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Dundee v Kilmarnock : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Dens Park, Dundee

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Premiership, and Tony Docherty’s Dundee will have the joy of it on Saturday lunch time. Derek McInnes’s Kilmarnock are their visitors to the Dens Park. For every Premiership preview, KickOff explores the stats for all of the biggest markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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The last Scottish Premiership meeting between Dundee and Kilmarnock was on Saturday 18th May 2024
Scottish Premiership
May 18th 2024
Dundee 1
1 Kilmarnock
 
L. McCowan 37'24' G. Mackay-Steven
 
DDE
KIL
Shots On
2
2
Shots Off
10
8
Corners
4
3
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
7
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/1
 
DundeeKilmarnock
 
J. McCracken
O. Dodgson
J. McGhee
J. Portales Villarreal
A. Donnelly
M. Sylla (M. Boateng 70')
L. McCowanfootball icon
J. Mulligan (D. Costelloe 46')
L. Cameron (F. Robertson 62')
A. Bakayoko (C. Main 70')
S. Tiffoney (R. Howley 85')
K. O'Hara
C. Ndaba
J. Wright
R. Deas
S. Findlay
(D. Armstrong 59') football iconG. Mackay-Steven
(G. Stewart 46') L. Polworth
L. Donnelly
(J. Balagizi 71') F. Murray
(I. Cameron 59') M. Watkins
(D. Watson 86') R. McKenzie
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Dundee and Kilmarnock will score a minimum of two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 76%. The bookies have it available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dundee are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dundee
37%
13/10
12%
13/10
12%
Draw
25%
27/10
12%
13/5
6%
Kilmarnock
37%
15/8
10%
19/10
12%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Kilmarnock 1-0
9%
10/117/2
6%
Dundee 1-0
9%
17/2
14%
15/2
6%
Kilmarnock 2-1
8%
9/117/2
6%
Dundee 2-1
8%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
Draw 0-0
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Kilmarnock 2-0
6%
14/112/1
8%
Dundee 2-0
6%
11/1
20%
10/1
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Kilmarnock 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Dundee 3-1
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Kilmarnock 3-0
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Dundee 3-0
3%
20/1
19%
16/1
19%
Kilmarnock 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Dundee 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
48%
8/11
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
11/10
8%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
12/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
8/133/5
2%
BTTS - No
44%
6/55/4
BTTS - Home Win
19%
3/1
16%
29/10
10%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
13%
16/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4/1
5%
18/5
6%
Home/draw
63%
2/5
3%
2/5
5%
Away/draw
63%
4/7
9%
3/5
8%
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/1
9%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/16
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1
8%
-
Home DNB
55%
4/6
9%
4/6
10%
Away DNB
55%
11/10
15%
21/20
11%
Dundee win to nil
19%
10/3
13%
-
Kilmarnock win to nil
19%
9/2
10%
-
Dundee / Dundee
22%
11/4
13%
13/5
10%
Dundee / Kilmarnock
3%
25/120/1
11%
Dundee / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Dundee
14%
5/19/2
8%
Draw / Kilmarnock
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
8%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
17/4
5%
Kilmarnock / Dundee
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock
17%
15/4
10%
7/2
13%
Kilmarnock / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
Championship Group table

Dundee have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Dundee have conceded 50 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Dundee have played 18 games at home, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 27 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Kilmarnock lay in 4th place on 51 points in the Premiership league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 9 and losing 4 games. They have scored 36 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Kilmarnock have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Kilmarnock have played 18 away games, winning 4, drawing 8 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Dundee
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Kilmarnock
HOME AWAY HOME AWAY TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
-
-
l
 
1-2A
-
 Celtic 
l
 
0-5A
-
-
-
-
-
l
 
1-3A
-
 St. Mirren 
-
w
 
0-1F
-
-
-
-
-
l
 
3-0A
  
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
-
-
-
l
 
5-2F
 Rangers 
-
l
 
4-1F
-
-
-
-
d
 
1-1A
-
 Kilmarnock 
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
 Dundee 
-
d
 
1-1F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
4
Dundee have lost 4 consecutive league games
7
Dundee have not won in 7 consecutive league games
Dundee 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Kilmarnock 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Dundee have drawn with Kilmarnock in 3 consecutive league meetings
6
Dundee have not lost to Kilmarnock in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Dundee since 2014
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
15
15
Games: Scored
11 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
1 / 12
DDE
2
D
8
KIL
2
All league games since 2014
Dundee
Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
31
28
Games: Scored
19 / 22
17 / 22
Clean sheets
5 / 22
3 / 22
DDE
6
D
11
KIL
5
Goal Statistics
Dundee 6th Kilmarnock 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Dundee will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Kilmarnock will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Dundee have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Kilmarnock’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics Premiership - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/274126/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Dundee
PG (predicted goals)
Kilmarnock
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
3%
better
DDE
KIL
view stats
Games scored29
30
Failed to score9
8
Scored first18
19
Goals scored49
46
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate16%
13%
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
DDE
KIL
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
24
Clean sheets11
14
Conceded first16
15
Goals conceded68
44
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate16%
12%
KickOff rating
+20%

Dundee v Kilmarnock Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Dundee Premiership squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
371057
L McCowanL McCowanL McCowanL McCowan
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J McCracken GLK12
-
J McGhee DEF335
5
-
J Villarreal DEF2221
2
-
A Donnelly DEF213
4
-
O Dodgson DEF162
4
-
M Sylla MID242
1
-
J Mulligan MID181
2
1
L Cameron MID325
2
-
L McCowan MID37105
7
-
S Tiffoney MID2832
1
-
A Bakayoko FWD3765
7
-
Subs
H Sharp GLK1
-
R Astley DEF3
-
F Robertson MID13
1
-
M Boateng MID321
5
-
C Main FWD13
3
-
Z Robinson FWD213
-
R Howley FWD13
-
M Mellon FWD1432
3
-
D Costelloe FWD162
4
-
Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3791010
S FindlayM WatkinsD ArmstrongR Deas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K O'Hara GLK3
-
R Deas DEF301
10
-
J Wright DEF2931
8
1
S Findlay DEF37
5
-
C Ndaba DEF281
2
1
G Mackay-Steven  MID911
-
L Donnelly MID27
8
-
L Polworth MID283
1
-
F Murray MID151
-
R McKenzie MID281
4
-
M Watkins FWD3693
2
-
Subs
D Armstrong MID38610
9
-
D Watson MID3652
9
-
J Balagizi MID5
-
K Vassell FWD3593
4
-
M Kennedy FWD3533
3
-
I Cameron FWD101
1
-
G Stewart FWD8
1
-
K Veen FWD121
3
-
Scottish Premiership match betting previews, predictions and odds