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SV Ried v Grazer AK : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Sep, 16:00 BST, Josko Arena, Ried im Innkreis

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Bundesliga, and Maximilian Ritscher’s SV Ried will have the luxury of it on Saturday afternoon. Victor Basadre’s Grazer AK are their visitors to the Josko Arena. We have custom-designed statistics for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but good reason to think SV Ried and GAK will score at least a couple of goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Maximilian Ritscher or Victor Basadre has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.25 equating to about a 77% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think SV Ried are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
SV Ried 45%	21/20	-
Draw 25%	11/5	-
GAK 30%	9/4	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	-
SV Ried 1-0 10%	15/2	-
SV Ried 2-1 9%	8/1	-
GAK 1-0 8%	10/1	-
SV Ried 2-0 7%	10/1	-
GAK 2-1 7%	11/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
SV Ried 3-1 5%	16/1	-
GAK 2-0 5%	16/1	-
SV Ried 3-0 4%	20/1	-
GAK 3-1 3%	25/1	-
SV Ried 3-2 3%	25/1	-
GAK 3-2 2%	33/1	-
GAK 3-0 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	9/10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	9/10	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	4/5	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	6/5	-
No 1st Goal 4%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	7/10	-
BTTS - No 44%	21/20	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	10/3	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	11/2	-
Home/draw 70%	3/10	-
Away/draw 55%	8/13	-
Home/away 75%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1/4	-
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	9/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	1/3	-
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	11/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	-
Home DNB 62%	8/15	-
Away DNB 48%	11/8	-
SV Ried win to nil 23%	11/4	-
GAK win to nil 15%	5/1	-
SV Ried / SV Ried 24%	5/2	-
SV Ried / GAK 3%	28/1	-
SV Ried / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / SV Ried 15%	9/2	-
Draw / GAK 11%	13/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
GAK / SV Ried 4%	22/1	-
GAK / GAK 15%	9/2	-
GAK / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	SV Ried GAK
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Rapid Wien	6	5	1	0	7	16	Oct 26	Dec 6	Sep 20	Nov 23
2	Salzburg	6	3	2	1	7	11	d 2-2A	Nov 2	Feb 14	l 5-0A
3	SCR Altach	6	3	2	1	3	11	Dec 13	l 1-0A	Nov 1	d 1-1A
4	RZ Pellets	6	3	1	2	4	10	Nov 29	Oct 18	Oct 4	Feb 6
5	Sturm Graz	5	3	0	2	5	9	l 1-3F	Feb 6	l 0-3A	Dec 7
6	Hartberg	6	3	0	3	1	9	l 0-2A	Nov 22	Oct 18	Feb 21
7	Wattens	5	2	2	1	1	8	Oct 4	Feb 21	d 1-1A	Mar 7
8	SV Ried	6	2	1	3	-1	7	-	-	Feb 28	Sep 27
9	Austria Wien	6	2	1	3	-3	7	Mar 7	Sep 20	d 2-2F	Nov 8
10	Blau-Weiss Linz	6	1	1	4	-4	4	Nov 8	w 0-2F	Nov 29	l 3-0A
11	LASK Linz	6	1	0	5	-9	3	Feb 14	w 1-3F	Dec 13	Oct 25
12	GAK	6	0	3	3	-11	3	Sep 27	Feb 28	-	-

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
SV Ried	0 - 2	Hartberg
SV Ried	1 - 3	Sturm Graz
SV Ried	2 - 2	Salzburg
SV Ried	1 - 2	RZ Pellets
SV Ried	0 - 1	SCR Altach
SV Ried	4 - 4	Austria Lustenau
SV Ried	1 - 1	Wattens
SV Ried	1 - 3	Hartberg
SV Ried	0 - 0	RZ Pellets
SV Ried	1 - 3	Austria Wien
SV Ried	1 - 1	LASK Linz
SV Ried	0 - 1	Hartberg
SV Ried	2 - 2	Klagenfurt
SV Ried	1 - 0	Rapid Wien
SV Ried	2 - 3	SCR Altach
SV Ried	0 - 3	Salzburg
SV Ried	1 - 2	Wattens
SV Ried	1 - 1	Sturm Graz
SV Ried	1 - 0	Austria Lustenau
SV Ried	1 - 1	LASK Linz

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	SV Ried	0 - 2	Hartberg
A	SV Ried	3 - 1	LASK Linz
A	SV Ried	2 - 0	Blau-Weiss Linz
H	SV Ried	1 - 3	Sturm Graz
A	SV Ried	0 - 1	SCR Altach
H	SV Ried	2 - 2	Salzburg
H	SV Ried	1 - 2	RZ Pellets
A	SV Ried	0 - 2	Hartberg
H	SV Ried	0 - 1	SCR Altach
A	SV Ried	1 - 1	Wattens
A	SV Ried	2 - 2	Austria Lustenau
H	SV Ried	4 - 4	Austria Lustenau
A	SV Ried	1 - 1	SCR Altach
H	SV Ried	1 - 1	Wattens
H	SV Ried	1 - 3	Hartberg
A	SV Ried	0 - 1	RZ Pellets
H	SV Ried	0 - 0	RZ Pellets
A	SV Ried	2 - 1	SCR Altach
H	SV Ried	1 - 3	Austria Wien
A	SV Ried	0 - 2	Salzburg

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 19

Conceded

16 / 19

Clean sheets

3 / 19

Failed to score

7 / 19

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Blau-Weiss Linz	3 - 0	GAK
SCR Altach	1 - 1	GAK
Salzburg	5 - 0	GAK
Wattens	1 - 1	GAK
SCR Altach	2 - 2	GAK
Hartberg	1 - 1	GAK
Klagenfurt	0 - 0	GAK
LASK Linz	1 - 0	GAK
Rapid Wien	3 - 0	GAK
Klagenfurt	4 - 2	GAK
SCR Altach	1 - 2	GAK
Blau-Weiss Linz	1 - 2	GAK
Salzburg	0 - 0	GAK
Sturm Graz	5 - 2	GAK
Austria Wien	2 - 1	GAK
LASK Linz	4 - 2	GAK
Hartberg	1 - 1	GAK
RZ Pellets	4 - 2	GAK
Wattens	0 - 0	GAK

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	GAK	0 - 3	Blau-Weiss Linz
H	GAK	0 - 3	Sturm Graz
A	GAK	1 - 1	SCR Altach
H	GAK	1 - 1	Wattens
A	GAK	0 - 5	Salzburg
H	GAK	2 - 2	Austria Wien
A	GAK	1 - 1	Wattens
H	GAK	1 - 0	LASK Linz
A	GAK	2 - 2	SCR Altach
H	GAK	1 - 1	Klagenfurt
A	GAK	1 - 1	Hartberg
H	GAK	0 - 3	Hartberg
A	GAK	0 - 0	Klagenfurt
H	GAK	1 - 0	SCR Altach
A	GAK	0 - 1	LASK Linz
H	GAK	0 - 0	Wattens
A	GAK	0 - 3	Rapid Wien
H	GAK	1 - 2	Sturm Graz
H	GAK	1 - 2	Austria Wien
A	GAK	2 - 4	Klagenfurt

Goal Statistics

SV Ried's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Grazer AK have conceded in each of their last 6 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.6 for M. Ritscher's side suggests that run should continue.

	SV Ried 8th	GAK 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that SV Ried will score 1 or more goals	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that GAK will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-26 SV Ried have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted	-21 GAK have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.8 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2026 season

39%

better

SVR

GRA

view stats

Games scored	4		3
Failed to score	2		3
Scored first	3		1
Goals scored	8		4
Avg. goals scored	1.3		0.7
Avg. shots per game	9		7
Avg. shots per goal	7		11
Conversion rate for	15		9
Avg. XG for	1.3		1
KickOff rating		+39%

40%

better

SVR

GRA

view stats

Games conceded	5		6
Clean sheets	1		0
Conceded first	3		5
Goals conceded	9		15
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		2.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		4
Conversion rate against	13%		23%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.9
KickOff rating		+40%

SV Ried v GAK Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

SV Ried Bundesliga squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	2	2	3
A Leitner	P Pomer	A Bajić	A Bajić

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Leitner GLK	6			2 -
N Havenaar DEF	6			-
O Steurer DEF	6	1		-
M Sollbauer DEF	6			-
P Pomer MID	6	2	1	2 -
Y Maart MID	6			1 -
M Grosse MID	6	2		-
K. Mutandwa FWD	6	1	1	1 -
F. Rossdorfer MID	5			-
A Bajić MID	5		2	3 -
M Rasner MID	5			-
P. Kiedl FWD	5	2		1 -
A. Van Wyk FWD	5		1	-
M Jackson MID	4			1 -
J Mayer MID	4			1 -
J Scherzer DEF	2			-
E. Azkune Astarloza FWD	2			-
D Kirnbauer DEF	1			-
N Bajlicz MID	1			-
S Sané FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	2	2
P Pomer	P. Kiedl	A Bajić	A Bajić

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Pomer MID	2	3	1	1
M Grosse MID	2	3		1
P. Kiedl FWD	2	4
O Steurer DEF	1	1
K. Mutandwa FWD	1	3	1	1
N Havenaar DEF		1
M Sollbauer DEF		1
A Bajić MID		1	2	2
A. Van Wyk FWD		4	1	1
M Jackson MID				1
S Sané FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
253	15	62
O Steurer	Y Maart	N Havenaar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
O Steurer DEF	253	8	30
N Havenaar DEF	212	3	62
Y Maart MID	196	15	25
P Pomer MID	189	9	25
A Leitner GLK	188		2
M Sollbauer DEF	184	11	23
M Grosse MID	136	4	24
A Bajić MID	119	14	32
J Mayer MID	78	12	18
K. Mutandwa FWD	75	4	25
M Rasner MID	67	5	15
P. Kiedl FWD	52	2	18
A. Van Wyk FWD	48	4	16
M Jackson MID	47	1	1
F. Rossdorfer MID	32	6	22
N Bajlicz MID	24		1
J Scherzer DEF	19	1	4
D Kirnbauer DEF	10		4
E. Azkune Astarloza FWD	5	1	2
S Sané FWD	4		2

GAK Bundesliga squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	1	1	2
J Meierhofer	T Cipot	R. Harakaté	M Satin

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Meierhofer GLK	6			-
L Vraa-Jensen DEF	6			-
D Frieser MID	6			-
A. Hofleitner FWD	6			1 -
T Cipot FWD	6	1		-
R. Harakaté FWD	6	1	1	1 -
D Maderner FWD	6	1		-
J. Italiano FWD	6			-
B. Owusu DEF	5	1		-
M Satin MID	5		1	2 -
C Lichtenberger MID	5			-
T Koch MID	5		1	1
D Pines DEF	4			-
S Fofana MID	4			1
Z. Jánó MID	4			1 -
L Graf DEF	3			1 -
M Kreuzriegler DEF	3			-
T Schriebl MID	3			1 -
Y. Oberleitner DEF	1			-
T. Schiestl MID	1			-
T. Paumgartner MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	6	1	3
T Cipot	T Cipot	R. Harakaté	D Frieser

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Cipot FWD	1	6		1
R. Harakaté FWD	1	2	1	1
D Maderner FWD	1	3		1
B. Owusu DEF	1	1
D Frieser MID				3
M Satin MID		1	1	1
C Lichtenberger MID		1
T Koch MID		1	1
D Pines DEF		2
Z. Jánó MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
234	19	47
L Vraa-Jensen	J. Italiano	J. Italiano

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Vraa-Jensen DEF	234	2	18
B. Owusu DEF	210	11	38
J Meierhofer GLK	195		3
T Koch MID	156	5	13
J. Italiano FWD	155	19	47
D Frieser MID	132	10	18
D Pines DEF	124	3	21
S Fofana MID	99	7	14
M Satin MID	94	5	10
R. Harakaté FWD	78	3	19
L Graf DEF	74	1	9
M Kreuzriegler DEF	65		10
T Cipot FWD	59	1	13
Z. Jánó MID	49	8	15
A. Hofleitner FWD	47	5	29
D Maderner FWD	41	3	24
T Schriebl MID	41	6	9
C Lichtenberger MID	37		5
T. Paumgartner MID	6
T. Schiestl MID	2