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Athletico PR v Corinthians : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 19th Feb, 22:30 BST, Arena de Baixada, Curitiba

Dorival Silvestre Júnior is aiming for a vital away win in the Serie A on Thursday night, as he takes his Corinthians side to the Arena de Baixada to visit Athletico PR and Odair Hellmann. All of the key stats for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds across seventeen major markets are included in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Athletico PR and Corinthians combined during 90 minutes. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and we're suggest there's a 78% chance of it coming in. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Athletico PR are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Athletico PR
40%
2.402.45
Draw
28%
2.873.00
Corinthians
33%
3.203.10
Draw 1-1
13%
5.505.50
Athletico PR 1-0
12%
7.006.50
Corinthians 1-0
10%
8.507.50
Draw 0-0
9%
7.006.50
Athletico PR 2-1
8%
10.009.00
Athletico PR 2-0
7%
11.0010.00
Corinthians 2-1
7%
12.0010.00
Corinthians 2-0
6%
15.0012.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
Athletico PR 3-1
4%
21.0017.00
Athletico PR 3-0
3%
23.0019.00
Corinthians 3-1
3%
29.0023.00
Corinthians 3-0
2%
34.0023.00
Athletico PR 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
Corinthians 3-2
2%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
2.352.30
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
1.571.57
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.911.95
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.252.20
No 1st Goal
6%
7.006.50
BTTS - Yes
49%
1.951.95
BTTS - No
51%
1.801.75
BTTS - Home Win
17%
6.005.25
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.334.20
BTTS - Away Win
14%
7.506.50
Home/draw
67%
1.361.35
Away/draw
60%
1.531.53
Home/away
72%
1.401.36
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1.441.40
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
2.752.70
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
4.504.20
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1.201.20
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
10.008.50
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1.061.06
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
21.0017.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.021.00
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.101.09
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7.006.50
Home DNB
59%
1.621.67
Away DNB
52%
2.202.10
Athletico PR win to nil
23%
3.75-
Corinthians win to nil
19%
5.00-
Athletico PR / Athletico PR
20%
4.003.90
Athletico PR / Corinthians
3%
34.0026.00
Athletico PR / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Athletico PR
15%
5.505.50
Draw / Corinthians
12%
6.506.50
Draw / Draw
19%
4.504.20
Corinthians / Athletico PR
3%
29.0023.00
Corinthians / Corinthians
16%
5.004.80
Corinthians / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win form
7
Athletico PR have won 7 consecutive league games
3
Corinthians have lost 3 consecutive away league games
11
Athletico PR have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
Athletico PR 5TH
20 league games
Home
11
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Corinthians 12TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Athletico PR since 2018
Athletico PR
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
APR
2
D
2
CTH
3
League games at Corinthians since 2018
Corinthians
Athletico PR
Goals: Scored
14
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
D
3
CTH
4
Goal Statistics

Athletico PR's defensive record is very strong, O. Hellmann's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Serie A outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Corinthians makes sense in this context.

Athletico PR 5th Corinthians 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Athletico PR will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 70% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Athletico PR have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-7
Corinthians’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Athletico PR
PG (predicted goals)
Corinthians
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
4%
better
APR
CTH
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score0
0
Scored first2
2
Goals scored3
3
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for21
14
Avg. XG for1.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
21%
better
APR
CTH
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded1
2
Avg. goals conceded0.5
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded21
8
Conversion rate against5%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+21%

Athletico PR v Corinthians Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Athletico PR Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE