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TSV Hartberg v SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Profertil Arena Hartberg, Hartberg

Home advantage can be vital in the Bundesliga, and Manfred Schmid’s TSV Hartberg will have the joy of it on Sunday afternoon. Fabio Ingolitsch’s SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz are their visitors to the Profertil Arena Hartberg. Below you'll find predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds. All is accessible using the tabs below.

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TSV Hartberg's next match is v Salzburg at 13:30 on Sunday 17th May
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz's next match is v Rapid Wien at 13:30 on Sunday 17th May
The last Austrian Bundesliga meeting between Hartberg and Sturm Graz was on Sunday 10th May 2026
Austrian Bundesliga
May 10th 2026
Hartberg 2
4 Sturm Graz
 
L. Pazourek 9'2' A. Vallci
L. Fridrikas 56'14' (OG)B. Markuš
25' O. Kiteishvili
80' L. Weinhandl
 
HAR
STU
Shots On
6
8
Shots Off
6
10
Corners
2
7
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
8
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
HartbergSturm Graz
 
L. Pazourekfootball icon
H. Coulibaly
T. Hülsmann
B. Markušfootball icon
F. Wilfinger
K. Schopp (P. Komposch 71')
J. Heil
M. Fillafer (D. Kovacevic 46')
C. Hoffmann (D. Korherr 71')
L. Fridrikasfootball icon (J. Karner 79')
T. Kainz (L. Spendlhofer 71')
J. Mitchell
football iconA. Vallci
E. Karic
J. Gazibegovic
(P. Koller 59') J. Gorenc Stankovič
(G. Mamageishvili 85') football iconO. Kiteishvili
(L. Weinhandl 59') A. Kayombo
(M. Malone 63') S. Jatta
D. Khudyakov
J. Hödl
(S. Hierländer 85') R. Fosso

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Hartberg and Sturm Graz will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. The bookies have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Sturm Graz coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hartberg
27%
15/4750/1
Draw
24%
29/1066/1
Sturm Graz
49%
4/61/1000
Draw 1-1
11%
13/217/2
Sturm Graz 2-1
10%
15/215/2
Sturm Graz 1-0
10%
13/210/1
Sturm Graz 2-0
8%
15/26/1
Hartberg 2-1
7%
14/19/1
Hartberg 1-0
7%
14/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/17/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/110/1
Sturm Graz 3-1
5%
12/127/10
Sturm Graz 3-0
5%
12/113/2
Hartberg 2-0
4%
25/118/1
Sturm Graz 3-2
3%
22/13/4
Hartberg 3-1
3%
40/116/1
Sturm Graz 4-1
2%
25/116/5
Hartberg 3-2
2%
40/116/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/51/25
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/18/1
Home 1st Goal
45%
8/59/5
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/151/2
No 1st Goal
3%
11/110/1
BTTS - Yes
57%
3/410/21
BTTS - No
43%
1/129/20
BTTS - Home Win
14%
15/2150/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/440/1
BTTS - Away Win
24%
5/21/1000
Home/draw
51%
11/1090/1
Away/draw
73%
2/111/300
Home/away
76%
1/41/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/91/40
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/19/1
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/11/20
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/117/1
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/22/9
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/713/5
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/110/11
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/203/4
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/40
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/19/1
Home DNB
44%
5/2150/1
Away DNB
66%
2/71/1000
Hartberg win to nil
13%
8/1-
Sturm Graz win to nil
25%
2/1-
Hartberg / Hartberg
11%
7/11/50
Hartberg / Sturm Graz
4%
20/11/50
Hartberg / Draw
6%
14/11/50
Draw / Hartberg
9%
9/190/1
Draw / Sturm Graz
17%
15/4125/1
Draw / Draw
15%
5/1150/1
Sturm Graz / Hartberg
3%
33/128/1
Sturm Graz / Sturm Graz
29%
13/81/25
Sturm Graz / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hartberg have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Hartberg have conceded 24 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hartberg have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Sturm Graz lay in 2nd place on 31 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 8 and losing 8 games. They have scored 45 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Sturm Graz have conceded 33 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Sturm Graz have played 15 away games, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hartberg
Sturm Graz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sturm Graz3115881434 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
2
Salzburg3113991729 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
3
LASK Linz221147237 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-3F
w
 
0-2F
4
Austria Wien221138436 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
5
Rapid Wien3112811-327 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1F
6
Hartberg22895533 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
7
Wattens22877131 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-2F
l
 
1-3F
l
 
1-0A
8
SCR Altach22787-129 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
9
SV Ried228410-428 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
10
RZ Pellets227510-126 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2A
11
GAK224810-1420 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
12
Blau-Weiss Linz224315-1615 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4F
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
Championship Round
UEFA Conference League Play Offs
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
5
Sturm Graz have drawn 5 consecutive league games
5
Hartberg have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
11
Sturm Graz have not lost in 11 consecutive league games
Hartberg 6TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Sturm Graz 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Sturm Graz have beaten Hartberg in 3 consecutive away league meetings
12
Sturm Graz have not lost to Hartberg in 12 consecutive league meetings
3
Sturm Graz have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Hartberg
League games at Hartberg since 2018
Hartberg
Sturm Graz
Goals: Scored
12
14
Games: Scored
9 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
1 / 10
HAR
3
D
2
STU
5
League games at Sturm Graz since 2018
Sturm Graz
Hartberg
Goals: Scored
18
10
Games: Scored
9 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
2 / 11
HAR
1
D
3
STU
7
Goal Statistics

SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz's defensive record is very strong, F. Ingolitsch's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Bundesliga games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for TSV Hartberg makes sense in this context.

Hartberg 6th Sturm Graz 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Hartberg will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Sturm Graz will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Hartberg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+18
Sturm Graz have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2026 season
Hartberg
PG (predicted goals)
Sturm Graz
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
HAR
STU
19%
better
view stats
Games scored20
27
Failed to score10
3
Scored first16
19
Goals scored35
45
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
14
Avg. XG for1
1.6
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
HAR
STU
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
19
Clean sheets10
11
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded35
33
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%

Hartberg v Sturm Graz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hartberg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30346
B MarkušC. HoffmannT KainzT. Hülsmann
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T. Hülsmann GLK282
5
1
L Pazourek DEF111
-
K. Schopp DEF51
1
H. Coulibaly DEF161
2
-
F Wilfinger DEF292
1
-
M. Fillafer DEF131
3
-
J Heil MID2522
5
-
B Markuš MID301
3
-
T Kainz MID2814
6
-
C. Hoffmann FWD293
4
1
L Fridrikas FWD2431
3
-
Subs
H. Postl GLK
-
P Komposch DEF
-
J Gölles DEF7
-
L Spendlhofer DEF2621
3
1
E. Ojukwu DEF1
-
M. Hennig DEF2814
3
-
D. Kovacevic DEF231
-
J. Karner MID
-
D. Korherr FWD5
-
Sturm Graz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281445
J StankovicO KiteishviliO KiteishviliJ. Mitchell
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Khudyakov GLK6
1
-
J Gazibegovic DEF9
2
-
J. Mitchell DEF1711
4
1
A Vallci DEF1211
4
-
E Karic DEF282
3
-
R Fosso MID131
3
-
J Stankovic MID2821
5
-
J. Hödl MID2621
5
-
O Kiteishvili MID27144
3
-
A. Kayombo MID1411
2
-
S Jatta FWD3042
4
-
Subs
M Bignetti GLK10
-
A. Malic DEF181
2
-
P Koller DEF121
1
G Mamageishvili MID111
4
-
S Hierländer MID11
-
L. Weinhandl MID8
-
R. Wilson FWD4
-
B Beganovic FWD143
-
M Malone FWD2631
2
-