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Independiente v Rosario Central : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Nov, 00:30 BST, Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

It's an away trip for Ariel Enrique Holan's Rosario Central side on Sunday morning, as they head to the Estadio Libertadores de América for a Primera División meeting with Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato's Independiente. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head-to-head history, will update as you browse each of the 17 major markets via the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato and Ariel Enrique Holan to park the bus here, but we do not expect a glut of goals as Independiente and Rosario go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.53 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we recommend.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Independiente are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 35% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Independiente
34%
10/11
14%
19/20
18%
Draw
33%
11/5
12%
9/4
12%
Rosario
33%
7/2
22%
16/5
24%
Draw 0-0
16%
6/1
17%
11/2
24%
Independiente 1-0
15%
5/19/2
5%
Rosario 1-0
15%
9/1
25%
15/2
31%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
9%
5/1
4%
Independiente 2-0
7%
7/1
16%
13/2
17%
Rosario 2-0
6%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Independiente 2-1
6%
8/1
10%
7/1
16%
Rosario 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
18%
Draw 2-2
3%
18/114/1
12%
Independiente 3-0
2%
16/1
19%
12/1
32%
Rosario 3-0
2%
50/1
24%
33/1
31%
Independiente 3-1
2%
18/1
10%
14/1
29%
Rosario 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Independiente 3-2
1%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Rosario 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
7/5
8%
11/8
15%
Under 2.5 Goals
73%
8/15
3%
8/15
9%
Home 1st Goal
45%
4/6
9%
7/10
11%
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/8
10%
17/10
10%
No 1st Goal
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
24%
BTTS - Yes
36%
11/1011/10
9%
BTTS - No
64%
4/64/6
8%
BTTS - Home Win
10%
4/1
17%
18/5
23%
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/4
6%
19/5
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1
11%
15/2
6%
Home/draw
67%
2/11
9%
2/9
6%
Away/draw
66%
4/5
11%
5/6
17%
Home/away
67%
4/11
3%
1/3
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
54%
4/9
4%
4/9
10%
Under 1.5 Goals
46%
13/8
5%
8/5
18%
Over 3.5 Goals
11%
7/2
10%
17/5
23%
Under 3.5 Goals
89%
2/11
1%
2/11
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
10/1
15%
8/1
25%
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
1/20
1%
1/20
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
22/1
12%
16/1
35%
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/1001/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
84%
1/10
3%
1/11
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
16%
6/1
17%
11/2
18%
Home DNB
57%
4/11
11%
4/11
13%
Away DNB
56%
2/1
26%
15/8
28%
Independiente win to nil
25%
7/4
19%
-
Rosario win to nil
23%
11/2
18%
-
Independiente / Independiente
26%
11/5
15%
2/1
21%
Independiente / Rosario
2%
40/128/1
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Independiente
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
8%
Draw / Rosario
10%
15/2
21%
7/1
23%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
4%
16/5
17%
Rosario / Independiente
3%
28/120/1
9%
Rosario / Rosario
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
24%
Rosario / Draw
6%
14/112/1
13%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Independiente have won 3 consecutive league games
4
Rosario have won 4 consecutive away league games
15
Rosario have not lost in 15 consecutive league games
3
Independiente have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
Independiente3 - 0Platense
Independiente0 - 2Lanus
Independiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
Independiente0 - 1Banfield
Independiente0 - 0River Plate
Independiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
Independiente0 - 0Huracan
Independiente1 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Independiente2 - 0SM San Juan
Independiente4 - 0Godoy Cruz
Independiente1 - 1Racing Club
Independiente2 - 0Instituto
Independiente3 - 0Velez
Independiente2 - 0Gimnasia
Independiente2 - 1Sarmiento
Independiente2 - 1A. Tucuman
Independiente2 - 0Central Cor
Independiente1 - 0Gimnasia
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AIndependiente1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
HIndependiente3 - 0Platense
AIndependiente0 - 1SM San Juan
HIndependiente0 - 2Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AIndependiente0 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
HIndependiente0 - 1Banfield
AIndependiente0 - 0Instituto
AIndependiente1 - 2Velez
HIndependiente0 - 0River Plate
AIndependiente0 - 1Gimnasia
HIndependiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
AIndependiente2 - 2Sarmiento
HIndependiente0 - 0Huracan
AIndependiente1 - 0Boca Juniors
HIndependiente1 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
AIndependiente0 - 1Rosario
AIndependiente0 - 2A. Tucuman
Rosario 20TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
15
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Instituto1 - 3Rosario
Sarmiento0 - 0Rosario
Velez1 - 2Rosario
Gimnasia0 - 3Rosario
A. Tucuman0 - 0Rosario
Lanus0 - 1Rosario
San Lorenzo0 - 1Rosario
Platense0 - 0Rosario
River Plate2 - 2Rosario
Tal Cordoba0 - 0Rosario
Boca Juniors1 - 0Rosario
Newells1 - 2Rosario
Deportivo Riestra0 - 0Rosario
SM San Juan0 - 0Rosario
Godoy Cruz0 - 3Rosario
River Plate4 - 0Rosario
Central Cor0 - 1Rosario
Estudiantes1 - 1Rosario
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 1Rosario
Instituto0 - 0Rosario
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRosario0 - 0San Lorenzo
ARosario3 - 1Instituto
ARosario0 - 0Sarmiento
HRosario1 - 0Platense
ARosario2 - 1Velez
HRosario2 - 1River Plate
ARosario3 - 0Gimnasia
HRosario1 - 1Tal Cordoba
HRosario1 - 1Boca Juniors
HRosario1 - 0Newells
HRosario1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
ARosario0 - 0A. Tucuman
HRosario0 - 0SM San Juan
ARosario1 - 0Lanus
HRosario1 - 1Godoy Cruz
HRosario0 - 1Huracan
HRosario2 - 0Estudiantes
HRosario1 - 0Independiente
ARosario1 - 0San Lorenzo
HRosario3 - 0Instituto
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Independiente have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive home league meetings with Rosario
League games at Independiente since 2020
Independiente
Rosario
Goals: Scored
7
0
Games: Scored
3 / 4
0 / 4
Clean sheets
4 / 4
1 / 4
IND
3
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Independiente1 - 0
Independiente1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Independiente5 - 0
League games at Rosario since 2019
Rosario
Independiente
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
IND
2
D
1
ROS
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rosario
Rosario1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Rosario1 - 0
Rosario3 - 0
1 - 2Independiente
1 - 2Independiente
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Rosario Central look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Independiente haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Primera División games, and it could be a long morning for A. Holan's men.

Independiente 7th Rosario 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Rosario scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Independiente have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+14
Rosario have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
Independiente
PG (predicted goals)
Rosario
0.9
0.9
Attack rating
IND
ROS
15%
better
view stats
Games scored21
24
Failed to score13
9
Scored first15
20
Goals scored38
42
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
IND
ROS
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
15
Clean sheets16
18
Conceded first13
6
Goals conceded25
16
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
17
Conversion rate against10%
6%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+27%

Independiente v Rosario Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3411310
R ReyG ÁvalosL CabralI Marcone
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK34
1
-
K Lomónaco DEF32
3
1
L Cabral MID3223
5
1
F Loyola MID3173
5
-
G Ávalos FWD29112
4
-
S Valdéz DEF28
4
-
D. Tarzia FWD281
5
-
F Vera DEF27
7
-
I Marcone MID271
10
-
S Montiel FWD2533
7
1
G. Millán MID232
1
-
P Galdames MID2313
2
-
R Fernández MID20
7
1
F Mancuello MID1411
2
-
M Abaldo FWD121
-
L Godoy DEF111
3
-
I Pussetto  FWD11
4
-
W Mazzantti FWD11
3
-
F Zabala DEF10
2
-
F Paredes DEF9
3
1
N Freire DEF81
2
-
J. De Irastorza DEF5
2
-
M Valenzuela  DEF5
1
-
E. Taborda FWD3
-
A. Medina MID1
1
-
Rosario Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
327610
A SándezI MalcorraI MalcorraF Ibarra
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sández DEF3221
8
-
E Coronel DEF313
8
-
J Broun GLK30
3
-
F Ibarra MID3011
10
-
E Copetti FWD3033
4
-
I Malcorra MID2876
10
-
J Komar DEF27
1
-
G. De Jesús Duarte FWD272
1
-
J Campaz FWD2651
7
-
C Quintana DEF2512
6
-
F Navarro MID25
4
-
E Giménez MID2221
2
-
F Mallo DEF20
4
-
S Lopez FWD182
3
-
A Véliz FWD1551
4
-
Ángel Di María FWD1574
4
-
T O'Connor MID13
2
-
M Lovera FWD111
-
J. Elordi DEF91
1
-
J. Giménez DEF7
1
-
G. Cantizano FWD7
1
-
S. Segovia MID51
-
A Werner GLK4
-
A. Módica FWD3
-
F Celso MID1
-
F Oviedo FWD1
-