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Toronto FC v New York City : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Aug, 00:30 BST, BMO Field, Toronto

Pascal Jansen is aiming for a crucial away win in the Major League Soccer on Sunday morning, as he takes his New York City side to the BMO Field to visit Toronto FC and Robin Fraser. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toronto
40%
--
Draw
24%
--
NY City
37%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Toronto 2-1
9%
--
NY City 2-1
8%
--
Toronto 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
NY City 1-0
7%
--
Toronto 2-0
6%
--
NY City 2-0
5%
--
Toronto 3-1
5%
--
NY City 3-1
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Toronto 3-2
4%
--
NY City 3-2
3%
--
Toronto 3-0
3%
--
NY City 3-0
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
63%
--
BTTS - No
37%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
21%
--
Home/draw
63%
--
Away/draw
60%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
56%
--
Away DNB
53%
--
Toronto win to nil
17%
--
NY City win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Toronto 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
5
Draw
11
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto3 - 3Charlotte
Toronto2 - 1New England
Toronto2 - 4Miami
Toronto1 - 1San Jose
Toronto1 - 2Atlanta
Toronto3 - 3Philadelphia
Toronto3 - 3Austin
Toronto1 - 1Cincinnati
Toronto3 - 2Colorado
Toronto2 - 1Columbus
Toronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Toronto4 - 2Orlando
Toronto1 - 1Miami
Toronto1 - 1Montreal
Toronto1 - 1Columbus
Toronto1 - 1Atlanta
Toronto3 - 0Portland
Toronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Toronto0 - 2Charlotte
Toronto1 - 2Philadelphia
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToronto3 - 3Charlotte
HToronto2 - 1New England
AToronto1 - 1NY City
AToronto1 - 2DC United
AToronto0 - 0New England
AToronto0 - 0Montreal
AToronto1 - 2Chicago
AToronto1 - 3Charlotte
HToronto2 - 4Miami
HToronto1 - 1San Jose
HToronto1 - 2Atlanta
HToronto3 - 3Philadelphia
HToronto3 - 3Austin
HToronto1 - 1Cincinnati
HToronto3 - 2Colorado
HToronto2 - 1Columbus
HToronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
AToronto1 - 0Cincinnati
AToronto0 - 3Vancouver
AToronto2 - 3Dallas
NY City 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cincinnati2 - 1NY City
Columbus1 - 2NY City
Nashville2 - 1NY City
NY Red Bulls1 - 1NY City
Charlotte0 - 1NY City
Montreal1 - 0NY City
Vancouver2 - 0NY City
Philadelphia1 - 2NY City
LA Galaxy1 - 1NY City
Miami5 - 1NY City
Philadelphia0 - 1NY City
Charlotte1 - 3NY City
Charlotte0 - 1NY City
Philadelphia1 - 0NY City
NY Red Bulls2 - 3NY City
Chicago1 - 3NY City
Cincinnati0 - 1NY City
Dallas3 - 4NY City
Sporting KC1 - 1NY City
Orlando1 - 2NY City
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANY City1 - 2Cincinnati
HNY City2 - 3Philadelphia
HNY City1 - 1Toronto
HNY City3 - 1Chicago
ANY City2 - 1Columbus
ANY City1 - 2Nashville
ANY City1 - 1NY Red Bulls
ANY City1 - 0Charlotte
HNY City3 - 0Columbus
HNY City0 - 2DC United
ANY City0 - 1Montreal
HNY City4 - 4Cincinnati
HNY City1 - 2Charlotte
ANY City0 - 2Vancouver
HNY City1 - 1Saint Louis City
HNY City2 - 3Miami
HNY City3 - 1Colorado
HNY City5 - 0Orlando
ANY City2 - 1Philadelphia
ANY City1 - 1LA Galaxy
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toronto since 2018
Toronto
NY City
Goals: Scored
15
14
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
TOR
4
D
1
NYC
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
0 - 1NY City
2 - 3NY City
Toronto1 - 0
Toronto2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1NY City
1 - 3NY City
Toronto1 - 0
Toronto4 - 0
2 - 3NY City
League games at NY City since 2018
NY City
Toronto
Goals: Scored
19
13
Games: Scored
9 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
1 / 10
TOR
2
D
3
NYC
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY City
Draw1 - 1Draw
NY City3 - 1
NY City2 - 1
NY City3 - 0
NY City5 - 4
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Toronto
1 - 2Toronto
Draw1 - 1Draw
NY City2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Toronto FC's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because New York City have conceded in each of their last 5 Major League Soccer matches. A PG of 1.5 for R. Fraser's side suggests that run should continue.

Toronto 10th NY City 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Toronto will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that NY City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
Toronto have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
+12
NY City have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
Toronto
PG (predicted goals)
NY City
1.6
1.6
Attack rating
TOR
NYC
15%
better
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score3
3
Scored first5
11
Goals scored29
34
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
20
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
TOR
NYC
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
17
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first13
9
Goals conceded36
29
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against20%
16%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+12%

Toronto v NY City Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20537
L GavranD SallóiAlonsoJ Osorio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Gavran GLK201
-
Alonso MID203
3
-
D Sallói FWD2053
2
-
W Zimmerman DEF171
4
1
Z. Monlouis DEF17
1
-
J Osorio MID173
7
-
K Franklin DEF1622
-
E. Aristizábal Chavarriaga FWD163
1
-
R Laryea DEF1521
3
-
M. Henry MID15
3
-
D Junior FWD1521
-
J Sargent FWD1332
-
R Edwards DEF12
3
1
D Kerr FWD10
-
Đorđe Mihailović MID923
1
B Kuscevic DEF8
2
-
J. Gilman DEF8
1
-
T Corbeanu FWD711
1
-
L Stefanovic DEF6
1
-
M Cimermancic MID41
-
J Vilsaint FWD4
-
M Pereira DEF3
1
-
N Dorsch MID32
1
-
N Gomis DEF2
-
H Wingo DEF1
-
NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201367
M FreeseN MercauM MoralezN Mercau
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Freese GLK20
-
A Ojeda FWD2055
1
-
T Gray DEF1911
5
1
N Mercau FWD19133
7
-
T Martins DEF17
-
H Wolf FWD1752
2
-
R Gustavo DEF16
3
-
K Parks MID162
4
-
J. Shore MID15
-
K Trewin MID15
3
-
T Magno FWD1521
1
-
M Moralez MID1416
1
-
K O'Toole DEF12
-
S. Garfield-Reid FWD12
-
N. Cavallo DEF11
1
-
A O'Neill MID111
2
-
M. Jones FWD111
2
-
A Perea MID1011
-
A. Farnós Olive FWD8
-
M. Carrizo Ballesteros MID6
-
J Sands MID5
1
-
B Traoré FWD51
-
A. Baiera DEF3
-
K. Pierre Jr. MID2
-
L. Sousa Santos FWD22
2
-
M. Murray DEF1
-