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Motherwell v Livingston : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fir Park, Motherwell

Livingston are away from home on Saturday afternoon, as manager David Martindale takes his side to visit Motherwell and Stuart Kettlewell at the Fir Park in the Premiership. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

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Motherwell's next match is v St. Johnstone at 15:00 on Sunday 19th May
Livingston's next match is v Hibernian at 15:00 on Sunday 19th May

The last Scottish Premiership meeting between Motherwell and Livingston was on Saturday 4th May 2024

Scottish Premiership

May 4th 2024

Motherwell 4	1 Livingston

T. Bair 21'	77' J. Nouble
S. Nicholson 45'
T. Bair 68'
D. Casey 74'

	MTW LIV
Shots On	6 1
Shots Off	6 2
Corners	6 5
Possession	47% 53%
Fouls	8 12
Yellow/red cards	2/0

Motherwell	Livingston

L. Kelly S. Blaney S. O'Donnell D. Casey (C. Butcher 90') P. McGinn G. Gent (Ross 90') A. Halliday (H. Paton 67') S. Nicholson (D. Zdravkovski 67') L. Miller T. Bair B. Spittal (M. Ebiye 84')	S. George M. Devlin (S. Bradley 61') A. Obileye S. Kelly J. Brandon M. Nottingham S. Pittman S. Kelly (T. Yengi 46') J. Holt (J. Nouble 61') D. Mackay (A. Shinnie 74') B. Anderson

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Motherwell and Livingston will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Stuart Kettlewell or David Martindale has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.30 equating to roughly a 79% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Motherwell are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Motherwell 58%	7/10 6%	7/10 6%
Draw 22%	3/1 11%	14/5 6%
Livingston 20%	15/4 10%	19/5 7%
Draw 1-1 11%	13/2 7%	6/1 8%
Motherwell 1-0 10%	6/1	11/2
Motherwell 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Motherwell 2-0 10%	7/1 6%	13/2
Motherwell 3-1 6%	12/1 13%	11/1
Motherwell 3-0 6%	12/1 13%	10/1 8%
Livingston 1-0 6%	11/1	10/1 10%
Draw 0-0 5%	10/1	8/1 6%
Livingston 2-1 5%	14/1	12/1 8%
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1 13%	12/1
Motherwell 3-2 3%	25/1	18/1
Motherwell 4-1 3%	28/1	20/1
Motherwell 4-0 3%	25/1 10%	18/1 10%
Livingston 2-0 3%	22/1	18/1
Livingston 3-1 2%	40/1 21%	28/1 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	10/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	10/11	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	4/9 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	2/1 9%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	10/11 6%	17/20
BTTS - No 46%	10/11 2%	17/20
BTTS - Home Win 27%	11/4	13/5 3%
BTTS - Draw 17%	9/2 16%	19/5 4%
BTTS - Away Win 10%	8/1 6%	7/1
Home/draw 80%	2/11 2%	2/11 2%
Away/draw 42%	11/10 8%	11/10 5%
Home/away 78%	2/9 5%	1/4 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	2/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	12/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	1/3	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	5/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/8	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	10/1	-
Home DNB 73%	2/7 3%	1/4 4%
Away DNB 36%	5/2 8%	5/2 9%
Motherwell win to nil 30%	7/4 8%	-
Livingston win to nil 10%	7/1	-
Motherwell / Motherwell 31%	13/8 9%	8/5 5%
Motherwell / Livingston 2%	40/1 21%	28/1
Motherwell / Draw 5%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Motherwell 18%	7/2 5%	10/3 2%
Draw / Livingston 8%	9/1 11%	8/1 6%
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4 5%
Livingston / Motherwell 4%	20/1 9%	18/1
Livingston / Livingston 11%	15/2 21%	13/2 7%
Livingston / Draw 5%	16/1 13%	12/1

Relegation Group table

Motherwell have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Premiership league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 5 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Motherwell have outscored their opponents by 46 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Motherwell have played 17 games at home winning 4, drawing 6 and losing 7 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 28 goals at home.

Livingston are in 12th position in the Premiership on 18 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 36 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 21 games, drawn 9 and won 4. Livingston have conceded 59 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 17 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Motherwell

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Livingston

HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	TEAM	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
-	-	-	l 1-0A	Aberdeen	-	l 5-1F	-	-
-	-	w 4-1F	-	Livingston	-	-	-	-
-	-	-	w 1-5F		w 2-0F	-	-	-
-	-	-	l 3-0A		May 19	-	-	-
-	-	May 19	-	St. Johnstone	w 2-1A	-	-	-
-	-	-	-	Motherwell	-	l 4-1A	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Motherwell	1 - 1	Hibernian
Motherwell	1 - 1	St. Mirren
Motherwell	0 - 1	Aberdeen
Motherwell	1 - 3	Celtic
Motherwell	5 - 0	Ross County
Motherwell	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	3 - 1	Livingston
Motherwell	0 - 2	Rangers
Motherwell	1 - 1	St. Johnstone
Motherwell	3 - 3	Dundee
Motherwell	1 - 2	Hearts
Motherwell	2 - 4	Aberdeen
Motherwell	3 - 3	Ross County
Motherwell	1 - 2	Celtic
Motherwell	0 - 1	St. Mirren
Motherwell	2 - 1	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 1	Hibernian
Motherwell	3 - 2	Dundee Utd
Motherwell	1 - 0	Ross County
Motherwell	2 - 0	Kilmarnock

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Motherwell	0 - 1	Aberdeen
H	Motherwell	1 - 1	Hibernian
A	Motherwell	3 - 2	Dundee
H	Motherwell	1 - 1	St. Mirren
H	Motherwell	0 - 1	Aberdeen
A	Motherwell	2 - 1	Rangers
A	Motherwell	3 - 1	Livingston
H	Motherwell	1 - 3	Celtic
A	Motherwell	0 - 2	Hearts
A	Motherwell	3 - 3	Aberdeen
H	Motherwell	5 - 0	Ross County
H	Motherwell	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	1 - 1	St. Johnstone
A	Motherwell	2 - 2	Hibernian
H	Motherwell	3 - 1	Livingston
H	Motherwell	0 - 2	Rangers
A	Motherwell	0 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Motherwell	1 - 1	St. Johnstone
A	Motherwell	0 - 3	Ross County
H	Motherwell	3 - 3	Dundee

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

20 / 20

Clean sheets

0 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM
Hearts	4 - 2	Livingston
Hibernian	3 - 0	Livingston
St. Johnstone	1 - 1	Livingston
Ross County	3 - 2	Livingston
Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Livingston
Rangers	3 - 0	Livingston
Motherwell	3 - 1	Livingston
Celtic	2 - 0	Livingston
Aberdeen	2 - 1	Livingston
St. Mirren	1 - 0	Livingston
Dundee	1 - 0	Livingston
Hearts	1 - 0	Livingston
Kilmarnock	3 - 1	Livingston
St. Johnstone	1 - 1	Livingston
Ross County	1 - 1	Livingston
Hibernian	2 - 3	Livingston
Rangers	4 - 0	Livingston
St. Johnstone	2 - 0	Livingston
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Livingston
Ross County	2 - 0	Livingston

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Livingston	2 - 0	Ross County
A	Livingston	2 - 4	Hearts
H	Livingston	0 - 0	Aberdeen
H	Livingston	0 - 3	Celtic
A	Livingston	0 - 3	Hibernian
A	Livingston	1 - 1	St. Johnstone
H	Livingston	1 - 3	Motherwell
A	Livingston	2 - 3	Ross County
H	Livingston	1 - 0	St. Mirren
A	Livingston	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
A	Livingston	0 - 3	Rangers
H	Livingston	2 - 2	Ross County
H	Livingston	1 - 4	Dundee
H	Livingston	1 - 2	Hearts
A	Livingston	1 - 3	Motherwell
H	Livingston	0 - 0	St. Johnstone
A	Livingston	0 - 2	Celtic
A	Livingston	1 - 2	Aberdeen
H	Livingston	0 - 0	Kilmarnock
H	Livingston	0 - 1	Hibernian

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Motherwell have beaten Livingston in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Motherwell have not lost to Livingston in 10 consecutive home league meetings

Motherwell

Livingston

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 10

7 / 10

Clean sheets

3 / 10

0 / 10

MTW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Motherwell
Motherwell	3 - 1
Motherwell	3 - 0
Motherwell	1 - 0
Motherwell	2 - 1
Motherwell	3 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Motherwell	2 - 1
Motherwell	3 - 2
Motherwell	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Motherwell

Livingston

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

16 / 20

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

4 / 20

MTW

LIV

FIXTURE HISTORY
	1 - 3	Motherwell
Motherwell	3 - 1
Livingston	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Motherwell	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Motherwell	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Motherwell	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Motherwell
Motherwell	3 - 1
	0 - 2	Motherwell
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Livingston	1 - 0
Motherwell	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Motherwell	3 - 2
Motherwell	3 - 0
Livingston	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Motherwell 8th	Livingston 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Motherwell will score 1 or more goals	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Livingston will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+12 Motherwell have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted	-32 Livingston have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	2.1 conceded

Statistics Premiership - 2023/2024 Season

29%

better

MTW

LIV

view stats

Games scored	26		20
Failed to score	11		17
Scored first	11		10
Goals scored	55		28
Avg. goals scored	1.5		0.8
Avg. shots per game	9		7
Avg. shots per goal	6		9
Conversion rate	17%		11%
KickOff rating		+29%

MTW

LIV

better

view stats

Games conceded	34		30
Clean sheets	3		7
Conceded first	25		23
Goals conceded	57		69
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate	17%		18%
KickOff rating		+4%

Motherwell v Livingston Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	15	11	8
L Kelly	T Bair	B Spittal	D Casey

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Kelly GLK	37			3 -
D Casey DEF	28	3	2	8 -
P McGinn DEF	30	1		4 -
S Blaney DEF	23	2		1 -
S O'Donnell MID	37		4	6 -
A Halliday MID	12	1	1	1 -
L Miller MID	24		3	4 1
G. Gent MID	28	1	4	5 -
B Spittal MID	36	9	11	5 -
S Nicholson MID	15	2		2 -
T Bair FWD	37	15	6	1 -
Subs
A Oxborough GLK				-
B Mugabi DEF	31	2		2 -
D Zdravkovski MID	26	1		5 -
C Butcher MID	16	1		8 -
H Paton MID	25	2		4 1
O Shaw FWD	19		2	1 -
M Ebiye FWD	5	1		-
M Ferrie FWD	4			-
L Ross FWD	2	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	29	11	18
T Bair	T Bair	B Spittal	B Spittal

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Bair FWD	15	29	6	6
B Spittal MID	9	26	11	18
D Casey DEF	3	9	2	1
S Blaney DEF	2	2		2
S Nicholson MID	2	4
P McGinn DEF	1	3		2
A Halliday MID	1	5	1
G. Gent MID	1	8	4	9
S O'Donnell MID		4	4	6
L Miller MID		4	3	1
Subs
B Mugabi DEF	2	5		1
H Paton MID	2	6		3
D Zdravkovski MID	1	3		1
C Butcher MID	1
M Ebiye FWD	1	2		1
L Ross FWD	1	1
O Shaw FWD		4	2	2
M Ferrie FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1531	62	193
B Spittal	H Paton	P McGinn

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
B Spittal MID	1531	50	182
S O'Donnell MID	1191	50	137
L Kelly GLK	1093	1	19
P McGinn DEF	1071	53	193
D Casey DEF	1045	42	148
L Miller MID	732	45	135
T Bair FWD	645	12	149
S Blaney DEF	618	20	118
G. Gent MID	481	61	99
A Halliday MID	228	10	29
S Nicholson MID	121	7	42
Subs
H Paton MID	663	62	129
B Mugabi DEF	652	33	156
D Zdravkovski MID	584	34	68
C Butcher MID	336	9	33
O Shaw FWD	98	4	43
M Ebiye FWD	17		4
M Ferrie FWD	9
L Ross FWD	4	1	1

Livingston Premiership squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	6	2	11
J Holt	S Kelly	S Kelly	M Devlin

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S George GLK	31			2 -
M Nottingham DEF	25			3 -
M Devlin DEF	28		1	11 -
A Obileye DEF	30			4 -
S Kelly DEF	22	6		1 -
J Brandon MID	32			7 -
D MacKay MID	24	1	1	1 -
J Holt MID	35		1	7 -
S Kelly MID	27		2	1 -
S Pittman MID	28	2		2 -
B Anderson FWD	33	6		2 -
Subs
K Wright GLK				-
C Montano MID	15	1	1	4 1
D Carson MID	9			2 -
M Sangare MID	24	1	1	4 -
A Shinnie MID	32	3		3 -
S Bradley FWD	17		1	1 -
J Nouble FWD	31	1	1	1 -
K Guthrie FWD	26	1	1	2 -
T Yengi FWD	15	4	2	5 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	10	2	4
S Kelly	J Nouble	S Kelly	S Pittman

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Anderson FWD	6	8		1
S Kelly DEF	6	8		2
S Pittman MID	2	4		4
D MacKay MID	1	8	1	2
M Nottingham DEF		2		2
M Devlin DEF		4	1
A Obileye DEF		8
J Brandon MID		2		2
J Holt MID		4	1
S Kelly MID		4	2	3
Subs
T Yengi FWD	4	10	2	2
A Shinnie MID	3	5		3
C Montano MID	1	6	1	4
M Sangare MID	1	4	1	1
J Nouble FWD	1	10	1
K Guthrie FWD	1	3	1	2
S Bradley FWD		2	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1115	84	195
J Holt	J Brandon	K Guthrie

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Holt MID	1115	53	160
S George GLK	1089	1	13
A Obileye DEF	1000	18	138
M Devlin DEF	992	23	130
M Nottingham DEF	719	28	143
J Brandon MID	707	84	140
S Kelly DEF	641	23	81
S Pittman MID	586	43	99
S Kelly MID	578	33	68
B Anderson FWD	268	8	62
D MacKay MID	220	19	82
Subs
A Shinnie MID	674	43	125
J Nouble FWD	570	29	172
K Guthrie FWD	316	18	195
C Montano MID	284	14	67
M Sangare MID	263	30	98
S Bradley FWD	234	17	50
T Yengi FWD	223	19	93
D Carson MID	178	12	18