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FC Red Bull Salzburg v SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 3rd May, 16:00 BST, Red Bull Arena Salzburg, Wals-Siezenheim

FC Red Bull Salzburg and their boss Thomas Letsch will be aiming to beat Fabio Ingolitsch and his SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair clash at the Red Bull Arena Salzburg in the Bundesliga. Stats power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Salzburg
33%
--
Draw
24%
--
Sturm Graz
43%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Sturm Graz 2-1
9%
--
Salzburg 2-1
8%
--
Sturm Graz 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Salzburg 1-0
6%
--
Sturm Graz 2-0
6%
--
Sturm Graz 3-1
5%
--
Salzburg 2-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Salzburg 3-1
4%
--
Sturm Graz 3-2
4%
--
Sturm Graz 3-0
3%
--
Salzburg 3-2
3%
--
Salzburg 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
--
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
50%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
62%
--
BTTS - No
38%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
24%
--
Home/draw
57%
--
Away/draw
67%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
50%
--
Away DNB
60%
--
Salzburg win to nil
14%
--
Sturm Graz win to nil
19%
--
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Salzburg have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Salzburg are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 2 and won zero. Salzburg have conceded 4 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Salzburg have played 13 games at home, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 24 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Sturm Graz lay in 1st place on 28 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 5 and losing 8 games. They have scored 42 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Sturm Graz have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Sturm Graz have played 14 away games, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sturm Graz2714581228 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
-
-
2
Salzburg2712871725 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
3
LASK Linz221147237 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-5F
l
 
1-3F
w
 
0-2F
4
Austria Wien2712411-322 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
5
Rapid Wien22967133 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1F
6
Hartberg22895533 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
7
Wattens22877131 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-3F
l
 
1-0A
8
SCR Altach22787-129 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
9
SV Ried228410-428 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
10
RZ Pellets227510-126 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2A
11
GAK224810-1420 
w
 
5-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
12
Blau-Weiss Linz224315-1615 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
Championship Round
UEFA Conference League Play Offs
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Salzburg 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Sturm Graz 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Sturm Graz have not lost to Salzburg in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Salzburg since 2015
Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Goals: Scored
42
21
Games: Scored
17 / 21
15 / 21
Clean sheets
6 / 21
4 / 21
RBS
12
D
5
STU
4
League games at Sturm Graz since 2015
Sturm Graz
Salzburg
Goals: Scored
33
37
Games: Scored
18 / 22
19 / 22
Clean sheets
3 / 22
4 / 22
RBS
10
D
5
STU
7
Goal Statistics

SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because FC Red Bull Salzburg have conceded in each of their last 5 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.7 for F. Ingolitsch's side suggests that run should continue.

Salzburg 3rd Sturm Graz 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Salzburg will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Sturm Graz will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Salzburg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+21
Sturm Graz have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2026 season
Salzburg
PG (predicted goals)
Sturm Graz
1.4
1.7
Attack rating
RBS
STU
4%
better
view stats
Games scored21
23
Failed to score5
3
Scored first14
18
Goals scored47
41
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
RBS
STU
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
15
Clean sheets5
11
Conceded first11
7
Goals conceded32
29
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+18%

Salzburg v Sturm Graz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Salzburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26968
A SchlagerP RatkovF. KrätzigS. Diabaté
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Schlager GLK26
4
-
E. Baidoo FWD2453
-
S. Diabaté MID2321
7
1
M Bidstrup MID231
2
-
K. Alajbegović FWD2383
3
-
Y Vertessen FWD2262
3
-
S Lainer DEF2113
5
-
S Kitano MID2064
1
-
K. Gadou DEF19
3
2
F. Krätzig MID196
4
1
M Yeo FWD1912
2
-
A Terzić DEF171
1
-
P Ratkov FWD1792
2
-
J. Schuster DEF16
-
J Rasmussen DEF161
2
-
M Kjaergaard MID1624
1
-
K Onisiwo  FWD1612
-
C. Bischoff FWD1513
-
T. Trummer DEF1111
-
K Konaté FWD116
2
-
M Diambou MID9
1
-
L Gourna-Douath MID4
2
-
A. Chase DEF3
1
1
E. Aguilar FWD3
-
C. Zawieschitzky GLK1
-
V. Sulzbacher MID1
1
1
Sturm Graz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251356
J StankovicO KiteishviliT HorvatT Chukwuani
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Jatta FWD2742
3
-
E Karic DEF252
3
-
J Stankovic MID2521
5
-
O Kiteishvili MID24133
3
-
J. Hödl MID2421
5
-
M Malone FWD2331
2
-
F Kucharczyk MID2021
4
-
A. Malic DEF171
2
-
T Horvat MID1725
-
J. Mitchell DEF1611
3
1
T Chukwuani MID161
6
-
L Grgic FWD1631
1
-
O Christensen GLK15
1
-
D Lavalée DEF14
3
-
B Beganovic FWD143
-
E Aiwu DEF13
3
1
T Oermann DEF131
1
-
A. Kayombo FWD121
1
-
S Hierländer MID11
-
M Bignetti GLK10
-
N Geyrhofer DEF7
1
-
D Khudyakov GLK3
1
-
J Beck MID3
1
-