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FC Basel v FC Lugano : Super League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 9th Nov, 13:00 BST, St Jakob-Park, Basel

Mattia Croci-Torti pays counterpart Ludovic Magnin a visit on Sunday afternoon in the Super League, as their FC Lugano and FC Basel teams go head to head at the St Jakob-Park. Analysing both sides' last 20 Super League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.


Best Tip: Basel to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this match, and it's Basel. Their recent form statistics show their ability at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat FC Lugano too. The odds point towards Ludovic Magnin's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Basel
63%
19/253/4
Draw
19%
29/1027/10
FC Lugano
17%
29/1027/10
Basel 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Basel 2-0
9%
10/117/2
Draw 1-1
9%
13/213/2
Basel 1-0
8%
10/18/1
Basel 3-1
7%
12/110/1
Basel 3-0
7%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/19/1
FC Lugano 2-1
5%
12/110/1
Basel 4-1
4%
22/116/1
Basel 3-2
4%
18/114/1
FC Lugano 1-0
4%
16/112/1
Basel 4-0
4%
28/118/1
Draw 0-0
3%
16/112/1
Basel 4-2
2%
33/122/1
FC Lugano 2-0
2%
22/116/1
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
8/1510/21
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
7/511/8
Home 1st Goal
56%
8/133/5
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/1029/20
No 1st Goal
2%
16/112/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
1/21/2
BTTS - No
40%
6/47/5
BTTS - Home Win
34%
21/102/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
10/37/2
BTTS - Away Win
10%
5/119/4
Home/draw
83%
1/41/4
Away/draw
37%
19/201/1
Home/away
81%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/71/7
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
9/218/5
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
6/523/20
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
8/134/7
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
11/45/2
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1/42/9
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
6/15/1
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/101/12
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/401/150
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/111/1
Home DNB
77%
4/114/11
Away DNB
31%
2/119/10
Basel win to nil
30%
11/4-
FC Lugano win to nil
7%
8/1-
Basel / Basel
29%
7/417/10
Basel / FC Lugano
3%
28/122/1
Basel / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Basel
16%
4/119/5
Draw / FC Lugano
9%
8/115/2
Draw / Draw
12%
6/15/1
FC Lugano / Basel
4%
18/116/1
FC Lugano / FC Lugano
13%
5/15/1
FC Lugano / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Super League table

Basel have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Super League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 1 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Basel have outscored their opponents by 22 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Basel have played 5 games at home winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

FC Lugano are in 7th position in the Super League on 16 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 0 and won 2. FC Lugano have conceded 11 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Basel
FC Lugano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Thun121128 
Feb 1
w
 
1-3F
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Nov 22
-
-
2
Basel12722 
-
-
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Nov 9
-
-
3
St Gallen111221 
Nov 30
l
 
2-1F
-
-
Nov 2
l
 
1-0A
-
-
4
Young Boys12-119 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
Dec 21
l
 
3-1A
-
-
5
Sion12318 
Jan 18
w
 
0-1F
-
-
Nov 29
l
 
4-0A
-
-
6
FC Luzern12517 
l
 
1-2A
Dec 17
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Jan 17
-
-
7
FC Lugano11-116 
Nov 9
l
 
3-1A
-
-
-
-
-
-
8
Lausanne12415 
Dec 14
l
 
5-1A
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Dec 7
-
-
9
Servette12-414 
Dec 20
w
 
0-3F
-
-
Dec 14
l
 
2-1A
-
-
10
Zurich12-713 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Dec 17
-
-
11
Grasshoppers12-1010 
w
 
2-1F
Nov 23
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Jan 31
-
-
12
Winterthur12-196 
w
 
3-0F
Dec 7
-
-
Jan 24
w
 
2-4A
-
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Basel 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Basel2 - 0Zurich
Basel3 - 0Winterthur
Basel1 - 2FC Luzern
Basel4 - 1Young Boys
Basel2 - 1Grasshoppers
Basel4 - 0FC Luzern
Basel5 - 1Servette
Basel5 - 0Yverdon Sport
Basel2 - 0FC Lugano
Basel2 - 1Grasshoppers
Basel1 - 2Young Boys
Basel2 - 0Sion
Basel1 - 1Lausanne
Basel2 - 1FC Luzern
Basel4 - 1Sion
Basel0 - 1Grasshoppers
Basel1 - 1Lausanne
Basel3 - 1Servette
Basel5 - 0Winterthur
Basel2 - 1St Gallen
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
1
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABasel0 - 0Young Boys
HBasel2 - 0Zurich
ABasel1 - 5Lausanne
HBasel3 - 0Winterthur
ABasel3 - 0Servette
HBasel1 - 2FC Luzern
ABasel3 - 1Thun
ABasel1 - 0Sion
ABasel1 - 3FC Lugano
HBasel4 - 1Young Boys
HBasel2 - 1Grasshoppers
ABasel1 - 2St Gallen
HBasel4 - 0FC Luzern
ABasel2 - 6Young Boys
ABasel3 - 2Lausanne
ABasel5 - 2FC Lugano
HBasel5 - 1Servette
HBasel5 - 0Yverdon Sport
ABasel4 - 0Zurich
HBasel2 - 0FC Lugano
FC Lugano 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Servette2 - 1FC Lugano
Winterthur2 - 4FC Lugano
St Gallen1 - 0FC Lugano
Young Boys3 - 1FC Lugano
Sion4 - 0FC Lugano
Lausanne1 - 1FC Lugano
Servette4 - 1FC Lugano
FC Luzern0 - 2FC Lugano
Lausanne2 - 0FC Lugano
Basel2 - 0FC Lugano
Yverdon Sport0 - 2FC Lugano
Sion2 - 1FC Lugano
Young Boys1 - 0FC Lugano
St Gallen2 - 1FC Lugano
Winterthur2 - 3FC Lugano
FC Luzern1 - 4FC Lugano
Servette3 - 0FC Lugano
Young Boys2 - 1FC Lugano
Grasshoppers1 - 1FC Lugano
Yverdon Sport2 - 0FC Lugano
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFC Lugano2 - 0FC Luzern
AFC Lugano1 - 2Servette
HFC Lugano1 - 0Zurich
AFC Lugano4 - 2Winterthur
HFC Lugano2 - 1Grasshoppers
HFC Lugano1 - 1Lausanne
AFC Lugano0 - 1St Gallen
AFC Lugano1 - 3Young Boys
HFC Lugano3 - 1Basel
AFC Lugano0 - 4Sion
HFC Lugano1 - 2Thun
HFC Lugano1 - 1Young Boys
AFC Lugano1 - 1Lausanne
AFC Lugano1 - 4Servette
HFC Lugano2 - 5Basel
AFC Lugano2 - 0FC Luzern
AFC Lugano0 - 2Lausanne
HFC Lugano1 - 1St Gallen
AFC Lugano0 - 2Basel
AFC Lugano2 - 0Yverdon Sport
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Basel since 2015
Basel
FC Lugano
Goals: Scored
37
21
Games: Scored
16 / 19
14 / 19
Clean sheets
5 / 19
3 / 19
BSL
10
D
5
LUG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Basel
Basel2 - 0
1 - 2FC Lugano
0 - 1FC Lugano
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2FC Lugano
Basel2 - 1
Basel2 - 0
Basel2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw4 - 4Draw
Basel2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Basel3 - 2
0 - 1FC Lugano
Draw1 - 1Draw
Basel4 - 0
Basel4 - 1
Basel3 - 0
Basel3 - 1
League games at FC Lugano since 2015
FC Lugano
Basel
Goals: Scored
28
40
Games: Scored
17 / 21
18 / 21
Clean sheets
3 / 21
4 / 21
BSL
8
D
7
LUG
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT FC Lugano
FC Lugano3 - 1
2 - 5Basel
Draw2 - 2Draw
FC Lugano2 - 0
1 - 3Basel
Draw2 - 2Draw
FC Lugano1 - 0
0 - 2Basel
Draw1 - 1Draw
FC Lugano2 - 1
FC Lugano1 - 0
FC Lugano2 - 1
0 - 3Basel
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Basel
0 - 4Basel
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Basel
1 - 3Basel
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is decent for FC Basel in their clash with FC Lugano, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 47 consecutive Super League outings.

Basel 2nd FC Lugano 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 66% probability that Basel will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that FC Lugano will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+29
Basel have scored 29% more goals at home than predicted
-15
FC Lugano have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Super League - 2025/2026 season
Basel
PG (predicted goals)
FC Lugano
2.3
1.1
Attack rating
21%
better
BSL
LUG
view stats
Games scored11
9
Failed to score1
2
Scored first7
6
Goals scored22
16
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game13
11
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for2
1.6
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
23%
better
BSL
LUG
view stats
Games conceded7
9
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded15
17
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+23%

Basel v FC Lugano Super League lLine ups will show here when available.

Basel Super League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12574
M HitzX ShaqiriX ShaqiriL Leroy
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Hitz GLK12
-
D Schmid DEF1212
2
-
Metinho MID121
3
-
X Shaqiri MID1257
3
-
P Otele FWD1243
2
-
A Ajeti FWD123
2
-
N Vouilloz DEF111
1
-
M. Soticek MID11
1
-
L Leroy MID101
4
-
A Barisic DEF9
1
-
K Koindredi MID9
1
-
M Broschinski FWD8
1
-
J Adjetey DEF7
1
-
K Tsunemoto DEF61
-
F Daniliuc DEF61
-
A. Junior Zé FWD61
-
B Traoré FWD62
2
-
I Salah FWD51
1
-
A. Bačanin MID4
-
K Rüegg DEF3
1
-
J. Agbonifo FWD3
1
-
K. Nascimento Pereira dos Santos FWD1
-
FC Lugano Super League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11332
A GrgicA GrgicD CorreiaL Mai
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Mai DEF11
2
-
A Grgic MID1131
1
-
U Bislimi MID1112
2
-
H Mahmoud MID11
2
-
K Behrens FWD113
2
-
D Correia MID1023
-
M Marques DEF91
1
-
A Papadopoulos DEF91
-
E Alioski DEF91
1
-
Z Brault-Guillard DEF8
1
-
Y Cimignani MID82
-
D Ballmoos  GLK7
-
O Doumbia MID71
1
-
A. Duville-Parsemain FWD7
-
A Wafi DEF6
1
-
M Bottani MID6
1
-
H Mahou FWD612
1
-
R Steffen FWD61
1
1
M Zanotti DEF52
1
-
G Koutsias FWD51
2
-
A Saipi GLK4
-
C Cassano MID3
1
-
E. Pihlström FWD3
-
D. Kelvin DEF1
-