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Rosario Central v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio El Fortín de Ludueña, Rosario

the Estadio El Fortín de Ludueña is the setting on Saturday night, as Ariel Enrique Holan's Rosario Central host Julio César Vaccari's Independiente in the Primera División. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for these two clubs. All can be selected using the tabs below.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Primera División Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Rosario Central's next match is v Huracan at 23:00 on Sunday 18th May
Independiente's next match is v Boca Juniors at 01:30 on Tuesday 20th May
The last Argentinian Primera División meeting between Rosario and Independiente was on Saturday 3rd May 2025
Argentinian Primera División
May 3rd 2025
Rosario 1
0 Independiente
 
A. Sporle (OG) 20'
 
ROS
IND
Shots On
6
1
Shots Off
7
5
Corners
1
5
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
20
15
Yellow/red cards
5/0
5/0
 
RosarioIndependiente
 
J. Broun
F. Mallo Blanco
E. Coronel
C. Quintana
A. Sández
V. Malcorra (T. O'Connor 90')
F. Ibarra (E. Giménez Rojas 81')
F. Navarro (K. Ortíz 90')
E. Copetti
M. Lovera (L. Giaccone 46')
S. López Grobin (G. De Jesús Duarte 74')
R. Rey
football iconA. Sporle
(S. Montiel 59') F. Vera
N. Freire
(S. Valdez 69') S. Salle
(R. Martínez 83') F. Paredes
A. Medina
E. Taborda
I. Marcone
(G. Millán 59') L. Cabral
(I. Maestro Puch 69') M. Giménez Rojas

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting there's minimal chance that this match will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics align with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Rosario and Independiente have seldom treated their fans to thrillers of late, whether that be in Primera División individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.14.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Rosario are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rosario
55%
1/1
15%
-
Draw
25%
19/10
1%
-
Independiente
19%
15/4
36%
-
Rosario 1-0
15%
4/1
17%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
9%
-
Rosario 2-0
12%
13/2
21%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
9/2
8%
-
Rosario 2-1
9%
9/1-
Independiente 1-0
8%
15/2
13%
-
Rosario 3-0
6%
16/1
26%
-
Rosario 3-1
5%
20/1
9%
-
Independiente 2-1
5%
16/1
31%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
22/1
21%
-
Independiente 2-0
3%
20/1
40%
-
Rosario 4-0
2%
40/1
20%
-
Rosario 3-2
2%
40/1-
Rosario 4-1
2%
50/1-
Independiente 3-1
1%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
15/8
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
2/5
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/13
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
21/10
24%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
43%
6/4
14%
-
BTTS - No
57%
1/2
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
5/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
11%
-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
12/1
44%
-
Home/draw
81%
2/11
9%
-
Away/draw
45%
4/5
15%
-
Home/away
75%
2/5-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/7
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
5/4
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
5/1
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/8
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
14/1
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/33
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
28/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/150-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/8-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
5/1-
Home DNB
73%
4/11
13%
-
Away DNB
37%
2/1
33%
-
Rosario win to nil
36%
13/8
23%
-
Independiente win to nil
12%
5/1
20%
-
Rosario / Rosario
25%
9/4
19%
-
Rosario / Independiente
2%
40/1-
Rosario / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Rosario
18%
7/2
18%
-
Draw / Independiente
10%
15/2
21%
-
Draw / Draw
22%
3/1-
Independiente / Rosario
2%
33/1-
Independiente / Independiente
11%
13/2
36%
-
Independiente / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Rosario 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rosario3 - 0Instituto
Rosario2 - 1Velez
Rosario2 - 1Gimnasia
Rosario1 - 0Sarmiento
Rosario3 - 1A. Tucuman
Rosario2 - 1Lanus
Rosario2 - 1Belgrano
Rosario0 - 2Racing Club
Rosario0 - 1San Lorenzo
Rosario0 - 1Barracas
Rosario1 - 1Banfield
Rosario3 - 0Velez
Rosario2 - 2Tal Cordoba
Rosario1 - 0A. Tucuman
Rosario1 - 0Newells
Rosario0 - 1Huracan
Rosario4 - 2Sarmiento
Rosario1 - 1Lanus
Rosario1 - 1Tig
Rosario1 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARosario1 - 0San Lorenzo
HRosario3 - 0Instituto
ARosario0 - 0Platense
HRosario2 - 1Velez
ARosario2 - 2River Plate
HRosario2 - 1Gimnasia
ARosario0 - 0Tal Cordoba
ARosario0 - 1Boca Juniors
HRosario1 - 0Sarmiento
ARosario2 - 1Newells
ARosario0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HRosario3 - 1A. Tucuman
ARosario0 - 0SM San Juan
HRosario2 - 1Lanus
ARosario3 - 0Godoy Cruz
HRosario2 - 1Belgrano
ARosario0 - 4River Plate
HRosario0 - 2Racing Club
ARosario1 - 0Central Cor
ARosario1 - 1Estudiantes
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. Tucuman2 - 0Independiente
Lanus1 - 1Independiente
San Lorenzo1 - 2Independiente
Banfield0 - 0Independiente
Platense1 - 1Independiente
River Plate2 - 0Independiente
Tal Cordoba2 - 3Independiente
Boca Juniors0 - 0Independiente
Newells2 - 1Independiente
Huracan1 - 0Independiente
Sarmiento0 - 0Independiente
Lanus0 - 2Independiente
Tig1 - 1Independiente
Belgrano1 - 1Independiente
Racing Club0 - 0Independiente
Estudiantes0 - 2Independiente
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 0Independiente
Instituto3 - 1Independiente
Defensa0 - 0Independiente
Platense0 - 0Independiente
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AIndependiente0 - 2A. Tucuman
HIndependiente0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente2 - 0SM San Juan
AIndependiente1 - 1Lanus
HIndependiente4 - 0Godoy Cruz
HIndependiente1 - 1Racing Club
AIndependiente2 - 1San Lorenzo
AIndependiente0 - 0Banfield
HIndependiente2 - 0Instituto
AIndependiente1 - 1Platense
HIndependiente3 - 0Velez
AIndependiente0 - 2River Plate
HIndependiente2 - 0Gimnasia
AIndependiente3 - 2Tal Cordoba
HIndependiente2 - 1Sarmiento
AIndependiente0 - 0Boca Juniors
HIndependiente2 - 1A. Tucuman
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 2Newells
HIndependiente1 - 0Gimnasia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Rosario since 2019
Rosario
Independiente
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
ROS
2
D
1
IND
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rosario
Draw1 - 1Draw
Rosario1 - 0
Rosario3 - 0
1 - 2Independiente
1 - 2Independiente
League games at Independiente since 2020
Independiente
Rosario
Goals: Scored
7
0
Games: Scored
3 / 4
0 / 4
Clean sheets
4 / 4
1 / 4
D
1
IND
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Independiente1 - 0
Independiente1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Independiente5 - 0
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, Independiente look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Rosario Central haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Primera División games, and it could be a long night for Julio César Vaccari's men.

Rosario 20th Independiente 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Rosario will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Independiente scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Rosario have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
-13
Independiente have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291556/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PG (predicted goals)
0
0
Attack rating
%
better
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
%
Defence rating
%
better
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
%

Rosario v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Rosario Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16457
A SándezI MalcorraI MalcorraI Malcorra
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Broun GLK15
2
-
E Coronel DEF173
4
-
F Mallo DEF9
1
-
C Quintana DEF1412
3
-
A Sández DEF162
4
-
F Ibarra MID151
6
-
F Navarro MID13
3
-
S Lopez MID102
2
-
I Malcorra MID1345
7
-
M Lovera MID101
-
E Copetti FWD1732
3
-
Subs
A Werner GLK2
-
J Komar DEF12
-
J. Giménez DEF4
1
-
J. Elordi DEF5
-
S. Segovia MID41
-
L Giaccone MID1512
-
A Solari MID6
-
T O'Connor MID8
2
-
J Gómez MID3
1
-
E Giménez MID91
2
-
S Ferreira FWD82
-
G. De Jesús Duarte FWD162
1
-
Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17328
R ReyF LoyolaA SpörleI Marcone
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK17
-
F Vera DEF16
5
-
F Paredes DEF5
1
-
N Freire DEF1
1
-
A Spörle DEF1012
1
-
I Marcone MID16
8
-
A. Medina MID1
1
-
L Cabral MID1621
4
1
S Salle FWD3
-
M Rojas FWD142
1
-
E. Taborda FWD1
-
Subs
J Blázquez GLK
-
F Loyola DEF1632
1
-
G. Bordón DEF
-
S Valdéz DEF17
2
-
J. De Irastorza DEF
-
F Mancuello MID91
2
-
G. Millán MID141
1
-
R Fernández MID7
3
-
R Martínez MID
-
S Montiel FWD101
3
-
I Puch FWD81
-
L. Román FWD1
-