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Botafogo v Mirassol : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 17th Sep, 23:30 BST, Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Rafael Escobar Obrero pays counterpart Carlo Ancelotti a visit on Wednesday night in the Serie A, as their Mirassol and Botafogo sides face each other at the Estádio Nilton Santos. Below we've got predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and the best odds. Access it all using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Botafogo and Mirassol have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Botafogo 47%	4/6	4/6
Draw 27%	14/5	11/4
Mirassol 26%	17/4	17/4
Botafogo 1-0 13%	5/1	19/4
Draw 1-1 13%	6/1	6/1
Botafogo 2-0 9%	13/2	6/1
Botafogo 2-1 9%	15/2	13/2
Draw 0-0 9%	17/2	7/1
Mirassol 1-0 9%	11/1	9/1
Mirassol 2-1 6%	16/1	14/1
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Mirassol 2-0 4%	22/1	18/1
Botafogo 3-0 4%	12/1	10/1
Botafogo 3-1 4%	14/1	11/1
Botafogo 3-2 2%	28/1	22/1
Mirassol 3-1 2%	40/1	33/1
Botafogo 4-0 2%	25/1	18/1
Botafogo 4-1 2%	28/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	43/40	21/20
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	8/11	8/11
Home 1st Goal 52%	8/15	8/15
Away 1st Goal 42%	7/4	2/1
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1	7/1
BTTS - Yes 48%	1/1	21/20
BTTS - No 52%	3/4	7/10
BTTS - Home Win 19%	3/1	14/5
BTTS - Draw 18%	9/2	17/4
BTTS - Away Win 11%	9/1	17/2
Home/draw 74%	1/6	2/13
Away/draw 53%	23/20	23/20
Home/away 73%	1/4	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	4/11	7/20
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	11/5	2/1
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	11/4	13/5
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	2/7	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	7/1	6/1
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/12	1/12
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	16/1	12/1
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/40	1/66
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/14	1/16
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	8/1	7/1
Home DNB 66%	1/4	2/9
Away DNB 45%	11/4	27/10
Botafogo win to nil 28%	13/8	-
Mirassol win to nil 15%	7/1	-
Botafogo / Botafogo 31%	13/8	6/4
Botafogo / Mirassol 2%	40/1	33/1
Botafogo / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Botafogo 19%	10/3	16/5
Draw / Mirassol 8%	9/1	17/2
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
Mirassol / Botafogo 4%	22/1	18/1
Mirassol / Mirassol 10%	15/2	7/1
Mirassol / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1

Win / draw / win form

Mirassol have won 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo	4 - 1	Bragantino
Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Botafogo	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Botafogo	1 - 1	Corinthians
Botafogo	0 - 0	Vitoria
Botafogo	3 - 2	Ceara
Botafogo	4 - 0	Internacional
Botafogo	2 - 0	Fluminense
Botafogo	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
Botafogo	2 - 0	Juventude
Botafogo	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Botafogo	1 - 1	Vitoria
Botafogo	0 - 0	Cuiaba
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	1 - 1	Criciuma
Botafogo	0 - 0	Gremio
Botafogo	2 - 1	Corinthians
Botafogo	2 - 0	Fortaleza
Botafogo	4 - 1	Flamengo
Botafogo	0 - 3	Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Botafogo	4 - 1	Bragantino
A	Botafogo	3 - 1	Juventude
H	Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Botafogo	5 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Botafogo	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Botafogo	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Botafogo	1 - 0	S. Recife
H	Botafogo	0 - 0	Vitoria
A	Botafogo	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Botafogo	3 - 2	Ceara
A	Botafogo	1 - 0	Santos
A	Botafogo	0 - 0	Flamengo
H	Botafogo	4 - 0	Internacional
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	Bahia
H	Botafogo	2 - 0	Fluminense
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Botafogo	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	Bragantino
H	Botafogo	2 - 0	Juventude

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio	0 - 1	Mirassol
Fortaleza	0 - 1	Mirassol
Flamengo	2 - 1	Mirassol
Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
Sao Paulo	0 - 2	Mirassol
Internacional	1 - 1	Mirassol
Bragantino	1 - 0	Mirassol
Juventude	2 - 2	Mirassol
Bahia	1 - 1	Mirassol
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Mirassol
Operario	1 - 1	Mirassol
Avai	0 - 0	Mirassol
CRB	0 - 1	Mirassol
Santos	3 - 2	Mirassol
Goias	0 - 1	Mirassol
Guarani	1 - 0	Mirassol
Ituano	3 - 2	Mirassol
Paysandu	0 - 0	Mirassol
Ceara	1 - 2	Mirassol

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Mirassol	1 - 0	Gremio
H	Mirassol	5 - 1	Bahia
A	Mirassol	1 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Mirassol	1 - 2	Flamengo
H	Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Vitoria
A	Mirassol	2 - 0	Ceara
H	Mirassol	3 - 0	Santos
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Palmeiras
H	Mirassol	1 - 0	S. Recife
A	Mirassol	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Mirassol	2 - 1	Corinthians
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	Bragantino
H	Mirassol	2 - 2	A Mineiro
A	Mirassol	2 - 2	Juventude
H	Mirassol	4 - 1	Gremio
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Fortaleza

Goal Statistics

Botafogo's defensive record is very strong, Carlo Ancelotti's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Mirassol makes sense in this context.

	Botafogo 6th	Mirassol 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Botafogo will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Mirassol scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 Botafogo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+14 Mirassol have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

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Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

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Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Botafogo v Mirassol Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	3	4	7
Vitinho	A Telles	M Freitas	A Barboza

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Vitinho DEF	20	1		1 -
M Freitas MID	19	1	4	3 -
A Telles DEF	18	3	2	1 -
Artur FWD	16	2	4	1 -
J Savarino MID	15	3	2	1 -
Cuiabano DEF	14	2	1	2 -
M Ponte DEF	13	1		2 -
S Rodríguez MID	13		2	1 -
A Barboza DEF	12			7 -
D Loiola DEF	11	1		1 1
Allan MID	11			3 -
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	11	1		2 -
J Correa FWD	10			1 -
N Fernandes FWD	10	1	2	1 -
?. Montoro MID	9	1	1	2 -
M Martins FWD	9	1		1 -
A Cabral FWD	8	3	2	-
G Mastriani FWD	8	1		1 -
Kaio DEF	7			-
M Marçal DEF	7	2		1 -
Jeffinho FWD	7		2	-
Danilo MID	6	1		1 -
Neto GLK	3			-
L Linck GLK	2			-
C Ramos FWD	2	2		-
J Herrera MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	13	4	5
A Telles	J Savarino	M Freitas	Artur

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Telles DEF	3	5	2	3
J Savarino MID	3	13	2	4
A Cabral FWD	3	8	2	1
Artur FWD	2	9	4	5
Cuiabano DEF	2	5	1	1
M Marçal DEF	2	2		1
C Ramos FWD	2	2
Vitinho DEF	1	2		1
M Freitas MID	1	5	4	2
M Ponte DEF	1	1
D Loiola DEF	1	1		1
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	1	4
N Fernandes FWD	1	5	2	2
?. Montoro MID	1	5	1	2
M Martins FWD	1	7
G Mastriani FWD	1	3		1
Danilo MID	1	1
S Rodríguez MID		5	2	4
A Barboza DEF		2
Allan MID		1		1
J Correa FWD		5
Kaio DEF		2
Jeffinho FWD		1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1128	42	78
M Freitas	Vitinho	Vitinho

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freitas MID	1128	19	34
A Barboza DEF	746	28	65
D Loiola DEF	597	9	31
Vitinho DEF	550	42	78
A Telles DEF	513	11	34
J Savarino MID	433	6	24
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	398	18	33
Artur FWD	368	12	58
Kaio DEF	345	6	41
Allan MID	342	21	32
M Marçal DEF	305	7	24
?. Montoro MID	255	15	46
Cuiabano DEF	223	13	36
Danilo MID	219	7	15
J Correa FWD	216	7	22
S Rodríguez MID	195	9	38
M Martins FWD	183	10	30
M Ponte DEF	164	6	19
N Fernandes FWD	115	5	23
A Cabral FWD	109	8	45
Jeffinho FWD	93	3	22
Neto GLK	75
L Linck GLK	35
G Mastriani FWD	34	1	11
C Ramos FWD	25	3	12
J Herrera MID	1	1	2

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	7	3	6
J. Ribeiro da Silva	Reinaldo	Reinaldo	J Victor

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	21	1		2 -
Reinaldo DEF	20	7	3	3 -
Danielzinho MID	20		2	3 -
L Ramon DEF	19	1	2	5 -
N Moura MID	19			5 -
Edson FWD	19	4	2	1 -
J Victor DEF	18	1	1	5 1
J Aldo MID	18		1	2 -
C Renato FWD	17	3	1	2 -
Negueba FWD	17	3	1	2 -
Walter GLK	15			2 -
Gabriel MID	15	3	1	2 -
Y Felipe MID	13		1	1 -
Chico MID	10			1 -
M Bianqui MID	10			1 -
Chico FWD	9	5		-
Alesson FWD	9	3	2	-
D Borges DEF	8	2		2 -
C Eduardo FWD	8		3	1 -
Roni MID	7			1 -
A Muralha GLK	6			2 -
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD	5			1 -
Gabriel DEF	3			-
F Jonatan DEF	1			-
Shaylon MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	14	3	6
Reinaldo	Reinaldo	Reinaldo	Reinaldo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Reinaldo DEF	7	14	3	6
Chico FWD	5	6
Edson FWD	4	12	2	4
C Renato FWD	3	13	1	1
Negueba FWD	3	8	1	4
Gabriel MID	3	8	1	3
Alesson FWD	3	3	2	1
D Borges DEF	2	2
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	1	3
L Ramon DEF	1	8	2	1
J Victor DEF	1	2	1	1
Danielzinho MID		4	2	3
J Aldo MID		5	1	3
Y Felipe MID			1	2
Chico MID		1
M Bianqui MID		1
C Eduardo FWD		3	3	4
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD		1		1
Gabriel DEF		2
Shaylon MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1076	47	122
Danielzinho	L Ramon	L Ramon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Danielzinho MID	1076	32	89
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	932	38	88
N Moura MID	845	45	75
J Victor DEF	804	15	58
Reinaldo DEF	741	24	65
L Ramon DEF	577	47	122
J Aldo MID	447	24	55
Gabriel MID	419	6	37
Walter GLK	388		15
Negueba FWD	283	16	63
Y Felipe MID	240	15	39
Edson FWD	198	24	68
A Muralha GLK	140		2
D Borges DEF	139	7	16
Chico FWD	118	2	26
Chico MID	102	10	26
C Renato FWD	100	8	36
Gabriel DEF	97	2	12
Alesson FWD	74	6	30
Roni MID	68	4	5
C Eduardo FWD	42	2	14
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD	41	1	8
F Jonatan DEF	32	1	3
Shaylon MID	26	3	3
M Bianqui MID	22	2	11