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Independiente v San Lorenzo : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 13th Sep, 23:15 BST, Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

San Lorenzo are away on Sunday night, as manager Néstor Raúl Gorosito takes his side to visit Independiente and Jádson Viera Castro at the Estadio Libertadores de América in the Primera División. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Switch between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for each one.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Independiente and San Lorenzo during the regulation 90 mins. It's a bet the stats below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Independiente
44%
1.96-
Draw
31%
2.87-
San Lorenzo
25%
4.50-
Independiente 1-0
17%
5.00-
Draw 0-0
15%
5.50-
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00-
San Lorenzo 1-0
11%
9.00-
Independiente 2-0
10%
8.00-
Independiente 2-1
7%
10.00-
San Lorenzo 2-1
5%
17.00-
San Lorenzo 2-0
4%
21.00-
Independiente 3-0
4%
17.00-
Draw 2-2
3%
21.00-
Independiente 3-1
3%
21.00-
San Lorenzo 3-1
1%
41.00-
San Lorenzo 3-0
1%
51.00-
Independiente 3-2
1%
41.00-
Independiente 4-0
1%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
2.88-
Under 2.5 Goals
70%
1.40-
Home 1st Goal
50%
1.73-
Away 1st Goal
40%
2.75-
No 1st Goal
10%
5.50-
BTTS - Yes
36%
2.25-
BTTS - No
64%
1.57-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6.00-
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.00-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
12.00-
Home/draw
75%
1.18-
Away/draw
56%
1.80-
Home/away
69%
1.40-
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
1.57-
Under 1.5 Goals
43%
2.25-
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
6.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
87%
1.13-
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
15.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
1.03-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
29.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1.01-
Over 0.5 Goals
85%
1.14-
Under 0.5 Goals
15%
5.50-
Home DNB
66%
1.36-
Away DNB
47%
3.00-
Independiente win to nil
31%
2.75-
San Lorenzo win to nil
17%
6.50-
Independiente / Independiente
26%
3.25-
Independiente / San Lorenzo
2%
41.00-
Independiente / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Independiente
17%
4.75-
Draw / San Lorenzo
10%
8.50-
Draw / Draw
21%
4.00-
San Lorenzo / Independiente
3%
29.00-
San Lorenzo / San Lorenzo
11%
7.50-
San Lorenzo / Draw
5%
17.00-
Win / draw / win form
3
Independiente have failed to score in 3 consecutive home league games
4
San Lorenzo have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games
Independiente 5TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
San Lorenzo 7TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Independiente have drawn with San Lorenzo in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Independiente since 2019
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
IND
1
D
3
League games at San Lorenzo since 2019
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
IND
2
D
3
Goal Statistics

A truly awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for San Lorenzo fans, as should a 15 Primera División matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Independiente 5th San Lorenzo 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 68% probability that Independiente will score no more than 1 goal
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of San Lorenzo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Independiente’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-27
San Lorenzo have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Independiente
PG (predicted goals)
San Lorenzo
1.1
0.8
Attack rating
34%
better
IND
SLO
view stats
Games scored19
15
Failed to score5
10
Scored first14
9
Goals scored31
18
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.7
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
12
Conversion rate for14
9
Avg. XG for1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
IND
SLO
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
12
Clean sheets7
13
Conceded first9
11
Goals conceded29
20
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
14
Conversion rate against14%
7%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+23%

Independiente v San Lorenzo Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25536
R ReyM AbaldoS MontielF Zabala
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK25
2
-
M Abaldo FWD2452
2
1
F Zabala DEF231
6
-
I Marcone MID231
5
-
G. Millán MID2031
4
-
S Montiel FWD2033
3
1
S Arias DEF192
2
-
J. Fedorco DEF161
2
-
S Valdéz DEF16
3
1
M. Curci MID161
3
-
L Godoy DEF151
4
-
M Gutiérrez FWD1532
1
-
L Cabral MID121
1
1
M Meza FWD8
-
F.Tempone FWD71
-
R Martínez MID4
1
-
F Calderón DEF1
-
C Ávila FWD1
-
San Lorenzo Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24639
N TripichioR. AuzmendiA CuelloA Cuello
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Tripichio MID24
6
-
A Cuello FWD2453
8
1
F. Gulli MID223
3
-
E Herrera DEF211
5
-
I. Perruzzi Ambrosini MID18
4
-
M Ritis DEF172
6
-
R. Auzmendi FWD166
4
-
A. Ladstatter FWD15
1
T. Rodríguez Pagano DEF14
1
-
M. Reali FWD141
1
1
G Abrego MID12
1
-
M Insaurralde MID111
1
-
N Barrios FWD102
1
-
G Hernández DEF9
2
-
J. Rattalino MID9
-
M Cardillo MID9
-
D Herazo FWD911
-
J Devecchi GLK7
2
-
E Cerutti FWD7
1
-
E Amor DEF6
-
D Arboleda DEF5
-
G Corujo  DEF5
-
A. Cordoba DEF4
-
J Álvarez FWD4
-
F. Lorenzón DEF3
1
-
G Prete FWD3
-
M. Río MID2
-
O. Arias DEF1
-
F Farías  MID1
-