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Independiente v San Lorenzo : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 13th Sep, 23:15 BST, Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

San Lorenzo pay Primera División competitors Independiente a visit on Sunday morning, as Néstor Raúl Gorosito guides his men into an away clash with Jádson Viera Castro & co. at the Estadio Libertadores de América. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Independiente and San Lorenzo during the regulation 90 mins. It's a bet the stats below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Independiente
44%
24/25-
Draw
31%
15/8-
San Lorenzo
25%
7/2-
Independiente 1-0
17%
4/1-
Draw 0-0
15%
9/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
San Lorenzo 1-0
11%
8/1-
Independiente 2-0
10%
7/1-
Independiente 2-1
7%
9/1-
San Lorenzo 2-1
5%
16/1-
San Lorenzo 2-0
4%
20/1-
Independiente 3-0
4%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1-
Independiente 3-1
3%
20/1-
San Lorenzo 3-1
1%
40/1-
San Lorenzo 3-0
1%
50/1-
Independiente 3-2
1%
40/1-
Independiente 4-0
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
15/8-
Under 2.5 Goals
70%
2/5-
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
10%
9/2-
BTTS - Yes
36%
5/4-
BTTS - No
64%
4/7-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11/1-
Home/draw
75%
2/11-
Away/draw
56%
4/5-
Home/away
69%
2/5-
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
4/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
43%
5/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
5/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
87%
1/8-
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
28/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/150-
Over 0.5 Goals
85%
1/7-
Under 0.5 Goals
15%
9/2-
Home DNB
66%
4/11-
Away DNB
47%
2/1-
Independiente win to nil
31%
7/4-
San Lorenzo win to nil
17%
11/2-
Independiente / Independiente
26%
9/4-
Independiente / San Lorenzo
2%
40/1-
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Independiente
17%
15/4-
Draw / San Lorenzo
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1-
San Lorenzo / Independiente
3%
28/1-
San Lorenzo / San Lorenzo
11%
13/2-
San Lorenzo / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Independiente 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente0 - 3Gimnasia Mendoza
Independiente0 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente0 - 1Platense
Independiente1 - 0Newells
Independiente3 - 1Defensa
Independiente1 - 0Racing Club
Independiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
Independiente4 - 4U Santa Fe
Independiente2 - 0Central Cor
Independiente2 - 0Lanus
Independiente1 - 1Velez
Independiente1 - 1Estudiantes
Independiente1 - 0Rosario
Independiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
Independiente3 - 0Platense
Independiente0 - 2Lanus
Independiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
Independiente0 - 1Banfield
Independiente0 - 0River Plate
Independiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIndependiente0 - 3Gimnasia Mendoza
HIndependiente0 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
AIndependiente3 - 1Lanus
HIndependiente0 - 1Platense
AIndependiente0 - 1Velez
HIndependiente1 - 0Newells
AIndependiente2 - 0Estudiantes
AIndependiente1 - 3Rosario
AIndependiente2 - 1San Lorenzo
AIndependiente0 - 2Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente3 - 1Defensa
AIndependiente1 - 1Boca Juniors
HIndependiente1 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
AIndependiente1 - 2Instituto
HIndependiente4 - 4U Santa Fe
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 1Gimnasia Mendoza
AIndependiente2 - 3Independiente Rivadavia
HIndependiente2 - 0Lanus
San Lorenzo 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
10
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0 - 0San Lorenzo
Central Cor1 - 0San Lorenzo
Lanus1 - 0San Lorenzo
River Plate1 - 1San Lorenzo
Platense0 - 1San Lorenzo
Newells0 - 0San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra1 - 1San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors1 - 1San Lorenzo
Tal Cordoba0 - 0San Lorenzo
U Santa Fe0 - 0San Lorenzo
Huracan1 - 0San Lorenzo
Gimnasia Mendoza0 - 1San Lorenzo
Central Cor2 - 1San Lorenzo
Rosario0 - 0San Lorenzo
A. Tucuman1 - 2San Lorenzo
Lanus2 - 1San Lorenzo
Independiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
Racing Club2 - 0San Lorenzo
Platense2 - 1San Lorenzo
River Plate0 - 0San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASan Lorenzo0 - 0Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
HSan Lorenzo1 - 0U Santa Fe
HSan Lorenzo0 - 2Huracan
ASan Lorenzo0 - 1Central Cor
HSan Lorenzo1 - 0Gimnasia Mendoza
ASan Lorenzo0 - 1Lanus
ASan Lorenzo1 - 1River Plate
HSan Lorenzo1 - 2Independiente
ASan Lorenzo1 - 0Platense
HSan Lorenzo0 - 0Velez
ASan Lorenzo0 - 0Newells
HSan Lorenzo1 - 0Estudiantes
ASan Lorenzo1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
HSan Lorenzo2 - 5Defensa
ASan Lorenzo1 - 1Boca Juniors
ASan Lorenzo0 - 0Tal Cordoba
HSan Lorenzo1 - 1Instituto
HSan Lorenzo2 - 0Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
ASan Lorenzo0 - 0U Santa Fe
ASan Lorenzo0 - 1Huracan
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Independiente have drawn with San Lorenzo in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Independiente since 2019
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
IND
1
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Independiente2 - 1
League games at San Lorenzo since 2019
San Lorenzo
Independiente
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
IND
2
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT San Lorenzo
1 - 2Independiente
1 - 2Independiente
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for San Lorenzo fans, as should a 13 Primera División games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Independiente 5th San Lorenzo 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 68% probability that Independiente will score no more than 1 goal
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of San Lorenzo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Independiente’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
San Lorenzo have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Independiente
PG (predicted goals)
San Lorenzo
1.1
0.8
Attack rating
34%
better
IND
SLO
view stats
Games scored19
14
Failed to score5
9
Scored first14
8
Goals scored31
17
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.7
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
11
Conversion rate for14
9
Avg. XG for1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
IND
SLO
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
11
Clean sheets7
12
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded29
19
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
13
Conversion rate against14%
8%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+25%

Independiente v San Lorenzo Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24535
R ReyM AbaldoS MontielK Lomónaco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK24
2
-
K Lomónaco DEF241
5
-
M Abaldo FWD2352
2
1
F Zabala DEF221
5
-
I Marcone MID221
5
-
G. Millán MID2031
4
-
S Arias DEF192
2
-
S Montiel FWD1933
3
1
S Valdéz DEF16
3
1
J. Fedorco DEF151
2
-
M. Curci MID15
3
-
M Gutiérrez FWD1532
1
-
L Godoy DEF14
4
-
L Cabral MID111
1
1
M Meza FWD7
-
F. Valdez FWD7
-
F.Tempone FWD61
-
R Martínez MID3
1
-
C Ávila FWD1
-
San Lorenzo Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22637
N TripichioR. AuzmendiA CuelloA Cuello
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Tripichio MID22
5
-
A Cuello FWD2243
6
1
F. Gulli MID203
3
-
E Herrera DEF191
4
-
M Ritis DEF172
6
-
I. Perruzzi Ambrosini MID16
3
-
R. Auzmendi FWD146
3
-
A. Ladstatter FWD14
1
M. Reali FWD131
1
1
T. Rodríguez Pagano DEF12
1
-
G Abrego MID12
1
-
M Insaurralde MID101
1
-
N Barrios FWD102
1
-
G Hernández DEF9
2
-
M Cardillo MID9
-
D Herazo FWD911
-
J. Rattalino MID8
-
E Cerutti FWD7
1
-
J Devecchi GLK5
2
-
G Corujo  DEF5
-
A. Cordoba DEF4
-
E Amor DEF4
-
F. Lorenzón DEF3
1
-
D Arboleda DEF3
-
G Prete FWD3
-
J Álvarez FWD3
-
O. Arias DEF1
-
M. Río MID1
-