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Toronto FC v Cincinnati : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Apr, 18:00 BST, BMO Field, Toronto

the BMO Field crowd welcome Cincinnati's travelling contingent on Saturday evening, as Robin Fraser's Toronto FC take on Pat Noonan's team in the Major League Soccer. We have odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. All can be selected using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 mins. Both Toronto and Cincinnati's latest form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toronto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toronto
45%
21/2011/10
Draw
25%
5/223/10
Cincinnati
31%
21/102/1
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
Toronto 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Toronto 1-0
9%
15/27/1
Cincinnati 2-1
7%
10/19/1
Cincinnati 1-0
7%
10/19/1
Toronto 2-0
7%
10/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/110/1
Toronto 3-1
5%
16/114/1
Cincinnati 2-0
5%
16/114/1
Toronto 3-0
4%
20/116/1
Cincinnati 3-1
3%
22/120/1
Toronto 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Cincinnati 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Cincinnati 3-0
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
17/204/5
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
19/2019/20
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/114/5
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/56/5
No 1st Goal
3%
11/110/1
BTTS - Yes
57%
7/104/6
BTTS - No
43%
21/2021/20
BTTS - Home Win
23%
10/33/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/210/3
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/19/2
Home/draw
69%
4/117/20
Away/draw
55%
7/104/6
Home/away
75%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/413/5
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/119/10
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/114/11
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/19/2
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/82/15
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/110/1
Home DNB
62%
4/74/7
Away DNB
48%
5/45/4
Toronto win to nil
22%
11/4-
Cincinnati win to nil
15%
5/1-
Toronto / Toronto
24%
12/523/10
Toronto / Cincinnati
3%
28/125/1
Toronto / Draw
7%
12/111/1
Draw / Toronto
14%
9/219/4
Draw / Cincinnati
11%
13/213/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/29/2
Cincinnati / Toronto
4%
22/120/1
Cincinnati / Cincinnati
17%
4/119/5
Cincinnati / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Cincinnati have lost 4 consecutive away league games
Toronto 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto3 - 2Colorado
Toronto2 - 1Columbus
Toronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Toronto4 - 2Orlando
Toronto1 - 1Miami
Toronto1 - 1Montreal
Toronto1 - 1Columbus
Toronto1 - 1Atlanta
Toronto3 - 0Portland
Toronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Toronto0 - 2Charlotte
Toronto1 - 2Philadelphia
Toronto1 - 2Nashville
Toronto0 - 1Cincinnati
Toronto2 - 0DC United
Toronto0 - 2New England
Toronto0 - 1NY City
Toronto0 - 0Minnesota
Toronto0 - 0Vancouver
Toronto1 - 2Chicago
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToronto3 - 2Colorado
HToronto2 - 1Columbus
HToronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
AToronto1 - 0Cincinnati
AToronto0 - 3Vancouver
AToronto2 - 3Dallas
HToronto4 - 2Orlando
AToronto0 - 2LAFC
AToronto2 - 2Chicago
HToronto1 - 1Miami
AToronto1 - 1Columbus
AToronto1 - 1New England
HToronto1 - 1Montreal
AToronto0 - 0Atlanta
HToronto1 - 1Columbus
AToronto1 - 1Philadelphia
AToronto0 - 2Charlotte
AToronto0 - 1Nashville
AToronto1 - 0San Diego
HToronto1 - 1Atlanta
Cincinnati 10TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY Red Bulls4 - 2Cincinnati
New England6 - 1Cincinnati
Minnesota1 - 0Cincinnati
Columbus4 - 0Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls0 - 1Cincinnati
LA Galaxy2 - 3Cincinnati
Portland2 - 3Cincinnati
Miami0 - 0Cincinnati
Salt Lake0 - 1Cincinnati
Orlando1 - 2Cincinnati
Montreal1 - 3Cincinnati
New England0 - 1Cincinnati
Atlanta4 - 2Cincinnati
Columbus1 - 1Cincinnati
Toronto0 - 1Cincinnati
NY City1 - 0Cincinnati
Chicago2 - 3Cincinnati
DC United0 - 1Cincinnati
Nashville1 - 2Cincinnati
Charlotte2 - 0Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACincinnati2 - 4NY Red Bulls
HCincinnati4 - 3Montreal
ACincinnati1 - 6New England
HCincinnati0 - 1Toronto
ACincinnati0 - 1Minnesota
HCincinnati2 - 0Atlanta
HCincinnati0 - 4Miami
HCincinnati2 - 1Columbus
ACincinnati0 - 4Columbus
HCincinnati1 - 0Columbus
HCincinnati3 - 0Montreal
ACincinnati1 - 0NY Red Bulls
HCincinnati1 - 1Orlando
ACincinnati3 - 2LA Galaxy
HCincinnati2 - 1Nashville
HCincinnati0 - 1Philadelphia
HCincinnati0 - 1NY City
ACincinnati3 - 2Portland
HCincinnati0 - 1Charlotte
ACincinnati0 - 0Miami
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Cincinnati have beaten Toronto in 4 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Toronto since 2019
Toronto
Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
14
15
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
TOR
3
CIN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
0 - 1Cincinnati
3 - 4Cincinnati
2 - 3Cincinnati
1 - 2Cincinnati
Toronto3 - 2
Toronto3 - 2
Toronto2 - 1
League games at Cincinnati since 2019
Cincinnati
Toronto
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
5 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
3 / 8
TOR
3
D
1
CIN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
0 - 1Toronto
Cincinnati2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Cincinnati3 - 0
Cincinnati2 - 0
Cincinnati2 - 0
0 - 1Toronto
1 - 5Toronto
Goal Statistics

Toronto FC's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Cincinnati have conceded in each of their last 5 Major League Soccer games. A PG of 1.6 for R. Fraser's side suggests that run should continue.

Toronto 6th Cincinnati 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Toronto will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Cincinnati will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Toronto have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Cincinnati’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
Toronto
PG (predicted goals)
Cincinnati
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
13%
better
TOR
CIN
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score1
2
Scored first2
2
Goals scored9
9
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1
1.5
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
12%
better
TOR
CIN
view stats
Games conceded5
5
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded10
15
Avg. goals conceded1.7
2.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
4
Conversion rate against22%
23%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+12%

Toronto v Cincinnati Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE