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Defensa y Justicia v Independiente Rivadavia : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 17th Nov, 20:00 BST, Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela

The Primera División is the focus for both Defensa y Justicia and Independiente Rivadavia on Monday night, as managers Mariano Soso and Alfredo Jesús Berti go head to head at the Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be explored, while there's also head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Defensa and Independiente Rivadavia go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the sides in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The stats do not give us any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.53 with the bookmakers, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Defensa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Defensa 41%	21/20 10%	23/20 13%
Draw 28%	41/20 5%	21/10 6%
Independiente Rivadavia 30%	3/1 8%	27/10 15%
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	5/1
Defensa 1-0 13%	5/1	19/4 10%
Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 11%	15/2 15%	7/1 6%
Draw 0-0 10%	6/1 7%	11/2
Defensa 2-1 8%	17/2 6%	7/1
Defensa 2-0 8%	8/1 13%	15/2 21%
Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 7%	12/1 13%	11/1 8%
Independiente Rivadavia 2-0 5%	16/1 19%	14/1 12%
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1 11%	14/1 12%
Defensa 3-1 3%	20/1 24%	16/1 13%
Defensa 3-0 3%	18/1 27%	14/1 15%
Independiente Rivadavia 3-1 2%	33/1 17%	25/1 10%
Independiente Rivadavia 3-0 2%	40/1 20%	28/1 15%
Defensa 3-2 2%	33/1	25/1
Independiente Rivadavia 3-2 1%	40/1 20%	28/1 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%	7/5 2%	11/8
Under 2.5 Goals 60%	8/15 3%	8/15 1%
Home 1st Goal 49%	4/5 8%	4/5 9%
Away 1st Goal 44%	7/5 9%	6/4 11%
No 1st Goal 7%	6/1 7%	11/2
BTTS - Yes 46%	21/20	21/20 5%
BTTS - No 54%	7/10	7/10 3%
BTTS - Home Win 16%	9/2 16%	19/5 4%
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	18/5 8%
BTTS - Away Win 12%	8/1 10%	13/2 12%
Home/draw 70%	2/9 2%	2/7 8%
Away/draw 59%	7/10 11%	7/10 11%
Home/away 72%	4/11	7/20 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	4/9 3%	4/9
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	13/8 4%	8/5
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	7/2 4%	17/5
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	2/11 2%	2/11
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	10/1 10%	8/1
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/20 1%	1/20
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	22/1 10%	18/1 12%
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80 1%	1/300
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/10 2%	1/11
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	6/1 7%	11/2
Home DNB 61%	4/9 8%	10/21 11%
Away DNB 50%	13/8 19%	6/4 17%
Defensa win to nil 26%	9/4 18%	-
Independiente Rivadavia win to nil 18%	9/2 15%	-
Defensa / Defensa 23%	5/2 13%	12/5 17%
Defensa / Independiente Rivadavia 2%	40/1	28/1 15%
Defensa / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Defensa 16%	4/1 5%	19/5 7%
Draw / Independiente Rivadavia 11%	13/2 12%	13/2 6%
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3 4%	16/5 3%
Independiente Rivadavia / Defensa 3%	28/1 12%	22/1 10%
Independiente Rivadavia / Independiente Rivadavia 14%	5/1 20%	19/4 12%
Independiente Rivadavia / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1 13%

Win / draw / win form

Defensa have lost 3 consecutive league games

Independiente Rivadavia have not won in 8 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Defensa	1 - 3	Huracan
Defensa	1 - 0	Argentinos
Defensa	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Defensa	1 - 2	Platense
Defensa	2 - 1	Belgrano
Defensa	1 - 1	Newells
Defensa	1 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
Defensa	2 - 0	Aldosivi
Defensa	1 - 2	Racing Club
Defensa	0 - 0	U Santa Fe
Defensa	1 - 2	Tig
Defensa	1 - 0	Estudiantes
Defensa	1 - 1	Barracas
Defensa	2 - 1	Central Cor
Defensa	0 - 1	Banfield
Defensa	0 - 0	U Santa Fe
Defensa	2 - 1	Godoy Cruz
Defensa	1 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
Defensa	2 - 1	Argentinos
Defensa	0 - 0	River Plate

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Defensa	0 - 1	Racing Club
H	Defensa	1 - 3	Huracan
A	Defensa	0 - 3	U Santa Fe
H	Defensa	1 - 0	Argentinos
A	Defensa	1 - 1	Tig
H	Defensa	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	Defensa	0 - 1	Estudiantes
H	Defensa	1 - 2	Platense
H	Defensa	2 - 1	Belgrano
A	Defensa	1 - 1	Barracas
H	Defensa	1 - 1	Newells
H	Defensa	1 - 0	Deportivo Riestra
A	Defensa	1 - 2	Central Cor
H	Defensa	2 - 0	Aldosivi
A	Defensa	0 - 0	Banfield
A	Defensa	2 - 3	Independiente Rivadavia
H	Defensa	1 - 2	Racing Club
A	Defensa	1 - 1	Huracan
H	Defensa	0 - 0	U Santa Fe
A	Defensa	1 - 4	Argentinos

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aldosivi	3 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Racing Club	0 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
U Santa Fe	2 - 2	Independiente Rivadavia
Lanus	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Tig	1 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Estudiantes	2 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Barracas	0 - 3	Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente	1 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Central Cor	1 - 2	Independiente Rivadavia
Banfield	1 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Godoy Cruz	1 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Huracan	2 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinos	0 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
Belgrano	0 - 3	Independiente Rivadavia
Newells	0 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Tig	0 - 2	Independiente Rivadavia
Belgrano	0 - 2	Independiente Rivadavia
Racing Club	2 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Estudiantes	1 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 0	Central Cor
A	Independiente Rivadavia	1 - 3	Aldosivi
H	Independiente Rivadavia	1 - 2	Banfield
H	Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 0	Godoy Cruz
A	Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 0	Racing Club
H	Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 0	Huracan
A	Independiente Rivadavia	2 - 2	U Santa Fe
A	Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 1	Lanus
H	Independiente Rivadavia	2 - 1	Argentinos
A	Independiente Rivadavia	1 - 1	Tig
H	Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 3	Boca Juniors
A	Independiente Rivadavia	1 - 2	Estudiantes
H	Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 0	Belgrano
A	Independiente Rivadavia	3 - 0	Barracas
H	Independiente Rivadavia	1 - 2	Newells
A	Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 1	Independiente
H	Independiente Rivadavia	3 - 2	Defensa
A	Independiente Rivadavia	2 - 1	Central Cor
H	Independiente Rivadavia	1 - 0	Aldosivi
A	Independiente Rivadavia	1 - 1	Banfield

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Defensa y Justicia of late. It has been 5 Primera División games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Monday night against Independiente Rivadavia.

	Defensa	Independiente Rivadavia
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Defensa will score no more than 1 goal	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Independiente Rivadavia will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-8 Defensa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+37 Independiente Rivadavia have scored 37% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season

10%

better

DEF

view stats

Games scored	23		20
Failed to score	8		12
Scored first	16		11
Goals scored	32		32
Avg. goals scored	1		1
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	11		12
Avg. XG for	1		1.1
KickOff rating		+10%

DEF

10%

better

view stats

Games conceded	22		20
Clean sheets	9		12
Conceded first	13		14
Goals conceded	39		35
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		10
Conversion rate against	13%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.3
KickOff rating		+10%

Defensa v Independiente Rivadavia Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Defensa Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	8	6	7
E Bologna	J Miritello	A Soto	A Osorio

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Bologna GLK	31			3 -
K Gutiérrez MID	29		1	6 -
A Soto DEF	28		6	3 2
A Osorio FWD	28	6	1	6 1
A Molinas MID	26	2	3	3 -
E Cannavo DEF	25	1	1	4 -
L Ferreira DEF	25	1	1	6 -
J Miritello FWD	25	8	2	3 1
D Barbona FWD	21			1 -
R Delgado DEF	20	2		3 1
C Pérez MID	20	3	1	2 -
L González MID	18	1	4	1 -
E Aguilera DEF	17			2 -
F Schamine MID	16		2	4 -
D Fernández DEF	15			1 -
J Gutiérrez FWD	11	1		-
A Hausch MID	10			1 -
M Miranda MID	10	1		1 -
L Lobato FWD	10			-
T Rubio DEF	7			2 -
S. Sosa Yung MID	5			1 -
M. Aguiar MID	4			-
N Stefanelli FWD	4			-
L Souto DEF	3			1 -
E Lucero DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	6	10
J Miritello	A Osorio	A Soto	A Molinas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Miritello FWD	8	18	2	3
A Osorio FWD	6	21	1	4
C Pérez MID	3	6	1	2
A Molinas MID	2	8	3	10
R Delgado DEF	2	3
E Cannavo DEF	1	4	1	5
L Ferreira DEF	1	3	1	1
L González MID	1	5	4	3
J Gutiérrez FWD	1	5
M Miranda MID	1	1
E Bologna GLK				1
K Gutiérrez MID		11	1	1
A Soto DEF		5	6	9
D Barbona FWD		8		2
F Schamine MID			2	3
L Lobato FWD		4
T Rubio DEF		1
M. Aguiar MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1646	71	166
K Gutiérrez	E Cannavo	L Ferreira

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Gutiérrez MID	1646	40	73
A Soto DEF	1179	58	122
L Ferreira DEF	1168	49	166
R Delgado DEF	1051	37	110
A Molinas MID	1016	27	65
D Fernández DEF	916	25	52
C Pérez MID	834	28	79
E Bologna GLK	794	2	13
E Aguilera DEF	710	6	57
E Cannavo DEF	674	71	149
A Osorio FWD	475	8	112
J Miritello FWD	356	5	75
L González MID	335	6	39
D Barbona FWD	312	1	28
F Schamine MID	217	18	33
M Miranda MID	182	13	32
A Hausch MID	159	10	27
J Gutiérrez FWD	136	9	48
T Rubio DEF	129	11	17
L Lobato FWD	98	5	16
S. Sosa Yung MID	50	2	7
M. Aguiar MID	26	1	6
L Souto DEF	22		1
N Stefanelli FWD	21		3
E Lucero DEF	10		1

Independiente Rivadavia Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	5	5	10
F. Amarfil	S Villa	S Villa	S. Studer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F. Amarfil MID	31	1	2	7 -
S Villa FWD	31	5	5	6 1
E Centurión GLK	30			3 -
S. Studer DEF	29	1	1	10 -
F Prieto FWD	28	5		1 -
I Villalba DEF	27	1	1	9 1
T. Bottari MID	27			6 1
N. Retamar FWD	27	4	3	4 -
L Gómez DEF	26	2	1	7 -
M. Fernández MID	26	1	3	7 -
M Cardillo MID	26	2		4 3
T Ortega DEF	19			4 -
J. Barbieri FWD	19	2	2	1 -
L Costa DEF	18		1	2 2
A. Osella DEF	17			1 -
P Souto DEF	15		2	2 -
M Peinipil DEF	13	1		1 -
M. Valenti DEF	12			-
D. Tonetto MID	12			1 -
E Bonifacio DEF	10			1 -
A Arce FWD	9	3		2 -
V Ramis FWD	9			-
L Bucca MID	7			1 -
S Muñoz FWD	4	1		-
S Flores DEF	3			-
L Abecasis DEF	2		1	-
M. Bergara FWD	2		1	-
A Lastra GLK	1			-
T Muro MID	1			1 -
L. Rodríguez Funes MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	21	5	22
S Villa	S Villa	S Villa	S Villa

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Villa FWD	5	21	5	22
F Prieto FWD	5	13		1
N. Retamar FWD	4	12	3	3
A Arce FWD	3	9
L Gómez DEF	2	8	1	4
M Cardillo MID	2	5		4
J. Barbieri FWD	2	5	2
F. Amarfil MID	1	7	2	2
S. Studer DEF	1	6	1	1
I Villalba DEF	1	3	1	2
M. Fernández MID	1	5	3	4
M Peinipil DEF	1	2		1
S Muñoz FWD	1	1
T. Bottari MID				1
T Ortega DEF		2		2
L Costa DEF			1	2
A. Osella DEF		1
P Souto DEF		1	2	2
M. Valenti DEF		1
D. Tonetto MID				1
V Ramis FWD		2		1
L Bucca MID		1		1
L Abecasis DEF		1	1	1
M. Bergara FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1038	57	155
F. Amarfil	T. Bottari	S Villa

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F. Amarfil MID	1038	50	142
S Villa FWD	892	25	155
S. Studer DEF	864	37	136
L Gómez DEF	839	33	108
T. Bottari MID	785	57	118
E Centurión GLK	746	2	7
I Villalba DEF	710	33	141
M. Fernández MID	442	25	81
T Ortega DEF	398	16	43
N. Retamar FWD	369	30	77
M Cardillo MID	355	34	75
P Souto DEF	284	22	32
L Costa DEF	248	15	47
A. Osella DEF	246	16	57
M Peinipil DEF	239	12	24
F Prieto FWD	221	11	64
A Arce FWD	173	2	55
M. Valenti DEF	165	18	44
E Bonifacio DEF	140	9	24
D. Tonetto MID	125	8	21
J. Barbieri FWD	123	9	41
V Ramis FWD	96	8	37
L Bucca MID	69	1	24
S Flores DEF	68	3	5
L Abecasis DEF	45	2	3
A Lastra GLK	26		3
M. Bergara FWD	24		3
T Muro MID	20
S Muñoz FWD	11	1	1
L. Rodríguez Funes MID	1