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Kilmarnock v Motherwell : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 15:00 BST, Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Motherwell pay Premiership counterparts Kilmarnock a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Alfred Johansson leads his team into an away clash with & co. at the Rugby Park. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a sound selection is published below. Go between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and the best odds for it all.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Premiership tie will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to a tip of over 2.5 goals.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 55% chance of Motherwell coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Kilmarnock 23%	21/10	-
Draw 22%	13/5	-
Motherwell 55%	23/20	-
Draw 1-1 10%	6/1	-
Motherwell 2-1 10%	8/1	-
Motherwell 1-0 8%	17/2	-
Motherwell 2-0 8%	11/1	-
Motherwell 3-1 6%	16/1	-
Kilmarnock 2-1 6%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
Motherwell 3-0 5%	20/1	-
Kilmarnock 1-0 5%	11/1	-
Draw 0-0 4%	12/1	-
Motherwell 3-2 4%	22/1	-
Motherwell 4-1 3%	33/1	-
Kilmarnock 2-0 3%	16/1	-
Motherwell 4-0 3%	40/1	-
Kilmarnock 3-1 2%	22/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 61%	8/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 39%	11/10	-
Home 1st Goal 43%	11/10	-
Away 1st Goal 54%	4/5	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	8/13	-
BTTS - No 40%	6/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	9/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 29%	3/1	-
Home/draw 45%	4/6	-
Away/draw 77%	4/11	-
Home/away 78%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	2/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	10/3	-
Over 3.5 Goals 39%	7/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 61%	4/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 21%	4/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 79%	1/6	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	9/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/16	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	12/1	-
Home DNB 38%	6/5	-
Away DNB 70%	8/13	-
Kilmarnock win to nil 10%	5/1	-
Motherwell win to nil 26%	3/1	-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock 16%	4/1	-
Kilmarnock / Motherwell 4%	22/1	-
Kilmarnock / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Kilmarnock 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Motherwell 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Motherwell / Kilmarnock 3%	25/1	-
Motherwell / Motherwell 24%	5/2	-
Motherwell / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Premiership table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Kilmarnock Motherwell
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Celtic	7	10	18	l 1-5A	Nov 8	Apr 3	-	Oct 11	Dec 26	Feb 3	-
2	Rangers	7	4	16	Dec 26	Oct 10	-	Feb 3	Nov 21	l 1-0A	-	Mar 13
3	Hearts	7	6	13	d 1-1F	Jan 2	Mar 13	-	Oct 25	Dec 13	Feb 20	-
4	Dundee	7	2	10	Dec 12	Oct 28	-	Feb 27	Dec 19	l 2-1A	-	Mar 20
5	St. Mirren	7	-1	10	l 0-1A	Nov 28	Jan 9	-	Oct 31	d 3-3F	-	Feb 13
6	St. Johnstone	7	-1	8	Oct 31	l 4-3A	-	Feb 20	Jan 2	Oct 28	-	Apr 10
7	Aberdeen	7	-1	8	Nov 21	d 0-00-0	-	Apr 10	l 0-4A	Dec 30	Apr 3	-
8	Dundee Utd	7	-2	8	l 0-4A	Dec 19	Feb 13	-	w 3-0F	Nov 7	Jan 23	-
9	Motherwell	7	-2	8	Oct 17	Dec 5	Jan 30	-	-	-	-	-
10	Hibernian	7	-3	7	Dec 2	w 0-1F	-	Jan 23	Nov 28	w 1-2F	-	Jan 9
11	Falkirk	7	-3	6	Dec 30	Oct 24	-	Mar 20	d 0-00-0	Dec 2	Feb 27	-
12	Kilmarnock	7	-9	5	-	-	-	-	Dec 5	Oct 17	-	Jan 30

	UEFA Champions League
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	UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hearts
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	0 - 4	Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Celtic
Kilmarnock	3 - 1	Dundee
Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Livingston
Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Hearts
Kilmarnock	2 - 3	Celtic
Kilmarnock	4 - 3	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Hibernian
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Falkirk
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Rangers
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hearts
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hearts
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Hibernian
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Aberdeen
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	St. Mirren
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 4	Dundee Utd
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Celtic
A	Kilmarnock	3 - 4	St. Johnstone
A	Kilmarnock	4 - 1	Livingston
H	Kilmarnock	3 - 1	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	3 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Dundee Utd
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Aberdeen
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hibernian
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Livingston
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Hearts
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Falkirk
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 3	Celtic
H	Kilmarnock	4 - 3	St. Mirren

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dundee	2 - 1	Motherwell
Rangers	1 - 0	Motherwell
St. Mirren	3 - 3	Motherwell
Hibernian	1 - 2	Motherwell
Hibernian	0 - 1	Motherwell
Falkirk	1 - 0	Motherwell
Rangers	2 - 3	Motherwell
Hearts	3 - 1	Motherwell
Celtic	3 - 1	Motherwell
Dundee	2 - 1	Motherwell
St. Mirren	0 - 5	Motherwell
Livingston	0 - 2	Motherwell
Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
Rangers	1 - 0	Motherwell
Dundee Utd	0 - 0	Motherwell
Falkirk	0 - 0	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Motherwell
Aberdeen	1 - 1	Motherwell
Livingston	1 - 2	Motherwell
Celtic	3 - 2	Motherwell

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Motherwell	1 - 2	Dundee
H	Motherwell	0 - 4	Aberdeen
A	Motherwell	0 - 1	Rangers
H	Motherwell	3 - 0	Dundee Utd
A	Motherwell	3 - 3	St. Mirren
H	Motherwell	0 - 0	Falkirk
A	Motherwell	2 - 1	Hibernian
A	Motherwell	1 - 0	Hibernian
H	Motherwell	2 - 3	Celtic
H	Motherwell	1 - 1	Hearts
A	Motherwell	0 - 1	Falkirk
A	Motherwell	3 - 2	Rangers
A	Motherwell	1 - 3	Hearts
H	Motherwell	2 - 3	Falkirk
H	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hibernian
A	Motherwell	1 - 3	Celtic
A	Motherwell	1 - 2	Dundee
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
A	Motherwell	5 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

12 / 18

Clean sheets

6 / 18

KIL

MTW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
	1 - 3	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Kilmarnock	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Kilmarnock	2 - 1
Kilmarnock	4 - 1
	0 - 1	Motherwell
	0 - 1	Motherwell
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Kilmarnock	3 - 1
Kilmarnock	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Motherwell
	1 - 2	Motherwell
	0 - 1	Motherwell
	1 - 2	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Motherwell

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

17 / 22

15 / 22

Clean sheets

7 / 22

5 / 22

KIL

MTW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Motherwell
Motherwell	4 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Motherwell	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Motherwell	2 - 1
Motherwell	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Motherwell	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 0
Motherwell	3 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	1 - 0
Motherwell	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Kilmarnock of late. It has been 6 Premiership matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Motherwell.

	Kilmarnock 12th	Motherwell 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	2.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Kilmarnock will score no more than 1 goal	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Motherwell will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+3 Kilmarnock’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+10 Motherwell’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.8 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2026/2027 season

KIL

MTW

13%

better

view stats

Games scored	4		4
Failed to score	3		3
Scored first	2		3
Goals scored	6		9
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.3
Avg. shots per game	7		11
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	13		12
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.5
KickOff rating		+13%

KIL

MTW

11%

better

view stats

Games conceded	5		5
Clean sheets	2		2
Conceded first	4		3
Goals conceded	15		11
Avg. goals conceded	2.1		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	16%		16%
Avg. XG against	2.5		1.9
KickOff rating		+11%

Kilmarnock v Motherwell Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	1	2	2
M Schjönning-Larsen	M Schjönning-Larsen	T Lowery	J Hugill

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	7	1		1 -
G Stanger DEF	7	1		-
J Brandon DEF	7			1 -
M O'Hara MID	7			-
T Lowery MID	7		2	1 -
J Hugill FWD	7	1		2 -
T John-Jules FWD	7			2 -
G Kiltie FWD	7	1		1 -
M Stryjek GLK	6			-
B Rice MID	6			2 -
E Ring FWD	6			-
C. McCarthy DEF	5			2 -
A Tshibola MID	5			1 1
R McKenzie FWD	4			-
D. Daniels FWD	4			1 1
J Yfeko DEF	2			-
N Clescenco FWD	2			-
C Ferrie GLK	1			-
M. Kamson-Kamara DEF	1			-
J Meier DEF	1			-
R Deas DEF	1			-
C. Burke MID	1			-
I. Owen FWD	1			-
R. Mathurin FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	9	2	3
M Schjönning-Larsen	J Hugill	T Lowery	T Lowery

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	1	3		2
G Stanger DEF	1	1
J Hugill FWD	1	9		1
G Kiltie FWD	1	6		2
T Lowery MID			2	3
T John-Jules FWD		2
B Rice MID		1		1
E Ring FWD				1
C. McCarthy DEF		2
A Tshibola MID		3		2
N Clescenco FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
344	12	36
T Lowery	T Lowery	T John-Jules

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Lowery MID	344	12	26
G Stanger DEF	280	9	26
C. McCarthy DEF	248	11	26
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	247	5	22
M Stryjek GLK	217		2
G Kiltie FWD	211	8	35
A Tshibola MID	188	4	17
J Brandon DEF	166	8	20
E Ring FWD	103	9	27
T John-Jules FWD	96	10	36
B Rice MID	96	3	6
J Hugill FWD	84	2	14
J Yfeko DEF	73	4	6
M O'Hara MID	65	8	19
D. Daniels FWD	39	7	11
C Ferrie GLK	38		1
R McKenzie FWD	36	2	4
M. Kamson-Kamara DEF	28	1	3
N Clescenco FWD	23	3	6
J Meier DEF	17		1
R Deas DEF	15		1
C. Burke MID	9	1	4
R. Mathurin FWD	7	2	3
I. Owen FWD	3		2

Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	2	2
A Paulsen	A Lowry	T Sparrow	M Moormann

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Paulsen GLK	7			-
E Longelo DEF	7			1 -
M Moormann DEF	7			2 -
A Lowry MID	7	2	1	-
L Fadinger MID	7	1		2 -
T Sparrow MID	7		2	2 -
T Maswanhise FWD	7	1	2	-
J. Girdwood-Reich DEF	6			-
I Said FWD	6	1		-
R Charles-Cook FWD	6	1		-
J. Kanga MID	5	1		-
J Hodge MID	5			-
E Bjørgolfsson FWD	5			-
S. Palmer-Houlden FWD	5	1		1 -
W. Vogt FWD	5			-
J. Knight-Lebel DEF	4			-
D Willis DEF	4		1	1 -
D Levitt MID	3	1		-
E Wilson DEF	2			-
O. Priestman MID	2			1 -
J. Koutroumbis DEF	1			-
M. Booth MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	10	2	4
A Lowry	A Lowry	T Sparrow	E Longelo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Lowry MID	2	10	1	2
L Fadinger MID	1	6
T Maswanhise FWD	1	5	2
I Said FWD	1	1
R Charles-Cook FWD	1	2
J. Kanga MID	1	1
S. Palmer-Houlden FWD	1	2
D Levitt MID	1	1
E Longelo DEF		2		4
M Moormann DEF		1		1
T Sparrow MID			2	1
E Bjørgolfsson FWD		2
W. Vogt FWD				1
D Willis DEF			1	1
O. Priestman MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
553	16	38
M Moormann	T Sparrow	T Sparrow

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Moormann DEF	553	7	24
L Fadinger MID	527	12	30
J. Girdwood-Reich DEF	398	2	25
J Hodge MID	392	12	19
T Sparrow MID	344	16	38
A Paulsen GLK	311		8
E Longelo DEF	276	5	27
A Lowry MID	256	5	18
J. Knight-Lebel DEF	234		13
I Said FWD	155	11	35
D Willis DEF	107	2	4
J. Kanga MID	100	3	9
O. Priestman MID	95	4	8
D Levitt MID	87	1	1
R Charles-Cook FWD	81	3	14
T Maswanhise FWD	71	9	23
W. Vogt FWD	41	3	8
S. Palmer-Houlden FWD	30	2	8
M. Booth MID	18	2	3
E Bjørgolfsson FWD	14		8
J. Koutroumbis DEF	13	3	5
E Wilson DEF	3		1