44 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Aberdeen have played 16 games at home, winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Motherwell lay in 8th place on 37 points in the Premiership league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 23 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Motherwell have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Motherwell have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Aberdeen
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Motherwell
HOME AWAY HOME AWAY TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
 Motherwell 
-
-
-
-
-
-
May 4
-
 St. Johnstone 
May 19
-
-
-
-
-
-
May 12
 Hibernian 
-
May 15
-
-
-
-
May 15
-
 Livingston 
May 4
-
-
-
-
-
-
May 19
 Ross County 
-
May 11
-
-
-
-
-
-
 Aberdeen 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Aberdeen 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Motherwell 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Aberdeen have not lost to Motherwell in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Aberdeen since 2013
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Goals: Scored
30
23
Games: Scored
12 / 18
14 / 18
Clean sheets
4 / 18
6 / 18
ABD
9
D
2
MTW
7
All league games since 2013
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Goals: Scored
57
39
Games: Scored
25 / 34
24 / 34
Clean sheets
10 / 34
9 / 34
ABD
19
D
5
MTW
10
Goal Statistics

Aberdeen's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Motherwell have conceded in each of their last 9 Premiership games. A PG of 1.5 for N. Warnock's side suggests that run should continue.

Aberdeen's defensive record is very strong, N. Warnock's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Premiership games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Motherwell makes sense in this context.

Aberdeen 9th Motherwell 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Aberdeen will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Motherwell will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Aberdeen have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+21
Motherwell have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Premiership - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/274101/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Aberdeen
PG (predicted goals)
Motherwell
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
ABD
MTW
13%
better
view stats
Games scored19
24
Failed to score15
10
Scored first13
9
Goals scored36
46
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate13%
16%
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
19%
better
ABD
MTW
view stats
Games conceded26
31
Clean sheets8
3
Conceded first17
24
Goals conceded49
52
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate15%
16%
KickOff rating
+19%

Aberdeen v Motherwell Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331457
K RoosB MiovskiDukS Rubezic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Roos GLK33
3
-
N Devlin DEF3221
4
-
A MacDonald DEF16
2
-
S Gartenmann DEF282
5
-
J MacKenzie DEF231
-
D Polvara MID241
2
-
C Barron MID2412
1
-
J McGrath MID3081
5
-
L Clarkson MID3123
2
-
J Hoilett MID81
2
-
B Miovski FWD33142
3
-
Subs
R Doohan GLK
-
R Jensen DEF261
4
-
J Milne DEF6
-
S Rubezic DEF16
7
-
J Hayes MID131
3
-
K Phillips MID9
-
R Duncan MID91
-
Duk FWD2945
4
-
E Sokler FWD221
1
-
Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331398
L KellyT BairB SpittalD Casey
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Kelly GLK33
3
-
D Casey DEF2422
8
-
P McGinn DEF26
3
-
S Blaney DEF192
1
-
S O'Donnell MID333
6
-
D Zdravkovski MID22
3
-
B Spittal MID3279
5
-
L Miller MID203
3
1
G. Gent MID2413
3
-
T Bair FWD33134
1
-
J Vale FWD1022
2
-
Subs
A Oxborough GLK
-
B Mugabi DEF292
2
-
S Nicholson MID111
2
-
D. Wells MID1
-
C Butcher MID14
8
-
A Halliday  MID811
1
-
O Shaw FWD182
1
-
M Ebiye FWD21
-
M Ferrie FWD4
-