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Gimnasia La Plata v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Jul, 23:00 BST, Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata

Diego Simeone welcomes Julio César Vaccari to the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo on Saturday night, as their Gimnasia La Plata and Independiente charges do battle in the Primera División. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a smart selection is published below. Flip between 17 markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for every one.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gimnasia
34%
--
Draw
33%
--
Independiente
33%
--
Draw 0-0
16%
--
Gimnasia 1-0
15%
--
Independiente 1-0
15%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Gimnasia 2-0
7%
--
Independiente 2-0
7%
--
Gimnasia 2-1
6%
--
Independiente 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
3%
--
Gimnasia 3-0
2%
--
Independiente 3-0
2%
--
Gimnasia 3-1
2%
--
Independiente 3-1
2%
--
Gimnasia 3-2
1%
--
Independiente 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
72%
--
Home 1st Goal
44%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
12%
--
BTTS - Yes
36%
--
BTTS - No
64%
--
BTTS - Home Win
10%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
67%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
54%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
46%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
84%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
16%
--
Home DNB
57%
--
Away DNB
56%
--
Gimnasia win to nil
24%
--
Independiente win to nil
24%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Gimnasia 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gimnasia0 - 1Instituto
Gimnasia1 - 0Platense
Gimnasia0 - 3River Plate
Gimnasia1 - 1Estudiantes
Gimnasia0 - 0Sarmiento
Gimnasia1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia1 - 0SM San Juan
Gimnasia3 - 0Godoy Cruz
Gimnasia0 - 2San Lorenzo
Gimnasia0 - 1Tal Cordoba
Gimnasia1 - 0A. Tucuman
Gimnasia1 - 0Newells
Gimnasia0 - 0Central Cor
Gimnasia2 - 3U Santa Fe
Gimnasia0 - 1Godoy Cruz
Gimnasia0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia1 - 0Argentinos
Gimnasia1 - 1River Plate
Gimnasia0 - 1Rosario
Gimnasia0 - 1San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGimnasia0 - 1Instituto
HGimnasia1 - 0Platense
AGimnasia0 - 1Velez
HGimnasia0 - 3River Plate
HGimnasia1 - 1Estudiantes
AGimnasia0 - 2Tal Cordoba
HGimnasia0 - 0Sarmiento
AGimnasia1 - 2Rosario
HGimnasia1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
AGimnasia0 - 1U Santa Fe
AGimnasia1 - 0A. Tucuman
HGimnasia1 - 0SM San Juan
AGimnasia0 - 0Lanus
HGimnasia3 - 0Godoy Cruz
AGimnasia0 - 2Independiente
HGimnasia0 - 2San Lorenzo
AGimnasia0 - 3Instituto
AGimnasia0 - 1Platense
HGimnasia0 - 1Tal Cordoba
AGimnasia0 - 1Boca Juniors
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sarmiento2 - 2Independiente
Boca Juniors0 - 1Independiente
Rosario1 - 0Independiente
A. Tucuman2 - 0Independiente
Lanus1 - 1Independiente
San Lorenzo1 - 2Independiente
Banfield0 - 0Independiente
Platense1 - 1Independiente
River Plate2 - 0Independiente
Tal Cordoba2 - 3Independiente
Boca Juniors0 - 0Independiente
Newells2 - 1Independiente
Huracan1 - 0Independiente
Sarmiento0 - 0Independiente
Lanus0 - 2Independiente
Tig1 - 1Independiente
Belgrano1 - 1Independiente
Racing Club0 - 0Independiente
Estudiantes0 - 2Independiente
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 0Independiente
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AIndependiente2 - 2Sarmiento
HIndependiente0 - 0Huracan
AIndependiente1 - 0Boca Juniors
HIndependiente1 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
AIndependiente0 - 1Rosario
AIndependiente0 - 2A. Tucuman
HIndependiente0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente2 - 0SM San Juan
AIndependiente1 - 1Lanus
HIndependiente4 - 0Godoy Cruz
HIndependiente1 - 1Racing Club
AIndependiente2 - 1San Lorenzo
AIndependiente0 - 0Banfield
HIndependiente2 - 0Instituto
AIndependiente1 - 1Platense
HIndependiente3 - 0Velez
AIndependiente0 - 2River Plate
HIndependiente2 - 0Gimnasia
AIndependiente3 - 2Tal Cordoba
HIndependiente2 - 1Sarmiento
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Gimnasia since 2019
Gimnasia
Independiente
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
GIM
2
D
1
IND
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gimnasia
1 - 2Independiente
Draw1 - 1Draw
Gimnasia3 - 1
Gimnasia1 - 0
League games at Independiente since 2020
Independiente
Gimnasia
Goals: Scored
5
3
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
GIM
2
D
1
IND
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Independiente2 - 0
Independiente1 - 0
0 - 1Gimnasia
Draw1 - 1Draw
Independiente1 - 0
0 - 1Gimnasia
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Gimnasia La Plata look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Independiente have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Primera División games, and it could be a long night for Diego Simeone's men.

Gimnasia 19th Independiente 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Gimnasia scoring 1 goal or less
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-43
Gimnasia have scored 43% fewer goals at home than predicted
-8
Independiente’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291922/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Gimnasia
PG (predicted goals)
Independiente
0.9
0.9
Attack rating
GIM
IND
48%
better
view stats
Games scored7
14
Failed to score10
6
Scored first5
11
Goals scored9
27
Avg. goals scored0.5
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal16
7
Conversion rate for6
15
Avg. XG for0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
GIM
IND
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
10
Clean sheets6
10
Conceded first10
6
Goals conceded19
14
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against14%
10%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+27%

Gimnasia v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Gimnasia Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16127
P SilvaL CastroB MerliniG Suso
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Silva DEF16
1
-
J Pintado DEF161
3
-
G Suso DEF15
6
1
L Castro MID1511
5
-
N Insfrán GLK14
2
-
F. Di Biasi MID14
6
-
A Sosa FWD13
-
P Blasis MID121
3
-
M Panaro FWD12
2
1
A Piedrahita FWD10
2
-
B Merlini FWD102
3
-
R Giampaoli DEF9
1
-
N Garayalde  MID91
4
-
I Mammini FWD9
-
N Briasco FWD8
2
-
J Hurtado FWD7
2
-
F. Corbalán6
1
-
L Mamut MID6
-
M Melluso DEF4
2
-
L Ingolotti GLK3
-
J. Villalba DEF3
-
J Moreno MID3
1
-
A Max MID3
2
-
M Zalazar FWD1
-
Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20939
R ReyG ÁvalosP GaldamesI Marcone
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK20
1
-
F Vera DEF19
6
-
F Loyola DEF1942
1
-
S Valdéz DEF19
2
-
L Cabral MID1921
5
1
I Marcone MID19
9
-
D. Tarzia FWD191
5
-
Álvaro Angulo DEF174
4
-
G. Millán MID161
1
-
M Rojas FWD162
2
-
G Ávalos FWD1691
3
-
P Galdames MID1313
2
-
S Montiel FWD131
4
-
F Mancuello MID1011
2
-
S Hidalgo FWD10
2
-
R Fernández MID9
3
-
I Puch FWD81
-
F Paredes DEF5
1
-
S Salle FWD4
-
N Freire DEF2
1
-
L Godoy DEF11
-
R Martínez MID1
-
W Mazzantti FWD1
-
L. Román FWD1
-