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Cincinnati v SJ Earthquakes : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 2nd Aug, 00:30 BST, TQL Stadium, Ohio

We’ve Major League Soccer action to look forward to on Sunday morning, as Pat Noonan and his Cincinnati side host Bruce Arena’s SJ Earthquakes at the TQL Stadium. Team form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and the best odds are all laid out below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. Here we've gone for over 2.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Major League Soccer fixture, with Cincinnati and San Jose going head-to-head, offers great potential in the widely used under 2.5 goals market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Attackers on both sides will look to come out on the front foot and, having analysed the relevant stats and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the best option.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cincinnati are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Cincinnati 41%	10/11	10/11
Draw 20%	3/1	14/5
San Jose 38%	11/5	2/1
Draw 2-2 7%	10/1	17/2
Cincinnati 2-1 7%	17/2	15/2
San Jose 2-1 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw 1-1 7%	8/1	15/2
Cincinnati 3-2 5%	16/1	12/1
Cincinnati 3-1 5%	12/1	10/1
San Jose 3-2 5%	20/1	16/1
San Jose 3-1 5%	20/1	16/1
Cincinnati 2-0 4%	14/1	12/1
Cincinnati 1-0 4%	14/1	12/1
San Jose 2-0 3%	22/1	18/1
Draw 3-3 3%	22/1	18/1
San Jose 1-0 3%	20/1	16/1
Cincinnati 4-1 3%	22/1	18/1
Cincinnati 4-2 3%	28/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 77%	1/3	1/3
Under 2.5 Goals 23%	12/5	11/5
Home 1st Goal 50%	4/6	4/6
Away 1st Goal 49%	11/10	6/5
No 1st Goal 1%	25/1	22/1
BTTS - Yes 76%	1/3	1/3
BTTS - No 24%	9/4	21/10
BTTS - Home Win 29%	15/8	9/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 28%	7/2	10/3
Home/draw 62%	4/11	1/3
Away/draw 59%	4/5	4/5
Home/away 80%	2/9	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 91%	1/12	1/12
Under 1.5 Goals 9%	7/1	6/1
Over 3.5 Goals 58%	4/5	4/5
Under 3.5 Goals 42%	10/11	10/11
Over 4.5 Goals 39%	7/4	9/5
Under 4.5 Goals 61%	2/5	2/5
Over 5.5 Goals 23%	4/1	19/5
Under 5.5 Goals 77%	1/6	1/6
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	1/100	1/500
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	22/1	22/1
Home DNB 56%	1/2	1/2
Away DNB 53%	6/4	7/5
Cincinnati win to nil 12%	4/1	-
San Jose win to nil 11%	8/1	-
Cincinnati / Cincinnati 28%	2/1	15/8
Cincinnati / San Jose 4%	22/1	22/1
Cincinnati / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw / Cincinnati 14%	5/1	5/1
Draw / San Jose 10%	15/2	15/2
Draw / Draw 11%	13/2	13/2
San Jose / Cincinnati 5%	16/1	16/1
San Jose / San Jose 17%	4/1	19/5
San Jose / Draw 7%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goal Statistics

Cincinnati's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 9 consecutive Major League Soccer games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Sunday morning.

	Cincinnati 7th	San Jose 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	2.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 61% probability that Cincinnati will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 13% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 60% probability that San Jose will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

better

CIN

SJE

view stats

Games scored	15		15
Failed to score	2		2
Scored first	7		10
Goals scored	41		35
Avg. goals scored	2.4		2.1
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	4		5
Conversion rate for	24		19
Avg. XG for	1.8		2.1
KickOff rating		+2%

CIN

SJE

37%

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		12
Clean sheets	2		5
Conceded first	10		7
Goals conceded	42		20
Avg. goals conceded	2.5		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		8
Conversion rate against	20%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.9		1.3
KickOff rating		+37%

Cincinnati v San Jose Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	11	8	6
P Bucha	K Denkey	Evander	B Ramírez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Barlow FWD	17	5		2 -
S. Gidi MID	16		1	2 -
Evander MID	16	10	8	2 -
P Bucha MID	16	4	4	2 -
K Denkey FWD	16	11	2	3 1
B Ramírez FWD	16		2	6 -
R Celentano GLK	15			-
G Valenzuela MID	15	1	2	2 2
E Peña FWD	15	1	5	1 -
A Jabbari FWD	15	1	2	1 -
K. Mboma Dem FWD	14	4	1	-
K Smith DEF	13	1		1 1
N Hagglund DEF	13	1		1 -
O Nwobodo MID	12			4 -
M Robinson DEF	11			1 1
M Miazga DEF	11		1	4 -
T Anunga MID	9			1 -
T Hadebe DEF	8			1 -
A Powell DEF	7		1	1
A. Chirila DEF	6	1		1 -
A. Lajhar DEF	3			1 -
E Louro GLK	2			-
S Jimenez MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	28	8	13
K Denkey	Evander	Evander	Evander

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Denkey FWD	11	19	2	1
Evander MID	10	28	8	13
T Barlow FWD	5	10
P Bucha MID	4	6	4	3
K. Mboma Dem FWD	4	6	1
G Valenzuela MID	1	5	2	1
E Peña FWD	1	6	5	7
A Jabbari FWD	1	2	2	3
K Smith DEF	1	2
N Hagglund DEF	1	3
A. Chirila DEF	1	2
S. Gidi MID			1	1
B Ramírez FWD		3	2	5
O Nwobodo MID		1
M Robinson DEF		2
M Miazga DEF		2	1
A Powell DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
757	40	85
S. Gidi	B Ramírez	B Ramírez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S. Gidi MID	757	17	57
P Bucha MID	663	31	59
Evander MID	564	16	73
B Ramírez FWD	560	40	85
M Robinson DEF	526	12	36
N Hagglund DEF	487	13	51
M Miazga DEF	445	3	17
G Valenzuela MID	422	14	56
K Smith DEF	397	13	21
R Celentano GLK	387		2
A. Chirila DEF	325	6	16
K Denkey FWD	289	10	77
K. Mboma Dem FWD	265	10	40
E Peña FWD	255	15	46
O Nwobodo MID	255	32	45
T Anunga MID	220	14	25
T Hadebe DEF	184	3	16
T Barlow FWD	160	5	32
A Jabbari FWD	87	5	54
E Louro GLK	85
A Powell DEF	82	7	17
A. Lajhar DEF	9
S Jimenez MID	3

San Jose Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	11	4	5
R. Roberts	P Judd	P Marie	P Judd

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Bouda FWD	17	5	1	1 -
R. Roberts DEF	16	2		4 -
D Munie DEF	16	3	1	3 -
B. Leroux MID	16	2	3	3 -
I Harkes MID	16			2 -
P Judd FWD	16	11	2	5 -
J. Ricketts DEF	15		2	2 -
J Skahan MID	15	2	2	1 -
B Kikanovic DEF	14			5 -
R Vieira MID	14			4 -
P Marie DEF	13		4	-
N. Fernandez MID	13	1	2	-
N Tsakiris MID	11	2	4	2 -
J González MID	10			1 -
D Romney DEF	9	1		-
T Werner FWD	9	4	3	2 -
J Jasinski DEF	7	1		1 -
D Jones DEF	5			2 -
V Costa DEF	3			-
D Johnson FWD	3			-
A Gunn GLK	2			-
M. Floriani DEF	2			-
N. Adimabua FWD	2		1	-
E Jr. GLK	1			1 -
N Buck MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	26	4	6
P Judd	P Judd	P Marie	O Bouda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Judd FWD	11	26	2	2
O Bouda FWD	5	13	1	6
T Werner FWD	4	12	3	4
D Munie DEF	3	5	1	2
R. Roberts DEF	2	3		1
B. Leroux MID	2	9	3	6
J Skahan MID	2	6	2	2
N Tsakiris MID	2	6	4	6
N. Fernandez MID	1	3	2	1
D Romney DEF	1	1
J Jasinski DEF	1	2
I Harkes MID		2		2
J. Ricketts DEF		1	2	6
B Kikanovic DEF		2		2
R Vieira MID		4		2
P Marie DEF			4	5
D Johnson FWD		1
N. Adimabua FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
889	34	95
R. Roberts	B. Leroux	O Bouda

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R. Roberts DEF	889	27	58
D Munie DEF	871	13	38
B. Leroux MID	561	34	93
N Tsakiris MID	515	18	40
R Vieira MID	468	17	50
B Kikanovic DEF	447	22	68
J. Ricketts DEF	348	18	66
O Bouda FWD	333	24	95
I Harkes MID	294	20	34
T Werner FWD	254	5	20
N. Fernandez MID	190	6	20
D Jones DEF	169	12	23
D Romney DEF	157	6	19
J Skahan MID	144	7	14
J Jasinski DEF	143	7	17
P Judd FWD	134	2	42
P Marie DEF	93	6	11
J González MID	83	5	11
A Gunn GLK	58
V Costa DEF	50	2	5
M. Floriani DEF	50	3	11
N Buck MID	15		1
D Johnson FWD	14		1
N. Adimabua FWD	12		3
E Jr. GLK	9