SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz's team badge FC Red Bull Salzburg's team badge

SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz v FC Red Bull Salzburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Merkur Arena, Graz

Thomas Tuchel is aiming for a precious away win in the Bundesliga on Friday evening, as he takes his FC Red Bull Salzburg side to the Merkur Arena to visit SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz and Jurgen Klopp. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.

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SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz's next match is v Rapid Wien at 16:00 on Sunday 18th May
FC Red Bull Salzburg's next match is v Blau-Weiss Linz at 16:00 on Sunday 18th May
The last Austrian Bundesliga meeting between Sturm Graz and Salzburg was on Friday 9th May 2025
Austrian Bundesliga
May 9th 2025
Sturm Graz 4
2 Salzburg
 
A. Terzić (OG) 18'45' N. Dorgeles
W. Vick 20'59' (OG)E. Aiwu
G. Wüthrich 48'
T. Chukwuani 72'
 
STU
RBS
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
6
8
Corners
4
5
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
10
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
Sturm GrazSalzburg
 
K. Scherpen
G. Wüthrichfootball icon
M. Johnston
D. Lavalée (S. Hierländer 86')
E. Aiwufootball icon
J. Gorenc Stankovič
M. Junior Yalcouyé (E. Karic 67')
O. Kiteishvili
W. Vickfootball icon (J. Hödl 87')
T. Horvat (T. Chukwuani 66')
L. Grgic (A. Camara 76')
A. Schlager
football iconA. Terzić
(E. Baidoo 56') J. Mellberg
K. Gadou
S. Baidoo
M. Bidstrup
O. Gluh
(K. Onisiwo 56') V. Sulzbacher
A. Daghim
Y. Vertessen
(P. Ratkov 69') football iconN. Dorgeles

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Sturm Graz and Salzburg's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sturm Graz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sturm Graz
56%
17/10-
Draw
23%
23/10
3%
-
Salzburg
22%
13/8
3%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
Sturm Graz 2-1
10%
9/1
9%
-
Sturm Graz 1-0
10%
9/1
17%
-
Sturm Graz 2-0
9%
14/1
12%
-
Sturm Graz 3-1
6%
20/1-
Salzburg 2-1
6%
9/1
5%
-
Salzburg 1-0
6%
9/1-
Sturm Graz 3-0
6%
25/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
8%
-
Sturm Graz 3-2
3%
25/1-
Salzburg 2-0
3%
12/1-
Sturm Graz 4-1
3%
40/1-
Sturm Graz 4-0
3%
50/1-
Salzburg 3-1
2%
18/1
12%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
21/20
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
5/6
6%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
8/13
3%
-
BTTS - No
44%
6/5
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
3/1-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
15/4
10%
-
Home/draw
78%
4/9
8%
-
Away/draw
44%
4/9
3%
-
Home/away
77%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/9
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
3/1
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/5
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/2
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/7
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
71%
5/6
13%
-
Away DNB
38%
5/6
10%
-
Sturm Graz win to nil
28%
4/1
17%
-
Salzburg win to nil
10%
4/1
11%
-
Sturm Graz / Sturm Graz
19%
10/3
4%
-
Sturm Graz / Salzburg
3%
25/1
13%
-
Sturm Graz / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Sturm Graz
13%
11/2
7%
-
Draw / Salzburg
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
-
Salzburg / Sturm Graz
3%
25/1-
Salzburg / Salzburg
21%
3/1
7%
-
Salzburg / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Sturm Graz have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 5 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Sturm Graz have outscored their opponents by 60 goals to 45 goals.

Home League Performance

Sturm Graz have played 14 games at home winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 38 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Salzburg are in 3rd position in the Bundesliga on 22 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 0 and won 1. Salzburg have conceded 8 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sturm Graz
Salzburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sturm Graz Home2214442346 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
l
 
5-0A
2
Austria Wien3017581433 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
3
RZ Pellets2211381436 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
4
Salzburg Away3014971432 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
3-1F
-
-
5
Rapid Wien22976834 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2F
6
Blau-Weiss Linz221039133 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
5-1A
l
 
2-0A
7
LASK Linz22949-131 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
8
Hartberg22688-726 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
9
Klagenfurt225611-2221 
w
 
7-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
10
Wattens224711-1119 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
11
GAK223712-1816 
w
 
5-2F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-3F
12
SCR Altach223712-1516 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
Championship Round
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
Championship Round
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Sturm Graz 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sturm Graz0 - 1Austria Wien
Sturm Graz2 - 0Blau-Weiss Linz
Sturm Graz2 - 0Rapid Wien
Sturm Graz4 - 2LASK Linz
Sturm Graz2 - 1Blau-Weiss Linz
Sturm Graz2 - 2Austria Wien
Sturm Graz7 - 0Klagenfurt
Sturm Graz1 - 1Rapid Wien
Sturm Graz5 - 2GAK
Sturm Graz5 - 0Salzburg
Sturm Graz0 - 3RZ Pellets
Sturm Graz4 - 2Wattens
Sturm Graz2 - 1SCR Altach
Sturm Graz2 - 0Hartberg
Sturm Graz2 - 0Klagenfurt
Sturm Graz1 - 1Hartberg
Sturm Graz1 - 0Rapid Wien
Sturm Graz1 - 0LASK Linz
Sturm Graz0 - 1Salzburg
Sturm Graz4 - 0RZ Pellets
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASturm Graz1 - 0Blau-Weiss Linz
HSturm Graz0 - 1Austria Wien
ASturm Graz1 - 2Austria Wien
HSturm Graz2 - 0Blau-Weiss Linz
ASturm Graz2 - 1Salzburg
HSturm Graz2 - 0Rapid Wien
ASturm Graz1 - 1RZ Pellets
HSturm Graz4 - 2LASK Linz
ASturm Graz2 - 1GAK
ASturm Graz1 - 3Salzburg
HSturm Graz2 - 1Blau-Weiss Linz
ASturm Graz0 - 3RZ Pellets
HSturm Graz2 - 2Austria Wien
ASturm Graz3 - 0Wattens
ASturm Graz1 - 1SCR Altach
HSturm Graz7 - 0Klagenfurt
ASturm Graz2 - 1Hartberg
HSturm Graz1 - 1Rapid Wien
ASturm Graz2 - 1LASK Linz
HSturm Graz5 - 2GAK
Salzburg 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
RZ Pellets2 - 1Salzburg
Austria Wien1 - 3Salzburg
Rapid Wien0 - 2Salzburg
SCR Altach1 - 1Salzburg
Austria Wien0 - 1Salzburg
Klagenfurt0 - 0Salzburg
Hartberg1 - 1Salzburg
Blau-Weiss Linz2 - 0Salzburg
RZ Pellets0 - 0Salzburg
Sturm Graz5 - 0Salzburg
Wattens0 - 0Salzburg
Rapid Wien3 - 2Salzburg
LASK Linz0 - 1Salzburg
GAK2 - 3Salzburg
Hartberg1 - 5Salzburg
Rapid Wien2 - 0Salzburg
Klagenfurt4 - 3Salzburg
LASK Linz3 - 1Salzburg
Sturm Graz0 - 1Salzburg
LASK Linz0 - 1Salzburg
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSalzburg2 - 0Austria Wien
ASalzburg1 - 2RZ Pellets
HSalzburg1 - 1RZ Pellets
ASalzburg3 - 1Austria Wien
HSalzburg1 - 2Sturm Graz
HSalzburg2 - 1Blau-Weiss Linz
ASalzburg2 - 0Rapid Wien
HSalzburg1 - 0RZ Pellets
ASalzburg1 - 1SCR Altach
HSalzburg3 - 1Sturm Graz
ASalzburg1 - 0Austria Wien
HSalzburg1 - 1Wattens
ASalzburg0 - 0Klagenfurt
HSalzburg3 - 0Klagenfurt
HSalzburg2 - 2Rapid Wien
HSalzburg4 - 0Hartberg
ASalzburg1 - 1Hartberg
HSalzburg1 - 2LASK Linz
ASalzburg0 - 2Blau-Weiss Linz
HSalzburg0 - 0GAK
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sturm Graz since 2015
Sturm Graz
Salzburg
Goals: Scored
27
33
Games: Scored
15 / 19
16 / 19
Clean sheets
3 / 19
4 / 19
STU
6
D
3
RBS
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz5 - 0
0 - 1Salzburg
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Salzburg
Sturm Graz2 - 1
Sturm Graz2 - 1
1 - 3Salzburg
1 - 3Salzburg
Sturm Graz2 - 1
1 - 5Salzburg
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Salzburg
1 - 2Salzburg
2 - 4Salzburg
Sturm Graz1 - 0
0 - 1Salzburg
Sturm Graz3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Salzburg
League games at Salzburg since 2015
Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Goals: Scored
42
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
3 / 20
STU
3
D
5
RBS
12
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Salzburg
1 - 2Sturm Graz
Salzburg3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Salzburg2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Salzburg1 - 0
Salzburg4 - 1
Salzburg3 - 1
1 - 3Sturm Graz
Salzburg5 - 2
Salzburg2 - 0
Salzburg3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Salzburg4 - 1
Salzburg5 - 0
Salzburg1 - 0
0 - 1Sturm Graz
Draw1 - 1Draw
Salzburg3 - 1
Goal Statistics

SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday evening, not least because FC Red Bull Salzburg have conceded in each of their last 8 Bundesliga games. A PG of 1.9 for Jurgen Klopp's side suggests that run should continue.

Sturm Graz 1st Salzburg 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Sturm Graz will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Salzburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Sturm Graz have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
-25
Salzburg have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/295478/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sturm Graz
PG (predicted goals)
Salzburg
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
21%
better
STU
RBS
view stats
Games scored25
23
Failed to score4
6
Scored first20
17
Goals scored60
45
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for19
12
Avg. XG for1.7
1.9
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
STU
RBS
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
17
Clean sheets8
12
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded33
29
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+14%

Sturm Graz v Salzburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Sturm Graz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281288
K ScherpenO KiteishviliT HorvatE Aiwu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Scherpen GLK28
-
M Johnston DEF2215
4
-
E Aiwu DEF251
8
-
G Wüthrich DEF191
2
1
D Lavalée DEF2812
6
1
T Horvat MID3048
1
-
J Stankovic MID2414
5
-
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID2441
4
-
O Kiteishvili MID30123
3
-
W Bøving FWD28105
1
L Grgic FWD1642
1
1
Subs
D Khudyakov GLK2
1
-
E Karic DEF131
4
1
A. Malic DEF9
1
-
T Chukwuani MID2531
5
1
S Hierländer MID151
1
-
J. Hödl MID5
1
-
A. Camara FWD17
-
Salzburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271155
S BaidooD NeneA TerzićM Bidstrup
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Schlager GLK19
3
-
J Mellberg DEF4
-
K. Gadou DEF19
1
1
S Baidoo DEF27
3
1
A Terzić DEF215
1
-
V. Sulzbacher MID5
-
M Bidstrup MID2811
5
-
D Nene MID28114
1
-
O Gloukh MID2495
-
A Daghim FWD2725
3
-
Y Vertessen FWD1452
2
-
Subs
J Blaswich GLK11
-
L Morgalla DEF151
-
T Kawamura MID2
-
T. Trummer MID9
1
-
K Onisiwo  FWD61
-
E. Baidoo FWD162
-
P Ratkov FWD2023
1
-