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Vélez Sarsfield v River Plate : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Feb, 21:30 BST, Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Vélez Sarsfield and River Plate go head to head at the Estadio José Amalfitani on Sunday night, with both Guillermo Barros Schelotto and Marcelo Daniel Gallardo aiming for victory in the Primera División. We've got predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Primera División clash.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Velez and River Plate combined during the standard 90 minutes. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to our prediction, and we think there's a 80% chance of it being right on the money. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.17.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Velez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Velez 36%	7/4	9/5
Draw 28%	2/1	19/10
River Plate 36%	7/4	9/5
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	9/2
River Plate 1-0 11%	6/1	11/2
Velez 1-0 11%	6/1	11/2
Draw 0-0 10%	11/2	5/1
River Plate 2-1 8%	10/1	17/2
Velez 2-1 8%	10/1	17/2
River Plate 2-0 7%	11/1	10/1
Velez 2-0 7%	11/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	14/1
River Plate 3-1 3%	25/1	20/1
Velez 3-1 3%	25/1	20/1
River Plate 3-0 3%	28/1	20/1
Velez 3-0 3%	28/1	22/1
River Plate 3-2 2%	40/1	28/1
Velez 3-2 2%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 41%	6/4	6/4
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	1/2	10/21
Home 1st Goal 47%	11/10	11/10
Away 1st Goal 47%	11/10	11/10
No 1st Goal 6%	11/2	5/1
BTTS - Yes 47%	21/20	21/20
BTTS - No 53%	7/10	7/10
BTTS - Home Win 14%	6/1	5/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 14%	6/1	5/1
Home/draw 64%	2/5	2/5
Away/draw 64%	2/5	4/9
Home/away 72%	4/11	2/5
Over 1.5 Goals 67%	1/2	1/2
Under 1.5 Goals 33%	6/4	29/20
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	4/1	19/5
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	1/6	2/13
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	10/1	9/1
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/20	1/25
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	25/1	20/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/100	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/9	1/9
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	11/2	5/1
Home DNB 56%	5/6	17/20
Away DNB 56%	5/6	17/20
Velez win to nil 22%	3/1	-
River Plate win to nil 22%	3/1	-
Velez / Velez 18%	7/2	10/3
Velez / River Plate 3%	33/1	25/1
Velez / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Velez 13%	5/1	5/1
Draw / River Plate 13%	5/1	5/1
Draw / Draw 20%	10/3	14/5
River Plate / Velez 3%	33/1	25/1
River Plate / River Plate 18%	7/2	10/3
River Plate / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Velez	2 - 1	Tal Cordoba
Velez	0 - 2	Argentinos
Velez	0 - 0	River Plate
Velez	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba
Velez	1 - 2	Rosario
Velez	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
Velez	3 - 0	Lanus
Velez	2 - 1	Independiente
Velez	0 - 0	Instituto
Velez	2 - 1	Tig
Velez	1 - 0	Gimnasia
Velez	0 - 1	Sarmiento
Velez	0 - 1	Deportivo Riestra
Velez	1 - 0	SM San Juan
Velez	0 - 2	Huracan
Velez	0 - 2	Godoy Cruz
Velez	0 - 0	San Lorenzo
Velez	0 - 1	Platense
Velez	2 - 0	Huracan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Velez	1 - 1	Defensa
H	Velez	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
A	Velez	1 - 1	Independiente
H	Velez	2 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	Velez	1 - 0	Instituto
H	Velez	0 - 2	Argentinos
H	Velez	0 - 0	River Plate
A	Velez	0 - 2	Gimnasia
H	Velez	0 - 1	Tal Cordoba
A	Velez	2 - 0	Sarmiento
H	Velez	1 - 2	Rosario
A	Velez	2 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
H	Velez	3 - 1	A. Tucuman
A	Velez	2 - 1	SM San Juan
A	Velez	0 - 0	Huracan
H	Velez	3 - 0	Lanus
A	Velez	2 - 0	Godoy Cruz
H	Velez	2 - 1	Independiente
A	Velez	0 - 1	San Lorenzo
H	Velez	0 - 0	Instituto

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Argentinos	1 - 0	River Plate
Rosario	0 - 0	River Plate
Barracas	0 - 1	River Plate
Racing Club	3 - 2	River Plate
Velez	0 - 0	River Plate
Boca Juniors	2 - 0	River Plate
Tal Cordoba	0 - 2	River Plate
Rosario	2 - 1	River Plate
A. Tucuman	2 - 0	River Plate
Estudiantes	1 - 2	River Plate
Lanus	1 - 1	River Plate
Independiente	0 - 0	River Plate
Instituto	0 - 4	River Plate
Gimnasia	0 - 3	River Plate
Sarmiento	1 - 1	River Plate
Deportivo Riestra	0 - 0	River Plate
SM San Juan	0 - 2	River Plate
Godoy Cruz	0 - 0	River Plate
San Lorenzo	0 - 0	River Plate
Platense	1 - 1	River Plate

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	River Plate	0 - 1	Argentinos
H	River Plate	1 - 4	Tig
A	River Plate	0 - 0	Rosario
H	River Plate	2 - 0	Gimnasia
A	River Plate	1 - 0	Barracas
A	River Plate	2 - 3	Racing Club
A	River Plate	0 - 0	Velez
A	River Plate	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
H	River Plate	0 - 1	Gimnasia
A	River Plate	2 - 0	Tal Cordoba
H	River Plate	0 - 1	Sarmiento
A	River Plate	1 - 2	Rosario
H	River Plate	1 - 2	Deportivo Riestra
A	River Plate	0 - 2	A. Tucuman
A	River Plate	2 - 1	Estudiantes
H	River Plate	2 - 0	SM San Juan
A	River Plate	1 - 1	Lanus
H	River Plate	4 - 2	Godoy Cruz
A	River Plate	0 - 0	Independiente
H	River Plate	0 - 0	San Lorenzo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Velez

River Plate

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

1 / 5

VEL

RIV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Velez	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	River Plate

River Plate

Velez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

VEL

RIV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT River Plate
River Plate	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
River Plate	5 - 0
River Plate	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Velez

Goal Statistics

	Velez 20th	River Plate 24th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Velez will score no more than 1 goal	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that River Plate will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-15 Velez have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted	-12 River Plate have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.0 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	0.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season

44%

better

VEL

RIV

view stats

Games scored	5		3
Failed to score	0		2
Scored first	3		2
Goals scored	7		4
Avg. goals scored	1.4		0.8
Avg. shots per game	10		12
Avg. shots per goal	7		15
Conversion rate for	15		7
Avg. XG for	1		1.4
KickOff rating		+44%

VEL

RIV

better

view stats

Games conceded	4		2
Clean sheets	1		3
Conceded first	2		2
Goals conceded	4		5
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	12		7
Conversion rate against	9%		14%
Avg. XG against	0.8		0.7
KickOff rating		+6%

Velez v River Plate Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	3	2	2
Álvaro Montero	M Pellegrini	D Valdés	C Baeza

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Álvaro Montero GLK	5			-
E Gómez DEF	5			1 -
L Magallán DEF	5			-
E Mammana DEF	5			-
C Baeza MID	5			2 -
T. Andrada MID	5	1		2 -
D Valdés MID	5		2	-
M Lanzini MID	5	1		1 -
L Robertone MID	5			-
R Aliendro MID	5			1 -
M Pellegrini FWD	4	3		1 -
A Quirós DEF	3			-
J García DEF	3	1		-
J. Gordon DEF	3	1		-
F Monzón FWD	3			-
D. Godoy FWD	3		1	-
M. Arias MID	2		1	-
B Romero FWD	2			1 -
I Machuca FWD	1			-
M. Carrizo FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	5	2	3
M Pellegrini	M Pellegrini	D Valdés	M Lanzini

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Pellegrini FWD	3	5		1
T. Andrada MID	1	2		1
M Lanzini MID	1	3		3
J García DEF	1	1
J. Gordon DEF	1	2
D Valdés MID		2	2	1
F Monzón FWD		2
D. Godoy FWD		1	1	2
M. Arias MID		1	1
M. Carrizo FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
268	13	30
C Baeza	C Baeza	T. Andrada

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Baeza MID	268	13	23
L Magallán DEF	242	3	10
T. Andrada MID	206	12	30
E Gómez DEF	202	5	27
M Lanzini MID	151	4	18
E Mammana DEF	141	4	7
D Valdés MID	113	5	25
M Pellegrini FWD	99	5	28
Álvaro Montero GLK	98		3
J. Gordon DEF	94	10	16
A Quirós DEF	91	2	5
J García DEF	90	1	5
R Aliendro MID	70	2	12
F Monzón FWD	40	2	8
L Robertone MID	35	4	12
D. Godoy FWD	33	2	7
M. Arias MID	25		1
B Romero FWD	24	1	7
M. Carrizo FWD	11		4
I Machuca FWD	1

River Plate Primera División squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	2	1	3
S. Beltrán	J Quintero	J Quintero	L. Rivero Cruz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S. Beltrán GLK	5			-
G Montiel DEF	5	1		1 -
L Quarta DEF	5			1 -
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	5	1		3 -
A Moreno MID	5			-
T Galván MID	5			-
J Quintero MID	5	2	1	-
G Galoppo MID	5			1 -
I. Subiabre FWD	5			-
M Salas FWD	5			1 -
M Viña DEF	4			2 1
F Vera MID	4			1 1
F Colidio FWD	4		1	-
M Acuña DEF	3			3 -
S. Lencinas MID	3			-
S Driussi FWD	3			-
K Castaño MID	2			-
A. Ruberto FWD	2			-
P Díaz DEF	1			-
J Portillo MID	1			-
R Andrade MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	8	1	3
J Quintero	J Quintero	J Quintero	J Quintero

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Quintero MID	2	8	1	3
G Montiel DEF	1	1
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	1	1
L Quarta DEF		2
A Moreno MID		1
T Galván MID				1
G Galoppo MID		1		1
I. Subiabre FWD				1
M Salas FWD		2		1
M Viña DEF		1
F Vera MID		4
F Colidio FWD		1	1
S. Lencinas MID				1
S Driussi FWD		3
A. Ruberto FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
299	15	34
L Quarta	L Quarta	L Quarta

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Quarta DEF	299	15	34
J Quintero MID	287	1	11
A Moreno MID	283	12	19
L. Rivero Cruz DEF	273	11	23
F Vera MID	255	6	19
G Montiel DEF	254	3	11
T Galván MID	176	9	25
M Viña DEF	111	3	7
S. Beltrán GLK	92
M Acuña DEF	89	3	8
F Colidio FWD	87	2	17
G Galoppo MID	80	4	10
S Driussi FWD	76	3	12
P Díaz DEF	52	2	11
M Salas FWD	43	2	7
S. Lencinas MID	35	4	5
K Castaño MID	29	2	6
I. Subiabre FWD	27		5
A. Ruberto FWD	21		4
R Andrade MID	8		1
J Portillo MID	4