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Sarmiento v Lanús : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Jul, 23:00 BST, Estadio Eva Perón de Junín, Junín

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Primera División, and Javier Sanguinetti’s Sarmiento will have the joy of it on Saturday night. Mauricio Pochettino’s Lanús are their visitors to the Estadio Eva Perón de Junín. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Primera División matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sarmiento
37%
--
Draw
37%
--
Lanus
26%
--
Draw 0-0
23%
--
Sarmiento 1-0
19%
--
Lanus 1-0
15%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Sarmiento 2-0
8%
--
Sarmiento 2-1
5%
--
Lanus 2-0
5%
--
Lanus 2-1
4%
--
Sarmiento 3-0
2%
--
Draw 2-2
2%
--
Sarmiento 3-1
1%
--
Lanus 3-0
1%
--
Lanus 3-1
1%
--
Sarmiento 3-2
0%
--
Sarmiento 4-0
0%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
81%
--
Home 1st Goal
44%
--
Away 1st Goal
38%
--
No 1st Goal
17%
--
BTTS - Yes
27%
--
BTTS - No
73%
--
BTTS - Home Win
7%
--
BTTS - Draw
14%
--
BTTS - Away Win
6%
--
Home/draw
74%
--
Away/draw
63%
--
Home/away
63%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
56%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
0%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
100%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
23%
--
Home DNB
62%
--
Away DNB
52%
--
Sarmiento win to nil
29%
--
Lanus win to nil
21%
--
Win / draw / win form
Sarmiento 26TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
13
L
3
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
12
Lost
6
Lanus 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Lanus have not lost to Sarmiento in 5 consecutive league meetings
4
Lanus have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Sarmiento
League games at Sarmiento since 2021
Sarmiento
Lanus
Goals: Scored
3
2
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
SAR
2
D
1
LAN
1
League games at Lanus since 2021
Lanus
Sarmiento
Goals: Scored
5
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
D
2
LAN
2
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Sarmiento fans, as should a 8 Primera División matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Sarmiento 26th Lanus 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Sarmiento scoring 1 goal or less
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
4+
There is a 52% probability that Lanus will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Sarmiento have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
Lanus have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291919/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sarmiento
PG (predicted goals)
Lanus
0.8
0.7
Attack rating
9%
better
SAR
LAN
view stats
Games scored10
9
Failed to score7
8
Scored first5
4
Goals scored13
13
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.7
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal10
13
Conversion rate for10
8
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
SAR
LAN
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
9
Clean sheets4
8
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded21
11
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
13
Conversion rate against11%
8%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+32%

Sarmiento v Lanus Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Sarmiento Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17218
L AcostaG CarabajalG DíazJ Insaurralde
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Acosta GLK17
1
-
I Bravo FWD161
2
-
V Burgoa MID151
-
J Insaurralde DEF141
7
1
G Carabajal MID142
1
-
F Frías FWD141
1
-
G Díaz DEF131
3
-
L Suhr FWD131
2
1
R Barcos DEF12
5
-
F Roncaglia DEF12
2
-
M García MID12
5
-
P Magnin FWD122
1
-
A Vigo DEF111
2
-
C Villalba MID11
6
-
E. Giménez MID1121
2
-
J. Godoy DEF8
1
-
F Paradela  MID8
3
-
S Morales DEF7
1
-
J. Vallejos DEF6
3
-
Y Arismendi  FWD5
-
T. Guiacobini MID4
2
-
J Andrada MID3
-
A. Seyral Echecopar DEF2
-
M Mónaco MID1
-
G González FWD1
-
S Rodriguez FWD1
-
J Ardaiz FWD111
-
Lanus Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17437
S MarcichM MorenoS MarcichA Cardozo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Marcich DEF183
3
-
M Moreno MID1841
1
-
E Salvio FWD183
-
N Losada GLK17
-
C Izquierdoz DEF17
1
-
D Aquino FWD17
1
-
A Cardozo MID16
6
1
W Bou FWD163
1
-
R López DEF14
2
-
D. Medina MID14
4
-
A Segovia FWD141
-
R Carrera MID1311
4
-
A Canelo FWD1312
-
G Pérez DEF11
3
-
A Méndez DEF10
4
-
J Ramírez  MID10
-
E Muñoz DEF9
1
-
F Biafore MID8
2
-
F Orozco FWD6
-
B. Cabrera FWD5
1
-
L Acosta FWD3
-
L. Cardozo DEF2
2
-
A Rodríguez MID2
-
L Morales GLK1
-
O. Ontívero DEF1
-
R Castillo FWD1
-