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Atlético Mineiro v Santos : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Sep, 19:00 BST, Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Jorge Sampaoli and Juan Pablo Vojvoda pit their wits in the Serie A on Sunday evening, as Atlético Mineiro face Santos at the Arena MRV. Serie A statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and the best odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by A Mineiro and Santos combined during 90 mins. Up to date form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and we think there's a 74% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.30.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
A Mineiro 50%	-	1.83 6%
Draw 26%	-	3.60 5%
Santos 24%	-	4.40 4%
A Mineiro 1-0 12%	-	5.75 4%
Draw 1-1 12%	-	6.50 7%
A Mineiro 2-0 9%	-	7.50 7%
A Mineiro 2-1 9%	-	8.00 7%
Draw 0-0 8%	-	8.00 11%
Santos 1-0 8%	-	9.50 5%
Santos 2-1 6%	-	12.00 8%
A Mineiro 3-0 5%	-	12.00 9%
A Mineiro 3-1 5%	-	13.00 8%
Draw 2-2 5%	-	15.00
Santos 2-0 4%	-	17.00 11%
A Mineiro 3-2 2%	-	23.00 10%
Santos 3-1 2%	-	29.00
A Mineiro 4-0 2%	-	23.00 10%
A Mineiro 4-1 2%	-	23.00 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	-	2.10 8%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	-	1.67 7%
Home 1st Goal 53%	-	1.62 5%
Away 1st Goal 42%	-	2.70 4%
No 1st Goal 5%	-	8.00 11%
BTTS - Yes 50%	-	2.00 5%
BTTS - No 50%	-	1.75 3%
BTTS - Home Win 21%	-	4.00 8%
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	4.80 4%
BTTS - Away Win 11%	-	8.00
Home/draw 76%	-	1.20 2%
Away/draw 50%	-	1.95 7%
Home/away 75%	-	1.29 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	-	1.36 5%
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	-	2.90 9%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	-	3.70 12%
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	-	1.25 4%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	-	7.00 8%
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	-	1.08 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	15.00 15%
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	1.01 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	-	1.06 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	-	8.00 11%
Home DNB 68%	-	1.33 3%
Away DNB 42%	-	3.10 6%
A Mineiro win to nil 29%	-	-
Santos win to nil 13%	-	-
A Mineiro / A Mineiro 28%	-	2.80 8%
A Mineiro / Santos 3%	-	29.00
A Mineiro / Draw 6%	-	13.00
Draw / A Mineiro 17%	-	4.50 2%
Draw / Santos 9%	-	8.50 6%
Draw / Draw 16%	-	4.80 9%
Santos / A Mineiro 4%	-	21.00 11%
Santos / Santos 12%	-	6.50 7%
Santos / Draw 6%	-	13.00

Half time / full time form

Home

Overall

Half time

Full time

won

Drawn

lost

Half time

Full time

won

Drawn

lost

Away

Overall

Half time

Full time

won

Drawn

lost

Half time

Full time

won

Drawn

lost

Half time / full time head to head (H2H)

Half time

Full time

AMN won

Drawn

STS won

Half time

Full time

AMN won

Drawn

STS won

Goal Statistics

Atlético Mineiro's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Santos have conceded in each of their last 7 Serie A games. A PG of 1.6 for Jorge Sampaoli's side suggests that run should continue.

	A Mineiro 14th	Santos 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that A Mineiro will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Santos scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 A Mineiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+18 Santos have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

better

AMN

STS

view stats

Games scored	11		10
Failed to score	5		6
Scored first	5		5
Goals scored	18		15
Avg. goals scored	0.9		0.7
Avg. shots per game	9		6
Avg. shots per goal	10		9
Conversion rate for	10		11
Avg. XG for	1.4		1
KickOff rating		+8%

18%

better

AMN

STS

view stats

Games conceded	9		12
Clean sheets	7		4
Conceded first	8		10
Goals conceded	17		21
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	12%		13%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.3
KickOff rating		+18%

A Mineiro v Santos Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

A Mineiro Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	4	3	8
Everson	Hulk	Hulk	Lyanco

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Natanael DEF	20	1		1 -
G Scarpa MID	20	1	1	2 -
Everson GLK	19			4 -
J Alonso DEF	19		1	3 1
Rony FWD	19	3		3 -
I Gomes MID	18	3	1	1 -
Hulk FWD	17	4	3	6 -
A Franco MID	16			1 -
G Menino MID	15	1	1	1 -
J Santos FWD	14	2		1 -
T Cuello FWD	14	1	1	3 1
Bernard FWD	14			1 -
Lyanco DEF	12			6 2
G Arana DEF	9			2 -
F Vera MID	9	1		2 -
C Paulista DEF	8			1 -
R Saravia DEF	8			1 -
V Hugo DEF	7			1 -
J. Soares de Freitas FWD	7		1	-
Biel FWD	6		1	-
Alexsander MID	5			1 -
I Román DEF	4			1 -
P. da Silva Campos MID	3			-
Reinier MID	3			1 -
Dudu FWD	3			-
G Delfim GLK	1			-
I Tomich FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	20	3	6
Hulk	Hulk	Hulk	G Scarpa

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Hulk FWD	4	20	3	3
Rony FWD	3	19		1
I Gomes MID	3	5	1	1
J Santos FWD	2	4
Natanael DEF	1	4		1
G Scarpa MID	1	9	1	6
G Menino MID	1	4	1	1
T Cuello FWD	1	11	1	1
F Vera MID	1	1
J Alonso DEF		3	1
A Franco MID		1
Lyanco DEF		3		1
G Arana DEF		1		1
C Paulista DEF		1
J. Soares de Freitas FWD		3	1
Biel FWD		1	1	1
Alexsander MID		1
P. da Silva Campos MID		1
Dudu FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1178	36	99
J Alonso	Natanael	T Cuello

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Alonso DEF	1178	22	74
G Scarpa MID	818	12	52
A Franco MID	720	27	50
Lyanco DEF	612	24	72
Everson GLK	597		9
Natanael DEF	498	36	78
G Menino MID	408	17	39
G Arana DEF	402	13	28
T Cuello FWD	398	23	99
Hulk FWD	348	11	81
F Vera MID	297	16	26
I Gomes MID	262	12	39
Rony FWD	255	15	72
C Paulista DEF	183	10	30
V Hugo DEF	176	6	19
Bernard FWD	173	6	14
I Román DEF	159	5	17
Alexsander MID	139	11	21
R Saravia DEF	111	8	14
P. da Silva Campos MID	96	5	14
J Santos FWD	85	5	30
Reinier MID	68	5	5
Dudu FWD	58	1	6
Biel FWD	52	3	9
G Delfim GLK	29		3
J. Soares de Freitas FWD	17	2	5
I Tomich FWD			1

Santos Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	5	3	6
G Brazão	Álvaro Barreal	T Soares	B Rollheiser

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Brazão GLK	21			-
B Rollheiser FWD	20		2	6 -
G Escobar DEF	19			3 1
G. Silva Bontempo MID	18	1	1	1 -
Álvaro Barreal FWD	18	5		1 -
D Eugênio FWD	17	1		-
T Soares FWD	17	1	3	2 -
J Schmidt MID	15		1	3 -
G Augusto FWD	15	3	2	-
Z Ivaldo DEF	13	1		4 -
L Peres DEF	13			4 -
T Rincón MID	13			4 1
Neymar MID	12	3		5 1
Z Rafael MID	12			2 -
J. de Souza Menezes DEF	11		1	1 -
Thaciano MID	11	1		-
I Vinícius DEF	6			1 -
J Basso DEF	6	1		2 -
L Doria DEF	6			2 -
G Caballero FWD	6	1	1	1 -
Mayke DEF	5			-
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF	5			2 -
M. de Sousa FWD	3			-
H. Carvalho Machado Silva MID	2			-
W Arão MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	12	3	4
Álvaro Barreal	Neymar	T Soares	B Rollheiser

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Álvaro Barreal FWD	5	11		2
G Augusto FWD	3	10	2	4
Neymar MID	3	12		2
G. Silva Bontempo MID	1	1	1	2
D Eugênio FWD	1	4		1
T Soares FWD	1	6	3	3
Z Ivaldo DEF	1	1
Thaciano MID	1	2
J Basso DEF	1	1
G Caballero FWD	1	2	1	1
G Brazão GLK				1
B Rollheiser FWD		6	2	4
G Escobar DEF		1
J Schmidt MID		1	1	1
L Peres DEF		1
J. de Souza Menezes DEF			1	3
I Vinícius DEF		2		1
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
661	62	105
B Rollheiser	G Escobar	G Escobar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Rollheiser FWD	661	15	66
G Escobar DEF	624	62	105
L Peres DEF	620	11	46
J Schmidt MID	582	20	50
Z Ivaldo DEF	581	17	61
G Brazão GLK	462	1	10
T Rincón MID	420	14	35
Álvaro Barreal FWD	419	21	54
Neymar MID	398	4	70
G Augusto FWD	390	28	98
G. Silva Bontempo MID	377	23	59
J. de Souza Menezes DEF	290	26	53
Z Rafael MID	288	36	68
J Basso DEF	251	7	30
T Soares FWD	193	9	71
L Doria DEF	174	7	17
Mayke DEF	129	7	15
I Vinícius DEF	121	10	19
D Eugênio FWD	93	3	31
J. Pedro Chermont Crema DEF	92	10	17
Thaciano MID	72	8	25
G Caballero FWD	39	4	15
H. Carvalho Machado Silva MID	12	2	3
M. de Sousa FWD	4	1	3
W Arão MID			1