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Vélez Sarsfield v Tigre : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Jul, 23:00 BST, Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires

Guillermo Abascal Perez's Vélez Sarsfield side will have home backing in the Primera División on Saturday night, as Diego Omar Dabove's Tigre visit the Estadio José Amalfitani. All the odds are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Primera División match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are expecting a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Velez and Tig go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 37% chance of Tig coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Velez
30%
21/20
15%
-
Draw
33%
2/1
4%
-
Tig
37%
16/5
24%
-
Draw 0-0
17%
9/2
8%
-
Tig 1-0
16%
7/1-
Velez 1-0
14%
4/1
17%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
9%
-
Tig 2-0
8%
18/1
27%
-
Tig 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Velez 2-0
6%
7/1
20%
-
Velez 2-1
6%
9/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
24%
-
Tig 3-0
3%
40/1-
Tig 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Velez 3-0
2%
18/1
17%
-
Velez 3-1
2%
22/1-
Tig 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
-
Velez 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
15/8
11%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
73%
2/5
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
42%
4/6
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
15/8
15%
-
No 1st Goal
12%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
35%
11/8
13%
-
BTTS - No
65%
8/15
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
8%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
11%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
10/1
29%
-
Home/draw
63%
2/9
6%
-
Away/draw
70%
8/11
13%
-
Home/away
67%
4/11
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
54%
4/7
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
46%
5/4
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
11%
5/1
20%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
89%
1/8
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
14/1
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
28/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/100-
Over 0.5 Goals
83%
1/7
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
17%
9/2
8%
-
Home DNB
53%
2/5
11%
-
Away DNB
60%
7/4
22%
-
Velez win to nil
21%
7/4
21%
-
Tig win to nil
27%
9/2
10%
-
Velez / Velez
24%
12/5
15%
-
Velez / Tig
2%
40/1
21%
-
Velez / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Velez
18%
15/4
14%
-
Draw / Tig
10%
7/1
14%
-
Draw / Draw
21%
3/1
8%
-
Tig / Velez
2%
33/1-
Tig / Tig
12%
6/1
27%
-
Tig / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
6
Tig have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Velez 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Velez1 - 0Gimnasia
Velez0 - 1Sarmiento
Velez0 - 1Deportivo Riestra
Velez1 - 0SM San Juan
Velez0 - 2Huracan
Velez0 - 2Godoy Cruz
Velez0 - 0San Lorenzo
Velez0 - 1Platense
Velez2 - 0Huracan
Velez1 - 0Sarmiento
Velez0 - 0Lanus
Velez1 - 0Tig
Velez1 - 1Belgrano
Velez1 - 0Racing Club
Velez2 - 0Estudiantes
Velez4 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Velez1 - 0Instituto
Velez3 - 0Defensa
Velez3 - 0Tal Cordoba
Velez1 - 1A. Tucuman
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVelez1 - 4River Plate
HVelez1 - 0Gimnasia
AVelez1 - 0Tal Cordoba
HVelez0 - 1Sarmiento
AVelez1 - 2Rosario
HVelez0 - 1Deportivo Riestra
AVelez2 - 1A. Tucuman
HVelez1 - 0SM San Juan
HVelez0 - 2Huracan
AVelez0 - 0Lanus
HVelez0 - 2Godoy Cruz
AVelez0 - 3Independiente
HVelez0 - 0San Lorenzo
AVelez0 - 2Instituto
HVelez0 - 1Platense
AVelez0 - 3Tig
HVelez2 - 0Huracan
AVelez0 - 1U Santa Fe
HVelez1 - 0Sarmiento
AVelez0 - 0Godoy Cruz
Tig
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Lorenzo2 - 1Tig
Estudiantes0 - 0Tig
Barracas1 - 0Tig
Defensa1 - 2Tig
Aldosivi0 - 2Tig
Tal Cordoba1 - 2Tig
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 4Tig
Huracan2 - 0Tig
Argentinos1 - 0Tig
San Lorenzo0 - 1Tig
Barracas0 - 0Tig
Banfield0 - 1Tig
Velez1 - 0Tig
Tal Cordoba1 - 1Tig
A. Tucuman1 - 2Tig
Newells1 - 0Tig
Huracan0 - 2Tig
Sarmiento0 - 0Tig
Lanus3 - 2Tig
Argentinos0 - 2Tig
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATig1 - 2San Lorenzo
HTig1 - 1Boca Juniors
ATig0 - 0Estudiantes
HTig0 - 0Belgrano
ATig0 - 1Barracas
HTig0 - 2Newells
ATig2 - 1Defensa
HTig1 - 2Central Cor
ATig2 - 0Aldosivi
ATig2 - 1Tal Cordoba
HTig1 - 0Banfield
ATig4 - 1Independiente Rivadavia
HTig1 - 0Racing Club
ATig0 - 2Huracan
HTig1 - 0U Santa Fe
ATig0 - 1Argentinos
HTig3 - 0Velez
ATig1 - 0San Lorenzo
HTig0 - 2Independiente Rivadavia
ATig0 - 0Barracas
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Velez since 2019
Velez
Tig
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
VEL
2
D
1
TIG
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Velez
Velez1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Velez3 - 2
1 - 2Tig
League games at Tig since 2022
Tig
Velez
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
3 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
1 / 4
D
1
TIG
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tig
Tig3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Tig2 - 1
Tig2 - 0
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Vélez Sarsfield fans, as should a 6 Primera División matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Tigre of late. It has been 6 Primera División games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Vélez Sarsfield.

Velez 1st Tig th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Velez scoring 1 goal or less
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Tig scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-52
Velez have scored 52% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
Tig’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291803/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Velez
PG (predicted goals)
Tig
0.8
1
Attack rating
VEL
TIG
45%
better
view stats
Games scored6
11
Failed to score10
6
Scored first4
8
Goals scored7
19
Avg. goals scored0.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game6
10
Avg. shots per goal14
9
Conversion rate for7
12
Avg. XG for0.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
VEL
TIG
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
10
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first10
7
Goals conceded22
14
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+27%

Velez v Tig Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Velez Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15426
T MarchioriB RomeroA BouzatA Bouzat
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Marchiori GLK15
-
E Gómez DEF15
2
-
A Bouzat MID152
6
-
B Romero FWD154
5
-
C Ordoñez MID14
3
-
F Pizzini FWD14
-
D Fernández DEF13
1
-
?. Montoro MID12
2
-
M Santos FWD12
-
J. Gordon DEF10
2
1
M Pellegrini FWD10
-
M. Carrizo FWD103
2
-
A Quirós DEF9
3
2
V Gómez DEF8
2
1
M. Porcel MID8
-
I Machuca FWD8
1
-
E Mammana DEF7
2
-
K. Vázquez MID7
3
-
A Lagos DEF6
1
-
C Baeza MID6
3
-
T Galván MID6
-
T. Silvero DEF5
1
-
L Roldán DEF4
3
-
I. Andrada DEF41
-
P Pernicone DEF3
1
T Cavanagh DEF3
1
-
B. Bosch FWD2
-
M. Fernández FWD2
-
R Rodriguez GLK1
-
J García DEF1
-
?. Busso GLK
-
A. Cortez GLK
-
L Garzón GLK
-
L. Cristaldo Florentín DEF
-
D. Domínguez DEF
-
M. Acuña DEF
-
T Fernández MID
-
M Seoane MID
-
G. Camargo de Lima MID
-
R Cabral MID
-
L. Ayala Bentos MID
-
F. Bussio MID
-
M. Mamani MID
-
I. Gómez MID
-
A. Zahir Verón FWD
-
B. Ramírez FWD
-
D. Godoy FWD
-
T. Andrada FWD
-
F. Montoro FWD
-
F Monzón FWD
-
Tig Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17538
F ZenobioI RussoJ SaraleguiL Scipioni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Zenobio GLK17
2
-
N Paz DEF172
3
-
S. González MID17
3
-
I Russo FWD1752
3
-
L Scipioni MID161
8
-
J Saralegui MID1513
-
E Cabrera MID153
2
-
J López MID15
4
-
S Medina MID1511
3
-
N Banegas DEF141
5
-
J Laso DEF141
2
1
H Fertoli MID131
1
-
M Ortega DEF101
1
-
M Garay MID10
1
-
A Oviedo FWD82
-
B Armoa FWD81
-
D Romero FWD731
-
D Sosa DEF51
-
R Arias DEF5
-
L Besozzi FWD51
1
-
M Zalazar FWD4
-
A Barrionuevo DEF3
-
V. Moreno DEF2
1
-
D Sarmiento FWD2
-
G Piñeiro MID1
-
I Borba MID1
-
J. Ramponi GLK
-
A Sosa GLK
-
L. Fuster GLK
-
T Fernández DEF
-
A. Marchese DEF
-
F. Tévez DEF
-
M. Vasconcelo MID
-
I Protti  FWD
-
G Flores FWD
-