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San Lorenzo v Sarmiento : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Nov, 22:15 BST, Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, Buenos Aires

The Primera División is the focus for both San Lorenzo and Sarmiento on Saturday night, as bosses Damián Ayude and Facundo Sava battle it out at the Estadio Pedro Bidegaín. Below we've got predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. Access it all via the tabs below.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals simply means there there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by San Lorenzo and Sarmiento during the regulation 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. Without a strong favourite to win the game, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think San Lorenzo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
San Lorenzo
42%
71/1005/6
1%
Draw
37%
39/2021/10
Sarmiento
21%
11/2
4%
9/2
5%
Draw 0-0
24%
4/14/1
San Lorenzo 1-0
21%
7/2
4%
7/2
4%
Sarmiento 1-0
13%
9/18/1
13%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
San Lorenzo 2-0
9%
11/211/2
San Lorenzo 2-1
5%
9/115/2
6%
Sarmiento 2-0
4%
28/118/1
Sarmiento 2-1
3%
22/114/1
12%
San Lorenzo 3-0
3%
12/112/1
San Lorenzo 3-1
2%
20/116/1
11%
Draw 2-2
1%
25/118/1
10%
Sarmiento 3-0
1%
80/145/1
San Lorenzo 4-0
1%
33/125/1
Sarmiento 3-1
1%
66/140/1
San Lorenzo 3-2
0%
40/1
20%
33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
21/1015/8
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
82%
4/114/11
2%
Home 1st Goal
48%
8/138/13
2%
Away 1st Goal
34%
12/523/10
2%
No 1st Goal
19%
4/14/1
BTTS - Yes
25%
13/88/5
4%
BTTS - No
75%
4/94/9
3%
BTTS - Home Win
8%
5/117/4
9%
BTTS - Draw
13%
9/217/4
5%
BTTS - Away Win
4%
18/111/1
Home/draw
79%
1/9
2%
1/7
1%
Away/draw
58%
1/119/20
2%
Home/away
63%
4/114/11
Over 1.5 Goals
42%
8/13
3%
8/13
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
58%
6/5
5%
23/20
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
6%
11/219/4
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
94%
1/91/9
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
2%
16/111/1
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
98%
1/401/66
Over 5.5 Goals
0%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
100%
1/200
1%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
76%
1/61/7
Under 0.5 Goals
24%
4/117/4
5%
Home DNB
68%
2/91/4
3%
Away DNB
47%
3/113/5
6%
San Lorenzo win to nil
34%
5/4-
Sarmiento win to nil
17%
7/1-
San Lorenzo / San Lorenzo
28%
15/815/8
1%
San Lorenzo / Sarmiento
2%
50/140/1
San Lorenzo / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / San Lorenzo
20%
3/116/5
Draw / Sarmiento
8%
10/117/2
6%
Draw / Draw
21%
3/127/10
Sarmiento / San Lorenzo
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Sarmiento / Sarmiento
9%
9/115/2
6%
Sarmiento / Draw
5%
18/114/1
Win / draw / win form
San Lorenzo 24TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Sarmiento 26TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at San Lorenzo since 2021
San Lorenzo
Sarmiento
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
SLO
2
SAR
1
League games at Sarmiento since 2022
Sarmiento
San Lorenzo
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
SLO
2
D
2
SAR
1
Goal Statistics
San Lorenzo 24th Sarmiento 26th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
0.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of San Lorenzo scoring 1 goal or less
0
58%
1
32%
2
3
4+
There is a 58% probability that Sarmiento will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
San Lorenzo have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
Sarmiento have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
San Lorenzo
PG (predicted goals)
Sarmiento
0.9
0.5
Attack rating
11%
better
SLO
SAR
view stats
Games scored21
17
Failed to score13
14
Scored first15
12
Goals scored29
23
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.7
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal10
10
Conversion rate for10
10
Avg. XG for1.1
1
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
26%
better
SLO
SAR
view stats
Games conceded17
22
Clean sheets17
9
Conceded first11
15
Goals conceded23
35
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
9
Conversion rate against10%
11%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%

San Lorenzo v Sarmiento Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

San Lorenzo Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
349311
E. Báez SoteloA VombergarE CeruttiJ Romaña
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E. Báez Sotelo DEF3412
5
-
O Gill GLK33
2
-
J Romaña DEF331
11
-
A Cuello FWD3261
6
1
E Herrera DEF301
10
-
N Tripichio MID301
5
-
M. Reali FWD302
5
-
E Cerutti FWD2913
9
-
A Vombergar FWD2591
4
-
G Hernández DEF231
5
1
D. Herrera DEF21
3
-
I. Perruzzi Ambrosini MID19
5
-
E Cecchini MID181
3
-
A. Ladstatter MID171
1
-
N Domínguez DEF13
1
-
F. López DEF12
3
-
B. Salinardi FWD101
1
-
F. Gulli MID911
-
M Insaurralde MID9
1
-
F Perruzzi MID8
-
D Herazo FWD81
1
-
J. Rattalino MID6
-
T. Rodríguez Pagano DEF4
-
M Hernández FWD2
-
F Altamirano GLK1
-
Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
313212
L AcostaI BravoI BravoJ Insaurralde
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Acosta GLK31
3
-
I Bravo FWD2932
5
-
J Insaurralde DEF282
11
1
A Vigo DEF242
4
-
C Villalba MID241
10
-
E. Giménez MID2421
4
-
F Roncaglia DEF22
6
-
M García MID221
7
-
L Suhr FWD221
3
1
J. Godoy DEF201
6
-
R Barcos DEF20
7
-
G Díaz DEF2011
5
-
F Frías FWD1911
2
-
Y Arismendi  FWD15
-
J Contrera FWD152
5
-
P Magnin FWD122
1
-
J Gómez MID11
6
-
S Rodriguez FWD111
-
F Paradela  MID10
3
-
G González FWD1011
-
J Ardaiz FWD1031
1
-
J. Vallejos DEF9
4
-
L Pratto FWD9
1
-
S Morales DEF8
1
-
A. Seyral Echecopar DEF5
1
-
T. Guiacobini MID5
2
-
J Andrada MID3
-
A. Ávalos Molina FWD2
-
J. Rentería Arias FWD2
-