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Kilmarnock v Motherwell : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 15:00 BST, Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Home advantage can be vital in the Premiership, and ’s Kilmarnock will have the luxury of it on Saturday afternoon. Alfred Johansson’s Motherwell are their opponents at the Rugby Park. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Premiership tie will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to a tip of over 2.5 goals.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 56% chance of Motherwell coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Kilmarnock 23%	2/1 3%	-
Draw 22%	27/10 3%	-
Motherwell 55%	6/5 2%	-
Draw 1-1 10%	6/1	-
Motherwell 2-1 10%	8/1	-
Motherwell 1-0 8%	10/1 16%	-
Motherwell 2-0 8%	12/1 8%	-
Motherwell 3-1 6%	14/1 12%	-
Kilmarnock 2-1 6%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1 8%	-
Motherwell 3-0 5%	20/1	-
Kilmarnock 1-0 5%	12/1 8%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1 15%	-
Motherwell 3-2 4%	20/1 9%	-
Motherwell 4-1 3%	33/1	-
Kilmarnock 2-0 3%	18/1 12%	-
Motherwell 4-0 3%	40/1	-
Kilmarnock 3-1 2%	20/1 9%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	8/13 6%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	13/10 10%	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	21/20 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 54%	4/5	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1 15%	-
BTTS - Yes 61%	8/15 6%	-
BTTS - No 39%	11/8 8%	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	4/1 9%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 30%	11/4 6%	-
Home/draw 45%	4/6	-
Away/draw 77%	4/11	-
Home/away 78%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1/5 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	7/2 4%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	6/4 9%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	8/15 6%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	7/2 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	1/5 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	8/1 20%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/14 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1 15%	-
Home DNB 38%	6/5	-
Away DNB 70%	8/13	-
Kilmarnock win to nil 10%	11/2 8%	-
Motherwell win to nil 25%	10/3 8%	-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock 18%	15/4 5%	-
Kilmarnock / Motherwell 4%	20/1 9%	-
Kilmarnock / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Kilmarnock 11%	13/2 7%	-
Draw / Motherwell 14%	5/1 9%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Motherwell / Kilmarnock 3%	25/1	-
Motherwell / Motherwell 24%	5/2	-
Motherwell / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Premiership table

Kilmarnock have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league. Kilmarnock are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Kilmarnock have conceded 18 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Kilmarnock have played 4 games at home, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 2 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Motherwell lay in 9th place on 8 points in the Premiership league table having played 8 matches. Motherwell are unbeaten in 2 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 2 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 2 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Motherwell have conceded 1 goal and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Motherwell have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Kilmarnock Motherwell
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Celtic	8	12	21	l 1-5A	Nov 8	Apr 3	-	l 0-2A	Dec 26	Feb 3	-
2	Rangers	8	6	19	Dec 26	l 3-1A	-	Feb 3	Nov 21	l 1-0A	-	Mar 13
3	Hearts	8	11	16	d 1-1F	Jan 2	Mar 13	-	Oct 25	Dec 13	Feb 20	-
4	Dundee	8	3	13	Dec 12	Oct 28	-	Feb 27	Dec 19	l 2-1A	-	Mar 20
5	St. Johnstone	8	0	11	Oct 31	l 4-3A	-	Feb 20	Jan 2	Oct 28	-	Apr 10
6	Dundee Utd	8	-1	11	l 0-4A	Dec 19	Feb 13	-	w 3-0F	Nov 7	Jan 23	-
7	St. Mirren	8	-6	10	l 0-1A	Nov 28	Jan 9	-	Oct 31	d 3-3F	-	Feb 13
8	Aberdeen	8	-2	8	Nov 21	d 0-00-0	-	Apr 10	l 0-4A	Dec 30	Apr 3	-
9	Motherwell	8	-4	8	Oct 17	Dec 5	Jan 30	-	-	-	-	-
10	Hibernian	8	-4	7	Dec 2	w 0-1F	-	Jan 23	Nov 28	w 1-2F	-	Jan 9
11	Falkirk	8	-4	6	Dec 30	Oct 24	-	Mar 20	d 0-00-0	Dec 2	Feb 27	-
12	Kilmarnock	8	-11	5	-	-	-	-	Dec 5	Oct 17	-	Jan 30

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Motherwell have lost 4 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hearts
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	0 - 4	Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Celtic
Kilmarnock	3 - 1	Dundee
Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Livingston
Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Hearts
Kilmarnock	2 - 3	Celtic
Kilmarnock	4 - 3	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Hibernian
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Falkirk
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Rangers
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hearts
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Rangers
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hearts
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Hibernian
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Aberdeen
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	St. Mirren
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 4	Dundee Utd
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Celtic
A	Kilmarnock	3 - 4	St. Johnstone
A	Kilmarnock	4 - 1	Livingston
H	Kilmarnock	3 - 1	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	3 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Dundee Utd
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Aberdeen
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hibernian
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Livingston
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Hearts
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Falkirk
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 3	Celtic

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dundee	2 - 1	Motherwell
Rangers	1 - 0	Motherwell
St. Mirren	3 - 3	Motherwell
Hibernian	1 - 2	Motherwell
Hibernian	0 - 1	Motherwell
Falkirk	1 - 0	Motherwell
Rangers	2 - 3	Motherwell
Hearts	3 - 1	Motherwell
Celtic	3 - 1	Motherwell
Dundee	2 - 1	Motherwell
St. Mirren	0 - 5	Motherwell
Livingston	0 - 2	Motherwell
Hibernian	1 - 1	Motherwell
Rangers	1 - 0	Motherwell
Dundee Utd	0 - 0	Motherwell
Falkirk	0 - 0	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Motherwell
Aberdeen	1 - 1	Motherwell
Livingston	1 - 2	Motherwell
Celtic	3 - 2	Motherwell

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Motherwell	0 - 2	Celtic
A	Motherwell	1 - 2	Dundee
H	Motherwell	0 - 4	Aberdeen
A	Motherwell	0 - 1	Rangers
H	Motherwell	3 - 0	Dundee Utd
A	Motherwell	3 - 3	St. Mirren
H	Motherwell	0 - 0	Falkirk
A	Motherwell	2 - 1	Hibernian
A	Motherwell	1 - 0	Hibernian
H	Motherwell	2 - 3	Celtic
H	Motherwell	1 - 1	Hearts
A	Motherwell	0 - 1	Falkirk
A	Motherwell	3 - 2	Rangers
A	Motherwell	1 - 3	Hearts
H	Motherwell	2 - 3	Falkirk
H	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hibernian
A	Motherwell	1 - 3	Celtic
A	Motherwell	1 - 2	Dundee
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
A	Motherwell	5 - 0	St. Mirren

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

12 / 18

Clean sheets

6 / 18

KIL

MTW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
	1 - 3	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Kilmarnock	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Kilmarnock	2 - 1
Kilmarnock	4 - 1
	0 - 1	Motherwell
	0 - 1	Motherwell
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Kilmarnock	3 - 1
Kilmarnock	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Motherwell
	1 - 2	Motherwell
	0 - 1	Motherwell
	1 - 2	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Motherwell

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

17 / 22

15 / 22

Clean sheets

7 / 22

5 / 22

KIL

MTW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Motherwell
Motherwell	4 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Motherwell	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Motherwell	2 - 1
Motherwell	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Motherwell	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 0
Motherwell	3 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	1 - 0
Motherwell	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Kilmarnock of late. It has been 7 Premiership matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Motherwell.

	Kilmarnock 12th	Motherwell 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	2.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Kilmarnock will score no more than 1 goal	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Motherwell will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+3 Kilmarnock’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+10 Motherwell’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.8 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2026/2027 season

KIL

MTW

better

view stats

Games scored	5		4
Failed to score	3		4
Scored first	2		3
Goals scored	7		9
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.1
Avg. shots per game	7		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		9
Conversion rate for	12		11
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.5
KickOff rating		+3%

KIL

MTW

11%

better

view stats

Games conceded	6		6
Clean sheets	2		2
Conceded first	5		4
Goals conceded	18		13
Avg. goals conceded	2.3		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		15%
Avg. XG against	2.4		2.1
KickOff rating		+11%

Kilmarnock v Motherwell Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	1	2	2
M Schjönning-Larsen	G Stanger	T Lowery	C. McCarthy

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Ferrie GLK	2			-
M. Kamson-Kamara DEF	2			-
C. McCarthy DEF	6			2 -
G Stanger DEF	8	1		-
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	8	1		2 -
B Rice MID	6			2 -
T Lowery MID	8		2	1 -
E Ring MID	7			-
G Kiltie MID	8	1		1 -
T John-Jules FWD	8			2 -
J Hugill FWD	8	1	1	2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	9	2	3
G Stanger	J Hugill	T Lowery	T Lowery

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Stanger DEF	1	1
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	1	3		1
G Kiltie MID	1	6		2
J Hugill FWD	1	9	1	1
C. McCarthy DEF		2
B Rice MID		1		1
T Lowery MID			2	3
E Ring MID				1
T John-Jules FWD		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
399	13	46
T Lowery	C. McCarthy	T John-Jules

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Lowery MID	399	13	30
G Stanger DEF	316	13	35
C. McCarthy DEF	285	13	32
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	281	7	26
G Kiltie MID	239	9	39
T John-Jules FWD	125	11	46
E Ring MID	114	9	29
J Hugill FWD	97	3	15
B Rice MID	96	3	6
C Ferrie GLK	65	1	2
M. Kamson-Kamara DEF	43	2	7

Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	2	2	2
A Paulsen	A Lowry	T Sparrow	T Sparrow

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Paulsen GLK	8			-
T Sparrow DEF	8		2	2 -
S O'Donnell DEF	3			1 -
M Moormann DEF	8			2 -
E Longelo DEF	8			1 -
D Levitt MID	4	1		-
L Fadinger MID	8	1		2 -
A Lowry MID	8	2	1	-
J Hodge MID	6			1 -
W. Vogt FWD	6			-
S. Palmer-Houlden FWD	6	1		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	10	2	4
A Lowry	A Lowry	T Sparrow	E Longelo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Lowry MID	2	10	1	2
D Levitt MID	1	1
L Fadinger MID	1	7
S. Palmer-Houlden FWD	1	3
T Sparrow DEF			2	2
M Moormann DEF		1		1
E Longelo DEF		2		4
W. Vogt FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
590	21	45
M Moormann	T Sparrow	T Sparrow

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Moormann DEF	590	7	24
L Fadinger MID	579	15	33
J Hodge MID	432	14	22
T Sparrow DEF	386	21	45
A Paulsen GLK	356	1	10
E Longelo DEF	307	5	26
A Lowry MID	282	6	20
D Levitt MID	114	1	1
S O'Donnell DEF	104	3	4
W. Vogt FWD	47	4	9
S. Palmer-Houlden FWD	42	2	12