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Boca Juniors v Vélez Sarsfield : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Alberto José Armando, Buenos Aires

Home advantage can be vital in the Primera División, and Rodolfo Martín Arruabarrena’s Boca Juniors will have the blessing of it on Saturday night. Guillermo Barros Schelotto’s Vélez Sarsfield are their opponents at the Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are included as well.

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Boca Juniors's next match is v Platense at 01:15 on Sunday 16th August
Vélez Sarsfield's next match is v Defensa at 23:15 on Monday 17th August
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Boca Juniors and Velez was on Saturday 8th August 2026
Argentinian Primera División
August 8th 2026
Boca Juniors 1
1 Velez
 
S. Ascacíbar 39'12' D. Valdés Contreras
 
BOJ
VEL
Shots On
9
4
Shots Off
14
3
Corners
5
4
Possession
59%
41%
Fouls
12
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/0
 
Boca JuniorsVelez
 
Á. Montero Perales
L. Di Lollo
L. Blanco
L. Paredes
T. Aranda (A. Velasco 63')
M. Merentiel Serrano (M. Giménez 63')
L. Lozano Fernández
M. Delgado
A. Costa (M. Pellegrino 46')
S. Ascacíbarfootball icon
L. Flores (S. Villa Cano 74')
T. Marchiori Carreño
E. Mammana
(C. Baeza Baeza 63') E. Gómez
J. García
(L.Feler 82') L. Robertone
(Simón Escobar 46') football iconD. Valdés Contreras
M. Pellegrini
(T. Aguirre 63') D. Godoy
T. Silvero
(A. Zahir Verón 82') M. Lanzini
R. Aliendro

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're expecting a close-fought game here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Boca Juniors and Velez go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver precisely that. The stats and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Boca Juniors are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.81.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Boca Juniors
42%
8/15
6%
-
Draw
31%
13/5-
Velez
28%
11/2
10%
-
Boca Juniors 1-0
15%
15/4-
Draw 0-0
14%
11/2
8%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1-
Velez 1-0
12%
11/1-
Boca Juniors 2-0
9%
5/1-
Boca Juniors 2-1
8%
17/2-
Velez 2-1
6%
22/1-
Velez 2-0
5%
33/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1
9%
-
Boca Juniors 3-0
3%
10/1
15%
-
Boca Juniors 3-1
3%
16/1-
Velez 3-1
2%
66/1-
Velez 3-0
1%
80/1-
Boca Juniors 3-2
1%
40/1-
Velez 3-2
1%
66/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
6/4
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
1/2
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
1/2
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
12/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
11/2
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
6/4-
BTTS - No
61%
1/2-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/1-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
16/1-
Home/draw
72%
1/9
1%
-
Away/draw
58%
13/10
5%
-
Home/away
69%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
59%
1/2
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
41%
6/4
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/100-
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/10
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
6/1
8%
-
Home DNB
63%
1/6-
Away DNB
49%
4/1-
Boca Juniors win to nil
28%
11/10-
Velez win to nil
19%
9/1-
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors
34%
6/4
4%
-
Boca Juniors / Velez
2%
50/1-
Boca Juniors / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Boca Juniors
21%
3/1-
Draw / Velez
7%
11/1
5%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2-
Velez / Boca Juniors
3%
28/1-
Velez / Velez
7%
11/1
6%
-
Velez / Draw
4%
18/1-
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Win / draw / win form
Boca Juniors 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Boca Juniors1 - 0Estudiantes
Boca Juniors1 - 1Huracan
Boca Juniors1 - 1Independiente
Boca Juniors2 - 0Instituto
Boca Juniors1 - 1San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors1 - 1Gimnasia Mendoza
Boca Juniors0 - 0Racing Club
Boca Juniors0 - 0Platense
Boca Juniors2 - 0Newells
Boca Juniors1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Boca Juniors0 - 1Racing Club
Boca Juniors1 - 0Argentinos
Boca Juniors2 - 0Tal Cordoba
Boca Juniors2 - 0Tig
Boca Juniors2 - 0River Plate
Boca Juniors1 - 2Belgrano
Boca Juniors5 - 0Newells
Boca Juniors2 - 2Central Cor
Boca Juniors2 - 0Banfield
Boca Juniors1 - 1Racing Club
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBoca Juniors1 - 0Estudiantes
ABoca Juniors2 - 2Newells
ABoca Juniors0 - 3Deportivo Riestra
HBoca Juniors1 - 1Huracan
ABoca Juniors2 - 1Central Cor
ABoca Juniors4 - 0Defensa
ABoca Juniors1 - 0River Plate
HBoca Juniors1 - 1Independiente
ABoca Juniors1 - 0Tal Cordoba
HBoca Juniors2 - 0Instituto
ABoca Juniors1 - 1U Santa Fe
HBoca Juniors1 - 1San Lorenzo
ABoca Juniors3 - 0Lanus
HBoca Juniors1 - 1Gimnasia Mendoza
HBoca Juniors0 - 0Racing Club
HBoca Juniors0 - 0Platense
ABoca Juniors1 - 2Velez
HBoca Juniors2 - 0Newells
ABoca Juniors1 - 2Estudiantes
HBoca Juniors1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Velez 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tal Cordoba1 - 3Velez
San Lorenzo0 - 0Velez
Gimnasia Mendoza3 - 2Velez
Platense0 - 2Velez
Tig1 - 1Velez
Estudiantes0 - 1Velez
Defensa1 - 1Velez
Independiente1 - 1Velez
Instituto0 - 1Velez
Gimnasia2 - 0Velez
Sarmiento0 - 2Velez
Deportivo Riestra2 - 2Velez
SM San Juan1 - 2Velez
Huracan0 - 0Velez
Godoy Cruz0 - 2Velez
San Lorenzo1 - 0Velez
Platense0 - 0Velez
River Plate4 - 1Velez
Tal Cordoba0 - 1Velez
Rosario2 - 1Velez
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVelez1 - 0Independiente
AVelez3 - 1Tal Cordoba
HVelez1 - 0Instituto
HVelez0 - 1Gimnasia
HVelez1 - 1Newells
HVelez2 - 2U Santa Fe
AVelez0 - 0San Lorenzo
HVelez1 - 0Central Cor
AVelez2 - 3Gimnasia Mendoza
HVelez0 - 1Lanus
AVelez2 - 0Platense
AVelez1 - 1Tig
AVelez1 - 0Estudiantes
HVelez0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HVelez1 - 0River Plate
AVelez1 - 1Defensa
HVelez2 - 1Boca Juniors
AVelez1 - 1Independiente
HVelez2 - 1Tal Cordoba
AVelez1 - 0Instituto
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Boca Juniors have beaten Velez in 3 consecutive home league meetings
3
Boca Juniors have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Velez
League games at Boca Juniors since 2018
Boca Juniors
Velez
Goals: Scored
5
0
Games: Scored
3 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
0 / 3
BOJ
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors1 - 0
Boca Juniors1 - 0
Boca Juniors3 - 0
League games at Velez since 2019
Velez
Boca Juniors
Goals: Scored
6
10
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
BOJ
2
D
2
VEL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez2 - 1
1 - 2Boca Juniors
Draw0 - 0Draw
Velez2 - 0
1 - 7Boca Juniors
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Vélez Sarsfield's defensive record is very strong, G. Barros Schelotto's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Primera División outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Boca Juniors makes sense in this context.

Boca Juniors 7th Velez 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 69% probability that Boca Juniors will score no more than 1 goal
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Velez scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Boca Juniors’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+27
Velez have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Boca Juniors
PG (predicted goals)
Velez
1.1
0.9
Attack rating
8%
better
BOJ
VEL
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
4
Scored first11
12
Goals scored26
23
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for13
12
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
BOJ
VEL
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
11
Clean sheets10
9
Conceded first7
6
Goals conceded15
14
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
15
Conversion rate against10%
7%
Avg. XG against0.8
1
KickOff rating
+5%

Boca Juniors v Velez Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17568
Álvaro MonteroS AscacibarS VillaL Paredes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álvaro Montero GLK4
-
L Lozano DEF3
-
L Lollo DEF171
3
-
A Costa DEF15
4
-
L Blanco DEF1812
1
-
L Paredes MID1823
8
-
S Ascacibar MID175
3
-
M. Delgado MID191
3
-
L. Flores FWD4
1
-
T. Aranda FWD1813
2
-
M Merentiel FWD1852
1
-
Subs
W Cepeda61
1
-
A Velasco1031
1
-
K Zenón6
-
S Villa41
-
C. Rey Domenech4
-
D. Gorosito1
-
M Pellegrino7
-
M Braida7
-
N Figal4
-
M Giménez84
1
-
Ángel Romero101
-
L Brey6
-
Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20456
E GómezM LanziniD ValdésE Gómez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Marchiori GLK4
-
J García DEF172
2
-
T. Silvero DEF81
2
-
E Mammana DEF20
1
-
E Gómez DEF202
6
-
L Robertone MID1911
5
1
R Aliendro MID211
1
-
D Valdés MID1825
-
M Pellegrini FWD1632
5
-
M Lanzini FWD214
2
-
D. Godoy FWD163
2
-
Subs
C Baeza19
5
-
L Magallán181
3
-
A. Zahir Verón8
-
Simón Escobar4
1
-
L. Cristaldo Florentín
-
L. Piola
-
?. Busso
-
J. Policella
-
T. Aguirre311
-
A. Pereyra
-
L.Feler6
-