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Coritiba v Sao Paulo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 26th Feb, 23:00 BST, Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pere, Curitiba

Mozart Santos Batista Junior and Hernán Jorge Crespo pit their wits in the Serie A on Thursday night, as Coritiba face Sao Paulo at the Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pere. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Serie A match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's fairly unlikely that this match will deliver 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics are in line with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Cortiba and Sao Paulo haven't typically been involved in goal-fests of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite WDW or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cortiba are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cortiba
34%
9/513/8
Draw
28%
21/102/1
Sao Paulo
38%
7/519/10
Draw 1-1
13%
5/19/2
Sao Paulo 1-0
11%
6/16/1
Cortiba 1-0
10%
13/211/2
Draw 0-0
9%
13/211/2
Sao Paulo 2-1
8%
9/117/2
Cortiba 2-1
8%
10/18/1
Sao Paulo 2-0
7%
10/111/1
Cortiba 2-0
6%
12/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
Sao Paulo 3-1
3%
22/118/1
Cortiba 3-1
3%
25/118/1
Sao Paulo 3-0
3%
22/122/1
Cortiba 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Cortiba 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
27/2013/10
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/711/20
Home 1st Goal
46%
11/101/1
Away 1st Goal
48%
20/2123/20
No 1st Goal
5%
13/211/2
BTTS - Yes
49%
1/119/20
BTTS - No
51%
3/43/4
BTTS - Home Win
14%
11/29/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/416/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/15/1
Home/draw
62%
8/152/5
Away/draw
66%
2/510/21
Home/away
72%
4/114/11
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/94/9
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
7/413/8
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
7/210/3
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/52/11
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/18/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/161/20
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/118/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/661/300
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/121/11
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/111/2
Home DNB
53%
1/13/4
Away DNB
58%
8/1119/20
Cortiba win to nil
20%
7/2-
Sao Paulo win to nil
22%
11/4-
Cortiba / Cortiba
18%
15/416/5
Cortiba / Sao Paulo
3%
28/125/1
Cortiba / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Cortiba
13%
11/219/4
Draw / Sao Paulo
14%
9/25/1
Draw / Draw
19%
7/23/1
Sao Paulo / Cortiba
3%
33/122/1
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
19%
3/17/2
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win form
4
Cortiba have failed to score in 4 consecutive home league games
Cortiba 9TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cortiba0 - 1Bragantino
Cortiba0 - 0Athletic Club
Cortiba0 - 0CRB
Cortiba0 - 0Athletico PR
Cortiba2 - 1Atletico Go
Cortiba2 - 0Botafogo
Cortiba0 - 2Criciuma
Cortiba0 - 0Goias
Cortiba4 - 0Ferroviaria
Cortiba0 - 0Remo
Cortiba0 - 0Chapecoense
Cortiba1 - 1Amazonas
Cortiba2 - 5Paysandu
Cortiba2 - 0Volta Redonda
Cortiba2 - 0Cuiaba
Cortiba2 - 1Avai
Cortiba1 - 0America
Cortiba2 - 0Operario
Cortiba0 - 0Novorizontin
Cortiba1 - 0Vila Nova
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACortiba3 - 3Chapecoense
ACortiba2 - 1Cruzeiro
HCortiba0 - 1Bragantino
ACortiba2 - 1Amazonas
HCortiba0 - 0Athletic Club
ACortiba2 - 1Paysandu
HCortiba0 - 0CRB
ACortiba1 - 0Volta Redonda
HCortiba0 - 0Athletico PR
ACortiba0 - 1Cuiaba
HCortiba2 - 1Atletico Go
HCortiba2 - 0Botafogo
ACortiba2 - 0Avai
HCortiba0 - 2Criciuma
ACortiba0 - 1America
HCortiba0 - 0Goias
HCortiba4 - 0Ferroviaria
ACortiba0 - 1Operario
HCortiba0 - 0Remo
ACortiba2 - 1Novorizontin
Sao Paulo 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos1 - 1Sao Paulo
Vitoria1 - 0Sao Paulo
Fluminense6 - 0Sao Paulo
Corinthians3 - 1Sao Paulo
Vasco d Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
Mirassol3 - 0Sao Paulo
Gremio2 - 0Sao Paulo
Fortaleza0 - 2Sao Paulo
Santos1 - 0Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro1 - 0Sao Paulo
S. Recife2 - 2Sao Paulo
Internacional1 - 2Sao Paulo
Juventude0 - 1Sao Paulo
Bragantino2 - 2Sao Paulo
Flamengo2 - 0Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Palmeiras1 - 0Sao Paulo
Ceara1 - 1Sao Paulo
Botafogo2 - 2Sao Paulo
A Mineiro0 - 0Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Vitoria
HSao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 6Fluminense
HSao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
ASao Paulo1 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
HSao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
ASao Paulo2 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo2 - 0Bahia
ASao Paulo0 - 3Mirassol
ASao Paulo0 - 2Gremio
HSao Paulo2 - 3Palmeiras
ASao Paulo2 - 0Fortaleza
HSao Paulo0 - 1Ceara
ASao Paulo0 - 1Santos
HSao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Cruzeiro
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Cortiba have drawn with Sao Paulo in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
Sao Paulo have not lost to Cortiba in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Cortiba since 2020
Cortiba
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cortiba
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Sao Paulo since 2021
Sao Paulo
Cortiba
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
1
SAO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Sao Paulo3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Sao Paulo's defensive record is to be admired, H. Crespo's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Coritiba makes sense in this context.

Cortiba 9th Sao Paulo 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Cortiba will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Sao Paulo will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Cortiba have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
-8
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Cortiba
PG (predicted goals)
Sao Paulo
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
COR
SAO
17%
better
view stats
Games scored2
3
Failed to score1
0
Scored first1
1
Goals scored5
5
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for1.5
2
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
COR
SAO
38%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
2
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded5
2
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded16
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
11
Conversion rate against10%
9%
Avg. XG against1.8
1
KickOff rating
+38%

Cortiba v Sao Paulo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cortiba Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE