Vélez Sarsfield's team badge Instituto's team badge

Vélez Sarsfield v Instituto : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Jul, 23:00 BST, Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

the Estadio José Amalfitani masses welcome Instituto's travelling contingent on Saturday night, as Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez's Vélez Sarsfield face Daniel Ángel Llácer Fernández's side in the Primera División. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Velez and Instituto during the standard 90 minutes. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. With no obvious winner in sight, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Velez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Velez
43%
11/10-
Draw
31%
21/10-
Instituto
26%
11/4-
Velez 1-0
16%
9/2-
Draw 0-0
14%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Instituto 1-0
11%
7/1-
Velez 2-0
9%
15/2-
Velez 2-1
8%
17/2-
Instituto 2-1
5%
14/1-
Instituto 2-0
5%
16/1-
Velez 3-0
4%
18/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1-
Velez 3-1
3%
20/1-
Instituto 3-1
1%
40/1-
Instituto 3-0
1%
40/1-
Velez 3-2
1%
40/1-
Velez 4-0
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
8/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
19/40-
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
10%
11/2-
BTTS - Yes
38%
6/5-
BTTS - No
62%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
17/2-
Home/draw
74%
1/4-
Away/draw
57%
7/10-
Home/away
69%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
59%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
41%
6/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
9/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/100-
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/9-
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
11/2-
Home DNB
65%
4/9-
Away DNB
47%
13/8-
Velez win to nil
30%
2/1-
Instituto win to nil
18%
9/2-
Velez / Velez
24%
5/2-
Velez / Instituto
2%
40/1-
Velez / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Velez
17%
4/1-
Draw / Instituto
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Instituto / Velez
3%
28/1-
Instituto / Instituto
13%
11/2-
Instituto / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Velez 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez1 - 0Gimnasia
Velez0 - 1Sarmiento
Velez0 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Velez1 - 0SM San Juan
Velez0 - 2Huracan
Velez0 - 2Godoy Cruz
Velez0 - 0San Lorenzo
Velez0 - 1Platense
Velez2 - 0Huracan
Velez1 - 0Sarmiento
Velez0 - 0Lanus
Velez1 - 0Tig
Velez1 - 1Belgrano
Velez1 - 0Racing Club
Velez2 - 0Estudiantes
Velez4 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Velez1 - 0Instituto
Velez3 - 0Defensa
Velez3 - 0Tal Cordoba
Velez1 - 1A. Tucuman
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVelez1 - 4River Plate
HVelez1 - 0Gimnasia
AVelez1 - 0Tal Cordoba
HVelez0 - 1Sarmiento
AVelez1 - 2Rosario
HVelez0 - 1Deportivo Riestra
AVelez2 - 1A. Tucuman
HVelez1 - 0SM San Juan
HVelez0 - 2Huracan
AVelez0 - 0Lanus
HVelez0 - 2Godoy Cruz
AVelez0 - 3Independiente
HVelez0 - 0San Lorenzo
AVelez0 - 2Instituto
HVelez0 - 1Platense
AVelez0 - 3Tig
HVelez2 - 0Huracan
AVelez0 - 1U Santa Fe
HVelez1 - 0Sarmiento
AVelez0 - 0Godoy Cruz
Instituto 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gimnasia0 - 1Instituto
Argentinos3 - 1Instituto
Tal Cordoba1 - 2Instituto
Rosario3 - 0Instituto
A. Tucuman3 - 2Instituto
Lanus4 - 1Instituto
Argentinos2 - 0Instituto
Independiente2 - 0Instituto
U Santa Fe0 - 0Instituto
Platense1 - 0Instituto
River Plate1 - 0Instituto
Lanus2 - 0Instituto
Tig0 - 0Instituto
Belgrano3 - 1Instituto
Racing Club2 - 0Instituto
Estudiantes3 - 2Instituto
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 1Instituto
Central Cor2 - 1Instituto
Banfield1 - 2Instituto
Velez1 - 0Instituto
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AInstituto1 - 0Gimnasia
AInstituto1 - 3Argentinos
AInstituto2 - 1Tal Cordoba
HInstituto1 - 1Sarmiento
AInstituto0 - 3Rosario
HInstituto3 - 0Deportivo Riestra
AInstituto2 - 3A. Tucuman
HInstituto1 - 0SM San Juan
AInstituto1 - 4Lanus
HInstituto1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AInstituto0 - 2Argentinos
AInstituto0 - 2Independiente
HInstituto0 - 1San Lorenzo
AInstituto0 - 0U Santa Fe
AInstituto0 - 1Platense
HInstituto2 - 0Velez
AInstituto0 - 1River Plate
HInstituto3 - 0Gimnasia
HInstituto1 - 3Godoy Cruz
AInstituto0 - 2Lanus
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Velez since 2024
Velez
Instituto
Goals: Scored
2
0
Games: Scored
2 / 2
0 / 2
Clean sheets
2 / 2
0 / 2
VEL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez1 - 0
Velez1 - 0
League games at Instituto since 2023
Instituto
Velez
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
VEL
1
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Instituto
Instituto2 - 0
0 - 1Velez
Instituto1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Vélez Sarsfield of late. It has been 6 Primera División matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Instituto.

Velez 1st Instituto 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 68% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Instituto scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-52
Velez have scored 52% fewer goals at home than predicted
-18
Instituto have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291913/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Velez
PG (predicted goals)
Instituto
1.2
0.8
Attack rating
VEL
40%
better
view stats
Games scored6
11
Failed to score10
7
Scored first4
6
Goals scored7
18
Avg. goals scored0.4
1
Avg. shots per game6
8
Avg. shots per goal14
8
Conversion rate for7
12
Avg. XG for0.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
VEL
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
12
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first10
11
Goals conceded22
23
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+2%

Velez v Instituto Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15426
T MarchioriB RomeroA BouzatA Bouzat
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Marchiori GLK15
-
E Gómez DEF15
2
-
A Bouzat MID152
6
-
B Romero FWD154
5
-
C Ordoñez MID14
3
-
F Pizzini FWD14
-
D Fernández DEF13
1
-
?. Montoro MID12
2
-
M Santos FWD12
-
J. Gordon DEF10
2
1
M Pellegrini FWD10
-
M. Carrizo FWD103
2
-
A Quirós DEF9
3
2
V Gómez DEF8
2
1
M. Porcel MID8
-
I Machuca FWD8
1
-
E Mammana DEF7
2
-
K. Vázquez MID7
3
-
A Lagos DEF6
1
-
T Galván MID6
-
C Baeza MID6
3
-
T. Silvero DEF5
1
-
L Roldán DEF4
3
-
I. Andrada DEF41
-
P Pernicone DEF3
1
T Cavanagh DEF3
1
-
M. Fernández FWD2
-
B. Bosch FWD2
-
R Rodriguez GLK1
-
J García DEF1
-
M Pellegrino FWD1
-
Instituto Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18636
M RoffoA. LunaA. LunaF Allister
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Roffo GLK18
2
-
J Franco MID181
4
-
A. Luna MID1863
5
-
F Alarcón DEF171
5
-
G Lodico MID1741
1
-
F Allister MID171
6
-
D Puebla FWD171
1
-
J Acevedo MID131
2
-
L. Klimowicz FWD13
1
-
L Rodríguez DEF12
2
-
J. Lázaro MID121
1
-
S Moreyra MID12
2
-
G Requena DEF111
1
-
E Pereyra DEF11
1
-
M Godoy FWD111
3
1
F Díaz MID101
2
-
N Zalazar DEF91
4
1
J Dellarossa MID91
-
S Romero FWD8
1
-
N Cordero FWD7
1
-
F Suárez FWD41
-
M. Gallardo MID2
-
L Mosevich DEF1
-
F Celso MID1
-
M Fonseca FWD1
-