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Philadelphia Union v Orlando City : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Subaru Park, Chester

Óscar Alexander Pareja Gómez leads his Orlando City troops to the Subaru Park in the Major League Soccer on Sunday morning, with Bradley Carnell's Philadelphia Union the opponent. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds. All is accessible using the tabs below.

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Philadelphia Union's next match is v Salt Lake at 00:30 on Sunday 11th October
Orlando City's next match is v Columbus at 00:30 on Sunday 11th October

The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Philadelphia and Orlando was on Sunday 27th September 2026

American Major League Soccer

September 27th 2026

Philadelphia 4	2 Orlando

M. Iloski 11'	78' I. Angulo Cortés
M. Iloski 19'	90' M. Ojeda
I. Vassilev 47'
M. Iloski 51'

	PHI ORL
Shots On	9 2
Shots Off	5 5
Corners	7 7
Possession	36% 64%
Fouls	19 13
Yellow/red cards	2/0 4/0

Philadelphia	Orlando

A. Rick J. Sery J. Lukić J. Bueno Añez B. Bender (J. Griffin 90') B. Damiani (E. Alladoh 85') M. Iloski (A. Anello 78') I. Vassilev (J. Rafanello 86') K. Wagner N. Harriel Q. Sullivan (A. Bedoya 78')	R. Jansson M. Ojeda (V. Nogueira de Oliveira 54') Z. Taifi E. Atuesta Velasco A. Griezmann (T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho 89') D. Dike M. Crépeau (H. Sarajian 54') B. Rhein Goncalves I. da Silva Nogueira (L. de Aquino 54') J. Gerbet I. Angulo Cortés

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Major League Soccer fixture, with Philadelphia and Orlando going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the highly popular over market, with at least 3 goals predicted to be scored in total. Strikers for both will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having analysed the relevant stats and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Philadelphia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.39.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Philadelphia 57%	14/25 7%	-
Draw 19%	7/2	-
Orlando 24%	7/2 14%	-
Philadelphia 2-1 9%	9/1 11%	-
Draw 1-1 7%	10/1 10%	-
Philadelphia 3-1 7%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 7%	10/1 15%	-
Philadelphia 2-0 6%	14/1 36%	-
Orlando 2-1 6%	16/1	-
Philadelphia 3-2 5%	14/1 12%	-
Philadelphia 1-0 5%	18/1 46%	-
Philadelphia 3-0 5%	16/1 31%	-
Philadelphia 4-1 4%	16/1	-
Orlando 3-2 3%	22/1 21%	-
Philadelphia 4-2 3%	20/1 9%	-
Orlando 1-0 3%	28/1 12%	-
Orlando 3-1 3%	28/1 15%	-
Philadelphia 4-0 3%	22/1 10%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 74%	2/7 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 26%	13/5 6%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	8/15 6%	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	11/8 10%	-
No 1st Goal 1%	33/1 17%	-
BTTS - Yes 70%	3/10 10%	-
BTTS - No 30%	12/5 29%	-
BTTS - Home Win 37%	13/10 4%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 16%	5/1 20%	-
Home/draw 76%	2/11 1%	-
Away/draw 43%	13/10 8%	-
Home/away 81%	2/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 90%	1/14 1%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 10%	8/1 13%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 54%	4/6 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 46%	11/10 10%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 35%	6/4 9%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 65%	1/2 7%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 20%	10/3 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 80%	1/5 3%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	1/150	-
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	25/1 10%	-
Home DNB 71%	1/4 4%	-
Away DNB 37%	11/4 13%	-
Philadelphia win to nil 20%	10/3 24%	-
Orlando win to nil 7%	14/1 15%	-
Philadelphia / Philadelphia 38%	11/8 8%	-
Philadelphia / Orlando 3%	25/1 10%	-
Philadelphia / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw / Philadelphia 17%	9/2 16%	-
Draw / Orlando 6%	10/1 8%	-
Draw / Draw 9%	8/1 6%	-
Orlando / Philadelphia 6%	14/1	-
Orlando / Orlando 10%	6/1 18%	-
Orlando / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Philadelphia	5 - 0	Cincinnati
Philadelphia	2 - 0	Montreal
Philadelphia	2 - 2	Miami
Philadelphia	3 - 2	Atlanta
Philadelphia	1 - 0	Seattle
Philadelphia	3 - 1	NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia	1 - 1	Columbus
Philadelphia	0 - 0	Nashville
Philadelphia	0 - 0	DC United
Philadelphia	1 - 2	Chicago
Philadelphia	0 - 1	San Jose
Philadelphia	1 - 2	NY City
Philadelphia	0 - 1	NY City
Philadelphia	2 - 2	Chicago
Philadelphia	1 - 0	NY City
Philadelphia	1 - 0	New England
Philadelphia	4 - 0	Chicago
Philadelphia	1 - 1	Toronto
Philadelphia	3 - 1	Colorado
Philadelphia	2 - 1	Montreal

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Philadelphia	4 - 3	Sporting KC
A	Philadelphia	5 - 0	San Diego
H	Philadelphia	5 - 0	Cincinnati
H	Philadelphia	2 - 0	Montreal
A	Philadelphia	3 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Philadelphia	1 - 1	Austin
H	Philadelphia	2 - 2	Miami
A	Philadelphia	3 - 2	NY City
H	Philadelphia	3 - 2	Atlanta
H	Philadelphia	1 - 0	Seattle
H	Philadelphia	3 - 1	NY Red Bulls
A	Philadelphia	4 - 6	Miami
H	Philadelphia	1 - 1	Columbus
A	Philadelphia	3 - 4	Orlando
A	Philadelphia	1 - 2	New England
H	Philadelphia	0 - 0	Nashville
A	Philadelphia	0 - 2	Columbus
A	Philadelphia	3 - 3	Toronto
H	Philadelphia	0 - 0	DC United
A	Philadelphia	2 - 1	Montreal

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
New England	4 - 2	Orlando
Atlanta	2 - 3	Orlando
Minnesota	3 - 3	Orlando
NY Red Bulls	3 - 2	Orlando
San Jose	0 - 4	Orlando
Cincinnati	6 - 2	Orlando
Montreal	2 - 0	Orlando
Miami	3 - 4	Orlando
DC United	3 - 2	Orlando
Columbus	1 - 1	Orlando
LAFC	6 - 0	Orlando
Nashville	5 - 0	Orlando
NY City	5 - 0	Orlando
Chicago	3 - 1	Orlando
Toronto	4 - 2	Orlando
Cincinnati	1 - 1	Orlando
DC United	1 - 1	Orlando
Nashville	5 - 1	Orlando
Columbus	1 - 3	Orlando
New England	1 - 2	Orlando

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Orlando	2 - 4	New England
H	Orlando	3 - 0	Toronto
A	Orlando	3 - 2	Atlanta
H	Orlando	1 - 0	San Diego
A	Orlando	3 - 3	Minnesota
H	Orlando	2 - 1	Salt Lake
H	Orlando	1 - 2	Chicago
H	Orlando	1 - 1	Cincinnati
A	Orlando	2 - 3	NY Red Bulls
H	Orlando	1 - 0	Nashville
A	Orlando	4 - 0	San Jose
A	Orlando	2 - 6	Cincinnati
H	Orlando	1 - 1	Atlanta
H	Orlando	4 - 3	Philadelphia
A	Orlando	0 - 2	Montreal
A	Orlando	4 - 3	Miami
A	Orlando	2 - 3	DC United
H	Orlando	4 - 1	Charlotte
H	Orlando	0 - 1	Houston
A	Orlando	1 - 1	Columbus

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Philadelphia

Orlando

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

2 / 8

PHI

ORL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Philadelphia
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Orlando
	1 - 2	Orlando
Philadelphia	5 - 1
Philadelphia	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	Orlando

Orlando

Philadelphia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

8 / 8

Clean sheets

0 / 8

1 / 8

PHI

ORL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Orlando
Orlando	4 - 3
	2 - 4	Philadelphia
Orlando	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Philadelphia
Orlando	2 - 1
	1 - 3	Philadelphia
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Philadelphia Union's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 5 consecutive Major League Soccer games. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Sunday morning.

Orlando City have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 14 consecutive Major League Soccer matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Philadelphia Union on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Philadelphia 6th	Orlando 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.4 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 9% 1 22% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 22% There is a 69% probability that Philadelphia will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Orlando will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Philadelphia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+22 Orlando have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	3.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

PHI

ORL

better

view stats

Games scored	21		21
Failed to score	5		5
Scored first	12		12
Goals scored	50		46
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.8
Avg. shots per game	13		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		5
Conversion rate for	15		20
Avg. XG for	2		1.5
KickOff rating		+2%

13%

better

PHI

ORL

view stats

Games conceded	20		22
Clean sheets	6		4
Conceded first	12		14
Goals conceded	42		60
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		5
Conversion rate against	23%		19%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.9
KickOff rating		+13%

Philadelphia v Orlando Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Philadelphia Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	16	5	6
N Harriel	M Iloski	I Vassilev	J Larsen

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A. Rick GLK	2			1 -
B Bender DEF	9	1	1	1 -
J Larsen DEF	13	1		5 1
N Harriel DEF	27	1	2	4 -
K Wagner DEF	12		3	4 -
Q Sullivan MID	12	1	3	3 -
J Bueno MID	21	1	1	5 -
J Lukic MID	25		1	6 -
I Vassilev MID	26	4	5	1 -
M Iloski FWD	27	16	2	4 -
B Damiani FWD	27	8	2	5 -
Subs
G Marks GLK				-
G. Martínez Turner DEF	7			2 -
R Uzcátegui DEF				-
F. Sundstrom DEF	2			-
J. Griffin DEF	1			-
A Bedoya MID	17		2	1 -
J Rafanello MID	5			1 -
E. Alladoh FWD	24	1	1	2 1
A Anello FWD	15	1	1	2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	39	5	8
M Iloski	M Iloski	I Vassilev	I Vassilev

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Iloski FWD	16	39	2	7
B Damiani FWD	8	15	2	6
I Vassilev MID	4	10	5	8
B Bender DEF	1	2	1
J Larsen DEF	1	2
N Harriel DEF	1	5	2	3
Q Sullivan MID	1	10	3	2
J Bueno MID	1	5	1	1
Subs
E. Alladoh FWD	1	5	1	1
A Anello FWD	1	6	1	2
K Wagner DEF		2	3	3
J Lukic MID			1	2
Subs
A Bedoya MID		2	2	2
J Rafanello MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1009	53	179
N Harriel	J Lukic	N Harriel

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
N Harriel DEF	1009	46	179
J Lukic MID	921	53	87
I Vassilev MID	551	22	68
B Damiani FWD	546	36	170
M Iloski FWD	537	10	61
K Wagner DEF	529	14	39
J Bueno MID	446	24	57
J Larsen DEF	353	18	42
Subs
E. Alladoh FWD	223	5	61
B Bender DEF	209	14	29
Q Sullivan MID	180	10	23
Subs
G. Martínez Turner DEF	165	13	21
A Anello FWD	157	2	20
A Bedoya MID	116	7	26
J Rafanello MID	114	2	8
A. Rick GLK	51
Subs
F. Sundstrom DEF	13	5	7
J. Griffin DEF		2	2

Orlando Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	13	4	7
M Crépeau	M Ojeda	I Angulo	E Atuesta

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Crépeau GLK	26			2 1
Z. Taifi DEF	19		3	-
Iago DEF	17			6 -
R Jansson DEF	20			3 -
B. Rhein Goncalves DEF	10			-
M Ojeda MID	21	13	1	1 -
E Atuesta MID	20		3	7 -
J. Gerbet MID	8		1	2 -
I Angulo MID	27	5	4	5 -
A Griezmann FWD	11	8	4	1 -
D Dike FWD	8	1	1	-
Subs
J Otero GLK	2			-
A Marín DEF	18		3	3 -
N. Miller DEF	5			2 -
V Oliveira DEF	1			-
L. de Aquino MID	21	1		5 -
G. Caraballo Delgado MID				-
J. Hylton MID				-
H. Sarajian FWD	9	1	1	2 -
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	20	1	1	4 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	32	4	9
M Ojeda	M Ojeda	I Angulo	A Griezmann

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Ojeda MID	13	32	1	6
A Griezmann FWD	8	15	4	9
I Angulo MID	5	13	4	7
D Dike FWD	1	2	1	1
Subs
L. de Aquino MID	1	3
H. Sarajian FWD	1	2	1	1
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	1	3	1	1
Z. Taifi DEF		3	3	3
Iago DEF		2		1
R Jansson DEF		1		1
B. Rhein Goncalves DEF				2
E Atuesta MID		4	3	3
J. Gerbet MID			1	1
Subs
A Marín DEF			3	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1181	61	130
R Jansson	I Angulo	I Angulo

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
R Jansson DEF	1181	8	25
I Angulo MID	1124	61	130
E Atuesta MID	848	36	76
Iago DEF	752	8	45
M Ojeda MID	691	6	36
M Crépeau GLK	634	1	7
Subs
A Marín DEF	614	26	45
L. de Aquino MID	554	39	71
A Griezmann FWD	541	14	41
J. Gerbet MID	405	6	19
Z. Taifi DEF	292	13	39
B. Rhein Goncalves DEF	264	8	13
Subs
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	197	19	60
N. Miller DEF	171	3	10
D Dike FWD	63	1	20
Subs
H. Sarajian FWD	55	3	14
J Otero GLK	54		3
V Oliveira DEF	36	1	6