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Toronto FC v New York City : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Apr, 19:30 BST, BMO Field, Toronto

New York City are away on Saturday evening, as manager Pascal Gastien takes his team to visit Toronto FC and Henk Fraser at the BMO Field in the Major League Soccer. All of the key statistics for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this in-depth preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a smart bet.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toronto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toronto
40%
2.55
13%
-
Draw
25%
3.20-
NY City
35%
2.90
15%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6.00-
Toronto 2-1
9%
10.00
11%
-
Toronto 1-0
9%
9.50
12%
-
NY City 2-1
8%
11.00
8%
-
NY City 1-0
8%
10.00
9%
-
Toronto 2-0
6%
13.00
18%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
12.00-
Draw 0-0
6%
11.00
10%
-
NY City 2-0
5%
15.00
12%
-
Toronto 3-1
4%
19.00
12%
-
NY City 3-1
4%
21.00
19%
-
Toronto 3-0
3%
23.00
10%
-
Toronto 3-2
3%
26.00-
NY City 3-2
3%
29.00
15%
-
NY City 3-0
3%
29.00
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.90-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1.90-
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.80
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.10
9%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11.00
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.67
2%
-
BTTS - No
42%
2.10
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
4.75
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.00-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5.50
15%
-
Home/draw
65%
1.40
8%
-
Away/draw
60%
1.50
7%
-
Home/away
75%
1.36-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.25-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3.75-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
3.25-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.33-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
6.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.11-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.04-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.05
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.00
10%
-
Home DNB
57%
1.73
10%
-
Away DNB
53%
2.00
11%
-
Toronto win to nil
19%
4.50
13%
-
NY City win to nil
17%
5.50
8%
-
Toronto / Toronto
21%
4.00
11%
-
Toronto / NY City
3%
26.00
10%
-
Toronto / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Toronto
14%
6.00
9%
-
Draw / NY City
13%
6.50
7%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50-
NY City / Toronto
3%
26.00
13%
-
NY City / NY City
18%
4.50
10%
-
NY City / Draw
6%
13.00
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
6
Toronto have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
8
NY City have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
Toronto 14TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto0 - 0Minnesota
Toronto0 - 0Vancouver
Toronto1 - 2Chicago
Toronto0 - 1Miami
Toronto1 - 4NY Red Bulls
Toronto0 - 2Columbus
Toronto2 - 1Austin
Toronto1 - 3DC United
Toronto2 - 1Philadelphia
Toronto1 - 2Orlando
Toronto1 - 2Nashville
Toronto1 - 4Chicago
Toronto3 - 4Cincinnati
Toronto5 - 1Montreal
Toronto2 - 3NY City
Toronto3 - 1Dallas
Toronto1 - 0New England
Toronto1 - 3Sporting KC
Toronto2 - 0Atlanta
Toronto1 - 0Charlotte
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToronto1 - 0Salt Lake
HToronto0 - 0Minnesota
AToronto1 - 1Miami
HToronto0 - 0Vancouver
AToronto1 - 2NY Red Bulls
HToronto1 - 2Chicago
AToronto0 - 2Cincinnati
AToronto2 - 4Orlando
AToronto2 - 2DC United
HToronto0 - 1Miami
HToronto1 - 4NY Red Bulls
AToronto1 - 1Chicago
AToronto0 - 2Colorado
HToronto0 - 2Columbus
HToronto2 - 1Austin
HToronto1 - 3DC United
AToronto1 - 0Houston
AToronto1 - 0Montreal
AToronto1 - 3Miami
HToronto2 - 1Philadelphia
NY City 10TH
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
New England2 - 0NY City
Atlanta4 - 3NY City
Columbus0 - 0NY City
LAFC1 - 0NY City
Miami2 - 2NY City
Cincinnati0 - 0NY City
Cincinnati1 - 0NY City
Montreal2 - 0NY City
NY Red Bulls1 - 5NY City
DC United1 - 1NY City
Columbus4 - 2NY City
Orlando1 - 1NY City
Atlanta2 - 2NY City
Chicago0 - 0NY City
Austin2 - 1NY City
Nashville1 - 0NY City
LA Galaxy2 - 0NY City
New England0 - 1NY City
Philadelphia1 - 2NY City
Toronto2 - 3NY City
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANY City0 - 2New England
HNY City1 - 0Philadelphia
HNY City1 - 2Minnesota
ANY City3 - 4Atlanta
ANY City0 - 0Columbus
HNY City2 - 1New England
HNY City2 - 1Orlando
ANY City0 - 1LAFC
ANY City2 - 2Miami
HNY City0 - 2NY Red Bulls
ANY City0 - 0Cincinnati
HNY City3 - 1Cincinnati
ANY City0 - 1Cincinnati
ANY City0 - 2Montreal
HNY City3 - 1Nashville
HNY City3 - 2Cincinnati
ANY City5 - 1NY Red Bulls
HNY City1 - 1Miami
HNY City1 - 5Philadelphia
ANY City1 - 1DC United
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
NY City have beaten Toronto in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toronto since 2018
Toronto
NY City
Goals: Scored
15
13
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
TOR
4
D
1
NYC
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
2 - 3NY City
Toronto1 - 0
Toronto2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1NY City
1 - 3NY City
Toronto1 - 0
Toronto4 - 0
2 - 3NY City
League games at NY City since 2018
NY City
Toronto
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
TOR
2
D
2
NYC
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY City
NY City2 - 1
NY City3 - 0
NY City5 - 4
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Toronto
1 - 2Toronto
Draw1 - 1Draw
NY City2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Toronto 14th NY City 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Toronto will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that NY City will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Toronto have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
NY City have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290887/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toronto
PG (predicted goals)
NY City
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
TOR
NYC
2%
better
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score3
3
Scored first3
3
Goals scored8
11
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.2
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
10%
better
TOR
NYC
view stats
Games conceded6
7
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded13
13
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+10%

Toronto v NY City Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6222
S JohnsonD KerrF BernardeschiF Bernardeschi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Johnson GLK6
-
Alonso MID6
-
F Bernardeschi FWD612
2
-
Z. Monlouis DEF5
-
K Long DEF5
1
-
D Flores MID51
1
-
J Osorio MID51
-
D Kerr FWD52
-
S Rosted DEF41
1
-
N Gomis DEF4
-
H Wingo DEF4
-
M Cimermancic MID4
-
M Longstaff  MID4
1
-
K Thompson MID4
1
-
T Corbeanu FWD4
-
D Junior FWD41
1
-
T. Spicer FWD4
-
R Petretta DEF3
1
-
O Brynhildsen FWD3
-
R Laryea DEF2
-
L Insigne FWD2
-
K Franklin DEF1
-
NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7422
M FreeseA MartínezJ FernándezK Parks
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Freese GLK7
1
-
K Parks MID71
2
-
J Haak MID7
-
M Moralez MID71
1
-
J Fernández FWD712
-
H Wolf FWD731
-
M. Bakrar FWD7
1
-
A Ojeda FWD7
-
K O'Toole DEF6
1
1
B Risa DEF6
1
-
T Martins DEF6
-
J. Shore MID6
1
-
A Martínez FWD64
-
S Tanasijević DEF4
1
-
A Perea MID2
-
T Gray DEF1
-