Rosario Central's team badge Independiente's team badge

Rosario Central v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio 15 de Abril, Ciudad de Santa Fe

Rosario Central are in Primera División action on Sunday evening, as Jorge Francisco Almirón Quintana looks to get one over on Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato and his Independiente side at the Estadio 15 de Abril. You'll see statistics supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Primera División performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Primera División Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Rosario and Independiente was on Sunday 10th May 2026
Argentinian Primera División
May 10th 2026
Rosario 3
1 Independiente
 
Á. Di María Hernández 45'36' G. Ávalos Stumpfs
G. Cantizano 84'
E. Verón 90'
 
ROS
IND
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
7
2
Corners
2
3
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
11
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
RosarioIndependiente
 
A. Sández (A. Soto 82')
G. Ávila
F. Ibarra
Á. Di María Hernándezfootball icon (A. Véliz 87')
J. Ledesma
E. Coronel
E. Giménez Rojas (G. Cantizano 46')
G. Fernández
V. Pizarro Durcudoy (E. Verón 82')
I. Ovando
E. Copetti (C. Quintana 87')
 (F. Zavala 89') M. Valenzuela
S. Arias Naranjo
football iconG. Ávalos Stumpfs
(S. Montiel 75') M. Curci
R. Rey
(J. Fedorco 65') K. Lomónaco
S. Valdez
I. Marcone
(G. Millán 75') V. Malcorra
M. Abaldo Menyou
(F.Tempone 89') M. Gutiérrez

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Jorge Francisco Almirón Quintana and Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato to batten down the hatches here, but we certainly don't expect to see a glut of goals as Rosario and Independiente go head-to-head. The statistics belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.48 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Rosario are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rosario
44%
24/251/1000
Draw
28%
21/10150/1
Independiente
28%
16/51/50
Rosario 1-0
13%
9/216/5
Draw 1-1
13%
5/12/7
Draw 0-0
10%
11/211/4
Independiente 1-0
10%
8/121/10
Rosario 2-0
9%
7/115/2
Rosario 2-1
8%
17/21/6
Independiente 2-1
6%
14/17/1
Independiente 2-0
5%
20/111/2
Draw 2-2
4%
18/117/2
Rosario 3-0
4%
16/118/1
Rosario 3-1
4%
18/17/1
Independiente 3-1
2%
40/150/1
Rosario 3-2
2%
40/145/1
Independiente 3-0
2%
50/118/1
Independiente 3-2
1%
50/166/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
8/512/5
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
19/402/7
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/1119/20
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/419/10
No 1st Goal
7%
5/111/4
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/104/6
BTTS - No
55%
4/611/10
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/21/20
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/48/1
BTTS - Away Win
11%
10/150/1
Home/draw
72%
2/91/50
Away/draw
56%
4/5125/1
Home/away
72%
4/111/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/21/3
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
6/421/10
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4/118/5
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/61/6
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
12/111/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/251/40
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
25/170/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/801/500
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/91/4
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
11/211/4
Home DNB
64%
4/111/1000
Away DNB
48%
2/150/1
Rosario win to nil
27%
2/1-
Independiente win to nil
17%
11/2-
Rosario / Rosario
23%
9/445/1
Rosario / Independiente
2%
40/1125/1
Rosario / Draw
6%
14/180/1
Draw / Rosario
16%
15/414/1
Draw / Independiente
11%
15/225/1
Draw / Draw
20%
10/314/1
Independiente / Rosario
3%
28/16/1
Independiente / Independiente
14%
6/17/10
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/15/2
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Rosario 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rosario1 - 1Tig
Rosario2 - 1Sarmiento
Rosario2 - 1A. Tucuman
Rosario2 - 1Banfield
Rosario0 - 1Tal Cordoba
Rosario2 - 0Barracas
Rosario0 - 0River Plate
Rosario1 - 2Belgrano
Rosario0 - 1Estudiantes
Rosario0 - 0San Lorenzo
Rosario1 - 0Platense
Rosario2 - 1River Plate
Rosario1 - 1Tal Cordoba
Rosario1 - 1Boca Juniors
Rosario1 - 0Newells
Rosario1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Rosario0 - 0SM San Juan
Rosario1 - 1Godoy Cruz
Rosario0 - 1Huracan
Rosario2 - 0Estudiantes
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRosario1 - 1Tig
ARosario2 - 1Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
HRosario2 - 1Sarmiento
ARosario1 - 3Huracan
HRosario2 - 1A. Tucuman
ARosario0 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
HRosario2 - 1Banfield
ARosario0 - 0Argentinos
ARosario2 - 0Newells
ARosario2 - 1Gimnasia
HRosario0 - 1Tal Cordoba
HRosario2 - 0Barracas
ARosario1 - 1Aldosivi
HRosario0 - 0River Plate
ARosario2 - 1Racing Club
HRosario1 - 2Belgrano
HRosario0 - 1Estudiantes
ARosario0 - 1Independiente
HRosario0 - 0San Lorenzo
ARosario3 - 1Instituto
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Lorenzo1 - 2Independiente
Deportivo Riestra2 - 0Independiente
Boca Juniors1 - 1Independiente
Instituto2 - 1Independiente
Gimnasia Mendoza1 - 1Independiente
Independiente Rivadavia3 - 2Independiente
Platense0 - 1Independiente
Newells1 - 1Independiente
Deportivo Riestra0 - 1Independiente
SM San Juan1 - 0Independiente
Godoy Cruz1 - 1Independiente
Racing Club0 - 0Independiente
Instituto0 - 0Independiente
Velez2 - 1Independiente
Gimnasia1 - 0Independiente
Sarmiento2 - 2Independiente
Boca Juniors0 - 1Independiente
Rosario1 - 0Independiente
A. Tucuman2 - 0Independiente
Lanus1 - 1Independiente
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AIndependiente2 - 1San Lorenzo
AIndependiente0 - 2Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente3 - 1Defensa
AIndependiente1 - 1Boca Juniors
HIndependiente1 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
AIndependiente1 - 2Instituto
HIndependiente4 - 4U Santa Fe
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 1Gimnasia Mendoza
AIndependiente2 - 3Independiente Rivadavia
HIndependiente2 - 0Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 0Platense
HIndependiente1 - 1Velez
AIndependiente1 - 1Newells
HIndependiente1 - 1Estudiantes
HIndependiente1 - 0Rosario
AIndependiente1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
HIndependiente3 - 0Platense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Rosario since 2019
Rosario
Independiente
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
ROS
3
D
1
IND
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rosario
Rosario1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Rosario1 - 0
Rosario3 - 0
1 - 2Independiente
1 - 2Independiente
League games at Independiente since 2020
Independiente
Rosario
Goals: Scored
8
0
Games: Scored
4 / 5
0 / 5
Clean sheets
5 / 5
1 / 5
D
1
IND
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Independiente1 - 0
Independiente1 - 0
Independiente1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Independiente5 - 0
Goal Statistics
Rosario 13th Independiente 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Rosario will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Rosario have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
-17
Independiente have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Rosario
PG (predicted goals)
Independiente
1.3
1
Attack rating
ROS
IND
21%
better
view stats
Games scored12
15
Failed to score4
1
Scored first10
10
Goals scored20
24
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
16
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
13%
better
ROS
IND
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first4
6
Goals conceded16
20
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+13%

Rosario v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Rosario Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15436
V PizarroÁngel Di MaríaÁngel Di MaríaF Ibarra
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Ledesma GLK12
-
E Coronel DEF11
4
-
I. Ovando DEF131
1
-
G Ávila DEF1011
1
-
A Sández DEF121
5
-
F Ibarra MID14
6
-
V Pizarro MID1511
3
-
Ángel Di María MID1143
2
-
P Fernández MID81
2
-
E Giménez MID1411
5
-
E Copetti FWD144
2
-
Subs
J Broun GLK4
-
A Soto DEF141
1
-
E. Verón DEF1
-
L. Raffin DEF7
-
C Quintana DEF41
-
F Mallo DEF7
1
-
S. Segovia MID2
-
F Navarro MID11
2
-
F Oviedo FWD2
-
A Véliz FWD1441
-
G. Cantizano FWD2
-
M Ruben FWD
-
Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16955
R ReyG ÁvalosG ÁvalosF Zabala
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK16
1
-
S Arias DEF122
1
-
K Lomónaco DEF161
4
-
S Valdéz DEF13
3
1
M Valenzuela  DEF6
2
-
M. Curci MID8
2
-
I Marcone MID141
4
-
M Gutiérrez MID721
-
I Malcorra MID1413
2
-
M Abaldo MID1551
1
1
G Ávalos FWD1695
2
-
Subs
J Blázquez GLK
-
N Freire DEF2
-
J. Fedorco DEF91
1
-
F Zabala DEF141
5
-
L Godoy DEF9
2
-
R Fernández MID12
2
-
G. Millán MID1411
4
-
L Cabral MID81
1
1
F Mancuello MID1
-
S Montiel FWD1111
1
1
F.Tempone FWD41
-
F. Valdez FWD6
-
Argentinian Primera División match betting previews, predictions and odds
Velez v Gimnasia
Mon 11th May, 01:30