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Aberdeen v Motherwell : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Motherwell, led by manager Stuart Kettlewell, visit Neil Warnock and his Aberdeen side at the Pittodrie Stadium on Wednesday evening in the Premiership. Team form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping under 2.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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Aberdeen's next match is v St. Mirren at 15:00 on Saturday 2nd March
Motherwell's next match is v Rangers at 15:00 on Saturday 2nd March
The last Scottish Premiership meeting between Aberdeen and Motherwell was on Wednesday 14th February 2024
Scottish Premiership
February 14th 2024
Aberdeen 3
3 Motherwell
 
L. Lopes 31'5' T. Bair
S. Gartenmann 37'22' T. Bair
L. Lopes 50'26' A. Devine
 
ABD
MTW
Shots On
7
8
Shots Off
5
Corners
7
3
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
6
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/0
 
AberdeenMotherwell
 
K. Roos
J. MacKenzie
N. Devlin
S. Gartenmannfootball icon
L. Clarkson (K. Phillips 77')
C. Barron
D. Polvara (A. MacDonald 30')
J. McGrath
G. Shinnie
B. Miovski
S. Morris (L. Lopes 30')
L. Kelly
(S. O'Donnell 72') football iconA. Devine
P. McGinn
B. Mugabi
G. Gent
H. Paton
(S. Nicholson 58') D. Zdravkovski
C. Butcher
football iconfootball iconT. Bair
B. Spittal
(J. Obika 72') J. Vale
Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Barry Robson and Stuart Kettlewell to got all-out defensive here, but we certainly don't expect to see a flood of goals as Aberdeen and Motherwell go head-to-head. The stats belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.90 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

There's an increasing belief among bookies and bettors alike interested in this particular clash that under 2.5 goals will be a winning bet. This can be seen in the shortening odds for this outcome, and drifting odds for over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Aberdeen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Aberdeen
43%
1/1
11%
1/1
11%
19/20
13%
10/11
11%
Draw
28%
5/2
7%
23/10
11%
23/10
6%
49/20
7%
Motherwell
29%
11/4
12%
29/10
13%
11/4
11%
14/5
13%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
Aberdeen 1-0
13%
6/1
7%
11/2
13%
11/2
7%
11/2
13%
Motherwell 1-0
10%
9/1
23%
9/1
23%
10/1
15%
17/2
24%
Draw 0-0
10%
17/2
21%
8/1
25%
8/1
18%
8/1
25%
Aberdeen 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
Aberdeen 2-0
8%
8/1
6%
15/28/115/2
Motherwell 2-1
7%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
12/123/2
4%
Motherwell 2-0
5%
18/1
17%
18/1
27%
18/1
17%
16/1
19%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/114/1
15%
14/115/1
23%
Aberdeen 3-1
4%
16/1
31%
14/1
15%
16/1
31%
15/1
23%
Aberdeen 3-0
4%
16/1
13%
16/1
31%
16/1
13%
14/1
7%
Motherwell 3-1
2%
28/133/133/130/1
Aberdeen 3-2
2%
28/1
26%
28/1
26%
28/1
26%
28/1
38%
Motherwell 3-0
2%
40/150/1
24%
40/1
20%
40/1
20%
Motherwell 3-2
1%
40/140/1
21%
40/1
21%
40/1
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
21/20
11%
21/20
14%
Evs
11%
11/10
19%
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
3/4
10%
7/10
11%
8/11
9%
4/6
15%
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/13
8%
7/10
8%
7/10
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
8/5
5%
6/4
5%
6/4
4%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
17/2
21%
8/1
25%
15/2
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
10/11
9%
5/6
8%
5/6
6%
19/20
13%
BTTS - No
53%
10/11
5%
20/23
7%
5/6
9%
4/5
13%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
10/3
20%
16/5
24%
16/5
20%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/417/5
2%
7/2
2%
19/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2
6%
13/2
7%
13/2-
Home/draw
71%
1/4
4%
1/4
4%
1/4
4%
1/4
4%
Away/draw
57%
4/5
10%
4/5
12%
4/5
10%
17/20
9%
Home/away
72%
2/7
3%
1/3
3%
1/3
3%
3/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/3
6%
1/3
6%
4/11
9%
7/20
9%
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
12/5
15%
21/10
17%
2/1
20%
41/20
21%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
11/4
17%
13/5
24%
11/4
25%
29/10
30%
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
2/7
5%
1/4
8%
1/4
8%
2/9
10%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
6/1
27%
13/2
36%
6/1
27%
7/1
39%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/10
4%
1/11
4%
1/12
4%
1/18
5%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1
36%
16/1
42%
-17/1
50%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/33
2%
1/40
2%
-1.00
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/16
2%
1/14
1%
1/16
2%
1/25
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
17/2
17%
8/1
25%
7/1
20%
8/1
22%
Home DNB
63%
4/9
5%
4/9
8%
2/5
5%
21/50
7%
Away DNB
48%
13/8
15%
13/8
19%
7/4
15%
37/20
15%
Aberdeen win to nil
26%
12/511/5
3%
21/10
3%
-
Motherwell win to nil
17%
5/1
19%
5/1
25%
11/2
19%
-
Aberdeen / Aberdeen
27%
11/5
11%
9/4
16%
21/10
13%
21/10
13%
Aberdeen / Motherwell
2%
33/140/140/140/1
14%
Aberdeen / Draw
6%
14/114/114/114/1
7%
Draw / Aberdeen
17%
4/1
5%
7/2
4%
18/54/1
4%
Draw / Motherwell
10%
7/1
11%
13/2
17%
8/1
10%
15/2
11%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
17%
18/5
12%
4/1
9%
21/5
10%
Motherwell / Aberdeen
3%
22/1
10%
25/1
13%
25/1
13%
25/1
24%
Motherwell / Motherwell
13%
11/2
7%
11/2
13%
11/2
7%
27/5
15%
Motherwell / Draw
6%
14/114/114/114/1
7%
bet365
Win / draw / win Premiership table

Aberdeen have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Aberdeen have conceded 34 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 8 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Aberdeen have played 11 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Motherwell lay in 8th place on 25 points in the Premiership league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 17 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Motherwell have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Motherwell have played 11 away games, winning 1, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Aberdeen
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Motherwell
HOME AWAY HOME AWAY TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
-
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-3F
 Rangers284970 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
-
Mar 2
d
 
1-1F
-
l
 
1-3A
l
 
6-0A
 Celtic284868 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-3F
-
-
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
 Hearts28852 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
-
l
 
2-0A
-
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
 Kilmarnock28340 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
-
-
Mar 2
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
 St. Mirren28139 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
-
Apr 13
-
d
 
1-1F
Mar 13
 Dundee27-1132 
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1F
-
Apr 6
d
 
2-2A
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Hibernian27-931 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 13
-
-
Mar 16
d
 
3-3A
w
 
2-4F
 Motherwell A28-629 
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
 Aberdeen H27-1427 
l
 
2-4A
d
 
3-3F
Mar 16
-
l
 
0-2A
-
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
 St. Johnstone28-1827 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
-
d
 
1-1A
Mar 30
-
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Ross County27-2223 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
5-0F
-
-
Apr 6
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Livingston28-2916 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-0A
-
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Aberdeen 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Motherwell 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
9
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Aberdeen have beaten Motherwell in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Aberdeen since 2013
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Goals: Scored
27
20
Games: Scored
11 / 17
13 / 17
Clean sheets
4 / 17
6 / 17
ABD
9
D
1
MTW
7
All league games since 2013
Aberdeen
Motherwell
Goals: Scored
53
36
Games: Scored
23 / 32
23 / 32
Clean sheets
9 / 32
9 / 32
ABD
18
D
4
MTW
10
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Aberdeen of late. It has been 5 Premiership matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Wednesday evening against Motherwell.

Aberdeen 9th Motherwell 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Aberdeen will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Motherwell will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Aberdeen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Motherwell’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics Premiership - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264049/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Aberdeen
PG (predicted goals)
Motherwell
1.3
1
Attack rating
ABD
MTW
14%
better
view stats
Games scored15
20
Failed to score12
8
Scored first9
8
Goals scored31
39
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate14%
17%
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
6%
better
ABD
MTW
view stats
Games conceded23
25
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first16
19
Goals conceded45
45
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate17%
18%
KickOff rating
+6%

Aberdeen v Motherwell Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271347
K RoosB MiovskiDukG Shinnie
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Roos GLK27
2
-
N Devlin DEF2621
3
-
S Gartenmann DEF222
4
-
J MacKenzie DEF181
-
S Morris MID12
-
C Barron MID182
1
-
G Shinnie MID272
7
-
J McGrath MID2471
4
-
L Clarkson MID2613
2
-
D Polvara MID201
2
-
B Miovski FWD27132
2
-
Subs
R Doohan GLK
-
A MacDonald DEF11
1
-
J Milne DEF5
-
R Duncan MID81
-
J Hayes MID131
3
-
K Phillips MID6
-
Duk FWD2444
4
-
P Gueye FWD4
-
E Sokler FWD181
1
-
Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281088
L KellyT BairB SpittalC Butcher
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Kelly GLK28
3
-
B Mugabi DEF262
2
-
C Butcher DEF13
8
-
P McGinn DEF21
3
-
A Devine MID51
-
D Zdravkovski MID18
3
-
H Paton MID221
4
1
B Spittal MID2778
4
-
G. Gent MID203
3
-
J Vale FWD52
-
T Bair FWD28104
-
Subs
A Oxborough GLK
-
S O'Donnell DEF282
4
-
D Casey DEF1912
7
-
S Blaney DEF141
1
-
J Buyabu DEF
-
S Nicholson MID71
2
-
L Miller MID151
3
1
J Obika FWD101
-
M Ferrie FWD2
-