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River Plate v Boca Juniors : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu, Capital Federal

Fernando Rubén Gago is aiming for a precious away win in the Primera División on Sunday evening, as he takes his Boca Juniors side to the Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu to visit River Plate and Marcelo Daniel Gallardo. Below you'll find unique statistics for every major market, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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River Plate's next match is v Barracas at 00:30 on Tuesday 13th May
Boca Juniors's next match is v Lanus at 01:00 on Sunday 11th May
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between River Plate and Boca Juniors was on Sunday 27th April 2025
Argentinian Primera División
April 27th 2025
River Plate 2
1 Boca Juniors
 
F. Mastantuono 25'38' M. Merentiel Serrano
S. Driussi 44'
 
RIV
BOJ
Shots On
9
3
Shots Off
2
3
Corners
4
5
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
12
13
Yellow/red cards
6/0
5/0
 
River PlateBoca Juniors
 
F. Armani
L. Martínez Quarta
M. Acuña
G. Montiel (F. Bustos 46')
G. Pezzella
S. Driussifootball icon (M. Borja Hernández 76')
K. Castaño Gil
E. Pérez (R. Aliendro 73')
F. Mastantuonofootball icon
G. Galoppo (M. Meza 55')
F. Colidio (M. Lanzini 73')
A. Marchesín
(M. Saracchi Pintos 87') L. Blanco
(L. Di Lollo 67') F. Rojo
A. Costa
L. Advíncula Castrillón
(B. Aguirre 90') M. Delgado
(E. Zeballos 67') T. Belmonte
C. Palacios Núñez
R. Battaglia
K. Zenon
football iconM. Merentiel Serrano

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Marcelo Daniel Gallardo and Fernando Rubén Gago to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a flood of goals as River Plate and Boca Juniors go head-to-head. The statistics belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.48 available on under 2.5 goals and nothing too eyecatching in the full time result market, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think River Plate are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
River Plate
42%
9/10
17%
-
Draw
29%
21/10
7%
-
Boca Juniors
29%
15/4
28%
-
River Plate 1-0
14%
4/1
17%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
9%
-
Draw 0-0
12%
5/1-
Boca Juniors 1-0
11%
17/2
19%
-
River Plate 2-0
8%
13/2
21%
-
River Plate 2-1
8%
17/2
5%
-
Boca Juniors 2-1
6%
16/1
31%
-
Boca Juniors 2-0
5%
22/1
35%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
24%
-
River Plate 3-0
3%
14/1
29%
-
River Plate 3-1
3%
18/1
10%
-
Boca Juniors 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Boca Juniors 3-0
2%
50/1
24%
-
River Plate 3-2
2%
40/1-
Boca Juniors 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
8/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
19/40-
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/7
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/5
23%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
5/1-
BTTS - Yes
43%
5/4
10%
-
BTTS - No
57%
4/7
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
11%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
11/1
33%
-
Home/draw
71%
2/11
9%
-
Away/draw
58%
10/11
22%
-
Home/away
71%
4/11
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
6/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
9/2
10%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1/7
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
12/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/25-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/150-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/8-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
5/1-
Home DNB
62%
3/10
15%
-
Away DNB
50%
12/5
43%
-
River Plate win to nil
27%
13/8
23%
-
Boca Juniors win to nil
19%
6/1
27%
-
River Plate / River Plate
28%
2/1
20%
-
River Plate / Boca Juniors
2%
40/1-
River Plate / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / River Plate
18%
7/2
10%
-
Draw / Boca Juniors
9%
8/1
29%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
8%
-
Boca Juniors / River Plate
3%
28/1-
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors
10%
7/1
33%
-
Boca Juniors / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win form
River Plate 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Boca Juniors
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at River Plate since 2019
River Plate
Boca Juniors
Goals: Scored
6
6
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
RIV
2
D
2
BOJ
2
League games at Boca Juniors since 2018
Boca Juniors
River Plate
Goals: Scored
5
9
Games: Scored
4 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
3 / 7
RIV
3
D
3
BOJ
1
Goal Statistics
River Plate 5th Boca Juniors th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that River Plate will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Boca Juniors scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
River Plate’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-17
Boca Juniors have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291548/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
River Plate
PG (predicted goals)
Boca Juniors
1.2
0.9
Attack rating
RIV
BOJ
26%
better
view stats
Games scored10
11
Failed to score4
3
Scored first7
11
Goals scored15
22
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.6
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal12
5
Conversion rate for9
20
Avg. XG for1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
3%
better
RIV
BOJ
view stats
Games conceded5
6
Clean sheets9
8
Conceded first4
2
Goals conceded7
8
Avg. goals conceded0.5
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded16
14
Conversion rate against6%
7%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.8
KickOff rating
+3%

River Plate v Boca Juniors Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

River Plate Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16536
F ArmaniM BorjaG MontielL Quarta
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Armani GLK16
-
G Montiel DEF1213
2
-
G Pezzella DEF13
3
-
L Quarta DEF111
6
-
M Acuña DEF131
3
-
K Castaño MID6
4
-
E Pérez MID15
3
1
G Galoppo  MID9
2
-
F. Mastantuono FWD1033
3
-
S Driussi FWD1331
2
-
F Colidio FWD144
2
-
Subs
J Ledesma GLK
-
L Pírez DEF2
2
-
F Bustos DEF7
1
-
M Casco DEF71
-
M Rojas MID51
-
M Meza MID111
4
-
M Lanzini MID9
-
N Fernández MID611
1
-
R Aliendro MID111
2
-
S Simón MID11
1
M Borja FWD1651
3
-
I. Subiabre FWD81
1
-
Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14635
A MarchesínM MerentielC PalaciosA Costa
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Marchesín GLK14
2
-
L Advíncula DEF1311
2
-
R Battaglia DEF121
4
-
M Rojo  DEF111
3
-
A Costa DEF9
4
1
L Blanco DEF112
3
-
T Belmonte MID11
2
-
M. Delgado MID101
2
-
K Zenón MID142
1
1
C Palacios FWD1333
1
-
M Merentiel FWD1663
1
-
Subs
L Brey GLK2
-
J Barinaga DEF3
2
-
L Lollo DEF111
3
-
L Blondel DEF91
1
-
C Lema DEF
-
M Saracchi DEF61
1
-
I Miramón MID3
1
-
A Martegani  MID1
-
S. Dalmasso MID1
-
A Velasco FWD11
2
-
B Aguirre FWD6
-
E Zeballos  FWD1511
1
-