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River Plate v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu, Capital Federal

Home advantage can be vital in the Primera División, and Marcelo Daniel Gallardo’s River Plate will have the luxury of it on Saturday night. Julio César Vaccari’s Independiente are their opponents at the Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespu. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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River Plate's next match is v Lanus at 22:15 on Sunday 16th February
Independiente's next match is v Platense at 22:15 on Monday 17th February
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between River Plate and Independiente was on Saturday 8th February 2025
Argentinian Primera División
February 8th 2025
River Plate 2
0 Independiente
 
F. Colidio 51'
F. Colidio 90'
 
RIV
IND
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
2
6
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
13
7
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
River PlateIndependiente
 
F. Armani
L. Martínez Quarta
M. Acuña (M. Casco 46')
G. Montiel (F. Bustos 66')
P. Díaz Huincales
S. Driussi (M. Borja Hernández 76')
M. Lanzini
E. Pérez (C. Kranevitter 55')
R. Aliendro (S. Simón 46')
G. Galoppo
F. Colidiofootball iconfootball icon
R. Rey
(M. Giménez Rojas 71') A. Sporle
S. Valdez
K. Lomónaco
F. Vera
(F. Mancuello 84') G. Millán
I. Marcone
(L. Cabral 61') P. Galdames Millán
F. Loyola
(S. Montiel 71') G. Ávalos Stumpfs
(Á. Angulo Mosquera 61') D. Tarzia

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 75% chance of River Plate and Independiente no more than 3 goals combined during this Primera División fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think River Plate are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
River Plate
54%
3/4
1%
-
Draw
25%
13/5
4%
-
Independiente
20%
10/3
4%
-
River Plate 1-0
14%
9/2
15%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
River Plate 2-0
11%
13/2-
River Plate 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1
16%
-
Independiente 1-0
8%
17/2
14%
-
River Plate 3-0
6%
12/1-
Independiente 2-1
5%
14/1-
River Plate 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
11%
-
Independiente 2-0
3%
20/1-
River Plate 4-0
2%
28/1-
River Plate 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
River Plate 4-1
2%
33/1-
Independiente 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
5/4
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
8/13
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2-
Away 1st Goal
40%
2/1-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1
16%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - No
55%
4/6
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
7/2
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9/1
11%
-
Home/draw
80%
1/5
1%
-
Away/draw
46%
1/1
2%
-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
7/4
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
10/3
15%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/5
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/1
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/16
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1
24%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/66
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
16%
-
Home DNB
72%
1/3-
Away DNB
38%
9/4
4%
-
River Plate win to nil
34%
13/8
5%
-
Independiente win to nil
12%
11/2
7%
-
River Plate / River Plate
29%
15/8
4%
-
River Plate / Independiente
2%
40/1-
River Plate / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / River Plate
19%
10/3
4%
-
Draw / Independiente
9%
8/1
5%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
5%
-
Independiente / River Plate
3%
25/1
13%
-
Independiente / Independiente
10%
7/1-
Independiente / Draw
5%
16/1-
Win / draw / win form
3
Independiente have won 3 consecutive league games
6
Independiente have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
River Plate 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
River Plate have not lost to Independiente in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at River Plate since 2019
River Plate
Independiente
Goals: Scored
8
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
1 / 4
RIV
3
IND
1
League games at Independiente since 2020
Independiente
River Plate
Goals: Scored
2
4
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
RIV
2
D
2
Goal Statistics
River Plate 5th Independiente 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that River Plate will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
River Plate’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Independiente’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291389/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
River Plate
PG (predicted goals)
Independiente
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
RIV
IND
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
RIV
IND
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

River Plate v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

River Plate Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5214
F ArmaniF ColidioG MontielL Quarta
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Armani GLK5
-
G Montiel DEF411
2
-
L Quarta DEF4
4
-
P Díaz DEF4
1
-
M Acuña DEF5
1
-
R Aliendro MID4
-
E Pérez MID5
1
-
G Galoppo  MID5
-
M Lanzini MID5
-
S Driussi FWD4
2
-
F Colidio FWD52
1
-
Subs
J Ledesma GLK
-
G Pezzella DEF4
1
-
L Pírez DEF
-
F Bustos DEF2
1
-
M Casco DEF21
-
M Kranevitter  MID2
-
M Rojas MID31
-
P Martínez  MID1
-
N Fernández MID1
-
S Simón MID5
-
M Borja FWD5
1
-
G Tapia FWD2
-
Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5522
R ReyG ÁvalosA SpörleI Marcone
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK5
-
F Vera DEF5
1
-
K Lomónaco DEF5
1
-
S Valdéz DEF5
-
A Spörle DEF512
-
F Loyola MID51
-
I Marcone MID5
2
-
G. Millán MID5
1
-
P Galdames MID41
1
-
D. Tarzia MID5
-
G Ávalos FWD55
1
-
Subs
J Blázquez GLK
-
F Paredes DEF1
-
Álvaro Angulo DEF51
-
L Cabral MID52
2
-
F Mancuello MID3
-
R Martínez MID
-
S Salle MID1
-
R Fernández MID1
1
-
L. Román FWD
-
S Montiel FWD3
1
-
M Rojas FWD41
-