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Bahia v Chapecoense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 25th Feb, 00:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Chapecoense pay Serie A rivals Bahia a visit on Wednesday morning, as Gilmar Dal Pozzo guides his side into an away clash with Rogério Mücke Ceni & co. at the Arena Fonte Nova. All of the important stats for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this in-depth preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.


Best Tip: Bahia to win

A Serie A win on home turf for Rogério Mücke Ceni's Bahia team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should be too strong for their opponents. The odds from the bookies suggest so too, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Bahia win is the way to go, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
61%
23/503/5
Draw
22%
29/1029/10
Chapecoense
17%
11/219/4
Bahia 1-0
13%
11/219/4
Bahia 2-0
11%
6/111/2
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
Bahia 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Bahia 3-0
7%
10/117/2
Draw 0-0
7%
17/215/2
Bahia 3-1
6%
12/111/1
Chapecoense 1-0
6%
14/111/1
Chapecoense 2-1
5%
18/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
Bahia 4-0
3%
22/116/1
Bahia 4-1
3%
25/120/1
Bahia 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Chapecoense 2-0
2%
28/120/1
Chapecoense 3-1
1%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1/11/1
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
4/53/4
Home 1st Goal
57%
1/210/21
Away 1st Goal
39%
15/811/5
No 1st Goal
4%
17/215/2
BTTS - Yes
48%
1/121/20
BTTS - No
52%
3/47/10
BTTS - Home Win
25%
11/411/4
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/117/4
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11/19/1
Home/draw
83%
1/92/15
Away/draw
39%
6/413/10
Home/away
78%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3/101/3
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
5/211/5
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5/212/5
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/211/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/91/11
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17/215/2
Home DNB
76%
1/51/5
Away DNB
33%
10/316/5
Bahia win to nil
36%
6/4-
Chapecoense win to nil
9%
9/1-
Bahia / Bahia
34%
7/511/8
Bahia / Chapecoense
2%
40/133/1
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Bahia
19%
10/310/3
Draw / Chapecoense
7%
10/110/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Chapecoense / Bahia
4%
22/118/1
Chapecoense / Chapecoense
9%
9/115/2
Chapecoense / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
3
Chapecoense have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
6
Chapecoense have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
Bahia 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Bahia2 - 0S. Recife
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 3Fortaleza
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Internacional
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 0Santos
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Bahia3 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia1 - 1Fluminense
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
ABahia0 - 2Fluminense
HBahia2 - 0S. Recife
ABahia1 - 1Juventude
HBahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia2 - 3Fortaleza
ABahia2 - 2Internacional
ABahia0 - 3A Mineiro
HBahia2 - 1Bragantino
ABahia0 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia4 - 0Gremio
ABahia1 - 2Vitoria
HBahia1 - 0Flamengo
ABahia1 - 2Botafogo
HBahia1 - 0Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 3Vasco d Gama
ABahia1 - 1Ceara
Chapecoense 7TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama1 - 1Chapecoense
Volta Redonda1 - 1Chapecoense
Remo1 - 1Chapecoense
Goias1 - 3Chapecoense
Ferroviaria0 - 1Chapecoense
Amazonas1 - 3Chapecoense
Cuiaba1 - 0Chapecoense
Criciuma2 - 0Chapecoense
Athletic Club0 - 4Chapecoense
Cortiba0 - 0Chapecoense
Atletico Go0 - 0Chapecoense
America 0 - 1Chapecoense
Operario1 - 2Chapecoense
Botafogo1 - 0Chapecoense
Novorizontin1 - 0Chapecoense
Avai2 - 1Chapecoense
Athletico PR1 - 1Chapecoense
Vila Nova1 - 0Chapecoense
Paysandu0 - 2Chapecoense
CRB1 - 0Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChapecoense3 - 3Cortiba
AChapecoense1 - 1Vasco d Gama
HChapecoense4 - 2Santos
HChapecoense1 - 0Atletico Go
AChapecoense1 - 1Volta Redonda
HChapecoense0 - 1America
AChapecoense1 - 1Remo
HChapecoense2 - 0Operario
AChapecoense3 - 1Goias
HChapecoense1 - 1Botafogo
AChapecoense1 - 0Ferroviaria
HChapecoense1 - 0Novorizontin
AChapecoense3 - 1Amazonas
HChapecoense0 - 1Avai
AChapecoense0 - 1Cuiaba
HChapecoense2 - 3Athletico PR
AChapecoense0 - 2Criciuma
HChapecoense2 - 2Vila Nova
AChapecoense4 - 0Athletic Club
HChapecoense2 - 0Paysandu
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Chapecoense
Goals: Scored
5
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
BAH
2
D
1
CHP
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
0 - 1Chapecoense
Bahia3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bahia1 - 0
League games at Chapecoense since 2018
Chapecoense
Bahia
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
BAH
1
D
2
CHP
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chapecoense
Chapecoense3 - 1
0 - 2Bahia
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Bahia 4th Chapecoense 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Chapecoense scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Chapecoense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Chapecoense
1.8
0.8
Attack rating
BAH
CHP
22%
better
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
1
Goals scored4
8
Avg. goals scored1.3
2.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
3
Conversion rate for13
32
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
48%
better
BAH
CHP
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded2
6
Avg. goals conceded0.7
2
Avg. shots/game conceded13
18
Avg. shots/goal conceded20
9
Conversion rate against5%
11%
Avg. XG against1.7
2.8
KickOff rating
+48%

Bahia v Chapecoense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE