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Gimnasia La Plata v Instituto : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Jul, 23:00 BST, Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata

Gimnasia La Plata are in Primera División action on Saturday night, as Diego Simeone attempts to outsmart Daniel Backstrom and his Instituto side at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo. We've got predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Primera División clash.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a relatively tight affair here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Gimnasia and Instituto go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver precisely that. The stats and the odds below point in this direction too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gimnasia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gimnasia
52%
1/1
17%
-
Draw
27%
21/10
7%
-
Instituto
21%
31/10
24%
-
Gimnasia 1-0
16%
9/2
8%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
11%
11/2
8%
-
Gimnasia 2-0
11%
15/2
15%
-
Instituto 1-0
9%
15/2
21%
-
Gimnasia 2-1
9%
17/2
14%
-
Gimnasia 3-0
5%
16/1
26%
-
Instituto 2-1
5%
14/1
15%
-
Gimnasia 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
-
Instituto 2-0
3%
18/1
27%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1-
Gimnasia 4-0
2%
40/1
20%
-
Gimnasia 3-2
2%
40/1-
Gimnasia 4-1
1%
40/1
20%
-
Instituto 3-1
1%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
6/4
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
1/2
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/6
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
7/4
10%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
11/2
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
41%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - No
59%
4/6
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9/1
18%
-
Home/draw
79%
2/9
8%
-
Away/draw
48%
4/5
18%
-
Home/away
73%
4/11
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
1/2
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
6/4
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
4/1
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/6
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
10/1
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/150-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/9
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
11/2
8%
-
Home DNB
71%
2/5
14%
-
Away DNB
40%
7/4
25%
-
Gimnasia win to nil
35%
2/1
14%
-
Instituto win to nil
13%
5/1
33%
-
Gimnasia / Gimnasia
24%
12/5
15%
-
Gimnasia / Instituto
2%
40/1-
Gimnasia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Gimnasia
17%
15/4
14%
-
Draw / Instituto
10%
7/1
23%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
8%
-
Instituto / Gimnasia
3%
28/1
15%
-
Instituto / Instituto
13%
11/2
18%
-
Instituto / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win form
Gimnasia 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gimnasia1 - 0Platense
Gimnasia0 - 3River Plate
Gimnasia1 - 1Estudiantes
Gimnasia0 - 0Sarmiento
Gimnasia1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia1 - 0SM San Juan
Gimnasia3 - 0Godoy Cruz
Gimnasia0 - 2San Lorenzo
Gimnasia0 - 1Tal Cordoba
Gimnasia1 - 0A. Tucuman
Gimnasia1 - 0Newells
Gimnasia0 - 0Central Cor
Gimnasia2 - 3U Santa Fe
Gimnasia0 - 1Godoy Cruz
Gimnasia0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia1 - 0Argentinos
Gimnasia1 - 1River Plate
Gimnasia0 - 1Rosario
Gimnasia0 - 1San Lorenzo
Gimnasia2 - 1Barracas
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGimnasia1 - 0Platense
AGimnasia0 - 1Velez
HGimnasia0 - 3River Plate
HGimnasia1 - 1Estudiantes
AGimnasia0 - 2Tal Cordoba
HGimnasia0 - 0Sarmiento
AGimnasia1 - 2Rosario
HGimnasia1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
AGimnasia0 - 1U Santa Fe
AGimnasia1 - 0A. Tucuman
HGimnasia1 - 0SM San Juan
AGimnasia0 - 0Lanus
HGimnasia3 - 0Godoy Cruz
AGimnasia0 - 2Independiente
HGimnasia0 - 2San Lorenzo
AGimnasia0 - 3Instituto
AGimnasia0 - 1Platense
HGimnasia0 - 1Tal Cordoba
AGimnasia0 - 1Boca Juniors
HGimnasia1 - 0A. Tucuman
Instituto 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Argentinos3 - 1Instituto
Tal Cordoba1 - 2Instituto
Rosario3 - 0Instituto
A. Tucuman3 - 2Instituto
Lanus4 - 1Instituto
Argentinos2 - 0Instituto
Independiente2 - 0Instituto
U Santa Fe0 - 0Instituto
Platense1 - 0Instituto
River Plate1 - 0Instituto
Lanus2 - 0Instituto
Tig0 - 0Instituto
Belgrano3 - 1Instituto
Racing Club2 - 0Instituto
Estudiantes3 - 2Instituto
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 1Instituto
Central Cor2 - 1Instituto
Banfield1 - 2Instituto
Velez1 - 0Instituto
Tal Cordoba1 - 1Instituto
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AInstituto1 - 3Argentinos
AInstituto2 - 1Tal Cordoba
HInstituto1 - 1Sarmiento
AInstituto0 - 3Rosario
HInstituto3 - 0Deportivo Riestra
AInstituto2 - 3A. Tucuman
HInstituto1 - 0SM San Juan
AInstituto1 - 4Lanus
HInstituto1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AInstituto0 - 2Argentinos
AInstituto0 - 2Independiente
HInstituto0 - 1San Lorenzo
AInstituto0 - 0U Santa Fe
AInstituto0 - 1Platense
HInstituto2 - 0Velez
AInstituto0 - 1River Plate
HInstituto3 - 0Gimnasia
HInstituto1 - 3Godoy Cruz
AInstituto0 - 2Lanus
HInstituto2 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Instituto have beaten Gimnasia in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Gimnasia since 2023
Gimnasia
Instituto
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
GIM
1
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gimnasia
1 - 3Instituto
Gimnasia2 - 0
League games at Instituto since 2023
Instituto
Gimnasia
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
D
1
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Instituto
Instituto3 - 0
Instituto2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Gimnasia La Plata of late. It has been 12 Primera División matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday night against Instituto.

Gimnasia 19th Instituto 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Gimnasia will score no more than 1 goal
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Instituto scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-39
Gimnasia have scored 39% fewer goals at home than predicted
-21
Instituto have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291806/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Gimnasia
PG (predicted goals)
Instituto
1.4
0.8
Attack rating
GIM
27%
better
view stats
Games scored7
10
Failed to score9
7
Scored first5
5
Goals scored9
17
Avg. goals scored0.6
1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal15
8
Conversion rate for7
12
Avg. XG for0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
12%
better
GIM
view stats
Games conceded10
12
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first9
11
Goals conceded18
23
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+12%

Gimnasia v Instituto Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Gimnasia Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16427
L MoralesR CastilloB MerliniG Suso
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Morales DEF161
2
-
R Castillo FWD164
2
-
P Silva DEF15
1
-
J Pintado DEF151
3
-
G Suso DEF14
6
1
L Castro MID1411
5
-
N Insfrán GLK13
2
-
F. Di Biasi MID13
5
-
P Blasis MID121
3
-
A Sosa FWD12
-
M Panaro FWD11
2
1
A Piedrahita FWD10
2
-
B Merlini FWD102
3
-
R Giampaoli DEF8
1
-
N Garayalde  MID81
3
-
I Mammini FWD8
-
N Briasco FWD7
1
-
J Hurtado FWD7
2
-
F. Corbalán6
1
-
L Mamut MID5
-
M Melluso DEF4
2
-
L Ingolotti GLK3
-
J. Villalba DEF3
-
J Moreno MID3
1
-
A Max MID3
2
-
J. Kadijevic GLK
-
E Martínez DEF
-
J. Cortazzo DEF
-
S. Primante FWD
-
F Torres FWD
-
Instituto Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17535
M RoffoA. LunaA. LunaF Alarcón
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Roffo GLK17
2
-
A. Luna MID1753
4
-
J Franco MID171
4
-
F Alarcón DEF161
5
-
G Lodico MID1641
1
-
F Allister MID16
5
-
D Puebla FWD161
1
-
D Batallini FWD132
3
-
L Rodríguez DEF12
2
-
J Acevedo MID121
1
-
J. Lázaro MID121
1
-
L. Klimowicz FWD12
1
-
S Moreyra MID11
2
-
M Godoy FWD111
3
1
G Requena DEF101
1
-
E Pereyra DEF10
1
-
N Zalazar DEF91
4
1
J Dellarossa MID91
-
F Díaz MID91
2
-
S Romero FWD8
1
-
N Cordero FWD6
1
-
F Suárez FWD41
-
M. Gallardo MID2
-
F Celso MID1
-
E Sittaro GLK
-
J Papaleo GLK
-
L Mosevich DEF
-
E Beltrán DEF
-
L. Carrera MID
-
M. Klimowicz FWD
-
L. Albarracín FWD
-
M. Avellaneda FWD
-