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Montreal Impact v Toronto FC : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Jul, 00:30 BST, Stade Saputo, Montreal

We’ve Major League Soccer action to look forward to on Friday morning, as Marco Donadel and his Montreal Impact side host Robin Fraser’s Toronto FC at the Stade Saputo. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to make sure you get the best return.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our best tip on this match, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 mins. Both Montreal and Toronto's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.18.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Montreal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.76.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Montreal 55%	19/25	-
Draw 22%	27/10	-
Toronto 22%	29/10	-
Draw 1-1 10%	13/2	-
Montreal 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Montreal 1-0 9%	17/2	-
Montreal 2-0 9%	9/1	-
Montreal 3-1 6%	12/1	-
Toronto 2-1 6%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
Montreal 3-0 6%	14/1	-
Toronto 1-0 5%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1	-
Montreal 3-2 4%	20/1	-
Toronto 2-0 3%	22/1	-
Montreal 4-1 3%	25/1	-
Montreal 4-0 3%	28/1	-
Toronto 3-1 2%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	8/13	-
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	5/4	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	8/13	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	11/8	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	-
BTTS - Yes 58%	8/13	-
BTTS - No 42%	6/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	9/4	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	11/2	-
Home/draw 78%	1/4	-
Away/draw 45%	19/20	-
Home/away 78%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	2/11	-
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	7/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	6/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	1/2	-
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	7/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	2/11	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	9/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/16	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1	-
Home DNB 71%	4/11	-
Away DNB 38%	2/1	-
Montreal win to nil 27%	5/2	-
Toronto win to nil 10%	7/1	-
Montreal / Montreal 29%	15/8	-
Montreal / Toronto 3%	28/1	-
Montreal / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Montreal 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Toronto 9%	8/1	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	-
Toronto / Montreal 4%	20/1	-
Toronto / Toronto 13%	11/2	-
Toronto / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Toronto have lost 3 consecutive league games

Toronto have not won in 8 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montreal	0 - 2	Chicago
Montreal	2 - 2	Portland
Montreal	2 - 0	Orlando
Montreal	1 - 0	NY City
Montreal	4 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Montreal	1 - 2	Philadelphia
Montreal	1 - 1	Nashville
Montreal	0 - 2	NY Red Bulls
Montreal	0 - 2	Saint Louis City
Montreal	3 - 2	Austin
Montreal	1 - 1	DC United
Montreal	1 - 1	Atlanta
Montreal	0 - 2	Chicago
Montreal	1 - 4	Miami
Montreal	1 - 0	NY City
Montreal	1 - 3	Cincinnati
Montreal	0 - 3	New England
Montreal	2 - 2	LAFC
Montreal	1 - 6	Toronto
Montreal	1 - 1	Columbus

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Montreal	4 - 4	DC United
H	Montreal	0 - 2	Chicago
H	Montreal	2 - 2	Portland
H	Montreal	2 - 0	Orlando
A	Montreal	1 - 3	Atlanta
H	Montreal	1 - 0	NY City
H	Montreal	4 - 1	NY Red Bulls
H	Montreal	1 - 2	Philadelphia
A	Montreal	0 - 3	New England
A	Montreal	3 - 4	Cincinnati
A	Montreal	1 - 2	Orlando
A	Montreal	3 - 0	NY Red Bulls
A	Montreal	0 - 3	Chicago
A	Montreal	0 - 5	San Diego
A	Montreal	0 - 3	Cincinnati
H	Montreal	1 - 1	Nashville
A	Montreal	4 - 1	Charlotte
H	Montreal	0 - 2	NY Red Bulls
H	Montreal	0 - 2	Saint Louis City
A	Montreal	1 - 1	Toronto

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chicago	2 - 1	Toronto
Charlotte	3 - 1	Toronto
Cincinnati	0 - 1	Toronto
Vancouver	3 - 0	Toronto
Dallas	3 - 2	Toronto
LAFC	2 - 0	Toronto
Chicago	2 - 2	Toronto
Columbus	1 - 1	Toronto
New England	1 - 1	Toronto
Atlanta	0 - 0	Toronto
Philadelphia	1 - 1	Toronto
Charlotte	2 - 0	Toronto
Nashville	1 - 0	Toronto
San Diego	0 - 1	Toronto
NY City	3 - 1	Toronto
Montreal	1 - 6	Toronto
Salt Lake	0 - 1	Toronto
Miami	1 - 1	Toronto
NY Red Bulls	2 - 1	Toronto
Cincinnati	2 - 0	Toronto

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Toronto	1 - 2	Chicago
A	Toronto	1 - 3	Charlotte
H	Toronto	2 - 4	Miami
H	Toronto	1 - 1	San Jose
H	Toronto	1 - 2	Atlanta
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Philadelphia
H	Toronto	3 - 3	Austin
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Cincinnati
H	Toronto	3 - 2	Colorado
H	Toronto	2 - 1	Columbus
H	Toronto	1 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Toronto	1 - 0	Cincinnati
A	Toronto	0 - 3	Vancouver
A	Toronto	2 - 3	Dallas
H	Toronto	4 - 2	Orlando
A	Toronto	0 - 2	LAFC
A	Toronto	2 - 2	Chicago
H	Toronto	1 - 1	Miami
A	Toronto	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Toronto	1 - 1	New England

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Montreal

Toronto

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 12

8 / 12

Clean sheets

4 / 12

3 / 12

MTL

TOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montreal
	1 - 6	Toronto
	0 - 1	Toronto
Montreal	2 - 0
Montreal	1 - 0
Montreal	3 - 1
Montreal	4 - 2
	1 - 2	Toronto
	0 - 1	Toronto
	3 - 4	Toronto
	0 - 2	Toronto
Montreal	2 - 0
Montreal	1 - 0

Toronto

Montreal

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

8 / 8

Clean sheets

0 / 8

1 / 8

MTL

TOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Toronto	5 - 1
	2 - 3	Montreal
	3 - 4	Montreal
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Montreal
Toronto	2 - 1
Toronto	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

Montreal Impact's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday morning, not least because Toronto FC have conceded in each of their last 11 Major League Soccer outings. A PG of 1.9 for M. Donadel's side suggests that run should continue.

	Montreal 12th	Toronto 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Montreal will score 1 or more goals	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Toronto will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-21 Montreal have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted	-9 Toronto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.9 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season

MTL

TOR

better

view stats

Games scored	10		13
Failed to score	4		1
Scored first	8		4
Goals scored	22		22
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.6
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	16		17
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.2
KickOff rating		+6%

15%

better

MTL

TOR

view stats

Games conceded	11		13
Clean sheets	3		1
Conceded first	6		10
Goals conceded	31		29
Avg. goals conceded	2.2		2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		4
Conversion rate against	25%		25%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.4
KickOff rating		+15%

Montreal v Toronto Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Montreal Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	9	6	5
M Longstaff	P Owusu	P Owusu	P Owusu

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Longstaff MID	14	2	3	4 -
V Loturi MID	14	1	1	3 -
P Owusu FWD	14	9	6	5 -
L Petrasso DEF	12			-
B Vera DEF	12			4 1
O. Escobar MID	12			2 -
W Carmona MID	12	4	2	1 -
E. Morales DEF	11		1	-
N. Streit FWD	11			-
D Ríos FWD	11	2		3 -
D. Bugaj DEF	10			1 -
D Þórhallsson DEF	10	1		-
S Piette MID	10			3 -
H. Synchuk FWD	8	1		2 -
J Neal DEF	6			1 -
B Craig DEF	5			2 -
B Hidalgo DEF	4			-
T Avilés DEF	4			1
F Herbers FWD	4			-
Y. Guboglo DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	15	6	5
P Owusu	P Owusu	P Owusu	P Owusu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Owusu FWD	9	15	6	5
W Carmona MID	4	8	2	4
M Longstaff MID	2	4	3	2
D Ríos FWD	2	7
V Loturi MID	1	1	1
D Þórhallsson DEF	1	3		1
H. Synchuk FWD	1	6		1
L Petrasso DEF		2		3
B Vera DEF		5
O. Escobar MID		2
E. Morales DEF		2	1	1
N. Streit FWD		3		1
D. Bugaj DEF		2
S Piette MID		1
B Craig DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
662	23	63
M Longstaff	B Vera	P Owusu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Longstaff MID	662	16	45
E. Morales DEF	506	19	52
B Vera DEF	499	23	42
V Loturi MID	496	20	57
L Petrasso DEF	471	13	33
S Piette MID	274	16	27
D. Bugaj DEF	250	20	49
W Carmona MID	248	17	44
J Neal DEF	228	10	16
P Owusu FWD	216	11	63
D Þórhallsson DEF	194	8	28
B Craig DEF	184	4	10
T Avilés DEF	167	7	13
B Hidalgo DEF	136	1	7
N. Streit FWD	128	6	22
H. Synchuk FWD	121	6	34
D Ríos FWD	84	2	20
O. Escobar MID	84	4	12
F Herbers FWD	47	8	13
Y. Guboglo DEF	18	1	2

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	4	3	5
L Gavran	D Sallói	Alonso	J Osorio

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Gavran GLK	14	1		-
Alonso MID	14		3	3 -
J Osorio MID	14		3	5 -
D Sallói FWD	14	4	3	1 -
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	13	3		1 -
Z. Monlouis DEF	12			1 -
R Edwards DEF	12			3 1
K Franklin DEF	11	2	2	-
W Zimmerman DEF	11	1		3 -
M. Henry MID	11			3 -
D Junior FWD	11	2		-
R Laryea DEF	9	2	1	2 -
J Sargent FWD	8	3	1	-
D Kerr FWD	7			-
B Kuscevic DEF	6			2 -
L Stefanovic DEF	6			1 -
Đorđe Mihailović MID	5	1	2	-
M Pereira DEF	2			-
N Gomis DEF	2			-
J. Gilman DEF	2			-
M Cimermancic MID	2			-
J Vilsaint FWD	2			-
H Wingo DEF	1			-
T Corbeanu FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	14	3	3
D Sallói	D Sallói	Alonso	Alonso

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Sallói FWD	4	14	3	3
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	3	7		2
J Sargent FWD	3	10	1	3
K Franklin DEF	2	4	2	1
D Junior FWD	2	8		1
R Laryea DEF	2	3	1	2
L Gavran GLK	1	1
W Zimmerman DEF	1	2
Đorđe Mihailović MID	1	4	2	1
Alonso MID		2	3	3
J Osorio MID			3	2
Z. Monlouis DEF		3
R Edwards DEF		1		1
M. Henry MID		1		1
D Kerr FWD		2
B Kuscevic DEF		1
M Pereira DEF				1
J. Gilman DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
765	40	71
J Osorio	R Edwards	R Edwards

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Osorio MID	765	21	53
Alonso MID	674	24	58
Z. Monlouis DEF	441	13	29
W Zimmerman DEF	434	15	50
L Gavran GLK	383	1	10
R Laryea DEF	342	18	71
R Edwards DEF	331	40	71
K Franklin DEF	330	14	26
D Sallói FWD	314	5	38
B Kuscevic DEF	213	5	23
D Junior FWD	142	7	22
L Stefanovic DEF	135	6	13
J Sargent FWD	119	4	36
M. Henry MID	117	6	26
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD	115	3	29
Đorđe Mihailović MID	112	6	16
J. Gilman DEF	94	3	5
M Cimermancic MID	63	2	5
N Gomis DEF	58	4	5
D Kerr FWD	51	6	30
M Pereira DEF	48		3
H Wingo DEF	15	1	1
T Corbeanu FWD	8		1
J Vilsaint FWD	3		1

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Montreal v Toronto Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

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