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Defensa y Justicia v Belgrano : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 19th Feb, 20:15 BST, Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela

Ricardo Alberto Zielinski guides his Belgrano side to the Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello in the Primera División on Thursday night, with Mariano Soso's Defensa y Justicia waiting for them. We've got odds for the 17 biggest betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Mariano Soso and Ricardo Alberto Zielinski to got all-out defensive here, but we do not expect a deluge of goals as Defensa and Belgrano go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.44 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Defensa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Defensa
34%
9/5
4%
7/4
2%
Draw
29%
15/819/10
Belgrano
37%
17/10
4%
15/8
3%
Draw 1-1
13%
9/2
8%
9/2
Belgrano 1-0
12%
11/211/2
Defensa 1-0
12%
6/1
8%
5/1
Draw 0-0
11%
5/15/1
4%
Belgrano 2-1
8%
10/1
8%
9/1
Defensa 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
17/2
Belgrano 2-0
7%
11/110/1
Defensa 2-0
6%
11/19/1
9%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
Belgrano 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Belgrano 3-0
3%
28/120/1
Defensa 3-1
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
9%
Defensa 3-0
2%
28/122/1
Belgrano 3-2
2%
40/128/1
Defensa 3-2
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
8/5
4%
8/5
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
19/40
3%
10/21
3%
Home 1st Goal
46%
11/10
2%
21/20
2%
Away 1st Goal
47%
21/20
2%
23/20
No 1st Goal
7%
5/15/1
4%
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/1011/10
2%
BTTS - No
55%
4/64/6
1%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6/15/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
10/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/1
7%
11/2
Home/draw
63%
2/52/5
Away/draw
66%
2/54/9
Home/away
71%
2/52/5
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
1/2
2%
1/2
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
6/4
5%
7/5
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
9/24/1
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/72/13
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
12/19/1
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/251/25
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/120/1
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/1001/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/81/9
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
5/15/1
4%
Home DNB
55%
5/64/5
2%
Away DNB
57%
5/610/11
3%
Defensa win to nil
21%
3/1-
Belgrano win to nil
23%
3/1-
Defensa / Defensa
18%
15/4
6%
10/3
2%
Defensa / Belgrano
3%
33/125/1
Defensa / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Defensa
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Belgrano
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Draw
21%
3/114/5
Belgrano / Defensa
3%
33/125/1
Belgrano / Belgrano
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
Belgrano / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win form
Defensa 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Belgrano 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Defensa since 2018
Defensa
Belgrano
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
DEF
2
D
1
BEL
1
League games at Belgrano since 2024
Belgrano
Defensa
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
DEF
1
D
1
BEL
1
Goal Statistics

Belgrano's defensive record is to be admired, R. Zielinski's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Primera División games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Defensa y Justicia makes sense in this context.

Defensa 15th Belgrano 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Defensa will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Belgrano will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Defensa have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-15
Belgrano have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Defensa
PG (predicted goals)
Belgrano
1.1
1.1
Attack rating
DEF
BEL
2%
better
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score2
1
Scored first3
2
Goals scored5
5
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for16
11
Avg. XG for0.8
1
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
0%
better
DEF
BEL
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded3
2
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded17
23
Conversion rate against6%
4%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
0%

Defensa v Belgrano Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Defensa Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
C FiermarínJ MiritelloJ GutiérrezÉver Banega
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Fiermarín GLK5
-
L Souto DEF5
-
E Lucero DEF5
-
A. Portillo DEF511
-
Ángel Maldonado MID51
-
S. Sosa Yung MID5
-
J Miritello FWD52
-
J Gutiérrez FWD512
1
-
E Amor DEF4
-
A Molinas MID42
1
-
J López MID4
-
D Martínez  DEF3
1
-
D Fernández DEF3
-
E Pereyra DEF3
-
A Hausch MID3
-
M. Aguiar MID3
1
-
A Osorio FWD3
-
N. Roselli DEF2
-
Éver Banega MID2
2
-
D Barbona FWD2
-
F Altamira FWD2
1
-
D. Fernandez FWD1
-
Belgrano Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5122
T CardozoF VázquezE RigoniL Morales
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Cardozo GLK5
-
L López DEF5
1
-
L Morales DEF5
2
-
A Cabrera DEF5
1
-
R. Hernandes MID5
-
A Sánchez MID5
1
-
E Rigoni FWD52
-
N Fernández FWD51
-
A Spörle DEF4
2
-
A Maldonado  DEF4
-
F Vázquez MID41
-
L Zelarayán MID41
1
-
F Metilli MID4
-
S Longo MID4
-
F Ricca DEF3
1
-
J. Velazquez DEF2
-
L Passerini FWD21
-
J. Lucco MID1
-
J. Mavilla MID1
-
G. Zelarayán MID1
-
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Sun 22nd Feb, 00:00
Central Cor v Tig
Sun 22nd Feb, 00:30
Velez v River Plate
Sun 22nd Feb, 21:30
U Santa Fe v Aldosivi
Mon 23rd Feb, 00:00
Platense v Defensa
Tue 24th Feb, 20:00
San Lorenzo v Instituto
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Central Cor v Tal Cordoba
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Aldosivi v Argentinos
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Belgrano v A. Tucuman
Wed 25th Feb, 00:15
Gimnasia Mendoza v Independiente
Wed 25th Feb, 01:00
Gimnasia v Rosario
Wed 25th Feb, 20:00
Barracas v Tig
Wed 25th Feb, 20:00
Newells v Estudiantes
Wed 25th Feb, 22:30
Velez v Deportivo Riestra
Wed 25th Feb, 22:30
Racing Club v Independiente Rivadavia
Thu 26th Feb, 20:15
Sarmiento v U Santa Fe
Thu 26th Feb, 20:15
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto v Huracan
Thu 26th Feb, 22:30
River Plate v Banfield
Thu 26th Feb, 22:30
Boca Juniors v Gimnasia Mendoza
Sat 28th Feb, 20:45
Independiente v Central Cor
Sat 28th Feb, 23:00
Tal Cordoba v San Lorenzo
Sun 1st Mar, 01:15
Newells v Rosario
Sun 1st Mar, 20:00
Argentinos v Barracas
Sun 1st Mar, 22:15
Instituto v U Santa Fe
Sun 1st Mar, 22:15