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Sporting de Gijon v Malaga : La Liga 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th Jan, 13:00 BST, Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón

Sunday afternoon sees Borja Jiménez Sáez’s Sporting de Gijon and Sergio Pellicer García’s Malaga go up against one another in a La Liga 2 battle at the Estadio Municipal El Molinón. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with La Liga 2 performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 78% chance of S.Gijon and Malaga no more than 3 goals combined during this La Liga 2 game according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S.Gijon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.86.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S.Gijon
49%
20/23-
Draw
27%
11/5-
Malaga
25%
3/1-
S.Gijon 1-0
13%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
S.Gijon 2-0
10%
15/2-
S.Gijon 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1-
Malaga 1-0
9%
9/1-
Malaga 2-1
6%
14/1-
S.Gijon 3-0
5%
16/1-
S.Gijon 3-1
4%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Malaga 2-0
4%
20/1-
S.Gijon 3-2
2%
33/1-
Malaga 3-1
2%
33/1-
S.Gijon 4-0
2%
33/1-
S.Gijon 4-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
6/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
13/20-
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
47%
10/11-
BTTS - No
53%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
15/4-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
8/1-
Home/draw
75%
2/9-
Away/draw
51%
5/6-
Home/away
73%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/14-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1-
Home DNB
67%
2/5-
Away DNB
43%
7/4-
S.Gijon win to nil
30%
2/1-
Malaga win to nil
14%
11/2-
S.Gijon / S.Gijon
26%
21/10-
S.Gijon / Malaga
2%
33/1-
S.Gijon / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / S.Gijon
17%
15/4-
Draw / Malaga
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4-
Malaga / S.Gijon
3%
25/1-
Malaga / Malaga
13%
11/2-
Malaga / Draw
5%
14/1-
Win / draw / win La Liga 2 table

S.Gijon have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the La Liga 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 2 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 26 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

S.Gijon have played 10 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Malaga are in 10th position in the La Liga 2 on 26 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 0 and won 3. Malaga have conceded 9 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
S.Gijon
Malaga
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
R.Santander1911441537 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 1
May 24
l
 
3-0A
2
Las Palmas199731234 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
3
Deportivo199551132 
Mar 29
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
4
Almeria19955932 
May 24
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 19
5
Castellon19946631 
Mar 15
l
 
3-1A
Apr 26
l
 
2-1F
6
Cadiz19865130 
Apr 19
Jan 9
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
7
S.Gijon19937030 
-
-
May 10
Jan 4
8
Burgos19856629 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 12
Jan 25
l
 
2-1F
9
Ceuta19856-129 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
Jan 11
May 17
10
Malaga19757226 
Jan 4
May 10
-
-
11
Cordoba19685026 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 26
d
 
2-2F
Jan 18
12
Valladolid19667124 
Feb 22
w
 
2-3F
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
13
FC Andorra19667-524 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
w
 
4-1F
Apr 1
14
Albacete19658-623 
l
 
3-4F
Feb 15
Feb 22
w
 
1-3A
15
Huesca19658-623 
Feb 8
l
 
2-0A
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
16
Cultural Leonesa197210-823 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
Feb 8
l
 
1-0A
17
R.Sociedad B196310-221 
Apr 5
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
18
Granada19496-321 
w
 
1-0F
May 31
d
 
2-2F
Mar 1
19
Eibar19568-321 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 1
d
 
1-1A
May 3
20
Leganes19487-320 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
Mar 29
l
 
2-0A
21
Zaragoza194510-1417 
w
 
1-0F
May 17
d
 
1-1F
May 31
22
Mirandes194411-1216 
Jan 25
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-2F
Feb 1
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
S.Gijon have won 3 consecutive league games
6
S.Gijon have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
3
S.Gijon have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
S.Gijon 7TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Malaga 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Malaga have not lost to S.Gijon in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at S.Gijon since 2015
S.Gijon
Malaga
Goals: Scored
9
8
Games: Scored
6 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
2 / 8
SPG
4
D
2
MAL
2
League games at Malaga since 2016
Malaga
S.Gijon
Goals: Scored
11
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
D
4
MAL
4
Goal Statistics

Sporting de Gijon's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Malaga have conceded in each of their last 9 La Liga 2 matches. A PG of 1.5 for B. Jiménez Sáez's side suggests that run should continue.

With a PG of just 0.9, Malaga look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Sporting de Gijon have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive La Liga 2 games, and it could be a long afternoon for S. Pellicer García's men.

S.Gijon 7th Malaga 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that S.Gijon will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Malaga scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
S.Gijon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Malaga’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga 2 - 2025/2026 season
S.Gijon
PG (predicted goals)
Malaga
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
4%
better
SPG
MAL
view stats
Games scored16
14
Failed to score3
5
Scored first11
11
Goals scored23
26
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
13%
better
SPG
MAL
view stats
Games conceded12
16
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first7
8
Goals conceded23
24
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+13%

S.Gijon v Malaga La Liga 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

S.Gijon La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19889
R YáñezJ DubasinJ OteroÀlex Corredera
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Yáñez GLK19
-
D Sánchez DEF192
3
-
C Gelabert MID1972
2
-
G Rosas DEF1811
2
1
N Martín MID18
4
-
P Vázquez DEF171
4
-
L Perrin DEF171
5
-
Àlex Corredera MID17
8
1
G Campos FWD1721
3
-
J Otero FWD1638
3
-
J Smith MID15
5
-
J Dubasin FWD1582
2
1
P García DEF11
1
-
A. Coundoul FWD10
1
-
J Caicedo FWD10
1
-
K Vázquez DEF8
1
1
D Queipo FWD8
1
-
E Curbelo DEF7
3
-
M Loum MID5
-
O Cortés FWD5
1
-
J Bernal MID4
-
Y Diantela DEF1
1
-
Malaga La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19636
A HerreroC. Ruiz RubioJ LobeteF Montero
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Herrero GLK19
-
R Rodríguez MID1951
1
-
D Larrubia FWD1921
1
-
J Lobete FWD1813
1
-
D Lorenzo MID1731
2
-
C Dotor MID171
3
-
J Muñoz FWD161
2
-
C. Ruiz Rubio FWD1662
3
-
V García DEF152
5
-
D Murillo DEF15
4
1
E Jauregi FWD133
1
-
F Montero DEF12
5
1
Juanpe MID122
2
-
I. Merino Rodríguez MID122
4
-
E Galilea DEF112
3
1
A. Niño Heredia FWD114
-
D. Rodríguez Sánchez DEF10
-
C. Puga Medina DEF10
1
-
D Brasanac MID7
1
A. Ochoa Moloney MID6
-
J Gabilondo DEF5
-
J Dorrio FWD4
-
H Abaida FWD4
-
Álex Pastor DEF2
1
-
L Sánchez MID1
-