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Sarmiento v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Eva Perón de Junín, Junín

We’ve Primera División action to look forward to on Thursday night, as Israel Alejandro Damonte and his Sarmiento side host Julio César Vaccari’s Independiente at the Estadio Eva Perón de Junín. We have predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head stats across every market, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Primera División clash.

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Sarmiento's next match is v Boca Juniors at 00:30 on Monday 11th November
Independiente's next match is v Huracan at 00:00 on Sunday 10th November
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Sarmiento and Independiente was on Thursday 31st October 2024
Argentinian Primera División
October 31st 2024
Sarmiento 0
0 Independiente
 
SAR
IND
Shots On
2
3
Shots Off
4
9
Corners
1
4
Possession
35%
65%
Fouls
11
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
SarmientoIndependiente
 
L. Acosta
G. Díaz (V. Burgoa 81')
E. López
J. Insaurralde
F. Roncaglia
M. Mónaco (M. García 77')
J. Gho (B. Cabezas Segura 72')
O. Gaitán
I. Morales Bravo (L. López 81')
G. Hauche (Y. Arismendi 72')
T. Guiacobini
R. Rey
J. Laso
A. Sporle
F. Loyola
K. Lomónaco
I. Marcone
(J. Quiñónez Ruiz 56') R. Martínez
(A. Luna 66') F. Mancuello
(L. González Martínez 56') J. Vallejo
(S. Hidalgo Massa 80') G. Ávalos Stumpfs
(A. Canelo 80') S. Montiel

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are expecting a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Sarmiento and Independiente go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver just that. The stats and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Our predictive algorithm calculates that a draw is actually the most likely outcome in this fixture. There’s a 37% chance of Sarmiento and Independiente ending level, and the bookies have it priced at 3.00.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sarmiento
27%
16/5
50%
-
Draw
36%
15/8
4%
-
Independiente
38%
23/20
22%
-
Draw 0-0
21%
15/4
27%
-
Independiente 1-0
18%
15/4
27%
-
Sarmiento 1-0
14%
13/2
15%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Independiente 2-0
8%
7/1
33%
-
Independiente 2-1
6%
10/1-
Sarmiento 2-0
5%
18/1
58%
-
Sarmiento 2-1
4%
16/1
55%
-
Independiente 3-0
2%
20/1
28%
-
Draw 2-2
2%
22/1
21%
-
Independiente 3-1
2%
25/1-
Sarmiento 3-0
1%
50/1
76%
-
Sarmiento 3-1
1%
40/1
41%
-
Independiente 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
-
Independiente 4-0
1%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
12/5
31%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
79%
1/3
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
39%
2/1
36%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
8/11
11%
-
No 1st Goal
16%
15/4
27%
-
BTTS - Yes
29%
13/8
25%
-
BTTS - No
71%
4/9
14%
-
BTTS - Home Win
6%
12/1
86%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/2
16%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
6/1-
Home/draw
62%
4/6
19%
-
Away/draw
73%
2/9
13%
-
Home/away
64%
2/5
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
46%
8/11
15%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
54%
1/1
20%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
7%
7/1
45%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
93%
1/12
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
2%
18/1
46%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
98%
1/40
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
40/1
58%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/250
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
79%
1/6
5%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
21%
4/1
23%
-
Home DNB
52%
13/8
43%
-
Away DNB
63%
4/9
21%
-
Sarmiento win to nil
21%
9/2
38%
-
Independiente win to nil
29%
7/4
31%
-
Sarmiento / Sarmiento
12%
6/1
47%
-
Sarmiento / Independiente
2%
33/1-
Sarmiento / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Sarmiento
11%
13/2
25%
-
Draw / Independiente
17%
15/4
21%
-
Draw / Draw
23%
13/5
10%
-
Independiente / Sarmiento
2%
40/1
21%
-
Independiente / Independiente
22%
13/5
20%
-
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/1-
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Sarmiento 25TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Independiente 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
12
L
3
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Sarmiento fans, as should a 13 Primera División games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Sarmiento 25th Independiente 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 50% probability that Sarmiento will fail to score
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
Sarmiento have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
+8
Independiente’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/270275/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sarmiento
PG (predicted goals)
Independiente
0.7
0.9
Attack rating
SAR
IND
16%
better
view stats
Games scored19
21
Failed to score14
12
Scored first11
15
Goals scored24
30
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal12
10
Conversion rate for9
10
Avg. XG for0.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
SAR
IND
26%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
17
Clean sheets11
16
Conceded first16
10
Goals conceded39
23
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
11
Conversion rate against10%
9%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+26%

Sarmiento v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20225
J InsaurraldeE LópezE LópezJ Insaurralde
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Acosta GLK17
2
-
E López DEF1822
2
-
F Roncaglia DEF9
1
-
J Insaurralde DEF1
-
G Díaz DEF1511
1
-
T. Guiacobini MID7
1
-
G Hauche MID10
-
N Gaitán MID1012
1
-
M Mónaco FWD81
2
-
I Bravo FWD1321
1
-
J Gho FWD2022
2
-
Subs
T. Ayala GLK1
-
S Morales DEF
-
J Guasone DEF
-
M. Rosales MID7
3
-
M García MID1921
2
-
G Gudiño MID141
1
-
V Burgoa MID142
1
-
Y Arismendi  MID191
4
-
L López FWD141
2
-
E Naya FWD111
1
-
B Cabezas FWD3
-
Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21736
R ReyG ÁvalosS MontielI Marcone
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK21
1
-
R Martínez DEF20
4
-
K Lomónaco DEF122
1
-
J Laso DEF181
5
-
A Spörle DEF111
2
-
I Marcone MID17
6
-
F Loyola MID1212
2
-
F Mancuello MID1611
2
-
S Montiel FWD1143
2
-
G Ávalos FWD2171
2
-
J Vallejo FWD3
1
-
Subs
D Segovia GLK
1
1
G Italiano DEF12
4
1
J. Fedorco DEF13
3
-
B Barcia MID
-
G. Millán MID4
1
-
L González MID1312
4
1
A. Luna MID131
3
1
J Quiñónez MID51
2
-
S Salle MID81
-
S Hidalgo FWD9
1
-
I Puch FWD912
2
-
A Canelo FWD111
2
-