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Motherwell v Livingston : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fir Park, Motherwell

David Martindale pays counterpart Jens Berthel Askou a visit on Saturday afternoon in the Premiership, as their Livingston and Motherwell sides face each other at the Fir Park. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Premiership matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Motherwell's next match is v Dundee Utd at 15:00 on Saturday 13th December
Livingston's next match is v Dundee at 15:00 on Saturday 13th December
The last Scottish Premiership meeting between Motherwell and Livingston was on Saturday 6th December 2025
Scottish Premiership
December 6th 2025
Motherwell 3
0 Livingston
 
E. Watt 18'
A. Stamatelopoulos 60'
M. Emmanuel 88'
 
MTW
LIV
Shots On
7
1
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
4
5
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
9
19
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
MotherwellLivingston
 
S. O'Donnell
L. Gordon
C. Ward
P. McGinn
J. Koutroumbis (M. Emmanuel 70')
L. Fadinger
E. Wattfootball icon (O. Priestman 70')
A. Stamatelopoulosfootball icon (C. Hendry 61')
T. Maswanhise
E. Just (C. Slattery 71')
R. Charles-Cook (I. Sa’id 89')
M. Susoho
(R. McGowan 70') S. Pittman
(R. Muirhead 70') L. Smith
(J. Bokila 61') S. May
D. Finlayson
J. Prior
D. Wilson
(M. Sylla 70') M. Tait
(J. Brenet 62') C. Montaño Castillo
S. Adeniran Lawal
T. Yengi

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but good reason to think Motherwell and Livingston will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Jens Berthel Askou or David Martindale has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Motherwell are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Motherwell
59%
8/111/300
Draw
23%
11/4750/1
Livingston
18%
7/21/50
Motherwell 1-0
12%
7/123/10
Motherwell 2-0
11%
15/22/5
Draw 1-1
11%
6/119/4
Motherwell 2-1
10%
15/26/1
Draw 0-0
7%
11/113/2
Motherwell 3-0
7%
12/11/5
Livingston 1-0
6%
14/117/2
Motherwell 3-1
6%
12/117/2
Livingston 2-1
5%
14/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/140/1
Motherwell 4-0
3%
25/16/1
Livingston 2-0
3%
25/116/1
Motherwell 4-1
3%
25/140/1
Motherwell 3-2
3%
22/166/1
Livingston 3-1
1%
33/145/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
4/517/10
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1/12/5
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/73/5
Away 1st Goal
39%
8/59/5
No 1st Goal
4%
11/113/2
BTTS - Yes
49%
3/415/2
BTTS - No
51%
1/11/18
BTTS - Home Win
24%
5/215/2
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/433/1
BTTS - Away Win
8%
15/21/50
Home/draw
82%
2/111/50
Away/draw
41%
21/2033/1
Home/away
77%
1/41/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/43/10
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3/123/10
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
2/116/5
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/51/5
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/222/1
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/71/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/190/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/201/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/251/14
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11/113/2
Home DNB
75%
2/71/50
Away DNB
34%
5/21/50
Motherwell win to nil
35%
2/1-
Livingston win to nil
10%
8/1-
Motherwell / Motherwell
32%
13/82/7
Motherwell / Livingston
3%
33/112/1
Motherwell / Draw
6%
12/19/2
Draw / Motherwell
18%
15/418/1
Draw / Livingston
8%
17/228/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/120/1
Livingston / Motherwell
4%
20/1125/1
Livingston / Livingston
10%
13/266/1
Livingston / Draw
6%
14/1125/1
Win / draw / win Premiership table

Motherwell have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Premiership league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 6 and lost 1 match. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Motherwell have outscored their opponents by 22 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Motherwell have played 7 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Livingston are in 12th position in the Premiership on 8 points having played 14 matches so far this season. Livingston are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Livingston have conceded 26 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Motherwell
Livingston
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts161935 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
-
Apr 11
l
 
1-2F
Jan 3
Apr 4
-
2
Celtic151432 
Dec 30
l
 
3-2A
-
Mar 14
Dec 27
l
 
3-0A
-
Feb 11
3
Motherwell161026 
-
-
-
-
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
Jan 31
-
4
Rangers15926 
d
 
1-1A
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
Feb 21
-
5
Hibernian16924 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 10
Mar 21
-
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
-
Mar 14
6
Aberdeen15021 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
Feb 14
-
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
-
Jan 24
7
Falkirk16-521 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 4
-
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
Feb 4
-
8
Dundee Utd15-416 
w
 
2-0F
Dec 13
Feb 28
-
Dec 30
d
 
1-1F
-
Apr 11
9
St. Mirren15-814 
Jan 3
d
 
0-00-0
-
Feb 21
Jan 6
Dec 20
Feb 28
-
10
Kilmarnock16-1412 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-3F
Jan 24
-
Jan 10
d
 
2-2A
-
Mar 21
11
Dundee16-1612 
Dec 20
d
 
1-1F
-
Feb 4
Dec 13
l
 
3-2A
-
Feb 14
12
Livingston15-148 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
-
Jan 31
-
-
-
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
7
Motherwell have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
12
Livingston have not won in 12 consecutive league games
3
Motherwell have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Motherwell 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
Livingston 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
12
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Motherwell have beaten Livingston in 6 consecutive home league meetings
11
Motherwell have not lost to Livingston in 11 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Motherwell since 2018
Motherwell
Livingston
Goals: Scored
27
10
Games: Scored
11 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
0 / 11
MTW
9
D
2
League games at Livingston since 2018
Livingston
Motherwell
Goals: Scored
12
13
Games: Scored
9 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
2 / 11
MTW
4
D
4
LIV
3
Goal Statistics

Motherwell's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Livingston have conceded in each of their last 9 Premiership outings. A PG of 1.8 for J. Askou's side suggests that run should continue.

With a PG of just 0.9, Livingston look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Motherwell have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Premiership games, and it could be a long afternoon for D. Martindale's men.

Motherwell 3rd Livingston 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Motherwell will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Livingston scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Motherwell’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Livingston have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Motherwell
PG (predicted goals)
Livingston
1.8
0.9
Attack rating
23%
better
MTW
LIV
view stats
Games scored12
10
Failed to score3
4
Scored first7
4
Goals scored22
15
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
42%
better
MTW
LIV
view stats
Games conceded9
13
Clean sheets6
1
Conceded first5
9
Goals conceded15
26
Avg. goals conceded1
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against12%
19%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+42%

Motherwell v Livingston Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16834
C WardT MaswanhiseE JustE Watt
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ward GLK16
-
S O'Donnell DEF13
1
-
P McGinn DEF14
1
-
L Gordon DEF10
3
-
J. Koutroumbis DEF151
1
-
L Fadinger MID151
-
E Watt MID1521
4
-
E Just MID1333
-
T Maswanhise FWD1681
-
A Stamatelopoulos FWD1562
1
-
R Charles-Cook FWD121
1
-
Subs
M Connolly GLK
-
E Longelo DEF1543
2
-
S Welsh DEF10
1
-
T Sparrow MID8
-
C Slattery MID1112
2
-
O. Priestman MID9
-
L Ross FWD2
-
C Hendry FWD11
3
-
I Said FWD16
-
Livingston Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15425
J PriorJ BokilaS MayC Montano
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Prior GLK15
1
-
S. Adeniran Lawal DEF8
1
-
D Finlayson DEF141
4
-
D Wilson DEF151
1
-
C Montano DEF81
5
-
M Tait MID121
3
-
M. Susoho MID11
1
-
L Smith MID1321
-
S Pittman MID1431
3
-
S May MID142
4
-
T Yengi FWD131
1
-
Subs
J Hamilton GLK
-
R McGowan DEF7
2
-
J Brenet  DEF5
-
M Sylla MID141
3
-
R Muirhead FWD1111
4
-
G Carey FWD711
1
-
A Winter FWD9
-
J Bokila FWD144
2
-
A Shinnie FWD5
-